Ascending wedge breakout short saleThis is Siga. If you view on a different chart this has formed a giant inverse head and shoulders on the monthly candle from 2011
From the bottom after re listing on the major exchanges ( it went otc pink back in the day)
Measuring from the bottom to the top of a multi year ascending wedge Then measuring again from the resistance of the wedge to the price now.
I’m short. -5000 shares cost average 17.50
It’s like a miniature UPST Which I rode from the mid 200s short all the way to 400. Averaging up slowly. All the way back to reality
SIGA trade ideas
Pennant Squeeze for 10%+ potentialI will be sitting on the side lines for now on this but will be looking to make an entry in the low $11.00 zone to play on the pennant. Will need to watch the technical setup as well as volume and interest before I decide to make a move. I do think there is potential here and any new news on this will help the case. (Not Financial Advice)
SIGA Technologies Inc (NASDAQ: SIGA) has announced approximately $13 million in procurement orders for oral TPOXX (tecovirimat) - June 23rd
SIgA Looking like nice symetrical trinagle building in a large resiatnce breakout that occurred around 10$ area. This symetrical triangle is building pressure between 11$-13$. If we can pop 13$ and hold above as support target would
Be 18.65. If we lose 10.90 and close below we could target down towards 6$
SIGA trading at a ridiculous premium - time to be bearishHype and sentiment regarding a monkeypox outbreak has been the only driver in SIGAs price, apart from minor PR.
Volume will slowly wither away, and investors will begin to take profits. It will not remain at this price range for much longer.
Looks to be an easy short/put. Will be opening 10$ Puts with a June 17th expiry.
Pharma firm SIGA cashes in on monkeypox scareNew York-based pharmaceutical firm SIGA Technologies (NASDAQ:SIGA) is among the companies to benefit from the growing threat of monkeypox, recently pushing its shares to an almost decade-high after the company obtained approval in Europe to use its TPOXX antiviral drug for the treatment of monkeypox.
Smallpox jabs vs monkeypox
On May 19, the World Health Organization declared that vaccines used against smallpox — before the virus was eradicated in 1980 — can be used to fight monkeypox. SIGA already won approval from the US Food and Drug Administration in 2018 to distribute its oral TPOXX capsules as a treatment against smallpox even when there were no reports of confirmed or possible cases of smallpox at the time.
US advances in vaccine orders
Most recently, SIGA on Thursday secured another approval from the FDA for the intravenous (IV) formulation of TPOXX for patients who are unable to swallow the drug’s oral variant. SIGA said the IV formulation of TPOXX has already been cited in the recent US president’s budget request to treat a patient with monkeypox in the US.
The company's shares surged 43% on Friday before paring gains to close 13% lower on the Nasdaq on Monday, and another 15.5% on Tuesday. SIGA stock remains up 26.5% over the past 5 days of trading.
SIGA also stands to benefit from TPOXX’s use in Canada and Europe, where cases of moneypox were detected in recent weeks. Europe has already approved the use of TPOXX against monkeypox, cowpox, and complications from immunization with vaccinia, the company said.
Growing monkeypox threat
Monkeypox, first discovered in 1958, is a viral illness that first occurred in colonies of monkeys. The first human case of the virus was recorded in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 1970, according to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The virus can cause symptoms like fever, body aches, swollen lymph nodes and bumpy rashes.
Cases of monkeypox have so far been reported in at least 17 countries including the US, Canada, the UK, Spain, Portugal, France, Italy and Australia.
Big pharma steps in
SIGA and another vaccine maker in Denmark, Bavarian Nordic (CPH:BAVA), have kept samples of smallpox virus for research purposes in case of biological warfare. The emergence of monkeypox this year prompted both companies to start mass producing vaccines against smallpox to offer protection against monkeypox.
CDC officials on Monday said the US is in the process of releasing Bavarian Nordic’s Jynneos vaccine doses to fight against monkeypox. The US has stockpiled more than 1,000 doses of the vaccine and CDC officials expect to boost their purchases in the coming weeks.
Bavarian Nordic’s shares on the Nasdaq Copenhagen surged to a four-month high on Monday.
The Danish company on May 18 said the US government has already placed a $119 million order for the production of freeze-dried Jynneos vaccines, although deliveries are not expected until 2023 and 2024.
Meanwhile, Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), which succeeded in developing vaccines against COVID-19, also started testing vaccines against monkeypox. The company on Tuesday said it is investigating potential vaccines against monkeypox in pre-clinical trials.
No urgent need for mass vaccinations
Although vaccines against monkeypox are already within reach just weeks into reports of an outbreak emerged, some experts and WHO officials say inoculations against monkeypox will not likely involve a mass campaign as the virus, unlike COVID-19, is not as contagious. Vaccinations would likely be focused only on people with close contact with infected individuals.
"If a case is reported in the country, a public health SWAT team goes out, finds out who the close contacts are of that first case, and vaccinates just those close contacts, and not the entire city or suburb,” Dr. David Freedman, professor emeritus of infectious diseases at the University of Alabama, was quoted by Time magazine as saying.
Siga Technologies USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
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Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
Pox Vaccine/Treatment Long, Dark WinterWith the small rise of pox news going on in the U.S., be it the second case of monkeypox this year , to smallpox vials found at a vaccine research facility in Pennsylvania, it brings to question as to whether or not health companies that have the capability to manufacture vaccines, treatments, and test kits against smallpox will be the new growth sector of vaccine stocks in the future.
Although smallpox is considered eradicated since 1980, considering other variants of smallpox like monkeypox are still present in this world and the lack of immunity among the young (people under the age of 35) from the closure of smallpox vaccine production (we're talking about a ~ 15% fatality rate that goes up to ~40% the younger a person is ), it is still a clear and present danger to society. Doesn't help that the FDA has been more active in approving multiple vaccines and treatments over the last 3 years. . Though the good news is that the Public Health Emergency Medical Countermeasures Enterprise (PHEMCE) will target to stockpile enough vaccines for every American according to a 2016 report .
PREVENTION
As of my knowledge, the following stocks hold a trademark of a vaccine against smallpox:
- $EBS, ACAM2000 ®
- $BVNRY, holds a trademark of a vaccine against monkeypox, named JYNNEOS® under the FDA . For tradenames of this vaccine under other regions, see the investor news page published this july .Note the JYNNEOS vaccine is the only currently FDA-approved vaccine for the prevention of monkeypox disease and smallpox. These vaccines are not readily available to public, but several treatments are ... more on that below.
- $SNY, the Aventis Pasteur Smallpox Vaccine (APSV), that is available in the event that ACAM2000® is depleted within the U.S. Strategic National Stockpile (SNS) which apparently holds 90M doses . Note Aventis was merged with Sanofi in 2004, just to clear up any confusion on any old web pages from before 2004.
More details about these vaccines can be found here:
www.cdc.gov
www.cdc.gov
www.fda.gov
You could argue $NVAX to be a good pick but I would consider it a long-term play.
TREATMENTS
The following stocks hold a trademarked treatment against smallpox:
- $SIGA , TPOXX® , also known as tecovirimat and ST-246®
- $CMRX , Tembexa (brincidofovir)
There are many more companies working on treatments/detections against smallpox, so feel free to research and find them before they go public. This idea is merely an inspiration for you to look for and capitalize on this opportunity if it presents itself in the future.
Take BioFire as an example, a private company contracted by the DoD to supply them test kits on various biological warfare agents including smallpox . ( Pg 105 of 2016 Public Health Emergency Medical Countermeasures Enterprise (PHEMCE) Strategy and Implementation Plan). But although there private, they've merged w/ bioMerieux , a publicly-traded company, in January 2014. In the event that the supply of vaccines does meet demand, this could be an alternative strategy seeing as test detection kits may not be in demand at the moment. Especially considering that the awarded NGDS contract was valued at $240M for a period of 8 years, or $30M per year(which corresponds very closely with how much $ was allocated toward JOINT BIOLOGICAL AGENT DECONTAMINATION SYSTEM (JBADS) according to the UNCLASSIFIED Department of Defense Fiscal Year (FY) 2022 Budget Estimates document released in May this year on Page 2 of 91, P-1 line #80 titled CB Protection & Hazard Mitigation, or just page 142 of 754 of the pdf doc). With each kit costing $8K-$9k each for 30 tests , at max the DoD should hold ~30K kits assuming these kits have not been used and have an extended shelf life beyond the lifetime of the awarded gov. contract, and that this budget does not include any other products from BioFire related to the NGDS. 30K units with 30 tests each means 900,000 total possible tests... if they're single-use, it may not be even enough for essential personnel contracted by the gov. Even if you consider smallpox's eradication... it is not reasonable for the gov to spend a bit more on these kits seeing they cover detection on outbreaks outside of smallpox like anthrax, ebola, etc.
Thankfully Bill Gates did warn us of bioterror attacks concerning smallpox earlier this year. The same goes for U.S. Government agencies and institutions' wargaming of such an event back in 2001, naming the exercise, Dark Winter .
A couple of interesting conclusions from this exercise:
-No surge capacity in U.S. healthcare and public health systems. Given how COVID-19 went, not too surprising but as expected
-Information management w/ media be crucial for crisis control. Lol, w/ the amount of distrust in the media and gov. this will be sh*tshow. Don't be surprised by draconian levels of control over the flow of info if this outbreak happens.
-Renewed vaccine production is estimated to require at least 24-36 months. Big yikes.
If a smallpox breakout does happen and vaccine hesitancy continues w/ smallpox vaccines, let alone the supply of these products not being able to catch up to their demand, expect a high amount of casualties and stocks related to the treatment rather than the prevention of smallpox to rise. Nonetheless, the living will be capable of seeing a new and brighter world of the 4th industrial revolution by 2030.
Feel free to comment below on any constructive criticism against this idea. I'd like to strengthen it and improve on the quality of future ideas. If my grammar is bad, it is no excuse, but I was raised with poor primary education, it will get better with time. If you agree with this idea, feel free to leave a like and share, thank you.
Bullish Volume SIGASIGA appears to be ending the downtrend and had a recent volume print about 5X over the average and the highest volume print in over 3 years.
Idea = September 17th calls @ $7.50 strike.
NOTE = HIGH RISK TRADE!!
Not financial advice.
MORE: SIGA Technologies, Inc. is a US based commercial-stage pharmaceutical company It offers orally administered antiviral drugs under the TPOXX brand. Latest company news focused around oral smallpox treatment. See www.siga.com for more information.
SIGA: Breakout Confirmed, 11.83% Potential Profit!Description: SIGA is trending higher and in an uptrend meaning that highs are getting higher and lows are getting higher. The uptrend line on the chart and the Trending Band Indicator (which measures trend) supports the Long Position.
Stats:
1. Ideal buy range: $7.3 - $7.5
2. Take profit: $8.32
3. Stop Loss: $7.22
4. Risk To Reward: 1 / 4
5. Accuracy Rating: 94%