Bounced off resistance unexpectedly.Unfortunately, we didn't even close above the 0.5 re-trace, bouncing off the resistance pretty hard. Generally, closing with no shadow on a that big of a green candle would indicate an increase. There was definitely buyer volume coming in, although not quite as much as 02-05-2018, but we can see that the market opened with a giant shadow at the bottom of the candle. This indicates to me that there was most likely some whales that were waiting at that resistance/re-trace and took profit on that giant spread. I was hoping that something like that wasn't going to be the case. This is why the use of stop loss is vital, and to respect support and resistance. The Bloomberg article published yesterday that essentially called out the valuations of investors, probably didn't aide in new conviction.
I have added a new green trend line to indicate a slightly more sideways channel we are in. It is to early to determine if we are going to see a head and shoulders pattern that could take us above resistance. We are still looking good long. For now, it appears as though we may work our way down to re-test the support area, indicated by where the blue dotted lines intersect the 8 and 13 EMA's.
www.bloomberg.com
Thank you for viewing my charts!
CGC trade ideas
After completing a ABC and small rally, we are going lowerAfter completing a ABC correction from its All time High on the daily chart ...and having small rally from there...it looks like the whole market is heading towards at least another correction...
one the ABCDE, once price approaches or even breaches E I would go short on any pop...
TIme frame is hard to tell, but March is looking tough for the stock market as a whole.
March 2-8 may be a key dates
Don't get high on your own supply-Huge news for Tweed getting go ahead on 1.3 M sq ft greenhouses in BC
-Rec. stores in Manitoba
-Speculation of NASDAQ listing
-Increasing bullish volume on the daily chart
-Bullish MACD cross
-Could be a "laggard" to MJN??
-Currently holding WEED overnight and hoping for a significant gap up, causing RSI levels to get to extreme highs on the hourly and shorter timeframe charts. IF this happens, I'll look to sell (likely right at open) and re-buy in (looking for a possible bounce off the $30.00 lvl) using 1/5 min chart RSI indication for an oversold bounce right after exiting. Lets hope this is the start of a very nice break out to, dare I say, all time highs???
Am I seeing things?Wow 9.54%! We absolutely blew past any form of futile resistance that I thought may have held us up a bit, into the 0.5 Fibonacci re-trace zone, waiting for an almost guaranteed close tomorrow to confirm above 29.50. I'm moving the support lines up faster than I can buy. The bulls are in full force with no sign of a flag, and even though I've drawn some measly resistance that we could stagger at, the volume right now is just to massive for me to believe that we will be stopped dead at 31.00. Today closed with essentially no wick, so tomorrow, hopefully we can make it there and past. I haven't seen a breakout like this since "The Shawshank Redemption".
Thank you for viewing my charts!
Heavy resistance. New support.There is still some seriously heavy resistance that we will have to face, considering it just barely cleared above the previous, with a long green wick although. I have moved the upward trend line to reflect the newly created likely support area, indicated by the green dashed line. If we can confirm a second retest above the current dashed red resistance line, the blue support can then be moved up along with it, and new resistance will be placed at ~28.75 and 29.70. I still do believe that unless the volume comes in, it will be a struggle to break past the point where the 8 and 13 lines cross the current resistance level at 28.0. If it does go up and bounce around in that resistance channel again, it could be forming the beginning of a left shoulder of head and shoulders pattern that can hopefully break us out of the .5 Fib. retrace.
Thank you for viewing my charts!
Consolidation station.It is looking it will consolidate for quite some time, however, they have just acquired the license for a facility in Aldergrove B.C. It will be interesting to see if it remains bearish during the primary phases of that operation. There's an indication it might retrace the .236 Fibonacci, where it intersects the upward trend line at this point, because support has already been established twice there. Hopefully it bounces off and keeps going in the right direction.
WEED on track long-termWe're currently bouncing consistently off the long-term trendline, and I expect this to continue on our slow and steady consolidation. We're seeing decreasing daily bear volume... so I would expect a bump up come Monday-Tuesday, to continue our slow and steady upward trend. I'd look to see money flowing back into the sector come late-March - April, as smart money wants to get in before the inevitable run-up to legalization. If the trendline breaks significantly, I would expect a further move to the downside.
WEED Fib RetracementFirst chart ever, so take it easy on me. I'm looking at the Fib levels for the crazy run-up WEED saw around the new year. It seems we tested the .382 multiple times before ultimately falling through, and it is now acting as resistance. We've seen several tests at the .5 level and I think we will fall through and have to test the .618 level as well.
The dotted green trend line shows where we would be if we had continued on the trend since last year's major consolidation, prior to the big runs we started seeing in September and then the huge ones in November and December. This line ultimately converges at the .786 Fib level in June, which incidentally is about the time the consolidation ended last year after similar bull runs around the new year. I don't think it's unlikely to see WEED trading near $15 again before legalization hits, and then let the bulls take over in the month or so prior to the big event.
I'm certainly not encouraging anyone to make any decisions based on this. Just an idea.
Reposted several times as I'm still trying to figure out the ideal display so the chart's not so cluttered. Sorry about that.
HS pattern in strong downward channel - WEEDWeed has formed an almost complete head and shoulder pattern. It formed perfectly within the strong downward channel (green dotted lines). I expect we are going to see price falling at least towards 23.5 but most likely towards 21.4. If that last called scenario is confirmed a descending wedge is forming with the purple line and green dotted top line of the downward channel. IMO this could lead into an upwards breakout and a turn around into some bullish price movement.
I'm learning. Please let me know what you think of this analysis.
Price action critical pointWEED has been in a downfall since the bubble burst on pretty much every weed stock there is. Now it how made a consolidation pattern and is shortening its price range. In the coming days we will see where it breaks and what this will be able to tell us about possible future outcomes.
A lot of people think that bubbles are a bad thing. But they show that the interest of the general public has already peaked but historically, every bubble has been followed by another strong bull martket. This is a shortterm short and I will defenetly be going long on the marijuana industry in general when it bottoms out because post legalization run will be crazy.
WEED, Bull Open --> Short Play MiddayExpect a bullish open, from bullish market continuation on the S&P500. However, fully expecting RSI to become overbought after the bull open. S&P will cool-off, and WEED.TO will begin its sell-off.
Step 1) Ride long on the bullish continuation upon open. Look to short from of the top 3 levels as labelled on the chart. Enter when MACD shows bullish momentum slow, preferably with a crossover, and RSI in the overbought zone.
Step 2) Short from these levels, and look to cover between the .38 - .61 range. Must look to S&P500 for signals to cover. Watch MACD for slowing bearish momentum.
Always keep your eye on volume, and avoid any weak moves in either direction. Good luck! TSX:WEED
WEED.TO Bear Play for TodayTSX:WEED
I believe we will open with a sell-off because:
1) Key support broken on the S&P500.
2) Increased bear momentum upon close.
3) Incredibly bearish maruboza candlestick on the daily.
Looking back at our daily chart, we can draw a fib retracement from our most recent main leg down, to our low on the 5th. We see that yesterday we bounced off the .68 level. Interestingly, almost every other level has been respected as well. Look at how the chart lines up mostly noticeably with the .21, .32, .62, and .78 levels.
There's always the chance that it opens green. But, assuming bearish momentum carries forward on today's open, we can make several educated targets.
Short Target 1: Yesterday's support level.
Short Target 2: Prior support, using levels established before January's run up as well.
Short Target 3: .78 A fib extension, produced from A--->B. This represents a -10.64% move from yesterday's close, and would definitely be best case scenario, and final target for locking in profits.
$WEED Prediction for today / tomorrowLooking like bulls will try to buy it up end-of-day, forming an "evening star" on the daily. This indicates indecision, as Canopy's float was traded over $30.00 before Friday's sell-off; however, based on my hypothesis here, I think that this may mimic the move on 2018-01-05, where after a similar candle was formed, CGC made new highs.
One of two things will happen tomorrow:
1) big green candle upward tomorrow, reaching for $35
2) retrace back to $25.00 area before the ticker makes another move at resistance
More information needed!
Still learning the chart game, so thank you for reading and advising :))
WEED perfect fib boucesWow volatility is CRAZY!! making fib bounces within days. Not wasting any time hitting targets!
Target for WEED reached at 30$ retracing to 62% fib.
Now hopefully a short back down for the final correction wave from the ABC pattern
First target pickup is at 21 again, second is at 16$. Good luck and remember to take partial profits in case in keeps running upwards, WEED could very well keep going to 35$ but don't fomo, patience is key, it will come back down again before legalization.