Strong Q3 growth, global expansion, consistent earnings beatsQuadruple-quarter earnings beat, average surprise ~30.6% — a sign of consistent delivery
Q3 fiscal growth:
Animal Health up 42% YoY (68% MFA sales boost)
Mineral Nutrition up 4%
Performance Products up 28%
Global reach: ~40% of revenues from markets outside the U.S., including key emerging regions like Brazil, India, China, Southeast Asia, etc. (consider risk because of Tariffs)
Valuation:
P/E ≈ 36x (TTM), though forward P/E shrinks to ~11.6x
PEG ≈ 0.5 — suggests undervaluation relative to growth
P/S ≈ 1x
Macroeconomic headwinds: inflation, FX volatility, supply-chain disruptions, geopolitical instability on tariffs (e.g., Russia-Ukraine conflict) may pressure profitability
PAHC trade ideas
PAHC: One's Meat Or Poison ?PAHC has been consolidating some of its gains since its near term low formed in Apr 2017.
Prices appears to be forming a 3 wave A-B-C correction which might have already been completed or sub-divide a bit down further before resuming its uptrend.
Average turnover has been decreasing steadily since Minuette Wave (iv) started.
Prices have found support around the 50% fibonacci retracement.
If Wave (iv) is not completed, it should do so very soon without retracing downwards much further.
If prices makes it way down further towards 38.2% fib retracement and finding support, I am not ruling out the prospect of sub-minuette ii forming instead.
However a strong break down of 38.2% fib retracement will bring more bearish implications, which I will then review and discuss.
Till then, the bias is still to the upside.