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NVDA trade ideas

NVIDIA: last accumulation before $260 rally.NVIDIA is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.723, MACD = -1.780, ADX = 32.427) as the price is accumulating in preparation for the 2025 rally. We are on a 1D MA50-100 squeeze that looks very much like November 6th 2023. The 1D RSI patterns among those two Bull Flags are also identical and what followed this squeeze was a +150% rally from the last bottom. The trade is long (TP = 260.00) aiming for a full +150% extension. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
2
NVDA on the Radar! High-Potential Setup in Play 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading * Trend Overview: NVDA is currently trading within a descending wedge, with resistance at $133.78 and support near $129.09. The price is consolidating after a pullback, potentially setting up for a breakout move. * Momentum Indicators: * MACD: Bearish momentum has been weakening, with a potential bullish crossover forming. * Stoch RSI: Currently oversold, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound. * Key Levels: * Support: $129.09, $125.00 * Resistance: $133.78, $135.00 * Potential Play: * Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $133.78 could push towards $135-$140. * Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $129.09 could lead to a drop to $125 or lower. GEX Analysis for Options Trading * Gamma Exposure (GEX) Zones: * Bullish Targets: The $135-$140 region aligns with strong call resistance. * Bearish Risk: If price breaks below $129, downside exposure increases, with the next major put wall near $120. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 47.5, slightly elevated, suggesting increasing volatility. * Call Positioning: 44.7%, signaling bullish sentiment. * Put Support Levels: Heavy put support at $120, indicating a key level where buyers may step in. Trading Outlook 📌 NVDA is at a crucial level—traders should watch for a breakout above $133.78 or a rejection leading to $129.09 support. With increasing gamma exposure, a strong move is expected soon. 🔴 Risk Management: * Stop Loss: Below $129 for bullish trades. * Profit Targets: $135, $140+ * Watch for market sentiment shifts before entering positions. 🚀 Traders, keep NVDA on your radar—it’s heating up! 🔥
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
Nvidia - GAP Attack - Starts tomorrowHello Traders, I believe the time has come for Nvidia to attack the Deepseek FUD gap. Nvidia had some consolidation today I believe so it could get into position to head higher the next two days attacking the gap. I also show channels, 200 DMA, Fib price target levels, Dates, Full Moons, Opex and Vix Expiration, and Support/Resistance levels. I have also confirmed this idea with some of my other TA. Could Nvidia and Tesla both move higher the next two days... Im thinking the answer is yes...Well lets see what happens.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TheUniverse618
Nvidia (NVDA) Worth 30x More Than It Is in 2025: BUY!I share a letter I wrote to family regarding the fundamentals and technicals of Nvidia and why Nvidia continues to be a great buy. Fundamentals and Recent Events: I understand your concerns about my investment in the U.S. stock market, especially with the news circulating about DeepSeek and its potential impact on Nvidia. And I heard your concerns with rumors about Nvidia being in a bubble. Let me share my perspective on why I believe this situation presents a unique opportunity, and why for me, this selloff in Nvidia represents an amazing opportunity to load up more shares, as we take advantage of the confusion in the market. So, we all know the news. Recently, a new little kid on the block called DeepSeek (a recent Chinese AI startup) has emerged and hit the news headlines. It introduced its R1 model, an open-source AI application that delivers advanced reasoning capabilities at a fraction of the typical cost. So, the launch of DeepSeek’s chatbot claims to rival top Western models at a fraction of the training cost. This development This spooked investors led to a significant market reaction and a broader tech selloff, with Nvidia's stock experiencing a notable decline. Cisco's researchers point to the much lower budget of DeepSeek compared to rivals as a potential reason for these failings, saying its cheap development came at a "different cost: safety and security." DeepSeek claims its model took just $6 million to develop, while OpenAI's yet-to-be-released GPT-5 is reported to likely cost $500 million. PC Magazine was founded in 1982, and it is a well-known American technology magazine that provides reviews, news, and analysis of the latest hardware, software, and consumer electronics. According to PCMag, Cisco’s research team managed to "jailbreak" DeepSeek R1 model with a 100% attack success rate, using an automatic jailbreaking algorithm in conjunction with 50 prompts related to cybercrime, misinformation, illegal activities, and general harm. This means that DeepSeek, the new kid on the block, failed to stop a single harmful prompt. And I quote: "DeepSeek stacked up poorly compared to many of its competitors in this regard. OpenAI’s GPT-4o has a 14% success rate at blocking harmful jailbreak attempts, while Google’s Gemini 1.5 Pro sported a 35% success rate. Anthropic’s Claude 3.5 performed the second best out of the entire test group, blocking 64% of the attacks, while the preview version of OpenAI's o1 took the top spot, blocking 74% of attempts." Another problem in addition to this is that DeepSeek has been shown to have strong content restrictions—well, but only when it comes to China-related political content. So, this is not a product that scale or be useful for research and getting accurate information, since the information you can get from it is old history and current information is more or less a mix of state-driven propaganda, limited exposure to peer-reviewed research, and a fragmentary sense of historical objectivity. So, the result is a narrow understanding of complex issues, heavily influenced by government-promoted narratives. This myopic view is detrimental to making accurate investment decisions and for gaining an accurate perspective on the world and global issues. Despite this, Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI hardware sector. The company's GPUs are integral to AI development, and even was revealed that DeepSeek's R1 model was trained using Nvidia's H800 series chips! So, Nvidia’s market position is in the AI ecosystem. Let us take a look at the recent drop in Nvidia: Nvidia had a sell from the beginning of in January 2025. Barron’s is a prestigious financial publication that focuses on investing, stock market analysis, and financial news. It is owned by Dow Jones & Company, which also publishes The Wall Street Journal. Barron’s has published an article regarding this called "Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overblown" by Elsa Ohlen (Jan. 28, 2025, 5:24 AM ET, Nvidia Stock Rises. Why DeepSeek AI Worries Are Overdone. - Barron's). According to this article in Barron’s, the recent selloff in Nvidia's stock, while significant, can be viewed as an overreaction. Analysts suggest that such market movements often present buying opportunities, especially for companies with strong fundamentals like Nvidia. Fears of an AI Slowdown Are Overblown! Some analysts, including Citi’s Christopher Danely, argue that concerns about DeepSeek disrupting Nvidia’s growth are exaggerated. Firstly, DeepSeek’s AI model is not built entirely from scratch. Instead, it improves upon existing AI models by using a technique called 'distillation'. What is meant by distillation? It essentially means taking a powerful AI model and making a smaller, more efficient version of it. However, this process still requires access to large-scale computing power and cloud infrastructure. So, DeepSeek still needs cloud computing and high-end chips; and these services rely heavily on Nvidia’s high-performance chips. AI models, even smaller ones, still require a lot of computing power. And this means that even with DeepSeek’s innovation, the demand for Nvidia’s hardware and Nvidia’s AI infrastructure will continue to grow, not shrink. DeepSeek relies on existing AI models using distillation techniques, meaning major cloud service providers and high-end computing remain essential—a sign that AI spending will continue. In the end, Nvidia benefits despite DeepSeek’s existence. Because it is Nvidia’s chips that power DeepSeek’s infrastructure it needs for AI to run. Tell DeepSeek to just buy for Nvidia chips. They’ll need it. Hahaha! Nvidia has seen sharp drops before. From a chartist’s perspective, the selloff in Nvidia is pretty common for Nvidia from its outset, and it is healthy for the market. From the year 2017 until 2025, Nvidia dropped beyond 18% or 20%; and in some cases beyond 30%, approximately 15 times. Two times, it fell beyond 50% in 2018 and 2022. . In fact, out of the 10 largest single-day losses in stock market history, Nvidia alone is responsible for 8 of them; more than any other company. This shows that Nvidia’s stock has historically been volatile in the short term, experiencing massive drops at times. But these declines have historically been followed by strong recoveries, and continued its long-term growth. This proves that these selloffs are actually great buying opportunities. So, just because Nvidia had major sells offs, those previous major selloffs did not indicate long-term decline, and spell the end of the world. Investors who previously bought during these dips often saw significant gains as Nvidia continued to dominate the AI and semiconductor industries. Companies like Meta and Amazon also saw $200 billion+ market value losses in a single day in 2022. In April 2024, META dropped 21%. My alerts were fired up and I made the purchase. From that time to today, META has risen from 420 to 690. It was a good, prudent, purchase. Many were calling it a bubble at that time. But history repeats itself in these US markets where they continue to innovative, grow stamina, have risk appetite and evolution to solve real problems and generate quality products and services for people. Below is a chart showing all those significant drops in Nvidia with black arrows. Weekly Chart: And based on my own analysis, Nvidia looked great last quarter and forward guidance for 2025 looks great also. Not as lofty, but still great. Here is a chart of what I see for the year 2025. The numbers of the left are estimated earnings for 2025. The numbers on the right are estimated sales for 2025. As long as we meet or exceed these calculations, we have nothing to worry about. I will monitor them as the quarterly come along. Question & Answers Session: Question 1 : "NVIDIA's valuation is only so high because of its crazy profit growth, but computing power is hitting a ceiling." ANSWER: Partially true, but computing power isn’t hitting a ceiling—it's evolving. • NVIDIA’s valuation is high because of its dominant role in AI infrastructure and its massive profit growth. • However, the idea that computing power is "hitting a ceiling" isn’t entirely accurate—AI efficiency is improving, but demand for higher computing power is still growing. • New AI models, like DeepSeek’s, show that training can be done more efficiently, but this doesn’t mean we’ve reached a limit on computing power. Conclusion: Computing power isn’t stopping—it’s shifting toward more efficient AI training and inference models. ________________________________________ Question 2: "This isn’t just about DeepSeek—it’s a question of open-source vs. closed-source AI." Answer: Good point—DeepSeek represents a bigger shift in AI development. • DeepSeek’s open-source model challenges NVIDIA’s dominance, since it reduces reliance on proprietary AI stacks like CUDA and NVIDIA GPUs. • Companies like Microsoft, Google, and Meta may start investing more in open-source models, which could shift the AI landscape over time. • However, DeepSeek alone won’t make this happen overnight—broad adoption of open-source AI and alternative hardware is required, and most AI companies still rely on NVIDIA. 🔹 Conclusion: Open-source AI is an important trend, but it hasn’t displaced NVIDIA yet. ________________________________________ Question 3: "DeepSeek is already working on supporting Huawei’s GPUs, and that’s happening fast. Within 1-2 years, Huawei could take NVIDIA’s spot in China at the very least." ANSWER: That is speculative—Huawei is improving, but replacing NVIDIA in 1-2 years is unlikely. • DeepSeek is optimizing for Huawei GPUs, which is expected given U.S. export restrictions on NVIDIA chips. • However, Huawei’s AI chips (like Ascend) are still behind NVIDIA’s in performance, and catching up will take time. • Past Chinese AI chip development has lagged by 3+ years compared to NVIDIA, and even if Huawei gains ground in China, NVIDIA’s global leadership remains secure for now. 🔹 Conclusion: Huawei may gain market share in China, but it’s not overtaking NVIDIA worldwide anytime soon. ________________________________________ Question 4: "NVIDIA’s insane profit margins won’t last forever." ANSWER: True—but NVIDIA’s margins are still strong for now. • NVIDIA’s high margins come from its dominance in AI chips and proprietary software (CUDA), which makes switching away from NVIDIA difficult. • DeepSeek shows that AI models can be trained more cheaply, which could put long-term pressure on NVIDIA’s pricing. • However, NVIDIA is still critical for AI training and inference, and demand for GPUs is growing, so their margins won’t collapse overnight. Conclusion: Margins may decline in the future, but NVIDIA remains highly profitable in the short term. ________________________________________ Question 5: "The AI hype bubble is something everyone knows about. DeepSeek is just the first to poke a hole in it—there will be plenty more doing the same soon." ANSWER: Overstated—AI spending is still growing, and NVIDIA isn’t collapsing. • Yes, there’s an AI hype cycle, and some stocks may be overvalued. • DeepSeek’s low-cost model surprised investors, but AI investment is still increasing. • Big tech companies (Microsoft, Google, Meta) are doubling down on AI spending in 2025-2026, and NVIDIA remains a major player. Conclusion: DeepSeek is an early warning of AI cost reductions, not the end of the AI boom. Technicals: Weekly: Engulfing Bullish candle at 61.8% Fib support Expectation: 200 to 250 by end of 2025
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Rocketman
1
Elliott Wave View: Nvidia (NVDA) Looking for a Double CorrectionShort term Elliott Wave suggests the all-time high in Nvidia (NVDA) at 152.89 ended wave ((1)). Dips in wave ((2)) unfolded as an expanded Flat. Down from wave ((1)), wave (A) ended at 128.22 and wave (B) ended at 153.13. Down from there, wave 1 ended at 129.11 and wave 2 ended at 149.1. Wave 3 lower ended at 116.7 and wave 4 ended at 131.99. Wave 5 lower ended at 113 which completed wave (C) of ((2)) in higher degree. The 30 minutes chart below shows the pullback in wave ((2)). The stock has turned higher in wave ((3)), but it still needs to break above wave ((1)) peak at 152.89 to rule out any double correction. Up from wave ((2)), wave ((i)) ended at 119 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 115.33. The stock rallied higher in wave ((iii)) towards 130.37 and dips in wave ((iv)) ended at 125. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 135 which completed wave 1. Wave 2 pullback is now in progress to correct cycle from 2.3.2025 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the next leg higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 113 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
Nvidia - This Will Change Everything!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is creating a massive breakdown: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past decade, Nvidia has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly following major rally and retracement cycles. But now we are starting to see some weakness on Nvidia and a break below the smaller timeframe support trendline will lead to a massive move lower. Levels to watch: $110, $60 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
33
NVIDIA: A Strong Company Facing Short-Term Downward PressureNVIDIA is undeniably a powerhouse in the tech industry, driven by cutting-edge innovation and robust market presence. However, in the short term, I anticipate the price to move towards the lower boundary of a descending channel trend observed in its recent market performance. This analysis reflects my personal perspective and does not constitute investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by datavanza
NVDIA (Y25.P1.E1).Diagonal Wave 5 in progressHi traders, Some time back I made a call for the top and it turned out to be wave 3. Link below. Now we see that it fits into a rising wedge and more like a distribution structure. I'm still expecting a rejection around here at the 618 fib or 0.786 fib. This is likely the last phase of the structure and then we will look for a ABC or 12345 wave count for the bearish component. Hence it fits well that we peak in 2025 and then the Trump policies will bring some pain and potentially globally. We see the data come out and the stats of the US job or unemployment was all lies. Hence we will see a recession or some pain in the near future. As for NVIDIA, DeepSeek has caused pain and the likes of other AI from China might dint NVIDIA uptrend in the near future. All the best. S.SAri
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ssari
NVDA Breakout Incoming? Key Trade Setups for This Week!Technical Analysis (TA) 📌 Current Price: $133.15 📌 Resistance Levels: * $135.00 (Short-term resistance) * $140.00 (GEX Call Wall & potential breakout zone) * $153.00 (Major resistance from past price action) 📌 Support Levels: * $130.41 (First key support) * $124.98 (Stronger support zone if price pulls back) * $120.00 (Critical level near put walls) 📌 Trend Overview: * NVDA has been trending strongly bullish, forming an ascending wedge structure. * MACD shows momentum losing strength, suggesting potential consolidation or pullback. * Stoch RSI is cooling off, indicating a possible dip before another leg up. 📌 Potential Price Action: * Bullish Scenario: If NVDA breaks above $135, the next target is $140. A sustained breakout above $140 could send it to $153 in the coming weeks. * Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold above $130 could trigger a retest of $124 or lower to $120. Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Analysis 📊 IVR: 44 🔹 IVx Avg: 59.5
🔹 Call Side Dominance: 43.9%
🔹 Put Side Pressure: -5.83% 📌 Key GEX Levels: * $140 – Strong Call Wall (Major resistance, gamma squeeze zone) * $130 – Mild Support, watch for buyers * $120-$118 – Highest negative GEX, strong put positioning 📌 Implication: * Above $135, NVDA could see acceleration toward $140 due to gamma squeezes. * A rejection at $135 might trigger a pullback to $130. * Heavy put support around $120-$118, meaning downside could be limited unless major selling pressure emerges. Trading Plan 💡 For Bulls: * Entry: $135 breakout with volume * Target 1: $140 * Target 2: $153 * Stop-loss: Below $130 💡 For Bears: * Entry: $135 rejection with weak momentum * Target 1: $130 * Target 2: $124 * Stop-loss: Above $136 Final Thoughts * NVDA has strong bullish momentum but is approaching key resistance levels. * Options flow supports bullish continuation above $135. * Watch for volume confirmation on any breakout! 📉 Risk management is key—don’t chase breakouts without confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA Price Rebalance to 132$You most likely already know that most retail traders lose money. With the fear of new cost efficient AI news most people shorted NVIDIA. Whatever the name of the AI and whichever the country it is and however efficient it is, it will still run on hardware and as of now NVIDIA is the biggest hardware maker. This is the chance to buy since price did not go down in a healthy price action. We expect a recovery to equilibrium of the inefficient drop of price at 132$ Please comment any questions you have. Happy and safe trading!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeConfirmed
4