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NVDA trade ideas

IM BEARISH ON NVIDIA WITH A TARGET OF $55.00. HERE IS WHY:NVIDIA (NVDA) Known for their GPUs, recently has experienced a decline in asset price. Trump tariff's may have been a bearish news catalyst, but do the technicals show a bigger bearish picture? 1 Day chart: While the RSI recently signaled oversold conditions, the RSI line looks to be crossing down the RSI based moving average. Furthermore the 200 Day EMA and 65 Day EMAs appear to be forming a death cross. DMI is still indicating bearish, and the ADX is still above 20. With recent political news, the tech company has been working on bolstering their U.S based production. But with inflation cooling (6 month low) , I believe many high performing blue chip stocks may see a dip as traders and institutions price in deflation, new news and political events. My opinion on a target is $55.00 , and there is significant open interest on long puts for this price that are expiring in the coming months. Will NVIDIA pull out of this downtrend? Or will it become a great value buy for investors? Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is our integrated analysis based on all available model reports. ────────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF KEY POINTS FROM EACH MODEL • Grok/xAI Report – Technical indicators on lower timeframes (5‐minute) have shown short‑term weakness (price below the 10‑period EMA and bearish MACD) while the daily chart remains more neutral to slightly bullish. – The max pain level ($110.00) lies below the current price ($112.20), suggesting there could be some pull‐back pressure. – With mixed signals and elevated volatility, the analysis does not provide a strong directional conviction – hence no trade was recommended. • Llama/Meta Report – The shorter‑term (5‑minute) technicals indicate a bearish setup (MACD below signal, RSI near 45) despite the daily chart’s support from above‑average prices, supporting a slight downside bias. – The report favors a put option (near ATM), suggesting that an option between the current price and the max pain level may capture a potential move downwards. – Their setup initially mentioned the possibility of a trade “if premium is acceptable.” • Gemini/Google Report – Detailed multi‑timeframe analysis points to:  ○ Immediate (M5) weakness (price trading below very short‑term EMAs and with bearish MACD signal),  ○ Negative catalyst from export restrictions and the high–yet falling–VIX, and  ○ A gravitational pull toward $110 (the max pain). – This model’s analysis is moderately bearish and recommends buying a weekly naked put. – Their trade plan suggests buying a put with a strike near $111 (which sits between the current price and max pain) with an entry at market open, a target premium gain of roughly 80–100% and a stop loss at about 50% of the premium. • DeepSeek Report – Also reviews technicals and sentiment inputs but concludes that conflicting signals and incomplete options data render a clear trade decision uncertain f or today.   • The report leans toward “no trade” until further clarity is available. ────────────────────────────── AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement points:  – Most analyses agree that NVDA is trading a strong 5‑day rally and that, with the max pain level set at $110.00, there’s potential for a pullback.  – All reports also note the mixed technical picture when viewing short‑term versus daily charts.  – The immediate (intraday) indicators (M5 MACD, EMAs) lean toward weakness, even if the longer‑term trend remains less clear. • Disagreements:  – Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward “no trade” given the ambiguity and risk, whereas Llama/Meta and Gemini/Google see a moderate bearish opportunity.  – The recommended strike levels differ slightly: one report referenced the ATM region near $112 while the more detailed Gemini/Google plan suggests a slightly lower strike ($111) to better capture a potential move toward max pain. ────────────────────────────── CONCLUSION & RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction Consensus: • Although there is no unanimity, the preponderance of evidence—especially the short‑term technical weakness, the negative export restrictions news, elevated (but falling) volatility, and the max pain setup—leans toward a moderately bearish bias for today’s session. Recommended Trade: • We recommend a weekly naked put option trade (using only weekly options) if NVDA trades within or near our expected range at the open. • Best execution is near market open provided the premium falls into or near our target range ($0.30–$0.60, allowing for slight flexibility). • Specifically, purchase a $111 put expiring on April 17, 2025, which places you between the current trading level and the $110 max pain level. • Entry Timing: At market open. • Confidence Level: Approximately 65% • Key risk factors include:  – The inherent conflict between short‐term and longer‐term signals,  – Possibility of the stock continuing its r ecent rally (or failing to reach down near $110), and  – Extreme theta decay and premium volatility with only one day to expiration. • Trade Parameters (example):  – Entry premium target about $0.50 per contract (if within acceptable range),  – Profit target set around $0.90 (roughly an 80% gain on premium), and  – Stop loss around $0.25 (50% of entry premium). ────────────────────────────── TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 111.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 0.90, "stop_loss": 0.25, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.50, "entry_timing": "open" }
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by henryzhang99
Is it finally time for a rally?Looking at NVIDIA (NVDA) on the weekly chart over the past two years, a significant gap up becomes apparent around April, which persisted for much of the year. Considering the recent news and the stock's pullbacks lately, this may be the moment for NVDA to resume its upward grind. The coming weeks will reveal its direction. Additionally, it's worth noting the formation of a massive bull pennant on the weekly chart. If history repeats itself and this pattern holds, the next 2 to 6 weeks could prove to be a thrilling period for NVDA.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by impossiblebull
NVIDIA ---> The jorney TO ---> 90s and 80s (UPDATED) PART 2Okay guys. Here is my UPDATED idea (just dont know how to insert an updated chart in the previous exsiting idea). I think it could be usful, CAUSE many guys burning for bullish. I was straight bearish in the first part of idea, but here is some corrections cause of Trump canceled the additonal tarrifs for import from China, for critical technologies such as semiconductors, chips, smartphones and laptops. So I assume the price can go first up to 113 and go down or even touch 117 and then the "Journey" at least to 90s and even 80s. As we see the lines of resistance in that areas on the chart. The dead line for the price reversal is Tuesday, April 15 (in my opinion). My technical analysis telling me this. Let's watch what will happen.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by jackan1133
NVIDIA (NVDA): Oversold or Start of a Larger Correction?Overview & Market Context NVIDIA just saw a major sell-off, dropping around 7% in a single session and slicing below key support levels. This abrupt move has raised questions: Is NVDA oversold enough for a bounce, or are we at the onset of a broader bearish trend? High trading volume suggests significant institutional distribution, so caution is warranted for both bulls and bears. 1. Price Action & Volume * NVDA closed near the $94.31 mark after the sharp decline. * Volume spiked (~532M), confirming that large players have been active—often a sign of heightened volatility and potential trend changes. 2. Moving Averages * The 200-day SMA sits near $127.07, which NVDA fell below decisively. Historically, losing the 200-day often signals a medium-term bearish bias, making it a key level to watch on any rebound attempts. 3. RSI & Momentum * The RSI on the daily timeframe is hovering around the high-20s, indicating oversold conditions. While this can lead to a short-term bounce, oversold can remain oversold if negative momentum persists. Key Levels to Watch Immediate Resistance: * $96–$100 Range: Minor overhead supply; if price rallies here, watch to see if it rolls over again. * $105–$110: This region aligns with prior support-turned-resistance. A strong push above $110 would challenge the bearish thesis. Primary Support Targets * $90 (Psychological Marker): Could be the first zone for a pause or bounce. * $82.89 (“Half 1 Short” from algorithmic levels): A logical next stop if the sell-off continues. * $76 Area: Deep support from earlier consolidation zones; if selling intensifies, the stock may reach these levels. Potential Trade Setups 1. Bearish Continuation (Short) Entry: * On a weak bounce into the $96–$100 zone, or * A breakdown below $94 on strong volume. Stop Loss: * Conservative approach: Above $105–$110, where a bullish reversal could invalidate the short setup. Profit Targets: * $90 (near-term psychological level), * $82.89 (algorithmic short target), * $76 (longer-term support). 2. Contrarian Bounce (Long) * Entry: Around $90 or upon a clear intraday reversal signal (e.g., a bullish engulfing candle on strong volume). * Stop Loss: Below $88 to reduce risk of a deeper flush. * Profit Targets: * $96–$100 (short-term push), * Extended target near $105–$110 if momentum sharply reverses. Thought Process & Strategy * The extreme volume and steep decline reflect a high-conviction move. Usually, when you see volume spikes on a breakdown, it suggests institutional selling, meaning rallies may be met with further supply. * However, the oversold reading (RSI in the high-20s) hints that a bounce might come soon—though it could be short-lived unless macro or fundamental conditions shift. * Clearly defining both bullish and bearish scenarios—along with exact stop-loss levels—removes emotion and helps avoid “decision paralysis.” Trading is about probabilities, not certainties. Final Notes * Risk Management: Always size positions so that a single trade does not jeopardize your account. * Emotional Control: These levels are algorithmically defined, aiming to reduce subjective bias. Watch how price reacts at each support/resistance zone. * Stay Vigilant: With elevated volatility, rapid intraday swings are possible. Monitor real-time price action for confirmation. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Perform your own due diligence, and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by HispanicHedge
NVDA 09-04-2025NVDA fighting for its life trying not to establish confirmation on another bearish trend but price movement will probably continue lower. How much lower remains uncertain but the old support is turning into an established resistance line more and more by the day. If price does a retest and now established a down trend price movement will probably gain enough momentum to move down quite strong. However i will wait and see what price trend the price movement establishes into and then make my position. I would much rather just wait til the bearish trend reverses and buy many shares then for a greater profit margin on my bullish entry then hold a bad short position with uncertain price movements as the NVDA chart right stands as. NASDAQ:NVDA
NASDAQ:NVDA
by alfie_olaison
NVDA Major Trend BreakNVDA finally broke down below its major uptrend it has been in since February 2024. It did move below briefly recently during the DeepSeek sell off, but quickly reclaimed. This time it has fallen much farther below so I'd say it's a bit more concerning for bulls. It did bounce and hold right around that low it made the last time it broke, but this looks like a stronger break that has a better chance of staying below. This is mission critical for the broader market and if it can't reclaim quickly, it is likely a signal of a longer term correction for the stock itself and the entire market. It will be very important to watch moving forward. First downside targets are 97.40 (previous double top and ATH) and 90.69 (August 2024 low).
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock. Cont. down?NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock – Breakdown or Bounce? 🧠 Macro Backdrop: Today’s broad market sell-off was triggered by news of Trump proposing tariffs, sparking risk-off sentiment, especially in tech and semiconductors like NVDA. The fear of supply chain inflation and global trade disruption hit momentum stocks hard. This news matters because: * NVDA is a major global chip exporter. * Tariffs = higher costs + weaker margins = bearish for NVDA fundamentals. * Institutions are rapidly de-risking, confirmed by volume + options flow. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * NVDA broke back below the 108 support — now acting as resistance. * Price is currently sitting around 104.13, probing the gamma support band and near a key demand level at 104–105. * This level coincides with PUT Support and HVL zone, meaning dealers might defend here, if they aren’t forced to hedge further. Trend: * Short-term: Bearish. * Price rejected from the 114–115 CALL wall cluster (Gamma Ceiling). * Forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming distribution + breakdown structure. 🔥 GEX + Options Flow Analysis Dealer Positioning: * GEX: 🔴🔴 — strong negative gamma zone, meaning dealers short gamma and are selling into weakness. * As price drops, dealers sell more → amplifying downside moves. * Current GEX Setup: * Highest positive NETGEX/Call Resistance at 114–115 → unlikely to reclaim this without catalyst. * Put Support near 104.6, aligning with today’s bounce attempt. Options Data: * IVR: 23 → relatively low. * IVx avg: 54.5 vs current IVx = 23 → volatility is still compressed despite crash. * CALLS only 6.5% → very bearish skew. * Put Wall at: * 104.6 (support) — holding for now. * 100 — if 104 breaks, this is the next magnet. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🐻 Bearish Continuation: * Trigger: Breakdown below 104 support zone. * Target: 100 psychological + PUT Wall (high confluence). * Stop: Close above 108. * Notes: Watch for macro headlines to further accelerate this breakdown. 🐂 Relief Bounce Setup: * Trigger: Strong bounce and reclaim of 108 with volume. * Target: 110 → 112 retest (low probability unless sentiment shifts). * Invalidation: New low below 104 with momentum. 📌 Commentary: This chart perfectly reflects a dealer-driven gamma crash fueled by a macro catalyst. NVDA was already in a downtrend, and today’s tariff news created the conditions for: * Breaking demand structure. * Triggering delta hedging from dealers. * Pushing price into low-liquidity zones near PUT walls. The bounce off 104 may be short-lived unless macro fear eases. ⚠️ Final Take: * Bias: Bearish below 108. * If 104 breaks, look for a flush to 100. * Volume confirms institutional exit, and options data shows dealers are selling rips, not buying dips. 📉 Trade Idea: Buy PUTS (1–2 weeks out) if price rejects 108 retest.
Strike: 102P or 100P
Stop: SPOT above 109
Target: $100–$101 zone This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1