Get started
Super Micro Computer, Inc.Super Micro Computer, Inc.Super Micro Computer, Inc.

Super Micro Computer, Inc.

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview Financials News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Forecast Seasonals Options Bonds

SMCI trade ideas

SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market. It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below): Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again. Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018. As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical. Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
1
SMCI – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🟢 🔹 Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI – NASDAQ) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Breakout Retest at Key Supply Zone 📊 Trade Plan – Long Bias ✅ Entry Zone: Around $36.67 (breakout + retest confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $34.25 (below structure & recent low) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $39.51 – Prior resistance zone 📌 TP2: $43.36 – Major structure / supply zone 📐 Risk-Reward Calculation 🟥 Risk: $36.67 - $34.25 = $2.42/share 🟩 Reward to TP2: $43.36 - $36.67 = $6.69/share 📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.76 – Strong long setup 🔍 Technical Highlights 📌 Trendline breakout with retest at resistance ✔ 📌 Holding above yellow resistance zone ✔ 📌 Strong bullish momentum on breakout ✔ 📌 Good volume + clean continuation structure 🔼 📉 Risk Management Plan 🔁 Move SL to breakeven after TP1 💰 Take partial profits at TP1 📈 Let runners target TP2 📏 Discipline over impulse – follow chart ⚠️ Setup Invalidation If: ❌ Breaks and closes below $34.25 ❌ Reversal with strong bearish engulfing ❌ Fails to hold above yellow zone 🚨 Final Thoughts ✔ Clean technical breakout with volume and structure ✔ Defined stop, solid R/R = smart trade setup ✔ Great candidate for swing traders looking for momentum 🔗 #SMCI #StockBreakout #ProfittoPath #ChartSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrade #NASDAQStocks #SmartTrading #RiskReward #MomentumPlay
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ProfittoPath
SMCI: Enormous buy opportunity for a $70 Target.Super Micro Computer went from oversold to almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.789, MACD = -2.030, ADX = 39.343) as it is having an enormour turnaround on the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the Channel Up today. This is so far the biggest 1D green candle since January 19th 2024. The 1D RSI is on the same rebound as the February 3rd bottom was, so at least a +158.65% bullish wave is to be expected. Go long, TP = 70.00. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by InvestingScope
SMCI Trade Recap📈Getting ready to start a new swing trade on SMCI, and I’ve mapped out my game plan with a tiered entry strategy and clear profit targets. Here’s how I’m setting it up: Entry Levels (Scaling In): $40.50 – First buy if it pulls back to this area. Looks like solid support, and I’ll test the waters here. $35.80 – Adding more if it dips further. This level has acted as a strong bounce zone in the past. $30.60 – Final entry if it gets down here. Oversold territory + psychological level = great risk/reward. Profit Targets (Scaling Out): $47.00 – First target to take some profits off the table. $51.60 – Second target — likely to see some resistance here. $60+ – Stretch target. If the momentum is strong, I’ll hold a portion with a trailing stop and let it ride. Game Plan: I’m staying patient with entries, letting price come to me. The idea is to build the position gradually and reduce risk by scaling in. I’ll also be keeping an eye on volume and broader market sentiment — if the setup changes, I’ll adapt. Let’s see how it plays out — risk-managed, calm mindset, and ready to pivot if needed. 🚀
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Robert_V12
How far will it eventually fall SMCI?During such a general crisis, things are very complicated for all stocks and everything depends. The fundamentals are key here and any decision by Trump can change things in a second and that is why we say how far, not how far will it fall. Given the possible further decline of the SP500 to around $5360-5400 and based on the 4-hour chart, it is clearly seen that the dynamic support line from the accumulated volume lies at around $29.5 and $30.5. The reversal signals are clear (the green triangles below). Therefore, it is very unlikely that we will see a drop below $30 . This is a very good entry point, but I do not advise anyone to trade until April 2, although I think things will become clear later today or tomorrow.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by kometata
Bullish Reversal Setup SMCI!📊 Falling Wedge Breakout Forming 🚀 SMCI is showing signs of a bullish reversal after a strong downtrend. Price is consolidating inside a falling wedge pattern and now testing support near $36.55. This setup offers a high reward-to-risk opportunity for an upside breakout. ✅ Trade Plan (Long Position) • Entry: Above $37.05 (wedge breakout confirmation) • Stop-Loss: Below $35.44 (structure support + wedge base) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: • TP1: $39.82 (key resistance zone) • TP2: $43.32 (major recovery level) • TP3: $44.00+ (extended upside zone) 📈 Risk-Reward Breakdown • Risk: $37.05 - $35.44 = $1.61 • Reward to TP1: $2.77 → ~1:1.7 • Reward to TP2: $6.27 → ~1:3.9 • Reward to TP3: $6.95 → ~1:4.3 💡 Strong potential with price bouncing near demand + wedge breakout. 🔍 Technical Analysis ✅ Falling Wedge Pattern: Classic bullish reversal setup ✅ Support Zone: Horizontal and diagonal support at $36.55 ✅ Volume Check: Monitoring for spike as confirmation ✅ Price Action: Buyer reaction visible near lower trendline 🧠 Strategy & Risk Management • Wait for a 30-min candle close above $37.05 to confirm breakout • Move SL to breakeven after hitting TP1 at $39.82 • Take 50% profit at TP1, ride remaining position toward TP2 & TP3 • Protect gains with a trailing stop on higher timeframe 📚 Value for Traders: This setup is a great example of how falling wedges often signal trend exhaustion. Combined with support and declining volume, it suggests a shift in momentum. Breakouts from such structures can be explosive when confirmed with price and volume. ⚠️ Risk Factors ❌ Weak breakout without volume ❌ Breakdown below $35.44 invalidates the setup ✅ Focus on execution and not prediction 🎯 Final Thoughts High-probability long opportunity on a quality setup. Follow the plan. Stick to the levels. Let the chart lead the way. 📈 🔗 #SMCI #StockSetup #ProfittoPath #BreakoutStrategy #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #SmartTrading #BullishReversal #FallingWedge 💰📊
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ProfittoPath
SMCI Wants to Go HIGHERIn recent developments, Super Micro has experienced significant stock volatility. After filing delayed financial reports to regain Nasdaq compliance, the stock initially surged but faced declines due to broader market factors and investor concerns. Analysts have mixed views: Mizuho Securities assigned a neutral rating with a $50 price target, citing competition in the AI server market, while Goldman Sachs highlighted both opportunities in AI demand and risks like increased competition and margin pressures. I am tracking this using Elliott wave theory. I will update periodically. The white line is my current cost basis.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by BigeMarket
1
SMCI: Channel Up bottomed on the 1D MA50. Long term Target: $148Super Micro Computer Inc is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.184, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 28.146), the ideal condition to go on a long term buy as the price has been holding the 1D MA50 for 2 straight weeks. The goal now is to cross again above the 1D MA200 but that was already done on February 18th and the pattern that has been established is a Channel Up. The market however may be aiming at much higher as the November 14th 2024 bottom was priced on the Head of an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, a technical bullish reversal formation that targets its 2.0 Fibonacci extension once completed. The trade is long, TP = 148.00. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by InvestingScope
A Quintillion Reasons to Invest: N^18 SMCI + NVDAA Quintillion Reasons to Invest: SMCI and NVIDIA Propel Walmart and Global Industries to Trillions March 20, 2025 In the realm of investing, capital allocation reigns supreme—a disciplined endeavor to direct resources toward opportunities that maximize returns while minimizing systemic risk. In today’s data-driven global economy, Supermicro (SMCI) and NVIDIA (NVDA) have emerged as the vanguard of computational supremacy, delivering a transformative edge through their latest technological innovations. Their GB300 NVL72 systems, paired with NVIDIA’s Blackwell Ultra GPUs, harness the power of N^18 computation—one quintillion operations per second—a feat unattainable just one week prior. This seismic shift, a $10 billion investment in hardware, redefines what industries can achieve, unlocking trillion-dollar opportunities across sectors and geographies. Consider Walmart as a case study in this revolution. By deploying $500 million in SMCI and NVIDIA technology, Walmart can predict consumption patterns with unparalleled precision. Imagine a 15% spike in grill sales when temperatures reach 75°F—Walmart, armed with this foresight, negotiates industrial capacity at 20% lower rates, widens profit margins by 3 percentage points, and captures an additional $2.5 billion in annual profits. This predictive power allows Walmart to secure aluminum futures at $2,500 per ton during a 90°F heatwave, producing 10 million soda cans preemptively and seizing $50 million in sales before competitors can react. Without this technological edge, Walmart would be left scrambling, ceding market share to rivals who act faster. The numbers are stark: a modest $500 million investment yields billions in returns, a testament to the power of computational foresight. This advantage scales globally with staggering implications. If 50,000 retailers worldwide adopt this $25 billion technology, each could realize $50 million in annual profit gains, culminating in an aggregate of $2.5 trillion. Supply chains across the globe arbitrage this predictive capability, turning data into cash. For instance, anticipating a surge in yoga gear demand post-New Year’s, retailers can flood warehouses ahead of time, capturing market share and boosting margins while competitors lag. This isn’t mere speculation; it’s a calculated strategy rooted in the unprecedented computational might of SMCI and NVIDIA. Without their systems, industries remain tethered to petascale limitations—10^15 operations per second—incapable of processing the trillion-parameter models that modern AI demands. Legacy systems falter, unable to match the data velocity and volume required for market dominance. The implications of N^18 computation extend far beyond retail, shattering barriers that confined industries just days ago. A week prior, trillion-parameter models overwhelmed even the most robust systems, stalling at petascale thresholds and requiring weeks to process. Now, SMCI and NVIDIA’s N^18 capacity completes these tasks in hours, delivering real-time insights that redefine operational efficiency. Financial institutions, for example, can now model quadrillion-variable risk scenarios, identifying potential missteps and saving $1 billion annually in losses. Governments leverage this power to optimize traffic grids across 1,000 cities, reducing commute times by 15% and saving $500 million in fuel costs each year. These feats were pipe dreams last week, as systems buckled under the sheer deluge of data. Today, they are reality, driven by the $10 billion hardware investment in SMCI and NVIDIA technology—a catalyst for trillion-dollar value creation. This computational revolution is not a race of abstract metaphors but a winner-takes-all contest defining our era. SMCI and NVIDIA are the architects of this new paradigm, their synergy transcending mere assembly. NVIDIA’s Blackwell Ultra GPUs, wielding quintillions of calculations per second, provide the raw horsepower, while SMCI’s advanced server and rack architecture integrates this power into a cohesive, exascale-capable system. Together, they form a technical triumph, enabling industries to surpass petascale bottlenecks and pioneer an AI-driven future. Their partnership is the backbone of progress, from autonomous vehicle fleets to real-time financial forecasting. For instance, Visa can now mine trillions of transactions to predict a surge in energy drink purchases by teens at 80°F, dispatching timely incentives and steering commerce, while preemptively optimizing supply chains for the next demand wave. Legacy systems, noting only “coffee on Mondays,” cannot compete with this granularity. The stakes are unequivocal: align with SMCI and NVIDIA, or risk irrelevance. Shorting these titans is folly—only the boldest speculators dare, and history shows their fate: capitulation, fueling monumental returns for those who invest wisely. The numbers speak volumes: a $10 billion investment in SMCI and NVIDIA hardware unlocks trillions in value, from supply chain foresight to policy efficiency. This advantage permeates every sector—logistics and operations management globally reap billions in savings, while governments enhance efficiency, saving billions in public expenditure. The first movers triumph, as seen in the financial sector: should Visa adopt this technology before Amex, Amex becomes the short, Visa the long, and vice versa. This dynamic extends beyond retail and finance, touching all competing interests solving equations with exponentially more variables. Investors, the directive is clear: capital must flow to those addressing existential needs. SMCI and NVIDIA are not optional; they are the drivetrain of a scalable tomorrow. Their combined infrastructure, with 72 Blackwell GPUs, 36 Grace CPUs, and NVLink precision, forms a singular intellect in a liquid-cooled rack, eclipsing petascale relics that once drained power across vast footprints. This technology pioneers AI’s frontier—self-driving cars, adaptive robotics, even self-authored films—unlocking trillion-dollar prospects. Allocate resources to this power, or watch others claim the windfall. Capital allocation demands no less.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
1