$MARA approaching the 5th wave down!$MARA:4H
I would expect the increased potential for NASDAQ:MARA to rise as high as the 0.5 retrace (20.75) or AVWAP (21.98) were CRYPTOCAP:BTC price to rise. I would expect the AVWAP (blue) off the recent high to be in confluence with the 0.5 retrace by that point and provide a solid line of resistance. Failure to consolidate above the 0.5 retrace/AVWAP levels could portend the beginning of the 5th and final wave down to the 10-12 price range.
It should be noted that price has done enough to complete the 4th wave upward retrace and could remain range bound (16-19) at current levels for a couple weeks. However, given the recent level of volatility associated with this issue, I see this as the less likely scenario.
In summation, whether it be from a little higher price point or from current levels, my current thesis is that NASDAQ:MARA follows the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC downward leading up to the halving and its accompanying, short term, ‘supply shock’. I would expect NASDAQ:MARA to find its bottom somewhere between 10-12 before the end of April 2024.
