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DLocal Limited

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Emerging Markets Growth GemTechnical analysis: Bull thesis Inverse head and shoulders pattern Higher highs and higher lows on RSI Support found at the 0.25 Fib Speed Fan Stock price down 87%, deep value for a rebound 3-4x potential for patient investors Bear thesis Deceleration in last earnings report, next earnings report will shed further insight into the financials. Local uptrend on the 2D chart but we remain in a larger downtrend. Falling knife trade makes it risky and requires a stop loss below the lows. Fundamentals Analysis The bull thesis for Dlocal (DLO)centers around its unique position as a leading cross-border payments provider focused on emerging markets. Here are key points that make Dlocal an attractive investment: 1. Emerging Markets Exposure: Dlocal operates in some of the fastest-growing emerging markets, such as Latin America, Africa, and Asia. These regions have large, underserved populations with increasing smartphone penetration, e-commerce growth, and demand for digital payments. Dlocal’s focus here creates a potentially lucrative, long-term growth runway. 2. Localized Payment Solutions: Dlocal differentiates itself by offering payment methods that are specific to each market, accommodating local preferences and regulatory complexities. It supports over 600 payment methods, including cash-based systems, local cards, and bank transfers, giving global merchants access to customers in markets with unique needs. This localization offers a strong competitive moat that is difficult for competitors to replicate. 3. High Revenue Growth and Profitability: Dlocal has achieved impressive revenue growth, reflecting both its expanding client base and deepening relationships with existing clients. It has managed to grow rapidly while remaining profitable, with strong gross margins due to the scalable nature of its platform and its focus on emerging markets, where payment solutions are not yet fully saturated. 4. Blue-Chip Clientele and Retention: Dlocal has a robust client base that includes large global players like Amazon, Microsoft, and Spotify. These companies rely on Dlocal’s payment solutions to reach emerging market consumers. Its high client retention rates and upselling potential with existing clients underscore the value of its platform. 5. Asset-Light Model and Scalability: Dlocal’s platform is asset-light, meaning it does not require significant capital investments for expansion, enabling it to scale efficiently. This model not only reduces overhead costs but also enhances flexibility and adaptability across various geographies, allowing for rapid expansion and high profitability. 6. Untapped Opportunity in Cross-Border Transactions: Cross-border payments are projected to grow rapidly as global e-commerce expands. Emerging markets are integral to this growth story, and Dlocal’s specialized expertise positions it well to capture this trend, particularly as more international merchants enter these regions. 7. Potential for Increased Margins: As Dlocal continues to scale, there is potential for margin expansion through economies of scale and further operational efficiencies. The company is already highly profitable relative to other fintechs, which could appeal to investors seeking growth without sacrificing profitability. 8. Positive Regulatory Environment: Emerging markets are becoming increasingly open to digital payments as governments work to modernize their economies. For example, regulatory developments in regions like Latin America are encouraging financial inclusion and digitization, which aligns well with Dlocal’s mission and operations. The primary risks for Dlocal include currency fluctuations, regulatory challenges, and economic instability in emerging markets. However, if it continues to build on its advantages, particularly in providing tailored solutions in complex environments, Dlocal could become a key player in global payments, offering significant upside potential for long-term investors. Not financial advice. Do what’s best for you
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by NoFOMO_
6/7/24 - $dlo - bot size at $8. risk/reward finally aligns. lego6/7/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:DLO - time to update on this one. (fresh post b/c it's longer and felt like more of a change of size/ conviction vs. my smaller size on EPS - go read that for context if you'd want the thread). I took it to a full position into the close w/ a combo of shares and 12/20 7C's (for ~$2.15). i've started buying ITM C's to supplement names that i already believe have gone beyond margin of safety levels which does 2 things - helps me keep the overall notional gross in my book lower (more ammo for shares/ or other oppties) and also offers firepower to the upside re my conviction on various names. Rn i have done this w NYSE:YOU (which is working nicely), NASDAQ:NICE (i'm slightly down after this week on the c's but overall think i'm in a good spot) and now $dlo. SO why "now" on $dlo. my variant perception on the tape is that the move remains one of degrossing/ risking and possible shorting (gl to those here, lol), but it's not fundamental any longer. the implied EV w/ the firm's adj. cash (need to subtract customer cash) is now squarely sub $2 bn. we're growing revenue 40% and ebitda mgn expectations are reset at 25%. if u r buying rule of 40 co's... and perhaps you need a margin of safety on that figure for more complicated and smaller caps... i think we've reached that point. a. so the expectations are now reset and have had a chance to start getting priced in (perhaps this will continue - more on this below - but undeniably these expectations are starting to be priced in) b. when considering fcf generation potential even on lower ebitda mgns extrapolating 40% growth (and their customers are A-tier and their geos have mega growth vs. DM) this rate is sustainable and the opex will flex by '25 which gets priced in sooner than later... you're at 5% fcf yield already on a PF basis today (again balance the growth but vs. "EM" and "whack chart" - and the middle ground is somwhere here). c. importantly, even from a probability stand pt, this one will get dumped super hard in event nasdaq risk further throat kicks the smaller caps, but guys, this is why you need to stay nimble and know what you own, not just relying on the TA-bros. the fundamental downside here is obviously always to zero lol, but realistically it's to mid 6's. at that point, this thing gets taken out. point blank - and probably at the level we're at or more likley in the high SD's (or at least that's where the theoretical offer would come in). d. so downside risk 20-30% (this is bottom), not the 20-30% i mention above which is merely an extrapolation of estimating where the buy level is (which i'm discussing at $8 here.. we're there fam). so downside to $6 and upside on execution is probably high SD's into YE and compounding w/ opex flex thereafter. we're back in the teens by '25. so the R/R is actually BALANCED here thru YE. e. when you consider a highly rentable stock, go sell the 2M C's for income if you want exposure, the 8/16 8C will pay you almost 90c. that's a 10% yield and also lowers your theoretical breakeven to low 7's where you can decide to repeat that playbook or hold w/ no loss on a downside scenario. f. flagging this one b/c while the macro tape is chewing up and spitting out anything that's sub-5 bn and with any sort of short-term issues (and this is understandable) we're actually starting to see DEEP VALUE within these names that's getting missed in the "index at all time highs" normie, buy ETF and chill setup. where do you think rotation moves? again i'm not suggesting i know if/when... but that we've reached the point where i feel comfortable using shares and options to express a full size POV and for that i wanted to alert the fam to take a look and ask q's. (PS- used to cover this one professionally. would debate with smart comments if anyone has comments/ risks that they need responded to.) Gl and good weekend V
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by VROCKSTAR
5/14/24 - $dlo - treacherous but long into print, good R/R5/14/24 - vrockstar - NASDAQ:DLO - tough biz to underwrite, let's get that clear. accusations. new mgmt. in some weird regions (that's the biz fam). competition in some well-established players ayden MT? ... but into the print, i think this is one that's setting up for a miss and realistically the downside here is probably 15-20% and the upside is equal AND it's a name that with the right bottom in, will be a set and forget (forever?) style name. they generate a ton of cash, have a lot of room to grow with key accounts. the 40% pa. growth for next 2 yr is real. nearly 20x PE not cheap for complicated story w/ rough FX geo's... but a beat here puts the bogey not on '24 at 70c but '25 which probably goes to $1.25 and stock will trade at 25-30x on this (like other scaling payments names). assume 25x on 1.25 and that's a $31/shr stock - where it peaked out after the new ceo (from NASDAQ:MELI ) joined. discounted back that's ~$25/shr today at 25% Ke. basically you're risk-positive money in my estimation to buy under $15 and the closer we get to $10 you can size up large assuming there are no fundamental issues - as could always be the case today as we've learned from many co's reporting. i've taken a long into the print with about 50% of the size i'd like (overall/ not just to play prints), and i'll size it up hard on a dip all else equal of 10-15% and i'm full position at a down around $10-10.5/shr. assuming we do see upside (and mind the short interest is reasonably high)... this is a great stock to rent with high IV and a lot of non-believers.
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by VROCKSTAR
DLO : Why This AI Data Analytics Platform Is Poised for GrowthDLO stock has been on an upward trajectory in recent months, driven by several positive factors. The company's artificial intelligence (AI)-powered data analytics platform is gaining traction with businesses of all sizes, as it helps them to gain insights from their data that they would not be able to get with traditional methods. Additionally, DLO's strong financial performance is making it an attractive investment opportunity for many investors. Key Data Analytics Trends Favoring DLO There are several key data analytics trends that are favoring DLO. First, the amount of data that businesses are generating is growing exponentially, and this data is becoming increasingly complex. DLO's AI-powered platform is well-suited for handling this large and complex data set, and it can provide businesses with valuable insights that they would not be able to get otherwise. Second, businesses are becoming increasingly data-driven, and they are looking for ways to use data to make better decisions. DLO's platform can help businesses to do this by providing them with a centralized location to store and analyze their data. Additionally, DLO's platform can help businesses to automate their data analysis processes, which can save them time and money. Solid Financial Performance DLO is also benefiting from strong financial performance. The company has been growing rapidly in recent years, and it is generating positive cash flow. This strong financial performance is making DLO an attractive investment opportunity for many investors. Bullish Outlook for DLO Stock Overall, the outlook for DLO stock is bullish. The company's AI-powered data analytics platform is gaining traction with businesses of all sizes, and its strong financial performance is making it an attractive investment opportunity. Additionally, the key data analytics trends that are favoring DLO are likely to continue in the years to come, which should further fuel the company's growth. DLO Stock Valuation DLO stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 8. This is significantly lower than the average price-to-sales ratio for software companies in the same industry, which is approximately 20. This suggests that DLO stock may be undervalued. Investment Considerations While DLO stock is a bullish investment, there are a few investment considerations. First, the company is still relatively young, and it has not been profitable for all of its history. Second, the company is dependent on its ability to continue to innovate and develop new products and services. Finally, the company is operating in a competitive industry, where there are other companies that are developing similar products and services. Conclusion DLO stock is a bullish investment opportunity, and it is worth considering adding to your portfolio. However, it is important to do your due diligence and understand the risks involved before investing.
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by SabahEquityResearch
DLO DLocal Limited "is likely a fraud"If you haven`t read Muddy Waters Research: "our research leads us to believe that DLO is likely a fraud. We also have concerns over its disclosures about, and controls of, client funds." Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DLO DLocal Limited prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2023-11-17, for a premium of approximately $1.87. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:DLOShort
by TopgOptions
DLO"our research leads us to believe that DLO is likely a fraud"November 16, 2022, Muddy Waters Research: "our research leads us to believe that DLO is likely a fraud. We also have concerns over its disclosures about, and controls of, client funds." DLO DLocal Limited is a technology-first payments platform enabling global enterprise merchants to connect with billions of consumers in emerging markets headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay. Muddy Waters Research: "we found a series of lies that the company has told, along with accounts it has altered to corroborate the lies. This series of lies had to do with disguising the timing of an option exercise and the source of funding for that insider option exercise. Absent the most glaring level of incompetence, these account alterations should point to fraud." DLO DLocal Limited reminds me of Wirecard WDI in 2020. It was the pride of the German fintech, included in DAX30. a lot of people were buying WDI on its was down, thinking about a reversal, a buyout or a bailout from the authorities. German prosecutors have charged Wirecard's former chief executive Markus Braun and two other high-ranking managers for the colossal commercial fraud that led to the collapse of the payment company. But financial fraud in payment companies usually ends with bankruptcy. DLO DLocal Limited`s IPO was on June 2, 2021, at $21. Most of the companies that were listed last year or IPOs are now trading at a huge discount, but not DLO, which today traded at the same IPO price. Today DLO went from $20.94 to $10.29, but if the accusations turn out to be true, then i am ready to see $1, or even less. The market cap of DLO is still high in my opinion, $3 Billion! Even without this report, my price target would be around $8. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:DLOShort
by TopgOptions
1
DLocal $DLO is giving signs of recoveryNASDAQ:DLO is one of the new hot growth stocks that is in everyones radar. The good thing is that as it has been beating up for the las few months, it may be a good play. Since December the MACD is been signaling a bullish divergnece. Now, after a good double-bottom it seems that the price has made a pause making a handle. This volatility compresion with low volume is the perfect signal for an explosive move. And that move may be upward. Still growth stocks haven't been working so I would play very safe. Start with a buy at $34.50 with a small position and then add up as the price maintains the bullish move. Also, beware of the support and resistance zones.
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by dpuleo19
dLocal USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
NASDAQ:DLO
by Sunstorminvest
DLO BUY/LONG INCOMING BUY ENTRY! 41.53 to 65.10 BY END AUG 2021 TICKER CODE: DLO Company Name: DLOCAL LIMITED Industry: Technology Services Packaged Software DLO Position Proposed: BUY FOMO BUY ENTRY: NOT READY (48.88) NEXT BUY ENTRY: (41.53) 1st Partial Take Profit: 53.70 (August 2021) 2nd Partial Take Profit: 65.10 (August 2021) Stop Loss: 33.25 Technical Analysis 1. Bullish Flag Pattern 2. 1st Partial Take Profit is at structure level 3 2nd Partial Take Profit is at Fibonacci Extension Level 1.0 4. 2nd Partial Take Profit is at full pole length of Bullish Flag 5. Stochastic Overbought soon
NASDAQ:DLOLong
by traderprosignals