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MSFT trade ideas

Microsoft Recovers 10% From Market Correction!Berkshire Hathaway has significantly cut its Apple investment, selling 505 million shares—a 55.8% reduction. This move reflects a major shift in its investment strategy, despite an 800% gain in its Apple shares since 2016. The decision is influenced by multiple market factors, including a slowdown in Apple's revenue growth and a significant drop in smartphone demand, particularly impacted by shrinking markets in China and ongoing legal challenges, such as a U.S. Department of Justice antitrust lawsuit. Despite these hurdles, Apple is pushing innovation, venturing into artificial intelligence and satellite connectivity, which could strengthen its market position and open new revenue streams. Meanwhile, Apple's stock, after peaking at $237 in July and dropping to $200, has begun to recover, rising 10% since a post-earnings dip in early August, with a 12% year-to-date increase. This volatility underscores the need for investor patience, given Apple's trend of prolonged growth phases interspersed with flat periods.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Sublime_Trading
MSFT 15 Years Old Bullish Wave To Be "Corrected" To 300/255/188➖ The latest bullish wave for Microsoft (MSFT) started more than 15 years ago, around March 2009. This wave is about to be "corrected." ➖ The last correction, November 2021 through November 2022, pushed prices close to the 0.5 Fib. retracement level relative to the entire bullish wave. 👉 A similar outcome happening now, would lead MSFT to hit around 255 in the coming months. ➖ If the corrective wave turns out to be weak/small, then it can end around 300. ➖ If the corrective wave becomes extensive and gains momentum, it can lead to a lower low compared to 2022 and thus end around 188. The actual price range is really big, between 111 and 188. 👉 We will settle for either ~255 or ~188 for the next drop. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlanSantana
7
Microsoft: More Oversold than During Covid?Microsoft has declined along with other AI names in the last month. How big was the pullback? Some traders may be surprised to know its intensity. The first noteworthy signal on today’s chart is Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI). The oscillator hit 24.69 on Monday. That was the lowest reading since August 2015. In other words, MSFT this week was more oversold than March 2020 -- at the depths of the coronavirus selloff. Next, the software giant tested and held its April 25 low around $388. That may suggest support remains in effect. Third, MSFT is trying to hold its 200-day simple moving average for the first time since March 2023. That could indicate the presence of a longer-term uptrend. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TradeStation
2
Microsoft crashing with the world markets $322 on the cardsInv C and H has formed on Microsoft. We have seen a cosnsistent downtrend forming (Safety line). And we have an uptrend (action line) that has broken. So once price goes below 200MA, we could see a huge crash for Microsoft. NATURE: Medium Probability due to: Price<20 Price>200 Target 1 will be at $322.62 With Israels conflict exacerbating and with the interest rates staying put which is leading to less buying and more saving, we can continue to see world markets crash along with Crypto in the week coming.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Timonrosso
1
Is MSFT Stock A Buy, Sell, or Hold?MSFT is one of the few tech stocks which trades close to all-time highs, seemingly oblivious to the brutal valuation reset that swept through the sector In the most recent quarter, MSFT delivered strong results when factoring in the tough macro environment. MSFT grew revenues by 7% (10% constant currency) and earnings per share by 10% (14% constant currency) - two achievements not necessarily typically seen under difficult economic circumstances. MSFT generated $8.64 billion of that operating income from its productivity and business processes segment, which houses its Office 365 product suite among others. As to be expected, LinkedIn revenue growth came in light at just 8%, a reflection of lower hiring demand. MSFT generated another $9.4 billion in operating income from its intelligent cloud segment. Azure grew at a 27% clip, far surpassing the 16% growth seen at competitor Amazon Web Services Investors have been cautious on the ever-valuable cloud business ever since the cloud titans all revealed cloud optimization efforts undertaken by its customers. On the conference call, management implied that they may see easing headwinds as they pass the anniversary of those optimization efforts, stating that “at some point, workloads just can't be optimized much further.” It is possible that MSFT’s partnership with ChatGPT’s creator OpenAI has something to do with that, as management noted that while they do not consolidate any operating losses due to them holding a minority equity interest, they do indeed recognize revenues generated from OpenAI using their cloud services. The other cloud titans did not offer the same bullish commentary surrounding the end of cloud optimization. MSFT continued to see headwinds from its more personal computing segment, which saw revenues decline by 9% though still managed to generate $4.24 billion in operating income. At some point the comps should become easier here, but that may still be a couple of quarters away. MSFT ended the quarter with $104.5 billion in cash versus $48.2 billion in debt. I note that the company also has another $9.4 billion in equity investments (the announced $10 billion investment in OpenAI is set to take place in parts throughout the year). The company continues to pay a growing dividend and conducted $5.5 billion in share repurchases in the quarter. It is not too often that one can get long term innovation and have the majority of free cash flow returned to shareholders as well. Looking ahead, management has noted that overall growth may struggle due to the prior year’s quarter being a tough comp, with that being their “largest commercial bookings quarter ever with a material volume of large multiyear commitments.” Management did, however, guide for up to 27% in Azure growth, which seems to imply that the bottom for that segment may be very near if not already passed. Investors may be worried about how ongoing tech layoffs may impact Office 365 growth, but management appeared unfazed by this risk, citing that they continue to see strong demand for their product suites. MSFT continues to show why it is a favorite tech stock in growth allocations, as it has shown resilient growth in the face of tough macro. The strong fundamentals have helped the stock sustain a premium valuation multiple, as the stock recently traded hands at just under 35x earnings. Valuation remains the most obvious risk with that stock trading something between 50% and 100% higher than GOOGL depending on how many adjustments applied to the latter. With the stock trading so richly on present earnings, the stock could go nowhere for 7-10 years and still be trading at around 15x earnings at that time. Unless MSFT manages to sustain double-digit earnings longer than consensus, the stock will likely need to sustain a rich multiple in order to beat the market index. I note that this risk does not appear as large at the aforementioned mega-cap peers due to not just lower valuations but also due to MSFT appearing to already be operationally efficient with operating margins in excess of 40%. Another risk is that of potential disruption to its enterprise tech business. Wall Street appears to view the stock as being the strongest operator in any of its competing markets, but I do not share such views. In particular, I view competition from the likes of CrowdStrike (CRWD),and GOOGL’s productivity suite as being underestimated risks. It is possible that MSFT is about to face long- term disruption just as its growth story is decelerating - which would have a catastrophic impact on multiples. Due to the near term upside from OpenAI, MSFT hit ATH and now its in pullback mode, I took huge profit and waiting for more confirmation
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
2
$MSFT - Math defies logicNational wide, possible global database crash today grounds all flights, cripples hospitals, scares the doot out of people. Short Microsoft right? Well, let's look at the chart. Bottom of regression channel after some powerful movement long term. It needed to correct. Fibs show support, hammered off of the bottom of the current fib channel even under incredible negative real life PR. Can't make this PR up, it's devestating. Airline stocks down across the board on this news..... MSFT is not? It got killed pre-hours at 8am, big drop, but recovered on open. If it holds this FIB level, it moves back up and is a good entry position after a long period of overcooked RSI My confirmation is when teh stochastics and trend meter show the reversal on the 1 hour chart which is occurring now. Not trade advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by mike-ai-automation
1
MSFT Short TargetI had several bearish charts for MSFT and when I saw it struggle after less than stellar earnings, it looked like a great short so I took it. NQ was up over 3% on the session, but MSFT remained flat. I saw this is as a bearish signal for MSFT and I was liking my position going into close. To my surprise, MSFT held up incredibly well today considering what happened with NQ. I'm still surprised, but I expect it to break down eventually because it's weak and remains below $430. I think the range from $396-$430 is critical, so if it hits that area I'll look to take some profit. In addition to the horizontal support, we also have a trendline support that goes back to November of 2023. This should be an area where bulls look to defend, but if not I think it gets worse and fast. Most stocks and indexes I see are right on the edge right now and whichever direction we break from here should end up being the new direction for a few weeks at least.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
Microsoft - We still have to be patient...NASDAQ:MSFT dropped after reporting earnings and can now create a short term correction! Simplicity is key, also when it comes to trading the higher timeframes on stocks. All you need are three lines in order to fully understand the trading history and also future of Microsoft. If we get a retest of the triangle breakout level, which is perfectly lining up with the rising trendline, a bullish continuation will be quite expected. Just wait for confirmation first though! Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by basictradingtv
MSFT Bear FlagMSFT does not look good on any time frames really, except for the super long term ones, where it's obviously trending up, uptrends have been broken. The uptrend from April is broken, the $430 support level is broken. Now it's consolidating and forming a bear flag near last week's lows around $417. My short target is the $400-$396 area. To the upside, it has resistance at $430 and that trendline from April. I'd expect both of those to fail on retests, if it's able to reclaim then it would be time to look for longs IMO.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AdvancedPlays
Microsoft Earnings Raise Fears Over AI Spending. Bubble Go Pop?Playing catch-up is big among the highflyers of technology as the Magnificent Seven club races to slurp up AI demand. But is AI spending going to lead to AI bonanza? It’s not that straightforward. Microsoft (ticker: MSFT ) reported its earnings update for the spring quarter Tuesday after the closing bell. But it failed to appease investors who seem to be waking up to a reality where the billions of dollars jammed into artificial intelligence might not that easily convert into coveted profits. The AI-optimistic large-cap behemoth has spent piles of cash on advancing its artificial-intelligence capabilities without much to show for it. Markets punished the stock in after-hours trading with shares diving as deep as 8% — a drop that later recovered but still lingered under the flatline. “Throw Some AI in There, They’ll Love It” You know how much CEOs love to throw AI in their earnings calls? Microsoft boss Satya Nadella praised the company’s AI efforts in the call with shareholders but even the overuse of AI couldn’t bring the feelgood factor. Microsoft’s AI-powered cloud business, Azure, grew 29% in the three months to June, falling short of expectations and undershooting the 31% growth in the previous quarter. The company rushed to patch it up and assuage spooked investors, saying the slowdown was due in part to demand for AI running ahead of capacity. Microsoft: Throws $55.7 billion in capital expenditures. AI: * giggles, burps * "Thanks for the cash." For the past three months — the company’s fiscal fourth quarter — Microsoft saw its capital expenditures balloon by almost 80% year-over-year to $19 billion. Moreover, for fiscal 2024, total capital expenditures, or how much the company spent on new stuff, hit $55.7 billion — a figure that is likely to get surpassed next year as Microsoft projects increased spending on AI. Microsoft’s quarterly results are the latest example, after Google’s (ticker: GOOGL ) flop of an earnings report and Tesla’s (ticker: TSLA ) profit-squeezing quarter , of Big Tech’s lofty aspirations when it comes to AI. And the pushback reaction from investors shows that expectations are so high, it’s near-impossible to beat them. Big Tech is racing to build out the infrastructure layer that will allow AI to scale so it can start churning out a profit. But the going has recently gotten tough. The Magnificent Seven club of tech mainstays washed out more than $1.5 trillion from its collective market value in the past three weeks. The question that lingers on investors’ minds right now is how long can markets stay patient before they see revenue growth from AI materialize? Let Us Know Your Thoughts! With all the hype around AI, do you see a bubble in the works? Or justified no-froth, no-nonsense valuations? Share your thoughts below!
Editors' picks
NASDAQ:MSFT
by TradingView
25
MSFT Share Price Plummets After Earnings ReportMSFT Share Price Plummets After Earnings Report, But It’s Not All Bad Yesterday, after the main trading session on the Nasdaq, Microsoft released its second-quarter report: → Earnings per share: actual = $2.95, forecast = $2.93; → Gross revenue: actual = $64.72 billion, forecast = $64.38 billion. Despite key figures exceeding analyst expectations, MSFT's share price plummeted, falling below the psychological threshold of $400 in after-hours trading. Investor disappointment may have been caused by the slowdown in growth of its cloud business and significant financial investments in AI infrastructure—a long-term investment with delayed payback. Could the decline continue? Today in pre-market trading, MSFT's price recovered to $411, suggesting that the initial negative reaction to the report may have been overly pessimistic. Additionally, there might have been a cascade of stop-loss liquidations below $400 and the June low around $405, which seemed "secure" when the price was above $460. Technical analysis of MSFT’s chart shows that price action in 2024 formed an ascending blue channel. If the pre-market price doesn’t change significantly, today’s opening will be just below the channel’s lower boundary. If the RSI considered extended hours data, it might indicate exiting a deeply oversold zone (similar signals in 2024 had profit potential). If the sharp decline followed by a strong recovery signifies the liquidation of speculators (likely given the approximately 24% rise from the start of the year to mid-July), then MSFT's price could return to the blue channel and resume growth within it (channel boundaries might need adjustment). Wall Street analysts remain positive. According to TipRanks, the average MSFT forecast is $509.42 within 12 months (above the historical high). All 26 surveyed analysts recommend buying MSFT stock. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by FXOpen
1