MRNA trade ideas
Moderna at key resistance? Moderna
Short Term
We look to Sell at 183.71 (stop at 203.39)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous resistance located at 190.00. Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Our overall sentiment remains bearish looking for lower levels. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
Our profit targets will be 121.74 and 94.19
Resistance: 190.00 / 220.00 / 495.00
Support: 156.00 / 120.00 / 100.00
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MRNA - Feeling bullish for $200We have seen some solid price movement on MRNA over the past week. We saw pushes past the 180 levels of resistance and now hover within the 190 zone. I am looking for a nice clean break out of $200 to hopefully give us enough legs to get to $210 in the coming weeks. On the daily chart we are coming out of a MACD Cross which is one of my favorite technicals to look at. With news on Monkey Pox as well being a global issue, a stock like this one can see benefits in the coming months as well. Whether I am short or Long I am bullish at this time.
MRNA has rallied 66% from its bottom MRNA has rallied 66% from its bottom set in mid june.
Technical indicators suggest a strong turnaround.
The P/E ratio and Forward P/E ratio remain in the low single digits.
I boosted my position when the price crossed above the 50 day EMA.
I will take advantage of any pull-back below the 200 day EMA close or low.
Overall, this is still a nice entry point if you wish to go long MRNA for the rest of the decade.
8/3/22 MRNAModerna, Inc. ( NASDAQ:MRNA )
Sector: Health Technology (Biotechnology)
Market Capitalization: $74.178B
Current Price: $186.49
Breakout Price: $189.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $180.95-$147.05
Price Target: $204.50-$208.80 (1st), $258.80-$263.70 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 34-37d, 91-96d
Contract of Interest: $MRNA 9/16/22 190c, $MRNA 10/21/22 200c
Trade price as of publish date: $13.96/contract, $15.55/contract
MRNA early in trend reversalCatalyst may be the federal government's plan to purchase
vaccines for new Covid variants for the fall but then again
purchases from governments on a global basis is further
for future revenues being priced in.
Chart shows trend reversal with crossovers of RSI, MACD
and relative volume.
Is MRNA about to get a fever>
MRNA - SHORT THESISBearish on MRNA, though earnings are always a toss up. If we see a breakout to upside, I believe it's a good short opportunity. Earnings may just flop, and it finds itself testing neckline of weekly H&S, sloppy looking one at that.
Notable areas that could see short term reversals and/or support...
$102, 95, 88, 75
WATCH MRNA Bullish
Fundamental
- High inflationary Macro environment / No fear sentiment
- Funds Accumulation
- Positive PE
- PEG
- Positive P/FCF
- Strong Sector / Industry / Leader
- Misc thoughts : looks like biotech is hot
Technical
- Momentum Theory Indicator - momentum bottomed and broke out
- Price action formation ( falling wedge )
- Broke Trend line / neckline pressure
- Under 200MA
- Above POC
- Under ST
- Engulfing Candlestick Broke out followed through
Entry idea
- For members
Stop loss depending on entry and risk appetite. But always set meaningful stops.
" Giving up is hard. Pushing through the struggle is hard. Choose your hard "
Cheers and happy trading!
analysisOn this action, we are already in an uptrend and we will not go against this trend. But we will keep a close eye on a high downtrend probability ie the breakout of the support line as well as the strong vwap followed by large volume. Indeed, it must be said, here the support line is more important than that of the resistance. But, if the resistance line also comes to be broken with force as well as the vwap followed by a large volume, it goes without saying that we would have a continuity of the said trend, namely bullish. thank you for your attention.