Ready to Rumble?Rumble, founded in 2013, is a video-sharing platform that promotes free speech by offering an alternative to mainstream social media sites. It aims to create a less-censored environment for content creators, particularly appealing to conservative audiences who feel mainstream platforms may restrict certain views. After the Joe Rogan interview with President Trump, which has caused an internet storm about this very topic, let's analyse Rumble to see if it's a worthy trade.
The technicals suggest a megaphone pattern, which has higher probability of breaking to the upside. We remain below weekly moving averages but the compression suggests we could get a bullish move above this resistance and attempt to break the descending wedge pattern. There is not a lot of historical data on the chart but one can deduce the short term trend is bullish but we must remain cautious due to the larger time frame downtrend.
Fundamentals Analysis
The company went public in September 2022.
Since then, Rumble has seen fluctuating stock performance with growth tied to political events and figures like JD Vance, who are vocal about censorship issues. Its growth projections are optimistic, supported by revenue initiatives like the Rumble Ad Center and new features such as livestreaming, which are expected to drive sequential revenue growth. However, Rumble's revenue figures have sometimes fallen short of analyst expectations, indicating ongoing monetization challenges.
Rumble has gained support from figures like
JD Vance, who has been outspoken about censorship issues. Vance's endorsement bolsters Rumble's position as a platform for free speech, appealing to those critical of mainstream tech censorship. Vance, as a political figure central to discussions around censorship, indirectly lends credibility and visibility to Rumble, potentially encouraging other users who are seeking a less regulated platform to join. This aligns with Rumble's unique market positioning and could fuel further growth, especially in a contentious election period.
Conclusion
The technicals indicate a recent uptrend may continue. My only concern would be the earnings report, growth hasn’t been the best of late so it may take a little while longer for their narrative to play out. But it’s a very pertinent narrative in the current political debate.
Combined with Rumble's rising user base and expanding content the platform's relevance in the current political landscape, suggesting a bullish outlook for user and revenue growth over the next few quarters.
If this topic becomes a hot topic and YouTube are put under pressure, we could get some bullish momentum behind this stock.
Not financial advise.
