QQQ trade ideas
QQQ BEARISH ALT I can say it still has Validity under EW Bearish alt wave structure in QQQ and SP 500 in the QQQ we are having issues into .618 and I can label it as ending a 5 waves up and it forms an ABC rally . . Mind you the Put/call gave a buy on a 20 day but now the 5 day is setup for a Sell . I am worried in what the mixed signals are presenting me with . So I will just maintain in Cash now not short or long outside of MSFT june calls and I will sell aug 430 calls again to pull in a premium . I will be clear in the structure the MATH is valid under both .
Rising wedge short appearing on hourlyI spoke earlier on a short position I opened earlier today. I am watching market action I am seeing what appears to be a rising wedge forming. We do have Core Retail coming out tomorrow so we could see some good Momo to make a nice move in either direction. price action looks to be setting up for a downside move
$QQQ #IslandBottom #BullishWith inflation coming in soft. Major Market Shakeout. And this Technical "Island" , we really could have set a temporary bottom in Tech.
My calls have been poop lately, lost on NVDA puts, broke stop rules, paid price.
#PerfectlyImperfect
-Proph
(I am human, sorry if anyone followed me, but I mention #StayLight)
$QQQ The Nasdaq is at a Critical level NASDAQ:QQQ at a Critical level
QQQ is at a critical level just above the 35 EMA. It's really easy to see how to 35 EMA defines either the app or the downtrend depending on whether we are above or underneath it. Watching this level carefully as this could be a place where the market rolls over for a long overdue touchdown with the one week 200 moving average currently at 352.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-12: Gap/Breakaway PatternWatch this video to learn why the Vortex Rally is building a base and why it is important that price stay above the 0.382 and 0.50 Fibonacci price levels as the base forms.
You'll see how these Fibonacci price structures are key components to all of my research and how to use them efficiently.
Fibonacci Price Theory teaches us price is always attempting to reach new highs and/or new lows. Additionally, price moves in only two modes : Trending or Flagging.
When you completely understand the mechanics of price and how price attempts to operate (see above), then you can pick apart charts very easily.
Currently, price is moving higher (establishing new higher highs) and may attempt to break through the downward 0.382 & 0.50 ceilings as the Vortex Rally base continues to build.
Stay cautious this week as we may see extended price volatility. There will be a huge opportunity (sweet spot) for traders over the next 60+ days to catch more of this big Vortex Rally phase.
Get some
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
QQQ Bear Flag Trade IdeasQQQ is very similar to SPY as usual. Same bear flag and overall.structure. We have last week's highs above along with a gap fill and the top end of its bear flag. If QQQ.rejects from here, I'd expect it to go.back and test last week's low which is also the April low.
I can't stress the importance of the April low enough, there's a reason NQ saw two bounces at that exact spot. Bulls must defend that area or else. If we break below and stay below, that's a confirmed bear market in my eyes. Why? Because it would be the first major lower low on QQQ or SPY since October of 2023. That would mean the uptrend from then is now over and we'll move into a downtrend for.who knows how long.
The April low.is the difference between this being a correction versus an extended bear market that may accelerate faster than you'd think.
QQQ Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for QQQ is below:
The market is trading on 450.55 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 467.96
Recommended Stop Loss - 440.00
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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Retroactive Fib study on QQQTrue to form, large volume and hot markets tend to respect fibs on longer term time frames. If you look at the 2021 swing high and 2022 swing low, you will note the golden ratio (1.618 fib) was the most recent local top for QQQ. This is how I was able to call relatively close local tops on both NVDA and TSLA. This does not always pan out, but if youre in a leveraged trade these are logical end points.
-QQQ has already come back to my momentum trend line (teal)
-I expect higher in general from here maybe 525 before a long slow bleed all of next year
QQQ Critical Resistance TestMuch line NQ, QQQ has an ascending channel/wedge. I consider this 450 area to be incredibly important for price action in the near future. This is similar to what we're seeing on ES as well. There are a lot of names that have retraced the dump from Monday and are sitting right where they started.
This is make or break for bears. Bears have not had the best time over the past year, but finally got some relief this week. I think we're at a critical spot where if bears can't hold, they're just going to get squeezed again. If they manage to push QQQ back down below Monday's and April's lows, they may finally turn this thing around and send it down for the majority of this fall.
QQQ - Couple Longs BROS OLED On a short term time frame (1 hour candles) the Q's are trying to break the 448 level we have spoken about earlier this week. I am daytrading the Q's right now long based on this setup with a tight stop at the lower end of the consolidation.
However that is not what this is about. I am taking position trades in OLED and BROS buying some stock, and also going long DITM Calls. Just cheaper than buying outright.
BROS
Long 100 shares @ 30.19
Buy to Open SEP20 25C @ 5.80
OLED
Sell to open AUG16 165P @ 2.23
Buy to Open SEP20 140C @ 30.89
I also added a few stocks to my long term portfolio buying
AMZN - Add
BLDR - New Position
OLED - Add
And selling some of my LMT just to trim into the rally it had.
QQQ - Closed for a LossClosed out the QQQ short and options trade. Taking my loss and looking for longs here.
As I mentioned 448 is the key level for bulls, taking it out after the open is a sign that the bulls have taken control and I need to get out of my short trade.
Losses are a part of trading, never be upset to take a small loss.
QQQ - Bulls Taking Control - Trading TodayQQQ is looking like the bulls are taking control here, which is not good for my short positions. Key level has been 448 for bulls and if we open above that out of the gate I will be considering closing my trades and taking my loss.
I may flip on the backside and look to sell some short term PUTSs expiring today as I really do not want to hold a short PUT position over the weekend with all the uncertainty going on.
Just a heads up for the daily trading.
In addition I am interested in a few stocks:
Dutch Brothers Coffee (BROS):
Love me some coffee and this one seems to be oversold here. Very range bound chart, but what is interesting about it is that every time DBC sells off it recovers. So looking at selling some Puts here to step in and or you can buy outright for a target of 39. Stop at $23.75.
Facebook (META):
With the market down 10% off its highs, META is only slightly down and now it is approaching the 520 level and taking out the high.
So if META is strong during bad times, if we get a market rally I would expect META to do very very well, so this is another on my list of stocks to trade today.
Universal Display (OLED)
Another quality growth company selling off on earnings, so I am looking to take a position here as well either selling Puts to step in, or buying outright.
Other than META these are all longer term position trades I am looking to sell in the future. These are not part of my core porfolio which does not turn over very frequently.
As for the trade, well you win some you lose some and as long as your winners are bigger than your losers you will make money!!! Again I will see where we are at the open and decide at that time. Not going to close out or cover a trade pre-market.