GRPN – Groupon, Inc. – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🚀
🔹 Asset: GRPN (NASDAQ)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Ascending Triangle Breakout + Resistance Flip
📊 Trade Plan (Long Position)
✅ Entry Zone: Above $18.82 (Breakout zone + confluence)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $18.36 (Trendline + recent low)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
📌 TP1: $19.31 (Key resistance / supply zone)
📌 TP2: $19.95 (Measured breakout target / extension)
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation
📉 Risk (SL Distance):
$18.82 - $18.36 = $0.46 risk per share
📈 Reward to TP1:
$19.31 - $18.82 = $0.49 → (1.06:1 R/R)
📈 Reward to TP2:
$19.95 - $18.82 = $1.13 → (2.45:1 R/R)
🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy
📌 Ascending Triangle Breakout: Resistance line breakout with rising lows
📌 Volume Support: Volume increasing as price nears breakout zone
📌 Consolidation Break: Tight range breakout indicates potential strength
📌 Retest in Progress: Yellow zone acting as previous resistance, now support
⚙️ Trade Execution & Risk Management
📊 Confirm entry after 30-min bullish candle close above $18.82
📉 Trailing Stop Strategy:
Move SL to breakeven once TP1 is reached
💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy
✔ Book 50% at TP1 = $19.31
✔ Let the rest ride to TP2 = $19.95
✔ Raise SL above entry to lock in profits
⚠️ Breakout Failure Risk
❌ Setup becomes invalid if price breaks below $18.36
❌ Avoid entry without strong candle close above $18.82
🚀 Final Thoughts
✔ Ascending triangle breakout = bullish continuation pattern
✔ Decent risk-to-reward: up to 2.45:1
✔ Clean structure, low risk, and strong confluence setup
🔗 #GRPN #NASDAQ #BreakoutTrade #ProfittoPath #SwingTrading #ChartSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #AscendingTriangle #SmartTrading #StockMarketOpportunities
GRPN trade ideas
Stock Of The Day / 03.12.25 / GRPN03.12.2025 / NASDAQ:GRPN #GRPN
Fundamentals. The earnings report exceeded expectations.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Wide sideways, trend break level ahead at 13.82
Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume.
Trading session: The initial impulse from the opening was stopped at 13.15, after which the price began to tighten to this level. There was a breakout and a quick return back behind the level at 10:15, but the structure of the tightening was not broken and the price continued to tighten to the level. Then the breakout occurred at 11:17 and the price stopped in trading range right on the level 13.15. We considering a long trade to continue the upward movement.
Trading scenario: breakout with retest (tightening with retest) 13.15
Entry: 13.23 when exiting upwards from the trading range at 13.15
Stop: 13.09 we hide it behind the trading range
Exit: Close part of the position at 13.51 when exiting downwards from accumulation, close the remaining part of the position when breaking through and returning below the daily level of 13.82.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
GRPN Ascending Triangle | Targeting $14.14 ."GRPN is forming an ascending triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout. Currently testing resistance at $13.12, with a target set at $14.14. Key support is holding strong at $12.00, reinforcing the setup.
Key Levels:
Support: $12.00
Resistance: $13.12
Target: $14.14
Watch for volume confirmation to validate the breakout. A great opportunity for momentum traders!
#GRPN #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #Stocks #Breakout #NASDAQ #BullishSetup #Investing
What are your thoughts on GRPN's next move
Groupon long position/swing trade idea - $NASDAQ:GRPNNASDAQ:GRPN may be a long from here. It put in a monthly indecision candle last month, along with a relative volume per range signal, after sweeping below a pivot near an area of interest. Also swept under prior weekly low and reversed, heading back toward prior week high.
I've started a tiny feeler position today looking for a potential weekly breakout and run up toward the highs around 19-20 and beyond, perhaps even starting a long run back up to the IPO price. I will tighten and add more if it takes out the weekly high.
Normally in this distribution I would only look for a long if it first dropped to $7.5, and it may still do that or continue lower, but the monthly relvol signal made me want to make an attempt at this one from here. Monthly and quarterly relvol signals tend to lead to the best trends.
GRPN Groupon Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GRPN Groupon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-8-2,
for a premium of approximately $2.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GRPN, THE LITTLE COUPON APP THAT COULD (EARNINGS CHART)Can it keep going? Technically, yes. I see numbers up to $40.
However, I'm posting this because I see this idea as far more likely to occur is some form.
It looks like a potential top is about to occur.
At these levels, with momentum, a drop could take price as low as $4. If not lower, down to $2.
It's hard to be bullish on this stock with a chart like this.
In other words, I'm saying, I don't know if there is more upside, and if there is, I'm okay with missing it because I'd rather not be wrong and ultimately lose money on the downside.
Mostly a question of risk vs reward.
I would ultimately be bearish overall.
I think the pink zone might see a top and I think we could see trends break all the way down to the blue zone.
Current pattern is highlighted.
GRPN Groupon Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GRPN before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GRPN Groupon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 16usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-4-19,
for a premium of approximately $4.50.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GRPN on a one month breakout LONGThis is to follow up my previous idea on Groupon. On the 2H chart, price is in a one month
sustained breakout from the volume profile and into the upper VWAP band lines both anchored
for end of 2023. The faster green RSI line crossed the 50 about the same time and basically
has not looked down. The slower RSI line has slowly risen from 55 to 65. This is in the consumer
discretionary sector and hot necessarily hinged to technology stocks. I see this as rock-solid
as it gets. I will load more shares now and also load more ona dip There was a big earnings
miss in November and then Goldman Sachs raised its target from 5 to 7.5 which seems like
a big adjustment after an earnings miss. I suppose GS knows their stuff.
Groupon is pushing into earnings LONGGRPN on the 15 minute chart here with a volume profile overlaid hada high volume area
breakout from mid December to mid January but then retraced and broke down. It
consolidated for one week about the POC line gained some accumulation and then moved
back up again. It broke above the high volume area on January 25th then retested it with
a light touch on Feb 5th getting support in the rejection. The relative volume has picked
up consistent with Wychoff theory ( this is not a fakeout). I see this as an excellent long
trade through the upcomng earnings. The dual time frame RSI indicator can be useful to
gauge strength minute by minute and so pinpoint entries and exits.
GRPN 3d Chart, Q1 2024GRPN went on an incredible run to close out 2023. It's filled the October '23 gap. But, that's 3 times it's gone at the same zone and failed to go through it. All this while forming a nasty negative divergence on the RSI.
If this can hold $12 convincingly, i expect this to revisit sub-$10 come Q2.
In my opinion, this is bearish until it can claim $14.25 and hold it.
GRPN Groupon Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GRPN Groupon prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 15usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-10,
for a premium of approximately $1.52.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GRPN short?GRPN is quite far away from SMA 200. I can also see head and shoulders formation over here. If valid, profit target would be around 7.50 USD. This level was important in the past. At this level, closer to the SMA 200 I would buy the stock for a long term investment. So the short would kinda speculative for me, long at around 7.5 great entry for 1+ year investment.
$GRPN Ripe For A Short SqueezeGroupon, Inc. (NASDAQ: GRPN) is a well-known e-commerce platform where consumers go to buy services, products, and experiences at heavily discounted prices. While the company’s services are attractive to consumers, GRPN stock has been affected significantly by the pandemic – leading the stock to trend downwards since then. At the same time, GRPN has been witnessing a strong short selling activity which has led the stock to constantly drop to new all-time lows. With this in mind, GRPN stock is one of the most shorted stocks which has made the stock attractive to a wide base of investors looking for a short squeeze to occur. Considering the nature of the company’s offerings and the current inflationary environment, GRPN stock could be poised to run soon especially with the holiday season approaching.
GRPN Fundamentals
Since its inception in 2008, GRPN has grown to prominence thanks to its unique business model where it offers products and services at major discounts. While the company has been performing well financially for years, the pandemic came and GRPN has been hit particularly hard by pandemic restrictions in light of its business model. Despite this, GRPN stock climbed again in 2021 after the company reported exceptional financial results throughout the year which saw the stock reach a high of $64 in March 2021.
While the company appeared to be on a positive trajectory, GRPN stock took a hit this year as the company reported worse financials compared to last year when Covid-19 was more prevalent. As a result, GRPN has been constantly reaching new all-time lows – with the stock recently finding a bottom at $6.35.
Platform Updates
However, the future outlook for GRPN appears to be positive as the company is working to simplify its technology platform and lean more into automation. These changes have been pursued since the Groupon platform is too complex for users which has hindered GRPN’s ability to launch new products and features. Based on this, simplifying the company’s technology platform is expected to allow GRPN to accelerate the pace of its product development while supporting better customer and merchant experience. In this way, GRPN could be well-positioned to grow its revenues once this process is completed – making its current PPS a bargain.
On that note, this potential revenue growth could occur soon considering the current inflationary economic environment and the growing fears of a recession taking place. Based on these fears, consumers are more likely to cut down their spending which provides GRPN with an opportunity to capitalize on this situation through its discounts and deals. Meanwhile, the holiday season is right around the corner, and while the current economic situation is hard for many consumers, they would look for deals and discounts for events or gifts for their families.
Groupon Day
According to a survey conducted by GRPN, more than 80% of consumers plan to spend the same amount or more on gifts for their family and friends than they did in 2021. Moreover, the survey showed that the majority of consumers are planning to spend more on experiences this holiday season. Looking to capitalize on this high demand for discounted items and events, GRPN brought back Groupon Day which ran from October 7 to October 14. As this shopping event featured several substantial discounts off different services and events, Groupon Day could have a positive impact on the company’s Q4 financials – which could send GRPN stock soaring.
SumUp Stake
While many investors are bullish on GRPN’s business model, the company holds additional value thanks to its stake in UK-based fintech company SumUp. While there were reports that GRPN had a 5% stake in SumUp, the company clarified that it only holds a 2.29% stake in the fintech company. With this in mind, this stake remains significant for GRPN since SumUp raised $624 million last June at a valuation of $8.5 billion which would put this stake at nearly GRPN’s current market cap. In light of this, it could be a smart investment to add GRPN stock since its stake in SumUp is yet to be priced into its PPS.
Short Data
Meanwhile, GRPN stock remains to be one of the most shorted stocks as its short interest rate is extremely high. According to Ortex data, GRPN short interest rate is at 50.3% with 72.4% of the float on loan. At the same time, utilization rate is at 100% indicating there are few shares available to short. In light of these numbers, GRPN stock could be poised to soar if it witnesses strong buying activity from investors to allow a short squeeze to occur.
Activist Investors
Investors are also bullish on GRPN’s future prospects thanks to the involvement of activist investor Jan Barta – a partner at Pale Fire Capital – in the company. Since November 2021, Barta has been constantly adding shares of GRPN which he holds either directly or indirectly through PFC. In this way, Barta is now GRPN’s majority shareholder and holds a position on the company’s supervisory board. Meanwhile, Barta’s partner Dušan Šenkypl joined GRPN’s BOD to ensure that PFC is involved with GRPN’s development. Considering PFC’s confidence in the company’s long-term potential, GRPN stock could be a bargain as it continues trading near its all-time low.
GRPN Financials
According to its Q2 report, GRPN continues to perform worse than last year. In terms of revenues, service revenues dropped to $153.2 million compared to $206.1 million a year ago. GRPN also failed to generate product revenues which the company realized $59.7 million from last year. At the same time, operating costs increased from $195.5 million to $200.4 million. However, this increase in operating costs is mainly the result of impairment of goodwill and long-lived assets which accounted for $44.2 million. As a result of the declining revenues and growing operating costs, GRPN reported $90.2 million in net loss compared to a net loss of $3.1 million in the same year-ago period.
Technical Analysis
GRPN stock is currently trading at $6.83 and has a support near 6.38. The stock also shows resistances near 6.93, 7.85, and 9.53. After reaching a new all-time low at $6.35 recently, GRPN appears to be rebounding as many investors believe the stock could be undervalued at that price level. With this in mind, GRPN is moving towards its resistance which is a key price level to watch considering that the 50 MA is near this resistance. In case a break through the resistance is successful, GRPN has the potential to run past $8 easily if enough buying pressure is available. However, in case the stock fails to break through its resistance, this could be a concerning sign for investors as the stock could further drop and reach a new all-time low. With the company set to release its Q3 financials on November 7, GRPN stock could be one to watch in anticipation.
In light of GRPN’s constant drop in PPS, accumulation is trending downwards. However, the MACD is bullish to the upside as the recent dip could be an opportunity to secure cheap shares of GRPN. The RSI picked up from 42 to 53 which could signal a break through the resistance in the near term if investors continue buying shares of GRPN. Considering the stock’s high short interest, GRPN could be a prime short squeeze candidate thanks to its low float of 12.1 million.
GRPN Forecast
While GRPN stock has been severely impacted by the pandemic, GRPN could be poised to return to its pre-pandemic numbers in the near future thanks to the growing fears of an upcoming recession. These fears combined with the current inflationary environment have led consumers to cut down their spending which could be an opportunity for GRPN to increase its revenues through its offered deals and discounts.
GRPN also holds additional value since it owns a 2.29% ownership stake in SumUp. Given that SumUp was valued at $8.5 billion, this stake could attract more investors to GRPN stock as it is not priced into the stock’s PPS yet. As this stake is worth more than GRPN’s market cap, the stock could be poised to surge as more investors are familiar with this stake.
Despite the value GRPN holds in the long-term, the stock appears to be a prime short squeeze candidate thanks to its high short interest rate. If investors are able to pressure short sellers by buying shares and holding, GRPN could soar as it has a significantly low float. On that note, it is worth noting that Barta has been constantly adding to his position in GRPN either directly or indirectly through PFC and has not sold any of his shares. In light of this, GRPN stock could be well-positioned to skyrocket if a short squeeze occurs.