MINERALYS, IN WONDERLAND? A lot of positivity swirling around this Aldosterone and Hypertension focused biotech.
1. Multiple recent positive top line results
2. recent Influx of capital for development, manufacturing and pre-commercialization activities
3. recent insider buying
4. increasing price and volume
I got lucky when buying in at $13, and was able to largely de-risk at 17. Currently a bit oversold, so on current trajectory watch and wait for a pullback to a better entry below $14.
Please also note the current market conditions indicate cautious buying, and while this may end up being a great biotech, a much larger percentage of these types of stocks will fail.
May the Fed be with you!
Not financial advice.
MLYS trade ideas
MLys (MLYS) 30-Min Chart Analysis!๐
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Setup Type: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
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Entry Zone: Above $14.24 (Breakout Confirmation)
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Stop-Loss: Below $13.65 (Key Support Level)
๐ฏ Take Profit Targets: ๐ TP1: $15.10 (First Resistance Level)
๐ TP2: $16.19 (Extended Bullish Move)
๐ Risk-Reward Calculation: ๐ Risk (SL Distance):
$14.24 - $13.65 = $0.59 risk per share
๐ Reward to TP1:
$15.10 - $14.24 = $0.86 (1:1.45 R/R)
๐ Reward to TP2:
$16.19 - $14.24 = $1.95 (1:3.30 R/R)
๐ Favorable R/R Ratio โ A solid trade setup!
๐ Key Technical Analysis Insights
1๏ธโฃ Breakout Confirmation Needed:
The price is breaking the triangle's upper resistance.
A 30-min candle close above $14.24 confirms the breakout.
2๏ธโฃ Volume Confirmation:
Bullish volume should spike above $14.24 for a valid breakout.
Weak volume could lead to a fake breakout.
3๏ธโฃ Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: $13.65 (Trendline & SL Level)
Resistance:
๐ด $15.10: Key level; price must break for TP2.
๐ข $16.19: Major breakout zone.
๐ Trade Execution Strategy
๐ Risk-Management: โ Wait for a 30-min candle close above $14.24 before entering.
โ Volume Confirmation: If weak, avoid the trade.
โ Move SL to Break-even ($14.24) after TP1 is hit.
๐ Partial Profit Booking: โ Sell 50% at TP1 ($15.10), let the rest run toward TP2 ($16.19).
๐ Fake Breakout Risk: โ If price rejects $14.24 and falls back inside the triangle, exit early.
โ Watch for retest of $14.24 after breakout for a safer entry.
๐ ๏ธ Comparison: MLys (MLYS) vs ON Semiconductor (ON)
Stock Entry SL TP1 TP2 Risk-Reward (TP2)
MLYS $14.24 $13.65 $15.10 $16.19 1:3.30 โ
ON $43.24 $42.11 $44.49 $46.07 1:2.50 โ
๐ MLYS has a better R/R ratio (1:3.30) than ON (1:2.50), making it a stronger trade IF volume confirms the breakout.
๐ Final Thoughts
โ MLYS is showing a strong breakout potential but needs confirmation.
โ A higher R/R ratio makes it attractive โ but only enter if volume supports.
โ ON Semiconductor is also a good trade, but MLys offers a higher reward.