DUOL - Short until it finds a bottomDUOL earnings ahead, I bet this gonna below 300 post earnings.
AI gonna make this obsolete
AI adaption gonna keep them afloat but can't be a substitute for AI.
Technically this is at right place for the short entry.
Target 1 - 260
Target 2 - 220
Target 3 - 160 over the time
DUOL trade ideas
Super Performance Candidate NASDAQ:DUOL , leader in the digital language-learning market, rapid user and revenue growth and increasing profitability, cementing it in a well positioned long term growth model
Adding resilience in a downtrend market and a key breakout day, at a RS Rating of 98,
I have reasons to believe this security could increase
Sometimes hope is lost, only to be found againVery nice recovery from DOUL. I bought in the 260-290 area (avg about 275). I suspect this bounce maybe coming to an end. I outlined a couple horizontal support levels i believe need to be tested. I will be more aggressive buying around the 245 area. Long term this is still a great buy, even at this level. The 9 candle comes in the next couple a days, could be the signal of a little volatility.
DUOL: mid-term trend structure Until price is holding above 13th Jan lows, my operative scenario is continuation of the upside momentum towards 420-450 resistance zone.
Moving and holding above 450 level increases the probability of a continuation move towards higher resistance levels at 590+.
Otherwise, until price holds bellow 450, there are significant odds of deeper correction in the mid-term before continuing macro uptrend
My previous idea on NASDAQ:DUOL from Dec'23 topping actions:
and update on break-out potential from Sep'24:
Thank you for your attention!
i love DoulWhat a great company with amazing fundamentals. The earnings this last quarter were extremely impressive. Why the selloff? I think it's just moved a little too far and people are taking money off the table with the uncertainty of the current environment. I've outlined 2 areas of support where i would add (280ish and 245ish). Both these levels look like good spots to start or add to a DOUL position. Long term i believe this could get to about $700 within 2-3 years.
Technical Analysis: Duolingo Inc. ($DUOL) Daily Chart1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend:
NASDAQ:DUOL has been in a strong uptrend since mid-July, as seen by consistent higher highs and higher lows.
The price is currently trading well above the 200-SMA (~$236.95), which confirms a bullish long-term trend.
Current Structure:
Price recently encountered a resistance zone near $378.85.
A consolidation zone is forming around $340โ$354, highlighted by the Darkpool Activity Zone.
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Bullish Note: Price holding above the Darkpool Zone indicates potential for continuation higher.
2. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: $378.85 โ where price recently rejected.
Breakout Target: If $378.85 is breached, the next psychological target would be $400.00.
Support:
Darkpool Zone: $340โ$354 acts as key support (highlighted in blue).
SMA 200 Support: At $236.95, the 200-SMA provides strong long-term support.
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Key Observation: If price holds within or above the Darkpool Zone, buyers remain in control.
3. Darkpool Insights
The Darkpool Premium of $54,582,34.0 at ~$354 reflects strong institutional activity.
This level has held as support, and institutions may be accumulating here.
4. Momentum and Volume
Volume:
Recent candles show balanced volume as price consolidates near support.
A breakout above $378.85 with increasing volume would confirm bullish strength.
Squeeze Momentum (Bottom Panel):
Bullish Momentum: Blue histogram bars suggest upward pressure remains intact.
Momentum is cooling slightly, so the price may consolidate before its next move.
5. Fundamental Details (as per Chart)
Revenue Growth: 43.74% ๐
Strong revenue growth indicates Duolingo's robust business expansion.
Free Cash Flow Margin: 26.35% ๐ต
High cash flow margins reflect the companyโs ability to efficiently generate free cash, which supports operations and reinvestments.
X-Value: 41.1 ๐
A combination of growth and margin metrics, highlighting Duolingoโs strong fundamental positioning relative to peers.
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Fundamentally Strong: Revenue growth and healthy cash flow margins support the bullish outlook.
6. Summary of Analysis
Bullish Signals:
Uptrend Intact: Price remains above the 200-SMA and consolidates near highs.
Darkpool Support: Institutions showing interest in the $340โ$354 range.
Strong Fundamentals: 43.74% revenue growth and 26.35% cash flow margin validate the bullish structure.
Key Risks:
Resistance at $378.85: A rejection here could lead to a pullback toward the Darkpool Zone (~$354).
Momentum Cooling: Squeeze histogram suggests consolidation, so patience is required.
Trade Plan
Breakout Entry:
Buy above $378.85 with a target of $400.00 or higher.
Confirm breakout with volume.
Pullback Entry:
Buy near the Darkpool Zone ($340โ$354) if price retests this level and holds as support.
Stop-loss: Below $340.
Stop-Loss:
Conservative: $340.
Aggressive: Below the 200-SMA (~$236.95).
My Watchlist: DUOLDUOL, I have a green setup signal(dot Indictor). It has an excellent risk-to-reward ratio. I'm looking to enter long near the close of the day if the stock can manage to CLOSE above the last candle highs(white line). If triggered, I will then place a stop-loss below(red line) and a price target above it(green line).
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Note: The above setups will remain valid until the stock CLOSES BELOW my set stop-loss level.
Duolingo Unveils Game-Changing AI Features at Duocon 2024Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ), the global leader in mobile language learning, has just made waves with its latest AI-powered innovations, announced during its annual event, Duocon 2024. These updates mark a significant leap forward for the platform and position Duolingo as a front-runner in both education technology and artificial intelligence.
AI-Powered Learning Takes Center Stage
At Duocon 2024, CEO Luis von Ahn emphasized the companyโs ongoing mission: "to develop the best education in the world and make it universally available." Staying true to this goal, Duolingo introduced two groundbreaking AI-powered features: Video Call and Adventures.
- Video Call with Lily: This feature offers Duolingo Max subscribers the chance to engage in lifelike conversations with Lily, one of Duolingo's most popular characters. It leverages AI to simulate natural dialogue and adapt to a userโs skill level, giving learners an immersive, low-pressure environment to practice languages. Currently, the feature is available for English, Spanish, and French learners.
- Adventures: Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) also introduced a game-like, exploration-driven learning experience called Adventures. It immerses users in dynamic scenarios where they can interact with beloved Duolingo characters, like Oscar and Lily, while applying their language skills to real-life situationsโlike getting a passport or ordering coffee. This playful yet practical approach is designed to blend fun with functional learning, keeping users engaged while they improve their language abilities.
Expanding into Music Education
In a surprising yet exciting move, Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) announced its expansion into music education through a partnership with Loog, a portable instrument brand. Together, they are launching a compact digital piano aimed at beginners using the Duolingo Music course. The **Duolingo x Loog Piano** will be available for pre-order at $249, marking a new chapter for Duolingoโs approach to creative education.
Adding even more excitement, Grammy-winning artist Jon Batiste was featured at Duocon 2024, sharing insights on the intersection of music, culture, and language. This partnership with cultural icons and major brands underscores Duolingo's commitment to diversifying its educational offerings while maintaining its focus on innovation.
Technical Outlook
As of today, Duolingo stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) is up 6.64%, trading at $287.49. However, itโs important to note that technical indicators suggest a potential consolidation or cooling off in the near term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 87, indicating the stock is in overbought territory.
Since late August 2024, Duolingoโs stock has surged significantly, driven by investor excitement over its AI innovations and product developments. The rapid increase in stock price may be poised for a pullback to the support pivot as the market digests this growth. Typically, stocks in overbought conditions like this tend to retrace and consolidate before resuming their upward trend.
Strengths and Future Prospects
Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) remains strong. The platform boasts over 34.1 million daily active users and 8 million paying subscribers, underscoring its dominance in the language-learning space. Duolingoโs freemium model, offering both ad-supported and subscription-based services, continues to generate steady revenue.
The company's aggressive focus on leveraging AI, its expansion into music education, and collaborations with cultural figures like Jon Batiste point to a promising future. These efforts are aimed at keeping the platform engaging and appealing to an ever-expanding global audience.
Conclusion
Duolingoโs new AI-powered featuresโVideo Call and Adventuresโare a game-changer in the edtech space, offering users an immersive and personalized learning experience. On the stock front, while the company has shown robust growth, technical indicators suggest a possible consolidation phase. However, with strong fundamentals and a continued focus on innovation, Duolingo is well-positioned to maintain its upward trajectory in both education and the stock market.
Investors should keep an eye on the stock as it consolidates, with potential buy opportunities emerging during any dips. As Duolingo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DUOL ) continues to push the boundaries of AI and education, the long-term outlook remains highly optimistic.
DUOL: Price structure (upd)
The corrective structure for wave (2) looks to be complete. Next important mid-term resistance area: 248-345 (0.382-0.618% extension of wave (1)-(2)). In this resistance zone price may form a potential handle in long CaH patter before breaking out into long term uptrend towards next macro resistance zone: 589-820 and beyond (if following support structure holds)
Proposed structure is valid if price holds above august's lows (144)
Previous idea from Dec 2018 with updates:
Thank you for your attention!
Next leg up for $DUOL in de making?After a 275% increase during 2023, NASDAQ:DUOL is now in a corrective move down on the Weekly, in the form of an ABC.
The most likely scenario (70% of the time) is that this will lead to another strong or weak move up from the Weekly Demand Zone, possibly a continuation of the uptrend that started in 2023.
If the price closes below the Weekly Demand Zone, the scenario is no longer valid and the situation must be reassessed.
Thinking in probabilities:
A strong move up is followed in most cases by a weak move down and another strong or weak move up.
Duolingo - Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy .Long Position: Enter a long position if the price sustains above $192, which would indicate a potential reversal of the current bearish trend. Target the next resistance at $200, with a stretch goal of $220 if the momentum continues. Place a stop loss at $185 to protect against unforeseen drops.
Short Position: If the price fails to hold the $190 support and moves lower, consider entering a short position. Target the $174 (S2 pivot point) for a potential downside, with a stop loss around $195 to limit the risk.
Given the current market conditions and the company's strong fundamental growth, there is a potential for the stock to test $250 within the next 12 months, representing a significant upside from current levels. However, this is contingent on the market sentiment shifting more favorably towards tech and growth stocks in the upcoming quarters.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 44.08, suggesting a neutral market sentiment but leaning towards oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is in a bearish phase, with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating potential further downside.
Stochastic %K is at 19.70, which is near oversold territory, hinting at a possible relief rally or a short-term bullish reversal.
The price recently tested a crucial support level at around $190 and rebounded, which coincides with a historic pivot point. This rebound suggests a potential exhaustion of the selling pressure. If the price can sustain above this level, we might see it target the next resistance near the $200 mark.
Despite the recent market correction, Duolingo has posted impressive revenue growth in its latest quarterly report, surpassing expectations. This fundamental strength could support the technical rebound.
DUOL Cup and Handle possible buyAfter rough couple of days of stock and major indices decline, we are seeing some buying power coming in to the markets.
DuoLingo, a platform made for learning languages with million of users worldwide, is forming a Cup and Handle, which once broken could bring good price rise.
What to watch:
1. Stock is regaining it's 50 day exponential moving average. Huge green bar for today seems pretty good, though, the buying volume is unusually small.
2. From bottom to top, once we imply the Fib retracement, we see a good price bounce out of 61.8% retraction.
3. This will be my first buy point, I will be waiting for today's close, and if the price remains as it is today, I will make my first buy. Price range from $219 and up.
4. Stop loss, since markets are still in a correction mode, will be set right below today's open price, sitting at around $205.51 price level.
5. Second buy will be once I see the break of Cup top, price level $246, if that break happens I would like to see a huge buying volume, larger than previous couple of days to be precise.
6. For second buy point, my stop loss, will most likely be put under 21EMA. I will surely update on this idea, as it develops.
Please make sure to do your own due diligence, do not invest your hard earned money without your own research.
๐๐ฌ DUOL Bullish Growth Analysis ๐ฌ๐๐ Overview:
Market Potential: Duolingo operates in a thriving market, with the global language learning industry projected to grow at a 9.2% CAGR.
User Acquisition: The company's impressive organic user acquisition strategy, with up to 90% of new users acquired without paid advertising, demonstrates its strong market presence.
Product Development: Duolingo's focus on product development enhances user experience, driving conversion to paid subscribers and building a robust branding moat.
๐ก Key Points:
Industry Growth: With over 2 billion global language learners, Duolingo is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for online language education.
Organic Growth: The company's ability to acquire new users organically without heavy reliance on paid advertising showcases its strong market appeal and brand recognition.
Product Innovation: Continued investment in product development ensures a compelling user experience, fostering user engagement and loyalty.
๐ Trade Outlook:
Entry Point: Consider entering a bullish position above the $195.00-$196.00 range, anticipating further upside potential.
Upside Target: Set a target range between $320.00-$330.00, reflecting optimism for Duolingo's sustained growth trajectory.
Risk Management: Implement risk mitigation strategies, including stop-loss orders, to protect against adverse market movements.
๐ Conclusion:
Duolingo's innovative approach to language learning, coupled with its strong market fundamentals and growth prospects, instills confidence in its long-term success. Bullish sentiment prevails, with investors eyeing potential upside opportunities in the expanding online language education market. ๐๐ #DUOL #BullishGrowth ๐๐