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NDX trade ideas

Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone. From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone. Key levels: Resistance: 19,371.9 Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920 Potential strategy: Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370–19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
NAS100USD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we identify ongoing bullish institutional order flow, and as such, we aim to align our trading opportunities with this upward bias. Key Observations: 1. Retracement and Institutional Support: Recent price action shows a healthy retracement, with price finding institutional support at the rejection block. This was followed by strong displacement to the upside, resulting in a bullish market structure shift. This suggests the retracement may be complete, with further bullish continuation likely. 2. Reclaimed Order Block as Key Support Zone: Currently, price is approaching a reclaimed order block—a zone where institutions previously initiated buying before price traded higher. When price returns to this area, institutions often reclaim the zone to initiate new long positions. This reclaimed block is further strengthened by the alignment with a fair value gap (FVG), enhancing the zone’s validity as institutional support. Trading Plan: We will monitor this reclaimed FVG zone for confirmation of bullish intent. Upon confirmation, we will look to enter long positions targeting liquidity pools in premium pricing zones, where buy-side liquidity is likely to reside. Stay disciplined, wait for confirmation, and ensure the idea aligns with your broader strategy. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19575 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level ➗ 19450 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest • 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19100 – Equal lows • 19500 – Equal highs Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
FX:NAS100Long
by Path_Of_Hanzo
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) —————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 19550 We are watching this zone closely. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 19450 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— Analysis 👌 Market Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19460 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 19000 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 19100 – Major support / Key level ➗ 19450 – Proven resistance 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 19450 – 🔥 Bullish breakout level X 3 Swing Retest • 19460 – Strong resistance (tested 5 times) • 19100 – Equal lows • 19500 – Equal highs Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NAS100USD: Institutional Selling Initiated at Premium LevelsGreetings Traders, Today on NAS100USD, the market is currently operating within a clear bearish institutional order flow. In alignment with this directional bias, we are seeking selling opportunities supported by several key confluences. Key Observations: 1. Liquidity Sweep at Premium Pricing: Price has retraced deeply into a premium zone, sweeping the buy stops above a recent swing high. This suggests smart money is executing sell-side order pairing at extreme premium levels, utilizing retail liquidity for institutional distribution. When this occurs, price typically seeks rebalancing at fair value zones and continues toward discount levels. 2. Resistance at Fair Value Gap: Following the liquidity sweep, price encountered resistance at a previously identified fair value gap (FVG). This FVG has held effectively, reinforcing the bearish outlook and acting as a high-probability rejection zone. 3. Market Structure Shift (MSS): The market has now confirmed a bearish market structure shift, further validating the downside bias. This shift positions us to anticipate a continuation move. 4. Mitigation Block as Entry Zone: We are currently watching a mitigation block for potential re-entries. These blocks represent zones where smart money mitigates previous long positions and introduces new short positions in alignment with the prevailing trend. If confirmed, they offer a strategic point to enter short trades. Trading Plan: Monitor the mitigation block for confirmation and look to enter with the broader institutional trend. Targets will include fair value regions and deeper liquidity pools at discount prices. Remain patient and disciplined, and always ensure your analysis aligns with your trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
6
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USTEC has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 19,189.77 1st Support: 18,580.75 1st Resistance: 20,258.77 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
Nasdaq100/UsTech100 Higher Timeframe Analysis Here we have my view, this is my first TV idea so don't butcher me please LMAO. You can see on the chart we have had significant price moves to the upside over the past days after a huge decline in the index. This decline was mostly driven by tarrif uncertainty to my understanding, followed me a huge panic sell off which spiraled the index further down. However, with tarrifs seemingly easing and other factors driving the price increase, we will see 1 of 2 directions (Obviously). Over the last few days we have been stuck in a major key level where buyers and sellers had a great fight. We have now broken that zone to the upside. I expect the index to have some sell pressure take over at around the 21,000 area give or take some points targeting the lower zone of 20,300 area. This is where buyers had control pre tarrif implementation (21,000 PTS). Using the old saying of support becomes resistance and vice versa I expect the index to either stagnate in this zone for a while before breaking higher. Or it will simply sink back down to the lower key levels. As it currently stands, The uptrend is back in tact on a higher time frame from what I can see. I am not saying here is a great place to long but with good risk management (For swing longs) this might be the confirmation we needed (Break of zone below) to enter long posistions with an SL of 20,000 area and TP of ATH giving a positive RRR trade. I am personally a scalper hence why I do not post ideas. Usually the setup is done and dusted before I could even type it up XD. Let me know what you think of the idea, Remember this is not financial advice. I am not liable for any losses incurred if you base your trades off my idea. Remember trade what you see, not what you think.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by JohnDeMelon
Silver Bullet 10am-11amPrior to previous idea shared. Setup to go long and fill FVG in 1hr-30min 930 Est. With no key level sweep, it was clear but risky as price needs to be balanced before challenging the highs or lows. As there was not clear Bearish BOS in NY. The NY low made after 930 used as sweep to enter and challenge FVG. Trade managed well, secured profits at CE of 30min FVG in NY 5min IFVG in leg of sweep + counter FVG confirming bulls stepping in wit lows being manipulated. +- 1:2 secured. Tomorrow same thing...$$$ ;)
FX:NAS100
by fxclayton17
NAS100 - Stock Market Expects a Devastating Week!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index corrects towards the demand range, we can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio. U.S. stock futures responded positively to signals from both Chinese and American officials. Looking ahead to the coming week, investor focus is squarely on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States—marking the first chance to assess the impact of the new tariffs implemented on April 9. Meanwhile, ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain a crucial factor, with significant implications for inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market expectations. In addition to inflation data, retail sales figures and the preliminary results of the University of Michigan sentiment survey could influence market outlook regarding interest rates—especially since price stability and full employment remain core mandates of the Federal Reserve. At present, Fed officials are working to maintain a cautious stance in order to anchor inflation expectations. However, if clear signs of economic weakness emerge, that stance could shift rapidly—something that several Fed officials have already openly acknowledged. Retail sales, in particular, could provide a different narrative about the health of the economy. After a notable 1.5% jump in March, estimates suggest that growth in April slowed to just 0.1%. This deceleration may reflect consumer reluctance to spend, stemming either from inflationary pressures or broader economic uncertainty. Thursday’s data release will include the Producer Price Index (PPI), industrial production, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index—offering a clearer picture of supply-side dynamics and the performance of the industrial sector. On Friday, attention will turn to a fresh batch of economic indicators: building permits, housing starts, the New York (Empire State) manufacturing index, and especially the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey. This survey has gained importance in recent months due to notable increases in both one-year and five-year inflation expectations. As recent charts indicate, while consumer confidence has plummeted to multi-year lows, inflation expectations have trended upward—a worrisome combination that could limit the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy. Although concerns about a U.S. recession persist, recent data suggest more of a “gradual slowdown” rather than signs of an imminent crisis. In March, both the CPI and PCE indices declined, indicating a temporary easing of inflationary pressures. However, this trend may reverse in April, as the broad implementation of reciprocal tariffs likely raised import costs—particularly for Chinese goods, which now face duties as high as 145%. New estimates indicate that these tariffs could add 2.25% to core inflation over the next year, effectively reversing the progress made in 2024 on taming price pressures.Prior to the Trump administration’s tariff announcements, economists had differing views on inflation, with some expecting it to approach the Fed’s 2% annual target by year-end. Contrary to trade experts, Trump claimed that sellers would not pass these price increases on to consumers. Goldman Sachs’ analysis this week suggests that Trump’s tariffs could push inflation to levels not seen since the post-pandemic price surge. The broad import taxes announced between February and April may have a substantial impact on the economy, and consumers are likely to feel the effects first at the checkout counter. Goldman economists estimate that the tariffs could drive annual inflation—as measured by core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)—to 3.8% by December, marking the highest rate since 2023. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge rose 2.6% last year. This metric remains above the Fed’s 2% target and has shown limited progress toward that goal since 2023. The last time inflation was below this benchmark was in January 2021. A renewed wave of price increases could severely strain American household budgets—particularly if the labor market also weakens, as many economists anticipate. This would also represent a significant setback for the Federal Reserve, which has kept interest rates elevated since 2022 in an effort to combat post-pandemic inflation. While inflation hovered around 3% at the beginning of 2024 with little change, it saw a notable drop in March. Many analysts forecast that inflation will continue to decline and approach the 2% target by the end of 2025. Walker and Peng’s analysis factored in both the direct effects of tariffs—most of which will likely be passed on to consumers—and several indirect consequences. The trade war has unexpectedly weakened the U.S. dollar, reducing Americans’ purchasing power. Moreover, some manufacturers may shift production away from China, where tariffs are particularly severe, to locations with higher production costs. As a result, American consumers may end up paying significantly more for imported goods, especially in categories like consumer electronics and apparel.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Technical Breakdown on US 100 | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on US 100 Cash CFD (1H) using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX 1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 20,500 Value Area Low (VAL): 20,000 (approx. based on volume shading) Point of Control (POC): 20,062.08 High-volume nodes: Dense around 20,050–20,100 – indicative of value acceptance. Low-volume gaps: Sharp price movement through 20,150–20,250 – price could revisit here swiftly. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Cluster Zones: Order Absorption Zones: c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High Volume Spike: Near 20,500 – rejection occurred with CVD flattening. Swing Low Volume Spike: 20,000 – strong reversal point, indicates buyer interest. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Uptrend currently, but potential divergence forming. ADX Strength: CVD Confirmation: 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: Resistance: b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent Confirmed High: 20,506 Recent Confirmed Low: 20,000 Retracements: 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Short-term Bullish, but with early signs of divergence (based on projected price/CVD path) Confirmed by breakout above POC with rising CVD initially. b) Notable Patterns: Ascending Channel Breakout: Strong push above upper boundary on momentum. Volume Gap Fill Potential: Price may return to 20,250 or lower on exhaustion. POC Retest Scenario: High probability of price testing 20,062 if strength fades. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If uptrend sustains): Entry Zone: 20,250–20,300 (channel midpoint or pullback after breakout) Targets: Stop-Loss (SL): 20,150 (below volume gap midpoint) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If divergence confirms): Entry Zone: 20,500–20,525 (fakeout/stop hunt zone) Target: Stop-Loss (SL): 20,600 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of capital per trade.
FX:NAS100Long
by ProspireWealth