RIOT: long until the channel breaksRIOT has hit a snag and has been consolidating as Bitcoin struggles to breakthrough 30K ceiling. With the current macroeconomic headwinds from debt ceiling clown show to fade rate circus it is not unexpected that BTC may fall back to 20 K support. If that happens, then RIOT will also take a hit and the current bull case might be in jeopardy. But I am still hopeful as the price action looks much more like a wave 4 correction than a big impulse to the downside. Until the channel breaks, I will stay long with $21 target. Will go short if the bull count is completely invalidated below $7.76. I don't short BTC but use RIOT and MSTR as a proxy to short crypto market.
RIOT trade ideas
second bull flag breakout on riot in tandem with rising btc pricRiot is a stock we have traded several times with options contracts. options expiring in May in the 12-15$ region are potentially very lucrative. I personally went with 12$ strike May 26th on the bounce of the red line before flag break.
Example of a bull flag on Riot that played outI mostly trade bull flags, especially if they are following a previous cup and handle breakout. Here is an example of a bull-flag we traded that played out to a massive upside, we used 30 day expiration calls on a strike of 10$ for this particular setup.
Long RIOT #tradingtheapocalypseFundamentals: Riot Platforms, Inc is a Bitcoin mining company that survived the recent downturn in Bitcoin price, unlike some of its competitors. That's as much as I need to know. This trade is a leveraged bet on Bitcoin. Bitcoin recently completed a weekly Wyckoff accumulation pattern, which was confirmed by the break and hold above 26k.
Technicals: Crypto equities seem to respect nothing in particular except the Bitcoin price, and the general stock market conditions. However, moving averages help. RIOT has closed above its 200-day Exponential Moving Average, and tested it as support, along with previous resistance, gapping up afterwards, showing demand.
The trade is a long from here, with a stop below the recent low around $5. Ultimate target is the most recent peak the last time price was above the 200 EMA, but really the trade should be managed according to the state of the crypto market.
RIOT - 126-130$ top target for 2025In this analysis, we will delve into the significance of confluence in technical analysis, the implications of shareholder dilution, the role of Bitcoin mining, and the importance of the technical indicators used in our assessment of Riot Platforms, Inc (RIOT).
Confluence in Technical Analysis
Confluence is a crucial aspect of technical analysis, as it allows traders to identify critical price levels where multiple technical indicators align. This increases the probability of a successful trade, as it provides confirmation and reduces the likelihood of false signals. The confluence between the 1.382 Fibonacci speed resistance fan and the horizontal 1.618 Fibonacci extension level in RIOT's chart offers a compelling indication of a potential turning point.
Shareholder Dilution
Shareholder dilution occurs when a company issues additional shares, which results in a decrease in the ownership percentage of existing shareholders. This can negatively impact the stock's value and investor sentiment. Therefore, avoiding shareholder dilution is essential to maintain shareholder confidence and support the stock's price appreciation.
Bitcoin Mining
As a company primarily engaged in Bitcoin mining, RIOT's performance is closely linked to the cryptocurrency market. Continued growth in Bitcoin mining will likely support RIOT's revenue and contribute to its stock performance, especially during periods of heightened crypto market activity. Conversely, regulatory setbacks or a decline in mining activity could negatively impact RIOT's stock price.
Technical Indicators
Our analysis employs the convergence of the 1.382 Fibonacci speed resistance fan and the horizontal 1.618 Fibonacci extension level to determine potential price targets. These indicators have proven to be reliable in identifying key support and resistance levels in the past. By extrapolating the data from these indicators, we can project a potential price target of $126-$130 for RIOT.
Conclusion
In light of the confluence observed in RIOT's chart and the importance of avoiding shareholder dilution and sustaining Bitcoin mining operations, we recommend considering a long position in RIOT around November/December of this year. This strategy aims to capitalize on the anticipated cryptocurrency market euphoria and achieve a price target of $126-$130. However, it is crucial to monitor the company's performance and the regulatory landscape, as these factors may impact the stock's trajectory.
Preparing for a move. $RIOT as long as it is able to remain above Monday’s high acceptance over the balance zone can lead to price looking to take out some upper stops. Interested in this as we see some strength in BTC carrying over to the miners..
*50MA&200MA possible golden cross on the daily.
As always- stays safe and manage risk accordingly.
RIOT - Quiet on the Home FrontLooks can be deceiving and they can also be pleasing to the eye... this one is eye catching atm... just not sure if I'm believing what I'm seeing... a 5 wave ride is always followed by another, so if this is a valid count, we should soon see the tide if it hasn't already rolled in. The square box will be of utmost interest as it should offer an indication of which path this looker will prefer to take... lose the highlighted square and the gap at 4.30 should get attention and offer support... climb out of that square, and the Quiet RIOT will start making you feel the noize and dance to the beat of the bulls. The intensity and structure of this next 5 wave move should offer intentions of the following waves. Candles suggest a short term bottom as long as 5.51 holds on a daily close. GLTA!
Following the Crypto TrendDepending on how it all plays out with bitcoin we could see history repeat itself in a big way shortly. aligning with the macro theory that 2026 will be profitable for a majority of traaders, giving the global 2-3 years to get used to higher interest rates markets should settly and head towards new highs as long as nothing too unpredictable happens. following that narative all of these btc mining companies, as long as their in line with developmental goals, should reap the rewards. just spitballing here nothing too serious