PLUG- book value is 2x higher- Asset PlayPLUG has a stated tangible book value 2x from current price.
Fundamentals:
Its still a cashflow negative, money loser.
Analysts expect the loss to be only -0.60 this year, down from -1.22 last year.
Analysts dont expect positive earnings until 2029.
Technicals:
Rsi is low, and possible bullish divergence, because momentum trend my be shifting neutral from its bearish trend.
Sentiment:
sentiment is low, meme stock players dont seem to care about PLUG like they used to, and TRUMP has definitely switched the energy narrative to pro oil vs alternatives.
TRADE-
long low rsi, and target tangible book value. 100% exit if target or partial met.
I wont be in this one for a decade like Celsius or other growth stocks, because this is an asset play.
I tend to avoid money losing businesses, unless they are deeply below tangible book value. Ive done this trade before on PLUG, it worked, so Im happy to try it again.
Im long options in the money, target tangible book value around 3.00 price.
PLUG trade ideas
PLUG power consolidation completed! Buy setupBuying now at discount levels near structural support. Expecting bullish thesis to be solidified once we recover above 1.9-2.2 levels.
Expecting fairly rapid progression to gap fill targets by 2026.
Strongly likely we see 6$ before summer 2025 & 10-12$ levels by end of yr
Planning to scale out of buy positions primarily at 10-12$ range. Will leave remainder for long term speculation for possible 14-20$ levels.
Plug long after the correction (Under Valued by 30%)Tgt: 4.90 based on technicals
partial take profit: 4.52 intrinsic Value
Wallstreet Tgt: $3.1
Reason --> News: The Treasury Department issued new rules on Friday for companies trying to get tax breaks for making clean hydrogen — a fuel that could make some of the world's dirtiest industries "green."
Competitor alternative stock PSE:BLOOM , did not trade Bloom due to overvaulation
Info:
In the heart of the green energy revolution, Plug Power Inc. has carved out a niche as a pioneer and leader in hydrogen fuel cell technology. Founded in 1997, the company initially faced skepticism about hydrogen’s viability but persisted in developing robust solutions that harness the power of this abundantly available element. Plug Power's primary focus is on producing fuel cells that replace conventional batteries in equipment and vehicles powered by electricity. These fuel cells use hydrogen in an electrochemical process to create energy, where hydrogen combines with oxygen to produce electricity, with water as the only byproduct. This innovation is a game-changer in the push towards sustainable industrial applications, offering a cleaner alternative to fossil fuels without sacrificing performance.
Fuel Cell Systems
Hydrogen Infrastructure
Energy Services
Electrolyzers
Stationary Power
Fundamentals:
Long term future: Hold/Sell
Bad deal with Amazon selling products in loss
Pontential Revenue increase till 2027 and improvement
Cashflow: Negative over the next 10year so bad future coming
Gross Profit: Negative -612m
Revenue Growth: Negative
Net Income: Negtive -1.4B
Solvency: Long-term 50/50 (short term no worries)
Technicals:
Stock down 90% Big Picture
A jump after News and short-term correction
Getting recjected by VAH and Fib and almost VWAP
Plug Power (PLUG): Early Signals of a Possible RecoveryPlug Power (PLUG) recently crossed above the EMA 200 and is now trading close to this key level. Furthermore, a long-term trendline, combined with supportive oscillator signals, suggests the potential formation of a bottom. The daily EMAs and SMAs indicate an even more compelling setup in the European XETRA trading sessions. This sets up an intriguing scenario where PLUG could experience a dynamic upward movement in the near future.
Clean Energy Surge!Plug Power (PLUG) is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $2.25 level. A breakout above the $2.98 weekly resistance would signal continued strength, positioning the stock to target $5.13. This trade offers a compelling risk-to-reward ratio, with downside risk managed through a stop-loss at $1.98.
As a pioneer in hydrogen fuel cell solutions, Plug Power is well-positioned to benefit from the growing shift toward clean energy and sustainable technologies. With increasing adoption of hydrogen solutions across industrial, transportation, and energy markets, the company’s innovative products and partnerships strengthen its long-term growth potential.
This combination of technical momentum and favorable market trends supports a bullish push toward $5.13, presenting a strong opportunity for both traders and investors.
NASDAQ:PLUG
plugPlug Power Inc. (PLUG) appears to be nearing the end of its bearish trend, based on the principles of the Wyckoff method. Over the past three weeks, I have observed a significant increase in trading volumes, which could indicate a classic accumulation phase.
Key Levels and Targets:
Key Resistance: $2.65 – A breakout above this level, confirmed with strong volumes, would signal the completion of accumulation and the beginning of a markup phase.
First Price Target: $5.00 – This represents a significant upside potential in line with the anticipated upward momentum.
Supporting Factors:
Volume Activity: Recent weeks show increasing volumes, suggesting strong buyer interest.
Wyckoff Structure: The current price action aligns with the final stages of the accumulation phase and anticipates a possible breakout.
Traders and investors should monitor the $2.65 level closely for confirmation of this scenario. A successful breakout could open the path toward the $5.00 target in the coming sessions.
PLUG Powering Up For A Breakout?!Here I have NASDAQ:PLUG on the Daily Chart!
We can see that Monday, November 4th gave us a Very Bullish break to the Falling Resistance Price has been contained by forming the Wedge Pattern and with the Bullish Volume following the Break, gives this pattern a Bullish Bias after the strong decline since Jan. 2021.
The push for Greener and Cleaner way of Living and Transportation has the world in High Search for Electric Alternative means of fuel and along the pathway of Lithium and Rare Earth Metals is a new theory of Hydrogen powered Fuel Cells!
Currently Price is at $2.52, struggling with a Local Resistance Level after Price reached a new 4-Year Low @ $1.60, close to All Time Low @ .1155 visited in Jan. 2013. With the tight consolidation underneath the Falling Resistance followed with a Break candle and Close candle Above of the Falling Resistance, Confirms a Valid Break of said Falling Resistance and indicates Bullish Sentiment entering the market.
-Now, we must wait to see if Price decides to retest the Break of Falling Resistance around ( $2.25 - $2.20 ) and if Supported successfully, would generate a great Buying Opportunity!
-If Price does found Support here, I suspect Price we will run into Resistance @ ( $3.55 - $ 3.22 ) then will aim for the Fair Value Gap formed @ ( $5.58 - $5.14 )
Indicators:
- RSI Crossing 50
- Large Bullish Volume
Plug Power's Trend May Be Reversing Upward: First Target at $5NASDAQ:PLUG has lost 98% of its value since the beginning of 2021. Despite three corrections during this period, a trend reversal has not occurred.
However, the demand seen since September 2024 indicates that the price might be in a trend reversal phase.
If this is the case, the first price target is expected to be $5. Should the upward trend continue, the second target could be $7.5.
PLUG Potential Bottom Plug Power Inc. is an American company specializing in the development of hydrogen fuel cell systems and related technologies. Established in 1997 and headquartered in Latham, New York, Plug Power focuses on creating solutions for the production, storage, and distribution of green hydrogen. The company's technologies are designed to replace conventional batteries in electric-powered equipment and vehicles, particularly in logistics and transportation industries.
Additionally, it is building an ecosystem for green hydrogen production and distribution to support industries such as e-mobility and renewable energy.
The company has gained attention as a leader in the transition to clean energy, with strategic partnerships and expansions in global markets as part of its growth strategy.
Looking through the technicals, I have split up the chart in ranges to give me an idea where major volume steps in to move the stock.At the moment, we can notice that we are bouncing from the previous range POC, which is the largest amount of volume traded in the stock at approx $1.96.
We can also see the volume at the bottom of my chart starting to curl to the upside, which may indicate that the bottom is either reached or close to being reached.
I like the idea of holding the POC as a reversal point, and potentially rotate back to the highs at $65. Albiet, it could be quite a while before that point is reached, so I will take a set it and forget it approach for this trade with small capital and small risk.
There are several other reasons why Plug Power (PLUG) has potential for growth, based on its business model, industry trends, and market position:
1. Expanding Green Hydrogen Market
The global shift toward renewable energy and decarbonization positions Plug Power favorably as a leader in green hydrogen technology.
Hydrogen is increasingly recognized as a key component of the clean energy mix, especially for hard-to-decarbonize sectors like heavy industry, aviation, and shipping.
2. Strategic Partnerships
Plug Power has established partnerships with major companies such as Amazon, Walmart, and Airbus, which could help drive revenue growth and expand its market presence.
Collaborations with international energy firms bolster its global hydrogen infrastructure footprint.
3. Growing Demand for Fuel Cell Technology
Plug Power’s hydrogen fuel cells offer advantages like faster refueling times and longer operational durations compared to traditional batteries, making them attractive in logistics and transportation.
The company is well-positioned to benefit from increased adoption of hydrogen fuel cells in sectors like material handling (e.g., forklifts) and commercial vehicles.
4. Government Support for Clean Energy
Policies and incentives in the U.S. (e.g., the Inflation Reduction Act) and other countries support green hydrogen production, making Plug Power eligible for tax credits and funding.
The EU and other regions are investing heavily in hydrogen to meet climate goals, creating a favorable policy environment.
5. Vertical Integration
Plug Power is not only producing hydrogen fuel cells but also building an integrated hydrogen ecosystem, including production, storage, and distribution infrastructure.
This end-to-end approach allows the company to capture value across the hydrogen supply chain and ensures long-term competitive advantages.
6. Recent Financial Commitments and Growth Plans
Plug Power has invested heavily in scaling up its hydrogen production capacity, targeting 500 tons per day of green hydrogen by 2025. This could significantly boost revenues.
The company projects aggressive revenue growth over the next few years, aiming to expand its presence in emerging markets.
7. Global Expansion
Plug Power is pursuing international expansion in Europe and Asia, both of which are prioritizing hydrogen adoption as part of their energy transitions.
Risks to Consider:
While the growth potential is strong, risks like execution challenges, high capital expenditures, competition, and the volatility of hydrogen adoption rates should be monitored.
In summary, Plug Power’s potential lies in its leadership position in the growing hydrogen economy, coupled with supportive global trends and strategic investments. If it executes well on its growth strategies, the company could see significant upside.
Taking trade in Plug based on technical and value signalsTechnical- seeing buying sign in volume and crossing significant moving averages.
Deep Value- current below tangible book value, meaning there are more hard assets and cash on the books than the stock price reflects.
Earnings power- stock loses money for a handful of year before it breaks even, but on a 10 year view it become profitable, giving an exit if stock doesnt rise in short term.
Typically on tangible book value plays, id look for a 2x with small odds of more.
Ideally I will sell half at 2x and keep the remainder 1/2 for free for long term.
PLUG Plug Power Inc. develops hydrogen fuel cell systems aimed at replacing conventional batteries in electric vehicles and equipment .The company focuses on clean energy solutions, particularly hydrogen technology, which reduces carbon emissions. They serve industries like material handling and stationary power, helping drive the transition to more sustainable energy sources.