CRWV trade ideas
CRWV behaves like early ARM..!The most important question anyone should answer before any investment/trade is:
Is the a chance for an Asymmetrical payoff?
If your answer to this question is yes, then look at the other factors!
ARM: after early phase of decline moved +250%!
CRVW: is still a very young publicly traded company but its charts behaves like ARM at its early stages of public trading!
From fundamental point of view, its customers must increased exponentially if there will be an Ai boom!
(Skin in the game)
NASDAQ:CRWV 8 Gaps Previously filled and 6 Gaps to Watch🧠 “Trade what you see, not what you feel. Respect the levels.”
Historical Behavior Shown in this Chart
Gap Analysis (15-Minute Chart)
There are 14 significant gaps visible on the chart. These are marked with either "GAP" and “FILLED" and brown box overlays. Here's a breakdown:
✅ Gaps Already Filled (Downward & Upward)
There are 8 distinct brown boxes labeled "FILLED" on the chart. These represent historical gaps that have already been closed by price action. Let's analyze 3/8:
📌 1. Gap Fill – April 1, 2025
1. Type: Breakaway Gap (Upside)
2. Formed: March 28–March 31, 2025
3. Gap Range: ~$37 to ~$39
4. Price Action:
After gapping up, the stock failed to maintain momentum and retraced over the next several sessions. The gap was ultimately filled around April 2.
5. Technical Note:
Breakaway gaps often signify the start of a new trend, but this one was weakly supported. The fill was quick, signaling a false breakout or lack of volume follow-through.
📌 2. Gap Fill – April 8, 2025
• Type: Continuation Gap (Upside)
• Formed: April 4, 2025
• Gap Range: ~$51 to ~$53.83
• Price Action:
Price gapped up mid-trend, then retraced within a couple of days, filling the gap on April 7–8.
• Technical Note:
Continuation gaps are common during trends, but in this case, momentum waned quickly, indicating a weak rally that was unable to sustain itself. The fill was driven by lack of bullish follow-through.
📌 3. Gap Fill – April 7, 2025
• Type: Exhaustion Gap (Upside)
• Formed: April 7, 2025
• Gap Range: ~$44.50 to ~$47
• Price Action:
After the gap up, price peaked and reversed shortly after. The gap was filled as the price collapsed over the next few sessions.
• Technical Note:
Classic exhaustion gap behavior—forming late in a rally and quickly reversing. Traders who chased this move were likely trapped. The RSI during this period was likely overbought, setting up the pullback.
❌ Gaps Not Yet Filled
4. Gap #4 (May 2, 2025)
o Type: Runaway Gap (Upside)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: Low
o Price to Fill: ~$44.72 to ~$45.83
o Comment: If a pullback occurs toward the 0.618 Fib ($48.68) or MA200, 1hr time frame ($48.68), this gap is in a high-probability zone to get filled.
5. Gap #5 (May 12, 2025)
o Type: Breakaway Gap (Upside)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: Moderate (Currently in a strong uptrend)
o Price to Fill: ~$51.51
o Comment: Breakaway gaps at the start of a new strong rally tend to remain unfilled. Unless a major correction happens toward 0.5 Fib ($54.51), this gap may get filled.
🎯 “If that happens, we could see Gap #4 filled too.”
6. Gap #6 (May 16, 2025)
o Type: Exhaustion Gap (Potential)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: High
o Price to Fill: ~$66.49
o Comment: Given it's near the top (around ATH at $87.44) and the RSI is climbing, this could be an exhaustion gap. A pullback toward MA200 or Fib 0.236 ($69.75) is likely
Gaps 1-3 will be analyzed if necessary
📉 MA200 (200-period Moving Average) Analysis
• Currently around $71.76, rising steadily.
• Price is significantly extended above MA200, signaling short-term overbought conditions.
• Acts as dynamic support and sits near the 0.236 Fib level, which reinforces this zone as a high-probability pullback level.
________________________________________
📈 Price Action Observations
• Trend: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
• Recent ATH: $88.90 marked as key resistance.
• RSI: At 55.21, near overbought territory but not extreme—supports room for short-term continuation before a correction.
________________________________________
🧠 Summary & Trade Insights
🔽 High-Probability Gap Fills (Downside Potential)
• Gap #6 ($66.49) Most likely to be filled soon.
• Gap #4 ($44.72) Possible in a deeper pullback scenario.
📊 Uptrend Continuation Scenario
• If price holds above 0.236 Fib ($70.63) and the MA200 ($71.76), momentum likely continues toward new highs.
🛑 Risk Levels
• Break below $71.76 (MA200) could trigger sharper corrections toward $66.49 filling Gap #6 or even fallen at 0.382 Fib ($61.27)
🔁 Key Technical Takeaways
🎯 Common Characteristics of All Filled Gaps
• They were all retraced within a few sessions (1–3 trading days).
• The market corrected overextended moves — both overbought and oversold.
• Volume and momentum often weakened post-gap, causing mean reversion.
• The RSI during these fills likely hovered in overbought/oversold zones.
________________________________________
📉 Could Similar Gaps Be Filled in the Near Future?
Yes — based on historical behavior shown in this chart, there is a strong technical precedent that:
• Gaps left unfilled above the current price (like Gap #6 near $66.49) are at high risk of being filled, especially as:
o RSI climbs near overbought,
o MA200 and Fib 0.236 intersect near the gap,
o Price gets extended from its moving average.
• This mean-reverting behavior is highly typical of CRWV's price action.
________________________________________
🧠 Conclusion
The brown-boxed "FILLED" gaps on the CRWV 10-minute chart give us a clear signal:
Gaps—both up and down—are frequently filled shortly after forming, especially when driven by unsustained momentum.
Watch for retests of recent unfilled gaps, particularly if:
• Price breaks below MA200,
• Momentum indicators (like RSI) show divergence,
• Volume dries up near recent highs.
NFA
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CRWV eyes on $96.08: Golden Genesis fib Ends 60% trade now DIP? Our last plot (see below) gave a nice 66% gain.
Now looking for a decent dip to re-enter longs.
Each fib below is of interest, especially Goldens.
Previous trade that just closed with 66% gains
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This AI-Backed IPO Is Just Warming Up — Next Stop: 86% Gains?CoreWeave is showing classic IPO 'honeymoon phase' price action, with early liquidity swept and bullish structure forming.
🔍 Price swept the daily sell-side liquidity at $35.70
📈 Now pushing higher — next major buyside targets at $55.04 and $65.22
🤖 Backed by NVIDIA, adding serious momentum and credibility
🧠 Expecting strong continuation as institutions begin to build exposure
If price maintains structure, this could be one of the strongest IPO moves of 2025.
First lookFirst look at CRWV, some basic monthly weekly daily levels, range POC point of control, and a speed resistance fan, which price shot up into at the moment. If I was looking to get involved I'd wait for a slight retrace into the SP below left behind because of the gap that was left from the day before