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NDX trade ideas

potential NASDAQ bearish reversal in the makingThe Nasdaq appears to be showing signs of a bearish reversal as technical and macroeconomic factors align against further upside. After a strong rally, the index is encountering key resistance, prompting concerns among traders about the sustainability of the recent gains. A pinbar candlestick pattern has emerged, signaling potential downside as buyers fail to sustain momentum. Historically, such formations indicate a rejection of higher prices, often leading to further declines. Additionally, selling pressure on rallies suggests that market participants are taking profits rather than betting on continued strength. From a momentum perspective, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is beginning to roll over, hinting at a potential shift in trend. If this bearish momentum continues, the Nasdaq could face increased selling pressure in the coming sessions. Beyond technicals, fundamental factors are adding to the uncertainty. The announcement of new tariffs under former President Donald Trump’s trade policies is weighing on market sentiment. Moreover, while Federal Reserve rate cuts are traditionally viewed as bullish, historical data suggests that in some cases, they coincide with economic slowdowns, leading to weaker market conditions. Looking at key downside levels, support can be found at 18,400, where buyers might attempt to stabilize the market. A break below this level could accelerate losses toward 16,500, a critical zone where stronger buying interest may emerge. Traders should closely monitor price action and market reactions at these levels. Confirmation of bearish signals and continued weakness in bullish sentiment could pave the way for a more extended correction. Caution is advised, with risk management strategies essential for navigating the potential downturn.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by fwalbaum
1
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NDXGood Morning, Those of you following the market would have seen that something in the world was going to happen. Yep we have it....trade war. The market is a great predictor at investor confidence which typically means - what is going on in the world to affect their assets. Right now we have a leg down in the NDX also in SPX & other American/Markets. The uncertainty of the trade war is causing investors to 2nd guess where they are putting their money. Currently on this chart we are seeing a bottom start to form - You will never be able to call a bottom 100% but can get close. This would be a good spot to start accumulating stocks that are matching the trend patterns of the market. Be careful, if this is only a corrective action it would go down after its reached target, again a time to sell your stocks and wait to see where it drops. It could also reach target and consolidate which would be a great area to review trades and see what you want to keep and those you may want to sell for profits. Thanks and have a great day!
FX:NAS100Long
by mindfullylost
Will the stock market turn positive again?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the resistance range and the channel ceiling will also cause the Nasdaq to continue its short-term upward trend. In February 2025, the U.S. labor market grew at a slower pace than anticipated. According to published data, non-farm employment increased by 151,000 jobs in January, while expectations were set at 160,000.This indicates that while job growth continues, its momentum has been weaker than projected. The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February, slightly above the expected 4%. Meanwhile, labor force participation declined by 0.2 percentage points to 62.4%. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% during the month, aligning with forecasts. On an annual basis, wage growth reached 4%, slightly below the estimated 4.1%. Among various sectors, the highest job gains were recorded in healthcare (52,000 jobs), finance (21,000 jobs), and local government (20,000 jobs). Employment also rose in construction, transportation, social assistance, and manufacturing. Conversely, some industries experienced job losses. The hospitality sector shed 16,000 jobs, retail lost 6,000, and the federal government reduced employment by 10,000 positions. Additionally, temporary jobs declined by 12,000, signaling a potential slowdown in economic growth. Overall, the report suggests that while the U.S. labor market remains stable, certain indicators, such as rising unemployment and a decline in full-time jobs, may point to a deceleration in economic expansion. Following the report’s release, the U.S. dollar weakened slightly, but the market reaction was muted due to prior concerns over a more significant decline. Hassett, the White House economic advisor, stated that future reports are likely to show further reductions in government employment. He emphasized the administration’s plan to cut government jobs and spending while boosting employment in the manufacturing sector. He also confirmed that tariffs are inevitable, arguing that such measures will support the expected 3% to 4% economic growth. Hassett expressed doubt that President Trump would grant exemptions for steel tariffs. As investors try to adjust to Trump’s evolving trade policies, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for February is set to be released on Wednesday. Given the recent Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index data from January, it is possible that CPI could be entering a new downward trend. The Federal Reserve’s battle against inflation remains challenging, and the recent rise in price pressures has undoubtedly been frustrating for policymakers. However, signs indicate that U.S. inflation may be shifting course, with expectations of a decline in the coming months. One major uncertainty remains: tariffs. Trump’s decision to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports and a 20% increase on Chinese goods, along with additional sector-specific and retaliatory tariffs still under discussion, could undermine the Fed’s efforts to bring inflation down to 2%. In January, the overall CPI climbed to 3%, marking its highest level since June 2024. Core inflation also reached 3.3%. However, February’s data is expected to ease months of concern about inflationary resurgence, with projections indicating a decline in overall CPI to 2.9% and core inflation to 3.1%. Monthly estimates for both indices stand at 0.3%. Later in the week, Thursday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for February will provide further insights into inflationary pressures, while on Friday, investors will closely monitor the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey for March. Last month’s survey raised alarms, as consumer inflation expectations climbed to their highest level in 30 years.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
$NAS100 No fear, bear market is hereThe Nasdaq has officially entered a bear market, dropping from its recent high amid rising interest rates, inflation fears, and slowing economic growth. Tech stocks, which drove the market’s previous gains, are now leading the decline, with major companies like Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla seeing sharp losses. Investor sentiment remains cautious as uncertainty surrounds Federal Reserve policy and global economic conditions. While some see this as a time for caution, others view it as an opportunity to buy strong companies at discounted prices. Volatility is expected to continue as the market searches for stability in the coming months. InverseTomPip
FX:NAS100Short
by InverseTomPip
SPY and QQQ at MAJOR LevelsThe charts shown are highlighting the 12 month periodic volume profile chart. Currently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are bouncing off major 2024 value areas. Nasdaq 100: Last week we can see how bulls lost the 2024 value area high (VAH) and couldn't reclaim. As a result we swiftly moved down to the point of control (POC) where we found buyers show up. S&P 500: Coincidently, the S&P 500 moved down to the 2024 VAH where it also found buyers show up. Moving Forward: These areas remain very important and should be monitored going forward. If a bounce is to happen here, bulls would like to see the Nasdaq reclaim the 2024 VAH and even work back into the current 2025 VAL.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Bulls_Brew
NQ: Upcoming weekly analysis!FA Analysis: 1- Last week macro economic data came +/- inline which did not help to resolve the UNCERYTAINTY. 2- Trump tariffs flip plop confirmed the uncertainty. 3- This week, we have Job Jolts, CPI. PPI and Consumer confidence; they're all key data to resolve the uncertainty. Inline data won't help; we need an overshoot or undershoot. So until data news, price will continue in the consolidation and accumulation. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: We got a clear bearish close with a somewhat large wick. With the uncertainty context until Tuesday and Wednesday, price might move up to retest 20627. as shown in the chart. Daily TF: From daily perspective, we got a bullish close after price was rejected at Weekly support. Hence, I see price moving up toward 20529-20627. The chart shows the uncertainty via Extensions (represented by E in the chart). Price was unable to close below 20529 for 6 days creating extensions but no break. This tells you the battle between buyers and sellers to break or reject that level. All were fueled by inline data and tariffs flip plop. As a conclusion, I think the break down is not a question of IF but WHEN. Happy green week Everyone!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
NASQ 100 - Let's see if the price stands on daily supportHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:NAS100Long
by QQGuo-Shane
1
Technical Analysis of NDQ100: Targets at $22,889.74!Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDQ100) – 1W Chart Hello TradingView Community, I’d like to share my technical analysis of the NDQ100 on the weekly chart, based on historical price movements and Fibonacci retracements. The index is displaying a clear pattern that suggests a continuation of the uptrend following a correction. Here’s my outlook: 1. Upward Move to $22,889.74 The NDQ100 has seen a strong recovery since the low of approximately $5,692.32 (March 2020) and continues to show bullish momentum. Based on the Fibonacci extension (161.8%) from the last major correction (2022), the next significant target is $22,889.74. This level has been tested multiple times as resistance (see chart), and a breakout seems likely given the ongoing demand for tech stocks. The current price action also shows strong support from the 50-week EMA, which acts as a dynamic support level. 2. Correction of -34% to $15,087.06 Once the NDQ100 reaches $22,889.74, I anticipate a healthy correction. Historically, the Nasdaq has often experienced corrections of 30-40% after strong rallies (e.g., -34.17% in 2022). A -34% correction would bring the index down to approximately $15,087.06. This level aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone from the 2020-2025 rally and provides a strong support area, coinciding with previous consolidation zones (2023). Additionally, the 200-week EMA lies within this range, reinforcing it as a potential reversal point. 3. Rise of +121% to $32,923.00 Following the correction, I expect a new bullish wave. From $15,087.06, a +121% increase would take the NDQ100 to $32,923.00. This target is based on the Fibonacci extension (261.8%) of the entire uptrend since 2020, as well as historical patterns where the NDQ100 often reaches new all-time highs after corrections. The long-term trendline (marked on the chart) supports this outlook, as does the ongoing strength in the tech sector, driven by innovations in AI, cloud computing, and semiconductors. Additional Indicators: RSI (Weekly): The RSI is currently at 73.5, indicating potential overbought conditions. A pullback after reaching $22,889.74 would bring the RSI into a healthier range (around 50) before the next upward move begins. Volume: Volume has increased during the recent rally, confirming the strength of the uptrend. A decline in volume during the correction would reflect a typical pattern for healthy consolidation. Conclusion: The NDQ100 exhibits a bullish long-term setup with an intermediate target at $22,889.74, followed by a -34% correction to $15,087.06. Afterward, I anticipate a strong rise of +121% to $32,923.00. This scenario offers both short-term trading opportunities (during the correction) and long-term investment potential. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and geopolitical developments, as these can significantly impact the tech sector.
TVC:NDQLong
by Loveiceroollss
NAS100USD Will Go Higher! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,175.5. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,410.0 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward. As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below... In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below. All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples. As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
TVC:NDQ
by addatheriver0808
1