Nasdaq market analysis: 03-Feb-2025Good morning! Happy New Week! Happy New Month! Here's your daily Nasdaq market analysis. Learn, grow, and trade wisely.
NDX trade ideas
Let's wait for Nasdaq buysPrice broke a major high creating a new one. It left behind a huge unmitigated imbalance and liquidities to be taken. Price is currently on a quest to fill this imbalance, take people's money and trigger our order for buys continuation. Stay active, use proper risk management because the market is not guaranteed to anyone!
Market Top? Considering the sharp decline in the Nasdaq during the Asian session on Monday, my current expectation is that prices should break below or reach around 20,300 before a meaningful rebound occurs, followed by a continued downtrend. This week, it is crucial to closely monitor market performance and adjust strategies accordingly.
Based on the price action from December to January, I believe there is a high probability of a major downturn ahead. However, if the price rebounds and breaks above 21,675, the current assumption will need to be reassessed.
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels:
Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels.
Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes.
Fundamental Outlook:
With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile.
A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone.
Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000.
Rationale:
The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes.
A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum.
Action:
If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600.
Stop Loss: 21,700
Take Profits:
TP1: 21,300
TP2: 21,000
TP3: 20,800
Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
Foundations of Mastery: 2025 Mentorship Begins!📢 Welcome to the 2025 Mentorship Program!
Greetings, Traders!
This is the first video of the 2025 Mentorship Program, where I’ll be releasing content frequently, diving deep into ICT concepts, and most importantly, developing structured models around them. My goal is to help you gain a deeper understanding of the market and refine your approach to trading.
Before we get started, I want to take a moment to speak to you directly.
💭 No matter where you are in your trading journey, I pray that you achieve—and even surpass—your goals this year.
📈 If you’re striving for consistency and discipline, may you reach new heights.
💡 If you’ve already found success, may you retain and refine your craft—because growth never stops.
🎯 If you’re just starting out, I pray you develop patience, discipline, and above all, accountability—because true progress comes when we own our failures and learn from them.
🔥 If you’ve been trading for years but still struggle with consistency, do not give up. The greatest adversity comes when you’re closest to success. Stay disciplined, stay dedicated, and keep pushing forward.
Above all, let this be a year where we grow together—not just as traders, but as individuals. May we foster humility, respect, and a learning environment where both experienced and new traders can share knowledge and thrive.
🙏 I pray over these things in the name of Jesus. Amen.
Let's have a great year!
The_Architect
NAS100: Trendline Retest Before the Next Move?NAS100 is currently range-bound, but a trendline retest could be on the horizon before the next leg higher. If it doesn’t happen this week, we may see it play out soon. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation.
NASDAQ Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21400 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Likelihood of Nasdaq Decline
It is expected that with the market opening, Nasdaq will hit high liquidity according to the hidden divergence (15 m time frame) , and then move downward in the coming days. It’s better to use lower leverage if you intend to take a buy position.
Nasdaq_BuyNasdaq index analysis Probability of formation of top floor pattern in 4-hour and daily time frame Only by maintaining the high price of 20900 can this analysis be kept valid. The upcoming resistance number is 21900, which Nasdaq will continue to climb after breaking this number and will move towards the targets of 22500 and 23000 and finally towards 23300.
US100 is in downtrendThe market is ready for the downtrend. Order Sell if the price reach the MA20, see the D1 time interval.
Buzzing & Brewing – Is Tech Heating Up?While everything unfolds around us, tech stocks are making moves. Is there still room for upside before things get overcooked?
Stay focussed, play it smart and enjoy the ride!
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 16Another week...
Another week of trading the trend...
Waiting for the largest HL and the trading to the HH's
In the event that you only get a LH...take your profit and then wait for another HL to repeat the process.
Once you get the rhythm of NAS100...it becomes easier.
Market open is usually characterized with lots of volatility, retracements and consolidation all in one and so, it will be important to exercise patience and take only your confirmed entries.
The market is currently undergoing "maintenance" as it sets up the next HL...
If you are a seller, make sure you understand you exit point...
If you are a buyer, make sure you are patient and wait for the right setup.
Have a great trading week.
#oneauberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#auberstrategy
CAPITAL ROTATION PROCESSCAPITAL ROTATION PROCESS
It gets really skiddish for Stock Markets, Bitcoin & Friends once the Nasdaq versus Gold chart closes below that rising trend line.
Nasdaq has had a chance to breakout versus gold and was so far unable to do so.
Momentum is weak. Clock is ticking.
US100 4HIn continuation of the previous analysis
Introduction:
The NASDAQ shows potential for continued bullish momentum towards the 22370 level.
Main Scenarios:
Expecting a climb to 22370, which will be a key resistance level.
After reaching this level, a correction could lead the price back down to approximately 19000, as indicated in the chart.
Following the potential correction, we anticipate the resumption of the upward trend.
Forecast and Strategy:
Bullish scenario: If the price breaks past 22370, the next target would be 26400.
Bearish scenario: A dip towards 19000 before the upward movement resumes.
Conclusion:
A bullish continuation after the correction seems likely, with 26400 as the next target.
High-accuracy analysis, amazing results!
February 3–7: NAS100 Market Outlook & Has the Market Peaked? February 3–7, 2025 (The following is solely personal opinion, not investment advice. Please conduct your own assessment before making any decisions.)
This is a market context update using Elliott Wave Theory. As shown in the chart, considering the Nasdaq bull market from the 2008 bottom to the present, there is a high probability that we are currently in a B Wave rebound within the ABC corrective wave. However, it remains uncertain how high the B Wave can rise.
According to Elliott Wave Theory, the C Wave correction should fall below the bottom of the A Wave, which means for the Nasdaq cash index, the price could drop to at least 10,600, representing a 50%+ correction. Of course, this process may take several years.
Scenario 1: The Market Has Not Peaked Yet
I am watching price action within the 22,465–23,001 range. If this scenario holds, the weekly price needs to stay above 19,200, and the daily price must remain above 20,300. From a macro trend perspective, the market can still be cautiously bullish.
Scenario 2: The Market Has Already Peaked
If the price breaks below 20,300 quickly and remains below it, this could be the first technical confirmation that the market has topped. If this happens, we should see further consolidation around 21,000 next week, followed by a breakdown. However, if the price finds support above 21,200 and breaks upward, there is still a possibility of new highs and further gains.
Last week, Nasdaq 100 moved in line with my previous analysis. On Friday, the price rebounded to the 21,600–21,700 target range before declining. If this decline breaks 20,300 swiftly, the probability of the market already peaking increases significantly. Typically, downward movements are faster than upward ones. The market took four days to rebound to the target range, so if the current trend holds, we should see a breakdown early next week (Monday–Tuesday) to confirm the trend. If the price fails to break lower between Monday and Wednesday and finds strong support or rebounds, the market could push higher and break new highs—this needs further observation.
Deepseek & AI Industry Observations
Over the past few days, I’ve read more about Deepseek and industry insights. One of the key cost-control strategies for training models is distillation, where a large model is used to train a smaller model. This suggests that Deepseek’s smaller models depend on larger ones and have certain limitations.
Many industry experts have also stated that Deepseek’s emergence does not reduce AI investment and that the market may have overestimated its impact.
As I am not an AI expert, I cannot verify the accuracy of these claims or whether Deepseek’s impact is overestimated. However, Anthropic CEO Dario mentioned in a post last week that AI model training costs are decreasing by 75% per year.
A model that costs $100M to train in 2024 will only cost GETTEX:25M in 2025, and by 2026, the cost may drop below $5M.
Dario also noted that this cost reduction trend is accelerating, meaning that early investments in AI without strong technical barriers and market dominance could be wiped out.
The next few years will see explosive AI development, but many AI investments may fail.
Competitive Perspective: Can the U.S. Maintain Its AI Lead?
From a competitive standpoint, I do not believe the U.S. can maintain its AI dominance solely through investment.
I strongly agree with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s AI development roadmap:
The Four Stages of AI Development
1. Perception AI
2. Generative AI
3. Agentic AI
4. Physical AI
According to Jensen, we are still in the Generative AI stage, where training models mainly rely on internet data. At this stage, the U.S. holds a huge advantage due to its leading semiconductor technology.
However, when AI enters the physical realm, internet data will no longer be sufficient, and stable, large-scale data sources will be key to AI success. In this phase, China and India, with their vast populations, will have a major advantage.
Since the Huawei incident, China has accelerated its chip R&D and manufacturing. While still lagging behind TSMC, tighter trade restrictions will further drive development in this sector.
If a competitor to Nvidia emerges in China, what impact would that have on the high-valued U.S. tech sector?
AI Bubble & Investment Strategy
I believe Deepseek is just the beginning of exposing the AI bubble. While its direct impact may be overestimated, the fact that AI training costs are falling rapidly is undeniable.
Investment Perspective
From an investment standpoint, I believe that market price action is the ultimate confirmation.
- For long-term views, take a macro approach.
- For short-term decisions, use technical analysis.
NAS100 1st week of FEB expectationI am forecasting that NAS should go down to the demand zone taking out IRL and then react off the demand zone and head up to the supply zone. the demand zone is also in the discount zone of the range adding more confluence. this week is tricky as NAS is respecting both supply and demand zones so it it unclear if price will break above supply
Nasdaq price is struggling at resistance and consolidating.Nasdaq price is struggling at resistance and consolidating.
US100 Decoding with the new way of analysisUS100 Decoding with the new way of analysis, please do follow and subscribe for more videos. please do comment and let me know your feedback. and help me with the suggestions so I will improve the video quality and quantity.
NASDAQ Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 21300 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 21300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NAS100 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Nas100 price form a supply and now ready to fall so trader should look for entry for short and expect profit target of 21277.14 and 20783.72 . Use money Management .
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀
📊 Current Price Action:
The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅.
The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average.
📌 Key Levels & Market Structure:
🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery.
📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements.
💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present.
📈 Trend & Potential Direction:
The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈.
The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000.
If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅.
🏆 Conclusion:
🐂 Bullish Bias:
Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️.
🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀.
💡 Trade Idea:
A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
