NDX trade ideas
NSDQ100 INTRADAY uptrend continuationUS-China Trade Talks:
The Trump administration is considering cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to below 60% during upcoming talks. China may reciprocate. Chinese exports to the US have already dropped sharply following earlier steep tariffs.
Global Market Reaction:
Germany's DAX index hit a new high, recovering losses from the trade war. European stocks are rising on hopes of lower tariffs and potential rate cuts from the European Central Bank.
US Tax Policy:
Trump is urging Congress to raise taxes on the wealthy, proposing a 39.6% rate for individuals earning $2.5 million or more (or $5 million for couples).
Panasonic Job Cuts:
Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs to improve profitability by focusing on growth areas and reducing operations in weaker sectors like TVs and industrial devices.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20530
Resistance Level 2: 20730
Resistance Level 3: 20950
Support Level 1: 19640
Support Level 2: 19325
Support Level 3: 19030
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Technical Breakdown on US100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US100 (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 20,050
Value Area Low (VAL): 19,800
Point of Control (POC): 19,927.77
Volume Nodes:
High-volume node: Consolidation around 19,930–20,000 (strong interest/acceptance zone).
Low-volume gap: Below 19,800 (potential area for fast price movement).
b) Liquidity Zones:
Clustered Stops:
Above recent highs at ~20,100 (liquidity trap).
Below recent lows near 19,650 and 19,500.
Order Absorption Zones:
Near 19,930–19,980: multiple rejections + high delta volume = passive sell pressure.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Volume spike highs: 20,050 (indicating rejection and potential reversal).
Volume spike lows: 19,600–19,650 (reaction points with increased volume and defense).
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Turning bearish.
ADX Strength:
ADX slightly above 20 with DI- crossing above DI+ = Confirmed downtrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Falling CVD alongside price weakness = Strong supply taking control.
Multiple failed bullish attempts above POC.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
19,800 (VAL)
19,650 (swing low with high absorption)
Resistance:
20,050 (VAH and rejection zone)
19,927.77 (POC, now resistance)
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing High: 20,100 (Gann reversal point)
Swing Low: 19,650
Key Gann Retracements:
1/3 retracement = ~19,820
2/3 retracement = ~19,980
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Bearish
b) Notable Patterns:
Bearish flag forming inside descending channel.
Break below POC and VAL suggests breakdown continuation.
Retest failure near POC confirms resistance validation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bearish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm downtrend):
Entry Zone: 19,920–19,940 (retest of POC)
Target:
T1: 19,650
T2: 19,400
Stop-Loss (SL): 20,060 (above VAH and swing high)
Risk-Reward (RR): Minimum 1:2
b) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of trading capital per setup.
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
NASDAQ YEARLY CHART Chart done on 03.05.2025
Nasdaq market conditions are very similar to the 2020 market conditions
as we can see for both years we had a drop in market price for the first few month, then the recovery happened as markets started to stabilize.
this looks to be the same with 2025 as trumps appointment into the white house has caused a similar effect
for the next year nasdaq looks to be bullish so that the US economy can adapt to the new changes.
this is a very basic analysis. if a more in depth analysis is needed. Please feel free to comment
Long-term bearish to 14kJust adding to the idea previously posted:
A black upward trendline shows a strong bullish trend from mid-2022 through early 2025. Recently, there’s been a significant breakdown below this trendline, which signals a substantial change in trend from bullish to bearish. On Friday, we tested and rejected this trendline, which at the same time tested a 65% (golden pocket) retracement of the recent move, indicating a possible resistance area after a strong rebound.
I expect the price not to break this level any further.
The target remains 14k and below.
NASDAQ: 50% probability that this Golden Cross is bearish.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.920, MACD = 61.810, ADX = 33.031) as it continues its recovery from the Low of the previous month. In the meantime, it formed a 4H Golden Cross, the first since January 23rd. Even though this is a bullish pattern theoretically, it often doesn't deliver an immediate rise. More specifically, since the October 2022 market bottom, Nasdaq has had another 10 Golden Crosses on the 4H timeframe. The interesting statistic is that 5 have extended their rallies but the other 5 cuased a pullback (short or medium term). Consequently we call for caution in the next 2 weeks, as the market may correct towards the 4H MA200 before it resumes the long term uptrend.
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US100US100 has shown great strength after terrif news.
If we look at the bigger picture, recent bullish rally looks like a pull back. Currently it is heading towards very important region , 20500 which is also the 61% retracement level.
If the price close above 20500 then we can consider it a new bullish rally.
Nas100 Diamond BottomAt the 16400 gap down the play was simple, buy, fill the gap and bullish engulf this puppy.
So it happened, and the 10 percent pump is the middle of the diamond. Then what was left to be bullish on the final retraces onto the right side of the diamond.
Now we are in. I expect exponentiaal growth, but first target is the magic average plotted on this chart.
Good luck and remember, no guarantees. I play the chart and trust it, but if it backfires thats my risk im willing to take.
NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
1. Retracement into Premium Resistance:
Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative.
2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array:
Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup.
TRADING PLAN:
We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns.
Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bullish Break Out at 19980
We are watching this zone closely.
💯 Main Focus: Bearish Break at 19890
We are watching this zone closely.
———
Analysis
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 20030
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19750
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 19890 – Major support / Key level
➗ 20050 – Proven resistance
🩸 Key Zones to Watch:
• 19950 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 7 Swing Retest
• 19980 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times)
• 19900 – Equal lows
• 19980 – Equal highs
US100 Locking as Bullish directionUS00 Structure Looking as strong Bullish Pattern,
Forecast from Mr Martin Date 02 May 2025,
US100 Price will looking as buy side recently price will break and catch the support after push to buy side the bullish structure continue to play out the next project would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel US100 is holding its bullish structure well,
Key Level to watch
Resistance level 20,500 / 21,000
Support Levels 19,500
you can find more details in the chart of you find this idea help or learned something new then leave comments Thanks for Regarding.