CRWV Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025📈 CRWV Weekly Options Outlook — June 3, 2025
🚨 AI Model Consensus: Moderately Bullish with Overbought Risk
🧠 Model Summary
🔹 Grok (xAI)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: +46% 5-day move, price > EMAs, RSI ~65, call OI stacked higher
Trade: Buy $152.50C @ $7.75 → PT $9.69 (+25%), SL $6.20
Confidence: 70%
🔹 Claude (Anthropic)
Bias: Moderately Bullish
Setup: Strong momentum, MACD flattening, bullish flow, max pain at $128
Trade: Buy $155C @ $7.10 → PT $10.65 (+50%), SL $4.25
Confidence: 72%
🔹 Llama (Meta)
Bias: Moderately Bullish (No Trade)
Setup: Daily RSI >70, price overextended beyond Bollinger; MACD weakening
Trade: No trade—premium too expensive, risk/reward not ideal
🔹 Gemini (Google)
Bias: Moderately Bullish (No Trade)
Setup: Parabolic move, minor MACD divergence, resistance near
Trade: No trade—warns of short-term pullback risk
🔹 DeepSeek
Bias: Moderately Bearish
Setup: Daily RSI 72, MACD bearish divergence, low put OI
Trade: Buy $140P @ $5.30 → PT $8.00, SL $4.30
Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Takeaways
📈 Price action is bullish — strong trend confirmed across models
⚠️ Overbought signals: RSI >70, Bollinger breakout, MACD divergence
🧲 Max pain at $128 = potential late-week gravity
💡 Only 2 models recommend entry (calls); 2 models abstain; 1 model (DeepSeek) favors puts
🎯 Recommended Trade
💡 Strategy: Bullish Naked Weekly Call
🔘 Ticker: CRWV
📈 Direction: CALL
🎯 Strike: $160
💵 Entry: $5.40 (ask)
🎯 Profit Target: $6.75 (+25%)
🛑 Stop Loss: $4.32 (−20%)
📏 Size: 1 contract
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-06
⏰ Entry Timing: Market Open
📈 Confidence: 70%
⚠️ Key Risks to Watch
🔄 Overbought RSI + Bollinger extension = pullback risk
🧲 Max pain at $128 may drag price if momentum fades
💰 High IV = expensive premiums — reduce size or use tight SL
⌛ Theta decay accelerates Thursday–Friday — momentum must hold
CRWV trade ideas
6/4/25 - $crwv - dilute me harder daddy6/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CRWV
dilute me harder daddy
- memes can run for a while
- but in cryptolandia, they make money
- gl with this one everyon
- no position
- but you're asking for a monster raise, and for insiders to dump all their bags by the unlock in august
- godspeed degens
- $100 is overvalued.
V
Correction Wave for Core Wave - Opportunities to Jump InCoreWeave – Possible Head & Shoulders Breakdown
📊 Overview
- The stock is currently trading at $138.04 , after a sharp drop of -15.37% today.
- A potential Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting a bearish reversal after a parabolic uptrend.
🔍 Chart Patterns & Key Levels
🟥 Head and Shoulders Formation
- The head appears to be forming now.
- The potential head height suggests a potential downside of ~45% , which aligns with a previous resistance zone near $70–75 .
- If confirmed, this pattern could lead to a full retracement to this level.
📉 Gap Targets (Short-term)
- Target 1 : There is a gap-fill level around $125–128 (highlighted in light pink).
- Target 2 : Another gap support zone exists around $110–112.
📐 Trendline Support
- A dashed orange trendline (upward-sloping) may offer temporary support.
- If this is broken, selling pressure could intensify.
📊 MACD (Momentum Indicator)
- MACD lines are elevated but appear to be turning, indicating that momentum may be exhausted .
- No bearish crossover yet , but watch for one as a signal of further weakness.
💸 Average Cost
- Most transactions executed at 40$. Good for those realizing current rally.
⚠️ Strategy & Risk
- A break below $130 could trigger a deeper correction toward the gap levels.
- If the head-and-shoulders neckline breaks, expect a move toward $70 s, which represents a -45% retracement from the top.
- Monitor volume and MACD crossover for confirmation of a breakdown.
- Consider using tight stop-losses above the right shoulder if trading short.
CRWV eyes on $96.08: Golden Genesis fib Ends 60% trade now DIP? Our last plot (see below) gave a nice 66% gain.
Now looking for a decent dip to re-enter longs.
Each fib below is of interest, especially Goldens.
Previous trade that just closed with 66% gains
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Hype-Fueled Uptrend Likely Exhausted, Gradual Reversion ExpectedCoreWeave, Inc. (Ticker: CRWV) has experienced a sharp and extended bullish run driven largely by market enthusiasm and speculative hype. However, current technical indicators suggest that this uptrend has reached a point of exhaustion and a reversion to mean is highly probable.
Key Observations:
Price Action:
The recent parabolic rise appears unsustainable, with signs of weakening momentum in the latest candles (notably a tall upper wick indicating selling pressure at highs).
Price has moved significantly away from key moving averages, creating a wide gap that historically resolves with a pullback.
Market Sentiment:
The stock's trajectory reflects a hype-driven narrative, likely fueled by AI/data center exposure headlines.
Sentiment-driven rallies often overshoot fundamentals and correct sharply once speculative demand cools.
Trading Idea:
We propose a short-term bearish trading setup, targeting a gradual retracement toward the $65 support zone, which aligns with a key volume shelf and prior consolidation range. This zone represents a more stable "base" from which the stock could rebuild after profit-taking and sentiment normalization.
CRWV: realized loss on naked short call optionsWhen the stock was around $90 on May 20, I shorted 5 contracts of 110C expiring on May 23. The expected movement of this contract was around +/- $10, and I thought a $20 buffer would be enough.
The next day, BOOM, 19%+ gain on the stock price while the broad market was not behaving. If I did not stop loss at different stages during the day, the total unrealized loss would be over $2500 when the market closed today. Hard to swallow the first loss of the year, around MIL:1K , with some rookie mistakes and "rare" timing.
Even though the stock price seems "high" and valuation makes no sense, it can go crazier, especially for new IPOs
Indicators up, volume up, no signage of fading momentum or reversal, then do not go against the crowd
Don't get emotional and do revenge trade on the same day
CRWV behaves like early ARM..!The most important question anyone should answer before any investment/trade is:
Is the a chance for an Asymmetrical payoff?
If your answer to this question is yes, then look at the other factors!
ARM: after early phase of decline moved +250%!
CRVW: is still a very young publicly traded company but its charts behaves like ARM at its early stages of public trading!
From fundamental point of view, its customers must increased exponentially if there will be an Ai boom!
(Skin in the game)
NASDAQ:CRWV 8 Gaps Previously filled and 6 Gaps to Watch🧠 “Trade what you see, not what you feel. Respect the levels.”
Historical Behavior Shown in this Chart
Gap Analysis (15-Minute Chart)
There are 14 significant gaps visible on the chart. These are marked with either "GAP" and “FILLED" and brown box overlays. Here's a breakdown:
✅ Gaps Already Filled (Downward & Upward)
There are 8 distinct brown boxes labeled "FILLED" on the chart. These represent historical gaps that have already been closed by price action. Let's analyze 3/8:
📌 1. Gap Fill – April 1, 2025
1. Type: Breakaway Gap (Upside)
2. Formed: March 28–March 31, 2025
3. Gap Range: ~$37 to ~$39
4. Price Action:
After gapping up, the stock failed to maintain momentum and retraced over the next several sessions. The gap was ultimately filled around April 2.
5. Technical Note:
Breakaway gaps often signify the start of a new trend, but this one was weakly supported. The fill was quick, signaling a false breakout or lack of volume follow-through.
📌 2. Gap Fill – April 8, 2025
• Type: Continuation Gap (Upside)
• Formed: April 4, 2025
• Gap Range: ~$51 to ~$53.83
• Price Action:
Price gapped up mid-trend, then retraced within a couple of days, filling the gap on April 7–8.
• Technical Note:
Continuation gaps are common during trends, but in this case, momentum waned quickly, indicating a weak rally that was unable to sustain itself. The fill was driven by lack of bullish follow-through.
📌 3. Gap Fill – April 7, 2025
• Type: Exhaustion Gap (Upside)
• Formed: April 7, 2025
• Gap Range: ~$44.50 to ~$47
• Price Action:
After the gap up, price peaked and reversed shortly after. The gap was filled as the price collapsed over the next few sessions.
• Technical Note:
Classic exhaustion gap behavior—forming late in a rally and quickly reversing. Traders who chased this move were likely trapped. The RSI during this period was likely overbought, setting up the pullback.
❌ Gaps Not Yet Filled
4. Gap #4 (May 2, 2025)
o Type: Runaway Gap (Upside)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: Low
o Price to Fill: ~$44.72 to ~$45.83
o Comment: If a pullback occurs toward the 0.618 Fib ($48.68) or MA200, 1hr time frame ($48.68), this gap is in a high-probability zone to get filled.
5. Gap #5 (May 12, 2025)
o Type: Breakaway Gap (Upside)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: Moderate (Currently in a strong uptrend)
o Price to Fill: ~$51.51
o Comment: Breakaway gaps at the start of a new strong rally tend to remain unfilled. Unless a major correction happens toward 0.5 Fib ($54.51), this gap may get filled.
🎯 “If that happens, we could see Gap #4 filled too.”
6. Gap #6 (May 16, 2025)
o Type: Exhaustion Gap (Potential)
o Filled: No
o Likelihood of Fill: High
o Price to Fill: ~$66.49
o Comment: Given it's near the top (around ATH at $87.44) and the RSI is climbing, this could be an exhaustion gap. A pullback toward MA200 or Fib 0.236 ($69.75) is likely
Gaps 1-3 will be analyzed if necessary
📉 MA200 (200-period Moving Average) Analysis
• Currently around $71.76, rising steadily.
• Price is significantly extended above MA200, signaling short-term overbought conditions.
• Acts as dynamic support and sits near the 0.236 Fib level, which reinforces this zone as a high-probability pullback level.
________________________________________
📈 Price Action Observations
• Trend: Strong bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
• Recent ATH: $88.90 marked as key resistance.
• RSI: At 55.21, near overbought territory but not extreme—supports room for short-term continuation before a correction.
________________________________________
🧠 Summary & Trade Insights
🔽 High-Probability Gap Fills (Downside Potential)
• Gap #6 ($66.49) Most likely to be filled soon.
• Gap #4 ($44.72) Possible in a deeper pullback scenario.
📊 Uptrend Continuation Scenario
• If price holds above 0.236 Fib ($70.63) and the MA200 ($71.76), momentum likely continues toward new highs.
🛑 Risk Levels
• Break below $71.76 (MA200) could trigger sharper corrections toward $66.49 filling Gap #6 or even fallen at 0.382 Fib ($61.27)
🔁 Key Technical Takeaways
🎯 Common Characteristics of All Filled Gaps
• They were all retraced within a few sessions (1–3 trading days).
• The market corrected overextended moves — both overbought and oversold.
• Volume and momentum often weakened post-gap, causing mean reversion.
• The RSI during these fills likely hovered in overbought/oversold zones.
________________________________________
📉 Could Similar Gaps Be Filled in the Near Future?
Yes — based on historical behavior shown in this chart, there is a strong technical precedent that:
• Gaps left unfilled above the current price (like Gap #6 near $66.49) are at high risk of being filled, especially as:
o RSI climbs near overbought,
o MA200 and Fib 0.236 intersect near the gap,
o Price gets extended from its moving average.
• This mean-reverting behavior is highly typical of CRWV's price action.
________________________________________
🧠 Conclusion
The brown-boxed "FILLED" gaps on the CRWV 10-minute chart give us a clear signal:
Gaps—both up and down—are frequently filled shortly after forming, especially when driven by unsustained momentum.
Watch for retests of recent unfilled gaps, particularly if:
• Price breaks below MA200,
• Momentum indicators (like RSI) show divergence,
• Volume dries up near recent highs.
NFA
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This AI-Backed IPO Is Just Warming Up — Next Stop: 86% Gains?CoreWeave is showing classic IPO 'honeymoon phase' price action, with early liquidity swept and bullish structure forming.
🔍 Price swept the daily sell-side liquidity at $35.70
📈 Now pushing higher — next major buyside targets at $55.04 and $65.22
🤖 Backed by NVIDIA, adding serious momentum and credibility
🧠 Expecting strong continuation as institutions begin to build exposure
If price maintains structure, this could be one of the strongest IPO moves of 2025.
First lookFirst look at CRWV, some basic monthly weekly daily levels, range POC point of control, and a speed resistance fan, which price shot up into at the moment. If I was looking to get involved I'd wait for a slight retrace into the SP below left behind because of the gap that was left from the day before