GrowGeneration | GRWG | Long at $1.90GrowGeneration NASDAQ:GRWG is approaching one of my favorite technical analysis setups as it gets closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA: the white and teal lines). Often, but not always (i.e. public offering news...), the price will jump to the selected historical SMA after a long period of consolidation - which has been occurring for some time. Additionally, the President, CEO, and Director of NASDAQ:GRWG have been buying shares recently near $2 which is a bullish indicator. There are currently only 54.8 million floating shares and an 8%+ short interest, so this could get interesting if the election cycle whips up new interest/chatter about national decriminalization of marijuana. As a result, GrowGeneration is in a personal buy zone at $1.90.
Target #1 = $2.20
Target #2 = $2.50
Target #3 = $3.00
Target #4 = $3.50
GRWG trade ideas
GrowGeneration CorpOn the above 9-day chart price action has corrected 97% since the sell signal printed in February 2021. A number of reasons now exist to have a long position, including:
1) You know why..
2) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
3) Price action prints a double with higher lows in RSI.
4) Strong bullish divergence. Lots of it.
5) No stock splits.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: investment
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Will say elsewhere
Return: No idea
Stop loss: Will say elsewhere
GRWG - Head and ShouldersThis one is a trade for the patient followers, as the targets are big with huge moves.
We are seeing a head and shoulders pattern, and are now waiting for the price to break the neckline, so we can take our short position.
The first take profit-level will give a return on investment of 29% while the second take profit-level will reward with 54%.
The target gives a ROI of 120%
GRWG buy the dip!First off for summary:
Grow Generation is a leading retailer of hydroponic and organic gardening products in the United States. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Grow Generation provides a wide range of products and services for indoor and outdoor gardening, including hydroponic and organic growing equipment, nutrients, and supplies. The company operates more than 30 retail locations in 13 states and is committed to providing high-quality products, expert advice, and excellent customer service to its customers. With a growing customer base of professional cultivators and home gardeners, Grow Generation is well positioned for continued growth in the hydroponic and organic gardening industries.
TA: It is very clear we are under the 5year trend line.
In 2018/2019 when GRWG was at these prices the revenue was a 4th of what it is now so even with the marco economic outlook uncertain, I think this is a great buying opportunity.
These guys are growing at a healthy rate and there is still a large untapped market in the midwest that they are positioned well to capture. I've been watching more and more folks convert from alcohol to delta 8 products and it's only a matter of time before the feds decriminalize delta 9 sales.
I think we will break above $10 by summer.
If we test new lows I'd reconsider.
GRWG 2X PotentialStrong Break out this past month
Over sold and below 5year trendline.
This is a solid company and despite a drop in sales the past year they are expanding into the midwest.
More good news coming from marijuana legalizations should send this stock back above it's trend line at some point.
Wouldn't be surprised if it doubled before summer.
Longsetup for GRWGNASDAQ:GRWG
GrowGeneration's stock is still cheap, and a new wave of cannabis legalization means the company's market will soon grow even more.
We saw a few short term calls with Strikepreis 6.5 $. So there can be another strong push in the next days and a breakout above 6.5 $. The setup below is more for a short swing trade. For a long term investement GRWG can be interesting because there is a big potential in this industry. In a short term there is still the risk that the company is not profitable yet and the last quarter was weaker than the second.
When cannabis companies set up their grow spaces, hydroponic systems are key to maximizing the yield of their plants. It also takes a lot of plant nutrients, grow lights, and environmental control equipment to keep marijuana plants happy and productive. And by selling all of these important products to businesses and consumers, GrowGeneration wants to make money. So it makes sense that if the cannabis industry experiences a downturn, the value of the company would take a hit.
Trading Idea / Short term:
Entry:
Stop Buy at 6.92 $
Exit:
Stoploss at 5.43 $
Target: 9.03 $
Where's The Resistence?For those of you looking for a cannabis horticulture stock that's not Scott's Miracle Gro, look no further! Grow Generation is putting in a bottoming pattern and climbing back up its Fib retracement levels. I can't speak to how the volatility will play out but there's at least a 30% upside in the short term. Earnings could knock it out of the park.
Long term investment in $GRWGI have longed $GRWG as Cannabis/Food play. Due to macro fundamentals and the fact oil is heading higher(I strongly believe oil prices can still double from here in the next decade or so), growing your own food can be the way to go. Also, if USA legalizes Cannabis on a federal level, this stock can benefit from it.
The company financial sheet is sound and valuation is good atm, has cash and a PS of 1.21.
Market Cap 509.50M
Income 12.80M
Sales 422.50M
P/S 1.21
I have entered with a manageable position as this is the sort of play one may need to stomach a 50% move against the position without "frying the popcorn". If it falls further and I may consider adding. Risk is 1% atm.
Want to thank @timwest for pointing out this stock.
GRWG Range High| PA Range| Declining Volume| RSI Extended Evening Traders,
Today’s analysis – GRWG – trading towards a technical location where a bounce is probable,
Points to consider,
- Price Action Corrective
- Range High Support
- Order Bock Confluence
- Declining Volume
- RSI Extended
GRWG’s immediate price action is trading towards its Range High that has technical confluence with an Order Block, allowing for a bullish bias.
The current volume profile is on a decline, an influx is needed for a strong bullish expansion.
The RSI is currently extended, a reversion to its mean is and bullish control zone is likely on the bounce.
Overall, in my opinion,
GRWG is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management.
Hope this analysis helps
Thank you for following my work
And remember,
“Hope is bogus emotion that only costs you money.” – Jim Cramer
Wondering where GRWG bottoms out? $12.75 on Dec 17thTLDR: Based on Fibonacci retracement and the trend line created, I think we will see the bottom at $12.75 on Dec 17th (ish). $12.75 was the high on Aug 31 before the big breakout. Check out how the candles are moving in between Fib levels and touching the trendline on occasion.
Best of luck.
Not financial advice. Due your own due diligence. Have fun.
(GRWG) GrowGeneration possible double bottom patternFirst off, what an ugly chart. lol. But a friend of mine asked me to take a look at (GRWG) GrowGeneration technicals. And after careful consideration, I told him I think it possibly had made a double bottom pattern this week. Technically that's a bullish pattern at this point in time, plus it's near it's 16 month low. So I'm going to take a small position and see how it plays out.
52 week high = $67.75
52 week low = $12.52
price levels on the 1day chart
EMA200 = $29.31
EMA150 = $27.92
EMA100 = $24.92
EMA50 = $19.62
Trend channel
breakout = $18.47
R3 = $17.78
R2 = $16.85
R1 = $15.70
pivot = $14.78
S1 = $13.85
S2 = $12.69
S3 = $11.55
breakdown = $10.63
Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
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$GRWG Volume Profile Indicates the End of the Bear Run is Near.
Surely we are close to finding the buyers of GRWG? There was a lot of volume the last time we were at these price levels on GRWG. Though the growth is decelerating, there is still plenty of Growth projected for GRWG in 2022. According to 8 analysts polled, GRWG is expected to generate 531.24M revenue in 2022 which equates to a 1.74 Price Sales Ratio for 2022 based on a current market cap of $924.63M at the end of the day December 2, 2021. 2021 Revenue is projected to finish around $435 to $440 million which is a 2.1 Price to Sales Ratio in 2021. 2021-->2022 Growth Rate of around 25%. Compare these fundamentals to a Lowes or a Home Depot and figure out which is cheaper to buy right now.
Past Volume and fundamentals are there for this stock to find bottom, but will it? Marijuana sector is very weak, so my guess is maybe GRWG must wait for the summer of 2022 for elections to get things smoking again in the marijuana sector.
I have shares of this stock so maybe I am biased. Please share with me why I shouldn't buy more here?
GRWG broke out of the falling wedge patternNASDAQ:GRWG broke out of the falling wedge, a classic wofle wave pattern with bullish divergence may very well be the end of a down trend. It has potential to go higher but I will stick to the targets shown on the chart, buy market and stop daily close below 20.5$.
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This is only my own view and not financial advice, do your own analysis before buying or selling
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