SMCI trade ideas
$SMCI on watch 1000C 7/19VERY SIMILAR setup to NASDAQ:AMD post...
Semi's looking bullish after nice consolidation on previous resistance line.
NASDAQ:SMH looks #JUICY too. Basically NASDAQ:SMCI and NASDAQ:AMD seem late to the party individually. Sector should provide support.
This is not high conviction so no wizard at end, just throwin a dog a bone...
- Probabilities R Us
SMCI Days are coming backA new Bull run on SMCI is near if Semi's overall momentum is intact and SMCI fundamentals and earnings really improve. As SMCI CEO, they are pretty active in marketing and promoting its liquid-cooled server racks. They are the suppliers to TSLA after Dell, and they are also suppliers to many sovereign clients.
My last trade idea ran for good and made an excellent profit. Please like & share if it makes sense to you.
Triangle Consolidation Endingtriangle consolidation ending + bullish kumo breakout. quite the measured move if this does play out. might be fantasyland but trade setup is clear. probably get a split on this if we do breakout >$1,000. gotta hope SMCI doesnt issue/sell more shares like they did earlier this year.
entry: accumulate when confident, add on breakout, add on bullish kumo twist
exit: 1.618 + measured move = $1755-2200
stop loss: below daily Cloud = <$750
NFA
SMCI Long IdeaSMCI just broke a downtrend it had been in for several days. If it holds I'd expect to see a move higher, targeting all the previous support/resistance levels above. $928 would by first target, followed by $1,000. If it were to fall back below $815 and $780, that would be a nice short opportunity IMO.
SMCI - A potential setup for a swing tradeRemain vigilant for daily reversal candles occurring near the support area. In the event of a daily closing breach of the support levels (red lines), there is a possibility of further downward movement, emphasizing the importance of implementing risk management strategies.
The share Super Micro Computer (SMCI) can now multiply again.Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc. (ticker on Nasdaq: SMCI)
The Super Micro Computer (SMCI) share shows a very strong development within a long-term rising trend, and now the share can face further strong growth within this rising trend.
In recent months, the share has consolidated within a large triangle consolidation formation, and a break from this consolidation formation will trigger a strong technical buy signal for the share.
There will then be little technical resistance to a further rise for the share, and lead up around the upper trend line in the long-term rising trend within which the share moves.
This indicates a potential for the share up to USD 4,000, and preferably within just the next 6-12 months.
The share closed on Friday 05 July 2024 at a price of USD 846.58, so the potential for the share can be very large.
The overall technical picture for the share is very positive, and indicates that there may soon be such a break from the recent large consolidation formation, and that further upswing within the rising trend may come in the next 6-12 months.
The share now finds support around the 50-day moving average, and from the overall technical picture for the share, it is now indicated that a break up from the aforementioned large triangle consolidation formation may come within a short time (1-2 weeks).
The share is now down towards the lower trend line and support level in the steeply rising long-term trend within which the share moves, and the share appears as a very interesting buy candidate at the current price level.
With a potential perhaps up to around USD 4,000 in the 6-12 month term, and with a share price today of USD 846.00, and with a stop-loss at, for example, USD 700.00.
Yes, there is a very good risk-reward ratio here for this share case here with Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI).
Here it is well worth keeping a close eye on this share, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI), in the time to come, the undersigned believes.
Not sure about this oneI was in this name and left because of uncertainty. SMCI is a risky stock IMO. My views below.
Bull case: Bull Flag breakout. NVDA pullback and capital flows into SMCI could send share prices soaring up to 1800.
Bear case: Bear Flag. NVDA pullback and fear causes people to exit riskier low capital AI stocks.
SMCI Short Iron Condor Idea, Expiration (7/19) Prior to EarningsSMCI, Short Iron Condor Trade Idea, Expiration (7/19) Prior to Earnings
+1 $1070 call 7/19
-1 $1060 call 7/19
Current Price: $820
-1 $670 put 7/19
+1 $660 put 7/19
Limit price $4.20
CURRENT Bid -$0.80, Ask $4.10 (as of 6/28, close)
Risk:Reward: $580:$420, or 1:4
Probably won't get the fill Monday 7/1 unless there are big moves. But, if by some miracle it does fill, it would likely be a good candidate to buy-to-close quickly for a small profit, or to wait until close to expiration to buy to close and sell to open a new one (roll).
Worst case scenario would be unexpected early assignment.
TBD
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)SMCI witnessed a strong rebound after testing the uptrend line at 750, to violate 910.85 by yesterday's session, and remaining above this level, will push SMCI to test the last peak 972.35, which is the level that needs to be violated, to trigger further rises near 1020.35 - 1070.30 - 1106.
The stop-loss lies below 883.
the indicators are heading toward the positive side, which confirms the mentioned positive scenario.
The information and publications are not intended to be or constitute any financial, investment, commercial, or other types of advice or recommendations provided.
SMCI: Breakout Ahead?Daily Chart:
On the daily chart, SMCI is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. The price has been making higher lows, suggesting accumulating buying pressure.
The resistance level around 972.44 is crucial. If the price breaks above this level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. However, if it fails to break through, it might revisit the lower boundary of the triangle or even the 21-day EMA, potentially testing investor sentiment and patience.
Weekly Chart:
In the weekly chart, the stock is exhibiting a flag pattern, typically a bullish continuation pattern formed after a strong upward move. The price has been consolidating between the 38.20% and 50.00% Fibonacci retracement levels, which often act as support during pullbacks. A breakout above the flag pattern's upper boundary could resume the prior uptrend, potentially reaching new highs. Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower boundary and the 50.00% retracement level, it could signify a deeper correction, possibly toward the 61.80% retracement level.
Conclusion:
Considering both time frames, SMCI is currently in a consolidation phase with bullish potential. The key levels to watch are the resistance at 972.44 on the daily chart and the boundaries of the flag pattern on the weekly chart. A break above these levels could confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, caution is warranted if the stock fails to break these resistances, as it might signal a possible retracement or a period of further consolidation. Therefore, monitoring these levels closely will be crucial in anticipating the stock's next significant move.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
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