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NVDA trade ideas

Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla. What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative. Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling. What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however). Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally. Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag. If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally. So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingShot
10
Staying calm and buying NVDAThe world is not ending (yet). NASDAQ:NVDA is down a little over 12% since the beginning of November and everyone acts like it didn't have drops of 20+% in August/Sept and 25ish% in July. Normal state of affairs for NASDAQ:NVDA , so I'm a buyer here. Beware, though. While my algo is historically undefeated on NVDA, it has also gotten me into FAST, APD, CR and some others lately that are acting like absolute dogs. I'm sure they will work out in the end, but these trades would test the patience of most - they're testing me and I know how the story ends already. I'm hoping this trade breaks that ugly streak I'm on rather than joins it. Fingers crossed... I'm adding as long as the algo says it's a buy and I'm selling any lot on its first profitable close. Same plan as usual. Side note: most of the trades shown on the chart used a more aggressive exit strategy than this does. Closing out on the first profitable close for a lot works especially well when a trade entry is part of a downtrend. The trade should close more quickly, but generate a smaller win when it does. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
6
NVIDIA: Fib Fractal MappingConsidering all those observed fractal patterns from: A fractal to narrow in would be: Let's unfold: This means we have identified scalable structural basis. Fibonacci Mapping Validation of Metrics via Resonation: Validation of Fibonacci channel tilt: Fractals of Previous Cycle: Scalable Fractals: Fractal patterns are approximations and are not solely about predicting price movements on the Y-axis; they also encompass the frequency of reversals on the X-axis. The timing of smaller cycles, which serve as the building blocks of these patterns, holds greater significance than the overall composite price changes.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by fract
8
Detailed Breakdown and Technical Analysis of NVIDIA's (NVDA) 2yrDetailed Breakdown and Technical Analysis of NVIDIA's (NVDA) Two-Year Outlook and Options Strategy I. Introduction: Welcome to NVIDIA's Final Destination NVIDIA’s journey through the stock market feels eerily similar to a thriller like Final Destination. The twists and turns keep you on edge, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and just when you think you’ve figured it all out, the plot thickens. The question is: are we hurtling toward a safe landing or another sharp drop? With a head-and-shoulders pattern looming and Fibonacci levels adding their own cryptic clues, it’s time to map out the next two years. This isn’t just a ride—it’s a calculated journey through chaos and opportunity. ________________________________________ II. Fundamental Analysis 1. Market Position and Growth Catalysts NVIDIA (NVDA) has solidified its position as a leader in GPU and AI computing, supported by its dominant share in the gaming, data center, and automotive sectors. Its continued focus on AI hardware and software frameworks, like CUDA, provides a competitive moat. With AI-driven workloads expected to grow exponentially, NVIDIA remains a key beneficiary of this secular trend. However, NVDA faces potential headwinds from: • Geopolitical risks: Restrictions on chip exports to China could affect revenues. • Macroeconomic factors: High-interest rates and economic slowdowns may pressure growth-oriented tech stocks. • Valuation concerns: Elevated price-to-earnings ratios leave the stock vulnerable to corrections during downturns. 2. Historical Performance NVDA has demonstrated robust performance in the last decade, experiencing exponential growth in revenue and market capitalization. While this growth has been exceptional, recent price action suggests overextension, leading to the potential formation of a multi-year correction and consolidation before resuming upward momentum. ________________________________________ III. Technical Analysis 1. Current Structure • Head and Shoulders Pattern: A classic bearish reversal pattern is forming, with the left shoulder and head completed. The right shoulder is expected to form near the $134.70 resistance zone. • Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.618 retracement at ~$118 and 0.786 at ~$102 provide key support levels for potential pullbacks. • Momentum Indicators: - MACD: Bearish divergence indicates waning bullish momentum. - Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions suggest a correction is imminent. 2. Key Levels and Projections • Resistance Levels: $134.70, $149.37. • Support Levels: $118.32 (0.618 Fib), $102.86 (0.786 Fib), $95.65 (potential long-term bottom). • Recovery Path: Post-correction, NVDA could retest $149+ by late 2025, driven by cyclical recovery and improved fundamentals. ________________________________________ IV. Options Strategy: Leveraging Key Zones and Timelines 1. Core Thesis The projected pullback offers a strategic opportunity to capitalize on NVDA’s volatility using options. By employing 45-day (DTE) short put spreads at key support levels, we can: • Generate consistent income from elevated implied volatility (IV). • Define risk with limited downside exposure. Additionally, using long-term hedges (LEAPS) can offset potential losses, ensuring portfolio resilience during downturns. 2. Strategy Design (Phase 1) a. 45D Short Put Spreads • Objective: Capture premium during consolidation near support zones. • Execution: - Sell a short put at a support level (e.g., $118). - Buy a protective put 5-10 points lower (e.g., $113) to limit risk. • Example: - Sell $118 put, buy $113 put for a net credit of $1.50. - Max profit: $150 per contract. - Max loss: $350 per contract. - Breakeven: $116.50. • Timeline: Enter spreads every 45D, adjusting strikes based on price action and IV. b. Long-Term Hedge Using LEAPS • Objective: Hedge downside risk during significant corrections. • Execution: - Buy a deep ITM long put with 12-18 months DTE at $149 (current resistance). - Use proceeds from short put spreads to offset the cost of the hedge. • Rationale: Protects against deep corrections while maintaining exposure to long-term recovery. 3. Combining Strategies • During consolidations, sell short put spreads at $118 and $102. • Maintain a LEAPS hedge at $149 to offset potential losses if the pattern fails and the price breaks lower. • Adjust strikes dynamically based on the formation of the right shoulder and subsequent price action. ________________________________________ V. Phases of Execution Phase 2: Bearish Continuation to End of February 1. LEAP Exit: - Exit the LEAP put at the end of February if NVDA drops below $102. - Capture maximum intrinsic value before significant time decay impacts the LEAP. 2. Second 45DTE Put Spread Exit: - Exit the 45DTE short put spread around 21DTE (mid-February). - This is consistent with best practices to avoid gamma risk and maximize theta decay gains. Phase 3: Test at $95.65 1. Observe the Price Action: - If NVDA tests $95.65: - Confirm support and momentum before acting. - Look for signs of stabilization or a breakdown below $95. 2. Sell a Cash-Secured Put Below $95: - Choose a strike below $95 (e.g., $90 or $85) to give some breathing room. - Plan an exit near $135 test if NVDA rebounds, allowing you to capture premium. Phase 4: Transition Back to Short Put Spreads 1. After $135 Test: - If NVDA reaches $135, transition back to 45D short put spreads. - Focus on strikes below the established support levels at $102 or $118 to maintain a high probability of success. 2. Reestablish LEAP Put: - Initiate a new LEAP put with a strike above the $60 target (e.g., $75–$85). - Aim for September as the reversal point for the long-term bearish trend. Phase 5: Targeting September Reversal 1. Monitor for $60 Reversal: - Expect NVDA to reach $60 by September based on your thesis and technical analysis. - Exit the LEAP put as NVDA approaches $60 or shows reversal signs. 2. Reassess Market Conditions: - At this stage, reevaluate NVDA’s fundamentals, market conditions, and technical indicators. - Consider transitioning to bullish strategies if the broader market outlook aligns. ________________________________________ VI. Risk Management 1. Defined Risk: Short put spreads limit downside exposure to predefined levels, making the strategy suitable for high-volatility environments. 2. Capital Allocation: - Allocate no more than 5% of the portfolio to short put spreads per expiration cycle. - Use 2-3% for the LEAPS hedge. 3. Adjustment Plan: - Roll short puts if NVDA approaches the strike, maintaining a minimum credit. - Exit LEAPS hedge if NVDA stabilizes above $149. 4. Macro Monitoring: Regularly assess market conditions and adjust timelines and strikes accordingly. ________________________________________ VII. Conclusion: The Final Destination for NVDA NVIDIA’s trajectory over the next two years mirrors a thriller like Final Destination. While we can map out the twists and turns with technical analysis and strategic foresight, the market ultimately has its own plans. Our tools—like Fibonacci retracements, options strategies, and risk management frameworks—act as a way to anticipate the curves ahead, but they don’t guarantee a safe landing. The real challenge lies in adapting to the unknowns, balancing preparation with flexibility. Whether NVDA’s final destination is a triumphant recovery or a deeper pullback, this approach equips us to navigate the ride with confidence, knowing we’ve done everything to prepare for whatever fate may unfold. ________________________________________ Footnote This analysis represents a trading thesis based on technical and fundamental insights. It is not intended to be acted upon blindly or as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and the success or failure of the outlined strategies cannot be guaranteed. The author assumes no responsibility for any actions taken based on this thesis. Always consult a financial professional before implementing any investment strategy.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by bcavin
5
NVIDIA to ATH $153 until end of 2024 (16% ROI)With NASDAQ:NVDA , we are currently in a promising position to see a final exaggeration into the end of the year. The stock has risen over 180% percent in 2024 and I think we have a good chance to make 200% out of that. Looking at the chart we can see a clear uptrend trendline starting in August this year with multiple touchpoints along the line. Since October we're consolidating within the range from $131 to $153. After touching the trendline on thursday last week we're good to go higher (at least for now). Resistance will be the current ATH at $153. If we fail to hold the level at $131 on the daily chart the trade will be invalidated. That leaves us with 16.54% ROI in total. Target Zone $153.00 Support Zone $131.00
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by LGNDRY-Capital
4
Nvidia - Shocking Everybody Again In 2025!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) will rally another +40% in 2025: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For most people, it seems absolutely counterintuitive to witness another parabolic blow off rally on Nvidia and that's exactly why we will see such moves during 2025. Market structure just supports this outlook since Nvidia is still overall bullish and has some room towards the upside. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
2
NVDA PUMP NEXT WEEKNVDA's Final 5th Wave Rally: A Short-Term Opportunity I believe NVIDIA (NVDA) is setting up for its final 5th wave rally in the current Elliott Wave sequence. The corrective structure leading into this rally appears to have completed a WXY pattern, where the W wave took the form of a Zigzag, the X wave also formed a Zigzag, and the Y wave was a Double Zigzag. The correction ended on Tuesday, precisely at the 0.382 retracement level—a typical target for a 4th wave correction. This technical setup suggests that the 5th wave is now underway. Based on this analysis, I project that NVDA could reach $150 or higher by this upcoming Friday, 12/27. For traders looking for high-risk, high-reward opportunities, the 145 strike call options expiring on 12/27 may offer substantial upside, potentially yielding 2,000% or more if the stock moves as anticipated. As a trader specializing in risky, out-of-the-money options, I believe the probability of success for this trade is above 50%. However, this is NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, and this setup involves significant risk. Make sure to assess whether this trade fits within your risk tolerance and trading strategy before acting.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BardiniCapital
1
NVDIA: Eyes on the long term picture. $400 by end 2025.NVDIA is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.887, MACD = -1.990, ADX = 34.084) but still neutral on 1W (RSI = 54.240), which outlines a strong long-term buy opportunity on this temporary medium-term weakness. The current situation is best viewed on the 1W timeframe where NVDIA has been experiencing since the June High a pause to its bullish trend as the price action turned sideways. This is a situation that the stock is familiar with as it has happened on every Cycle in the last 10 years. The two past Cycles you can see on the chart had the same mid-way sideways consolidation, while at the same time the 1W RSI formed a Channel Down. In both cases the 1W MA50 supported, as it has now. With that trendline holding, NVDIA was able to resume the bullish trend to the 3.5 Fibonacci extension from the consolidation Rectangle. That Fib is now at $400 and that is technically this Cycle's target towards the end of 2025. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
NVDA - Morning Star Reversal pattern at HnS necklineLower High and Lower Low -> Downtrend and Bearish. Slow Turtle Sell signal (Based on daily chart) FiFT is -ve (Stronger Bear) MCDX Institutional volume is high but not active. However, there's Morning Star Pattern (Bullish Reversal pattern) at Head and Shoulder neckline support zone 126-135. Need to move above 140 in short term to regain bull strength otherwise, breaks below neckline will expose next support zone at 115-120 and 1x HnS Target at 100-105 Currently no buy signal yet. Morning Star pattern still in motion. Need confirmation. MONITOR for BoD at 100, 120 or 140
NASDAQ:NVDA
by kgiap123
1
NVDIA Why buying in December is an excellent strategy.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has entered the 2nd half of December below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On any other occasion that would've been alarming, for NVDIA however this presents the best long-term buy opportunity in a while. The reason is simple and has to do with the amazing symmetry that the 2-year Channel Up (which NVDIA has been trading in) displays. Despite breaking below the 1D MA50, the price is still contained within the Channel Up, in fact it is very close to making direct contact with its Higher Lows trend-line. That would be a technical bottom, with the last Support marginally lower on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). On this pattern, we can see that the stock's price action is highly systemic and can be classified into the: a) Accumulation Phase (Rectangle) where the market engages into long-term long positioning again after the Channel Up tops (forms a Higher Highs) and b) the Bull Phase (green Channel Up) where the price enters the aggressive rally of the long-term Channel's Bullish Leg. As you can see, the previous two Bullish Legs have risen by roughly +257.68%, one from the bottom of the Accumulation Phase (Leg 2) and the other from its December bottom (Leg 1). It is also quite evident on this chart that the month of December plays a critical significance for NDVIA. On December 2022 and December 2023 the true rally sequences of the Bullish Legs started. As a result, we can expect this sideways, neutral price action that the company has been having lately to bottom by the end of December (2024) and initiate the hyper aggressive part of the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up). Also, even if it repeats the less aggressive pattern of Leg 2 and rises by +257.68% from the Accumulation Phase's bottom, we can expect to see it rise by as high as $320 by this Summer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
1
NVDA MAKES TEXTBOOK HEAD & SHOULDERS RETRACEAs the Q's bounce a bit today, NVDA has retraced from a break in the neckline (yesterday) of its current Head & shoulders pattern. The possibility of some float upwards still exists, with a what looks to me to be a likely break back down in the near future, so here are some interesting levels of confluence to consider. Note the correlations in support levels (both diagonal and horizontal), trend lines, a long term parallel channel, a fib retrace, and upper resistance levels. While I a greet that NVDA has a bright long-term future, apparent capital rotation, a decrease in demand (should inflation remain steady or increase), unchanged interest rates, and any economic slowdown may push NVDA's near/short term path downward.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by T8terTrader
3
NVDA Analysis in Three Trading Strategies1. GEX Analysis for Options Trading Gamma Levels and Key Insights: * Support Levels: * $130: Major put support, showing strong downside protection. * $128: Next support level (3rd Put Wall). * Resistance Levels: * $134: HVL (High Volatility Level) and pivotal gamma level for upside moves. * $136: Highest NET GEX, indicating a strong resistance zone. * $137–$140: Major call wall resistance. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 38.9, suggesting moderate implied volatility. * Calls %: Moderate at 37.3%, indicating mixed sentiment. Options Strategy: * Bullish: * Buy calls above $134 with a target at $136 and $137. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. * Bearish: * Buy puts below $130 with a target of $128 and $126. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. 2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading Key Observations: * Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish sentiment. * Support and Resistance: * Support at $130, aligned with gamma levels. * Resistance at $134. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with price below both EMAs. * MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downside momentum. Swing/Day Trading Setup: * Bullish: * Entry: Above $134 with volume. * Target: $136 and $137. * Stop-loss: Below $133. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $130. * Target: $128 and $126. * Stop-loss: Above $132. 3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping Key Observations: * Trend: Strong intraday selling pressure with no significant recovery. * Scalping Levels: * Resistance: $131.20. * Support: $130.00. * Volume: * Selling pressure increased during the latter half of the session. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, confirming bearish structure. * MACD: Bearish divergence with no signs of reversal. Scalping Strategy: * Bullish: * Entry: Break above $131.20. * Target: $132.00. * Stop-loss: Below $131.00. * Bearish: * Entry: Break below $130.00. * Target: $129.00. * Stop-loss: Above $130.20. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary. The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse. NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FairValueBuffet