The Bear Swipes Right!Early 1st quarter 2021 was a delusional bull market for Tech, reminiscent of 1999. Many corporate owners took advantage of the Hype.
There were a lot of IPO's and direct listings at the end of 2020. Since yields are going up, and the Fed is gradually abandoning its easy money policies, the tech sector is being shorted back to reality.
Bumble had an IPO of $43.00, delusional Bulls drank the coolaide and bought at $79.00 per share, the dumping price.
There is resistance at the $57.00 line, once prices breach this line, expect Bumble to be shorted to atleast the IPO price of $43.00/ share.
Should the Nasdaq slide to 11,000, expect Bumble to trade in the $20 range. Loss per share: 1 cent
Revenue: $165.6 million vs. expected revenue of $163.3 million. Despite revenue slightly exceeding analysts expectations by 2 million dollars during 4th quarter, Bumble is a brand new stock that has yet to experience a slide during expiration of its lock up period. The Quiet Period Expiration: 03/23/2021
Lockup Expiration: 08/10/2021Lockup Period (days): 180,
I can guarantee you that insiders will sell!
I wouldn't go long on this until maybe August or if share prices hit the $20 range.
In the mean time, money can be made by scalping and going short during the tech bear market.
BMBL trade ideas
Do not FOMO into BMBLNow that we know that there is interest in BMBL...
Consider the following facts:
- Bumble launched at $43
- It topped at $84.79 two days later due to mania (+75%)
- We are only 11% down from the top ($75.36)
- It double bottomed at $70
- Buying volume has dropped significantly
- Selling volume is on an uptrend
Taking into account all of these factors, BMBL may go short temporarily. Share prices are likely to fall through the key support at $70 and through the secondary resistance at $63.90. There are two ways to enter, with or against those who bought into the IPO.
Buy and Hold Entry Plan
Part A
Minimum Budget: $270.69 + Brokerage Fees
Entries: $60.86x1, $58.96x1, $52.86x1, $51.94x1, and $46.07x1
Total Shares: 5
Stop Loss: $43 (optional)
Post-Stop Remainder: $215
Time-Investment: Short-Term
The first part of the plan is to enter above the IPO investors and to tolerate an acceptable amount of losses. Whales are averse to losing money but if they bring the roof down over their heads, they may begin eating each other. (Stop Losses at $43)
Part B
Minimum Budget: $564.72 + Brokerage Fees
Entries: $31.28x7, $22.14x7, $17.17x7
Total Shares: 18
Stop Loss: None
Time Investment: Long-Term
The second part of the plan is to re-enter during the aftermath of initial market cap loss underneath the paper-handed whales, instead of during. At this point, there is bound to be even more natural resistance as price falls below launch. Because Bumble is a fundamentally solid company, these price levels are actually pretty golden for pickup. The reason Part A is involved is to keep you in the asset at all times, therefore increasing your exposure to profits. Should the ATH price rise above $84.79, this plan needs to be updated and have the entries adjusted upwards accordingly.
If you read this you will never participate in any IPO..!It is obvious that many people who participated in BMBL IPO are in red zone, but the worst has yet to come!
Look at TWITTER, SNAP,FACEBOOK, SPOTIFY, and PINTEREST historical charts..! Clearly anyone who participated in those IPO in the very first day lost 50-85% of his his capital in several weeks or months!
I’m currently conducting a study on IPO Ed stock in last 3 years, obviously you are in danger of losing your capital in 3 out of 4 recently IPOed stocks.
It doesn’t matter if you are a trader or longterm investor, you have to take care of your capital.
1st day IPO = Bubble burst..!
A bubble is an economic cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. ... During a bubble, assets typically trade at a price, or within a price range, that greatly exceeds the asset's intrinsic value (the price does not align with the fundamentals of the asset)(investopedia)
BMBL chart is 30 minutes, others are weekly charts..!
Please write your experiences of participating in IPOs in comments
BUMBLE IPO -- $10 MOVE; CHEAP DATE!
Time to watch another IPO NASDAQ:BMBL
Usually the initial daily price range of anything that has zero history, will give strong support and resistance levels the 1st time they are met, with profits zones back to the opening daily range.
That said, as the chart suggests, I'm looking at $88 as a topping out point AND OR $61 as a bottoming point, both giving the potential for a $10 (10%+) play.
*There is a temporary price level that could be used for support and or resistance going either direction. Certainly a point to watch, if its needed.
*This is my trade idea and not considered as advice*
$BMBL is giving a GREAT IPO LONG opportunity todayIPO intraday trading strategy idea
Bumble is a popular online and mobile dating app that turns antiquated gender norms on their heads by letting women make the first move.
The share price is rising and gonna continue this trend today.
The demand for shares of the company still looks higher than the supply.
These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price today.
So I opened a long position from $76,50;
stop-loss — $70,00;
take-profit — 95,50/MOC price.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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