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QQQ trade ideas

Market Update - 3/16/2025Going through my trading stats in a bit more detail. Strong rebound in Friday, but we are still well in a correction, I will need much more proof to get aggressive, and here are a few reasons why. 1) in general there are not that many good setups 2) most bases are quite wide and loose 3) most previous leading stocks are well off their highs and what is working recently are miners, energy, healthcare names, which typically work in defensive / recessionary periods. as long as growth and tech names are not leading, it's not worth getting aggressive Besides, most setups that look solid are not in the US, but in China. Things like NASDAQ:TIGR , NASDAQ:YY , NYSE:DAO , NASDAQ:EH are the ones I'm watching closely. Already in NASDAQ:LX and $ATAT. All small positions so I want to either scale up or down depending how the next days evolve. In general still cautious, at 42% invested, will stay below 50%, my average losses are at 0.15% of my account and will keep it that way until we get more traction.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BenedekBokor
QQQ - support & resistant areas for today March 14, 2025Above are the key support and resistance levels for QQQ today. These levels can indicate where the price might reverse or consolidate and may signal potential long (buy) or short (sell) positions for traders. These levels are calculated using mathematical models and are relevant for today’s trading session. Please note that they may change in the future. If you find this information helpful and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, please support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly appreciated! If this post does not receive more than 10 boosts, I may reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by OnePunchMan91
Right on Q...or not...QQQ Daily Chart Analysis & Prediction (March 14, 2025) 1. Key Observations from the Chart: • Recent Selloff: QQQ has been in a strong downward move, breaking below previous support around $470.35 and testing a key support zone. • Major Support & Resistance Levels Identified: • Resistance Levels: • $470.35 – Previous strong support, now acting as resistance. • $484.23 - $485.54 – Strong resistance, likely a rejection zone if tested. • $499.11 - $506.76 – Major resistance zone, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless a significant reversal occurs. • Support Levels: • $468.34 – Currently being tested. A break below this could push QQQ lower. • $448.19 – Next major support level if $468 fails. • $409.28 – Long-term support; if selling accelerates, this could be tested in the coming weeks. ⸻ 2. Trend Analysis & Chart Patterns • Break Below Trendline Support: QQQ has broken below a key trendline, signaling potential further downside. • Oversold but Not Reversing Yet: Indicators suggest that QQQ is oversold, but no clear signs of reversal yet. ⸻ 3. Indicator Analysis Stochastic RSI (Middle Panel - Momentum Indicator) • Sitting Near Oversold (~29.39), but still declining. • No confirmed bullish crossover yet, meaning downside risk remains. MACD (Bottom Panel - Trend & Momentum) • Bearish MACD Cross Confirmed: • MACD histogram is deeply negative, showing strong selling momentum. • No sign of a bullish reversal at the moment. ⸻ 4. Prediction for Tomorrow (March 14, 2025) 🔵 Bullish Scenario (If QQQ Holds $468 & Reclaims $470.35) • Trigger: QQQ bounces off $468 and breaks $470.35 with strength • Target 1: $484.23 • Target 2: $499.11 • Probability: Medium (needs strong buying volume). 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If QQQ Breaks Below $468.34 & Momentum Continues) • Trigger: QQQ falls under $468.34 and holds below • Target 1: $448.19 • Target 2: $409.28 (Long-term support) • Probability: High (Trend & momentum indicators suggest further downside).
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ReadyFor401k
2
$QQQ - Trading Levels for March 13 2025NASDAQ:QQQ - Trading Levels for March 13 2025 Alright, y’all. We are dangling, unsupported underneath the 200DMA and that Bear Gap. The 200DMA is above the trading range, just under that the bear gap protecting it. I am trading cautiously today because inflation data days I tend to make a lot of mistakes. 35EMA - this level is a BEAST. We were unable to get above it yesterday. I will be looking to the outer spreads here. GL, y’all.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
QQQ - Nasdaq has reached it's firstPrice reached the Warning Line 1. This is a natural support, because it's a standard deviation stretch. From here, price has a high tendency of mean-reversion. How far? Most of the time it shoots back to the Lower-Medianline-Parallel. Beware of the potential resistnace zone. This level is a good one to take partial profits. As for a stop, I would put it below the last swing-long. I may play it with Options (for example a Risk-Reversal), giving me more leeway to the downside if it's not playing out immediately.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Tr8dingN3rd
Market Recap: Winners, Losers and Lessons from the past 4 MonthsGreetings Friends, Coi here—I hope you’re having a great start to the year. I’ve been away for some time, and I wanted to provide an update on what’s happening in the market, my thoughts on the current landscape, and any strategies that may help you make better trading decisions. As always please find attached other views / charts of the market that might not have been mentioned in this update. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I do not take responsibility for any trading or financial decisions you make. Always do your own research. ⸻ Market Recap: What Happened? The market has been bombarded with major headline news, including: - Deep Seek AI Threats - U.S. Tariff Threats on Allies - Retaliatory Tariffs - White House Show Down - Inflation resurgence These events have contributed to a broad market correction, with indices pulling back 13% from their December 17 highs through March 12 (and still ongoing). Notable Performance : 🎭 BABA +70% MSTR -56% TESLA -50% NVDA -30% Meanwhile, capital and investor confidence have shifted overseas, strengthening both the DAX and the Hang Seng Index. As previously noted in my post on January 1st The VIX forecasted this correction early. I don’t play poker but the Vix is like that that one person who has a bad poker face. Take heed. My Market Update: I am currently neutral in this environment, at this stage everyone is expecting a rally — which I do agree with but the question is will this be a counter trend rally and will momentum in the future keep favouring the downside? I will be attaching pictures to better help explain my view points. ⸻ Lessons Learned (For Those Willing to Listen) • Everyone is playing a game of musical chairs. Banks, hedge funds, retail traders, analysts—question everything. • Trading is the loneliest sport. No one is going to show up for your recital, but keep going. • Your gut is your second brain. Learn to trust it. • It’s frustrating to face issues with your strategy, but solving them is therapeutic. Growth happens in the problem-solving phase. ⸻ Closing Notes: My goal is to be more active again. I’ll be sharing my market insights, trade setups, and thoughts weekly. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and trade wisely. Best Regards, C-Lemard ⸻
NASDAQ:QQQ
by coilemard
7
QQQ: Trend's 3 Frames of ReferenceTrend's Three Frames of Reference: The Fibonacci channels in the chart are constructed based on the COVID low (March 2020) and the 2023 low, with a projection that aligns with the late 2021 top as a key reference point. This approach sets the direction of the Fibonacci channels in an upward-sloping trajectory, capturing the broader bullish trend while identifying key areas of support and resistance. The trend structure follows a long-term ascending Fibonacci framework, where the lower blue regions (0.786, 0.618 levels) represent historical support zones, aligning with past market corrections. The mid-range levels (0.5, 0.382) act as consolidation zones where price action frequently stabilizes before continuing its trend. The uppermost red-orange zones (0.236 and above) highlight overextension zones, aligning with the late 2021 high, where the market previously faced strong resistance before entering a corrective phase in 2022. By using the COVID low and the 2023 low as anchors, the Fibonacci channels effectively map the market’s trajectory and provide insight into potential future movements. The alignment with the late 2021 top further reinforces these levels as critical points for potential price reactions, making this an effective tool. In this alternative Fibonacci channel configuration, the direction is adjusted to align with a steeper bullish trajectory, possibly emphasizing a different perspective on trend structure and momentum. The key anchors for the Fibonacci channels remain rooted in the 2023 low and recent higher highs, creating a more aggressively inclined channel structure. This Fibonacci channel configuration differs from the previous ones by focusing on a shorter-term structure with a narrower range and downward-sloping alignment. It is anchored from the recent 2023 low to the subsequent high, with Fibonacci retracement levels applied to identify key support and resistance zones. Leaving this trend configuration is a signal that price goes for bigger range movement. By utilizing three Fibonacci channel references, this method enhances price forecasting accuracy, confirms key support/resistance areas, and adapts to different trading styles. The combination of macro, momentum, and retracement-based analysis ensures that both investors and traders can make informed decisions based on multi-frame confluence zones. Long-term investors should watch Configuration 1 for sustainable support levels. Momentum traders can rely on Configuration 2 for buying dips near 0.5 and selling near 0.236. Short-term traders should focus on Configuration 3 for managing pullbacks and breakout confirmations.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by fract
1
A Pseudoscience called Technical analysis!Pseudoscience is characterized as a system of theories or beliefs that are presented as scientific but lack the rigors and foundations of the scientific method. It often uses scientific-sounding language while being rooted in unsubstantiated claims or cultural beliefs, and it can be misleading and harmful.  My Evolution as a Market Analyst Early Success on TradingView In 2020-2021, I established myself as a leading analyst on the TradingView platform, becoming the top-rated contributor for equities and high-volume tickers including TSLA, AAPL, AMZN, ARKK, COIN, RIOT, WKHS, PLTR, NIO, and Bitcoin. Educational Background My journey began fifteen years ago with a comprehensive study of technical analysis methodologies. I immersed myself in seminal works including: "Technical Analysis of Financial Markets" by John J. Murphy "Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques" by Steve Nison "Trading with the Andrews Pitchfork" by Glenn Wilson "Elliott Wave - Fibonacci High Probability Trading" by Jared Sanders Professional Recognition While my initial goal in publishing analyses on TradingView was personal performance tracking, industry recognition came unexpectedly. Within three months, I ranked among the platform's top six contributors, advancing to the highest-rated position by the fourth month. This visibility led to multiple partnership offers from brokerages and cryptocurrency projects, including Tiger Broker (NASDAQ: TIGR), all of which I declined to maintain independence. Client Development Following requests from followers, I established a contribution system to support ongoing analysis. My work attracted institutional attention, including a hedge fund managing hundreds of millions in assets that engaged me for educational services. I developed a customized curriculum delivered via virtual platforms, maintaining a rigorous teaching schedule that ultimately revealed limitations in traditional technical analysis approaches—confirming Richard Feynman's observation that "When one teaches, two learn." Methodological Evolution This realization prompted a strategic pivot. I paused teaching to focus on skill development, particularly in programming and data analytics. I integrated advanced concepts including: Game theory applications Quantitative analysis frameworks Behavioral finance principles AI Integration The emergence of accessible AI models represented a significant advancement for my practice. I leveraged Gemini (formerly Bard), ChatGPT, and Claude to enhance my options trading system, developing proprietary metrics to identify market inefficiencies in derivatives pricing. Current Approach Today, I operate as a substantially transformed analyst with a modernized market perspective. While my analytical methods employ sophisticated quantitative techniques, I continue presenting findings in traditional visual formats to accommodate audience preferences—a phenomenon explained by patternicity. Understanding Cognitive Biases in Trading Patternicity A concept introduced by Michael Shermer describes our tendency to identify meaningful patterns within random noise Highlights humanity's inherent drive to impose order on chaotic information Significantly impacts decision-making processes as our minds actively seek connections, sometimes where none exist Apophenia The broader tendency to perceive connections between unrelated phenomena First defined by German neurologist Klaus Conrad in 1958 as "unmotivated seeing of connections" While common in everyday cognition, extreme manifestations can indicate psychological concerns Trading in the AI Era For market participants continuing to rely exclusively on traditional technical analysis methodologies—pattern trading, Elliott Wave theory, harmonic patterns, or price action systems—I offer this perspective: these approaches alone are increasingly insufficient for achieving consistent market outperformance in today's technology-driven environment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by Moshkelgosha
2
QQQ: What lies ahead for the Tech SectorWhat does the QQQ graph tell us about the current situation? The QQQ is not trending upward within the channel that began in 2023 and is currently in a correction phase. The recent decline has weakened the previous momentum, making a significant short-term upward price movement less likely. Does this correction damage the overall long-term upward trend that started in 2009? There is no indication that the long-term upward trend has ended. As long as QQQ holds within the key support area of 400 to 415, the broader bullish trend remains intact. At what level is the technology sector likely to start rebounding? The critical area to watch is 450 to 455. If this level holds, the market has a chance to stabilize and perform better in the second half of the year. However, if the 450 level fails to provide support, the worst-case scenario for 2025 suggests that the technology sector may begin its rebound near 415. In this case, due to weaker momentum, the potential upside would likely be limited, with a peak expectation around 540.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Quantific-Solutions
To catch a knife... QQQOk, I'm a little bummed I didn't make an idea sooner because my dowsing (as in with a pendulum) nailed the high on both SPY & QQQ. It is documented online, however, so I'm not making this up after the fact fyi. I had mentioned at the time (around 2/23) 11 days to hit the lower target in SPY (I'll do an idea for it as well). Wednesday is the deadline, though I don't put a ton of faith in these things, dates typically are things to watch in my work and can be reversals. On 2/26 I worked on what to expect for the first week in March. The message was it goes down, but there's a "scene of the crime" trade, spike down and low on... Wednesday the 5th! When I ask what does this look like, I get "v-bottom". My dowsing now keeps repeating there will be a small move up to sell into if we get a significant move away from the 503-04 area. I did my best to get levels, but obviously this is some woo woo kinda stuff, so it can be miraculous at times, and others a complete cluster. Definitely watch Wed. & the 468 area. Ideally, the time and price align for higher odds I'm correct. If we bounce, I'll try to find an upside target. There is also a lower target around 432, but I didn't dig into that much.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by JenRz
Qqq So .. Keep things simple.. Qqq has support at 468-470.. below that support at 450 comes... Qqq 1st resistance is at 477, over 477 and 483 comes. .. The technicals say we should bounce up to 483-485 if Jolts come in decent today.. The bad news is Until post Opex we are in a Bearish seasonality.. The structure on one of the biggest sectors XLC (Meta,NFLX) tells me that the selling isn't done and we could see 450 by end of April.. Overall Qqq Top was in like posted back in Dec.. Here's Qqq weekly chart log scale.. Notice it only broke this once in 16yrs and that was because of the stimulus liquidity.. Now zoom in here and notice the 2 red arrows the first Arrow was back in July when QQQ tagged that weekly resistance, price corrected but they bought it up for the sake of distribution.. the evidence of that distribution is on your RSI weekly chart. Look at your RSI and notice How it's has diverged as price went higher also notice How NVDA and MSFT pretty much traded sideways since last July. Lastly JPM pretty much said that they liquidated most of their tech longs last summer. Notice the blue line ? That was our uptrend from 2022 lows, that uptrend combined with the weekly channel has made a rising wedge. We broke that rising wedge last week but I think in April we will rally back up to retest it around 510-515 before a sell in May event that takes us to the bottom of this channel Around 400.. The bigger picture is this, the channel of 16yrs support has never been broken so if you do get that 400 price this summer it will likely be a buying event like what happened at 2022 lows. I don't think Qqq makes a new high until 400 is tested . But to focus on today's trade, wait until Jolts numbers are released, if we push over 477 then they will melt this back up to 483.. if we flush then don't short this until you see 467 cause it could be a trap.. below 468 and you short this to 462 then 450.. The WEEKLY 50 SMA is at 485 so it will take CPI to get over that Had to post this for my friends since X is down 😂 .. I'll update here
NASDAQ:QQQ
by ContraryTrader
QQQ long term trend is down with short-term relief rallyI am guessing a bit more downside before we see a relief rally. The AI bubble is starting to unwind, and that falling knife is sharp. I am patiently waiting for some version of a short-term bottom. You can see in the chart that price is has several key support lines within near reach. I would expect testing and hopefully finding some support in the coming days. If it is like the COVID bubble unwind, then we could see a strong reverse rally out of this range. However, I think it is pretty clear QQQ is in correction with a convincing loss of the 200 day SMA.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Dr_Roboto