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SMCI trade ideas

$SMCI: Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! (1/9) Good morning, everyone! ☀️ NASDAQ:SMCI : Super Micro Computer – AI Server Surge or a Pit Stop? AI infrastructure’s hotter than a July barbecue, with revenue up 110% to $14,989.2 million in 2024! But with internal control concerns, is this tech beast charging up or taking a breather? Let’s dive in! 🔍 (2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊 • Fiscal 2024: Net sales soared 110.4% to $14,989.2 million 💰 • Server Systems: Up 115.9%, GPU servers leading the charge 📏 • Sector Trend: AI demand’s skyrocketing 🌟 It’s a wild ride, fueled by AI’s hunger! ⚙️ (3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈 • Market Cap: $2.4B, based on shares outstanding 🏆 • Holdings: Servers, storage, and AI solutions ⏰ • Trend: International sales steady at 32%, showing global appetite 🎯 Firm, carving a niche in AI infrastructure! 🚀 (4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑 • 10-K Filing: Dropped Feb 25, 20 25, dodged NASDAQ delisting 🔄 • Revenue Driver: GPU servers for AI workloads 🌍 • Market Reaction: Shares jumped 19.8% after-hours 📋 Adapting, with investors cheering the comeback! 💡 (5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡ • Internal Controls: Audit flagged issues, per Feb 25 filing 🔍 • Competition: Big players in AI server space 📉 • Volatility: High-growth sectors swing hard ❄️ Tough, but risks loom! 🛑 (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪 • Revenue Boom: 110% growth, $14,989.2 million in sales 🥇 • AI Focus: GPU servers crushing it 📊 • Global Reach: 32% international sales 🔧 Got rocket fuel in the tank! 🏦 (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️ • Weaknesses: Internal control concerns, per audit 📉 • Opportunities: AI infrastructure demand keeps soaring 📈 Can it fix the cracks and ride the wave? 🤔 (8/9) – 📢 SMCI’s revenue up 110%, with AI demand exploding, your take? 🗳️ • Bullish: Shares to $50+ soon, AI’s unstoppable 🐂 • Neutral: Steady, risks balance growth ⚖️ • Bearish: $35 looms, controls spook 🐻 Chime in below! 👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯 SMCI’s revenue surge to $14,989.2 million screams AI potential 📈, but control issues add a pinch of caution 🌿. Volatility’s our friend—dips are DCA gold 💰. Grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1
HOW TO use the Acceleration Bands HTF indicatorYou can access this indicator HERE: For details about the indicator, please see the indicator's description. This idea is about the use of it. You always want to go with the trend and trade into the direction that "accelerates" according to the indicator. When the price accelerates, it is more likely to continue than to reverse. Also, the volatility will be much greater (momentum) to the acceleration direction. All the explosive moves happen outside of the acceleration bands. You can go over many charts and see that the indicator methodology is aligned with good trading principles of great traders such as Darvas Box Trading, and Jesse Livermore entries, and also SMC.
NASDAQ:SMCIEducation
by ZoharCho
2
SMCI Pulling Back After Earnings Surge! Is a Bounce Coming? Technical Analysis for February 27, 2025: 1. Current Price Action: * SMCI spiked following earnings but has since retraced, now trading near $48.20. * The stock is testing key support at $48.50, a crucial level for a potential bounce. * POC (Point of Control) at $51.08 is the major level that bulls need to reclaim. 2. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $48.50 (Current level), $45.50, $41.64 (Major downside risk). * Resistance: $51.08 (POC), $58.28 (Breakout zone). * Upside Targets: $57, $60, $66.42. 3. Indicators Analysis: * MACD: Bearish momentum, showing weakness. * Stoch RSI: Extremely oversold, signaling a potential short-term bounce. * Volume Profile: Heavy liquidity between $48.50 and $51, meaning strong accumulation. GEX & Option Strategy for Tomorrow and the Week: 1. Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights: * Call Walls: $57, $60 → Resistance areas. * Put Walls: $39, $35 → Major support. 2. IV & Sentiment: * IVR: 41.1 (Moderate) * IVx Avg: 136 (High IV, potential for premium selling). * Call Positioning: 99.8% bullish sentiment. * GEX Sentiment: Bullish if $51 is reclaimed. 3. Trading Suggestions: * Bullish Setup: If SMCI reclaims $51, consider long positions targeting $57-$60, with a stop at $48. * Bearish Setup: If SMCI breaks below $48, short setups targeting $45-$42, stop at $50. * Options Play: Selling put spreads at $45 support or call spreads near $60 resistance. 📌 My Thoughts & Suggestion: * SMCI remains highly volatile due to earnings—watch for a reclaim of $51 for a bullish continuation. * If $48 fails, expect a test of $45-$42. * High IV makes option selling attractive, especially for short-term plays. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🚀
NASDAQ:SMCI
by BullBearInsights
THEORETICALS ALL MET OR VERY CLOSE. next $88 of $98SMCI HAS MET ALL ITS THEORETICAL PIVOT POINTS. IN MY OPINION HUMBLE OPINION I THINK SUPERMICRO IS READY TO GO BACK UP. THE NEW THEORETICAL IS ABOVE $67. GOOD LUCK ENJOY THIS. STOCK HAS A VERY LOW PE. IT'S NOW CLEARED FROM ALL ACCUSATIONS THAT WERE MADE UP BY THE INFAMOUS HINDENBURG REPORT with the help of the woman from Ernst & Young who is a well-known "Obama-NOID", Obama supporter. I know I'm not supposed to say this things. Anyhow in my opinion Ernst & Young was complicit with the Hindenburg report in an orchestrated effort to short the segment that included Nvidia and everybody else the problem with the SMCI is that it has a low liquidity, and therefore it behaves like a penny stock once the stock is bumped down, It's very difficult to move it up again unless everything is cleared, like now for example, everything has been cleared about SMCI, which is a great company and it's definitely the top dog in the segment if you think about it, SMCI, the one that carries all the chips without SMCI. They wouldn't be in the video or an AMD or an Intel in the AI segment. I just bought the whole thing and I will continue buying on the way up. You can do the same if you like it's sort of a safe way to do it. You don't get as big of a returns, but it's safe and I like safety more than anything good luck, boys and girls enjoy the ride. I think we're going to 88 now maybe even 90 on a straight line very likely and then we should be reaching $187 for the stock. These are my opinions, of course sometimes they don't print out. Sometimes they do most likely they will, but the responsibility is yours, so please make sure that you do all your calculations, correctly. Just to help you our - SMCI is projecting $40 Billion in revenue in 2026, that means the stock will likely print above $260 ... do the numbers ... I did mine.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
TRYING NOT TO CHASE TOO MUCH Supermicro did excellently nice after hours, however, it also touched a particular pivot point so I think that tomorrow we should be able to find the CI at about 53 to 52 or 54 whatever it is a little lower because this was really a massive gap up and the market maker should not be so happy about this. They may need to bring everything down to be able to reengage all the derivatives that work off this stock. This is all theoretical. It doesn't need to happen, but in general when you finish her, a wedge it follows a predetermined pattern that is quite reliable in my opinion.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by imcnf5c4ff
Breaking down the stage of SMCI pop (with real time forecasts). SMCI has now completed all the general stages of the Minsky bubble. It made the rally, it made the top, it made the capitulation and then it made the mean reversion. Big win for the efficacy of the Minsky model. Let's now run through the stages as they happened. Because after the fact, it's easy. Everyone sees it. To benefit from a bull market you need to know how to take profit at the right time - let's review the clues we had. SMCI had its "New Paradigm" moment in mid 2024. Original full post below. At that point we had all the classic tells of a top forming. But if you trade market tops a lot, you know there's can be a some gaming going on before it actually ends. Most often what we see is there being a bluff sell off and then a spike of the high. This provide a lot of liquidity for Mr Big to sell into Mr Little because My Little is either hitting stops above the high or FOMOing into the "New breakout" because they seen the previous versions pop 20 - 50% and they're not about to miss this one!!! Getting the general zone on this one was easy. The market essentially topped on the 4.23. If we discount the spike outs. And I've written super in depth posts about how most major inflection points in markets come from 4.23's. Since my time writing these posts/models for 4.23 reversals I've also dug into testing my fib based ideas against historic markets via different AI tools and actually found AI when given the test criteria will also define 4.23's as being related to speculative bubbles. Like I said above, usually we fake crash, spike out and then real crash. So after we hit the first section of the move we went long into the low. Because even in a stronger drop we typically see the 76 bull trap here. And then in classic form, we topped on the butterfly. Absolutely textbook. ==== I'll now leave you with a series of NVDA charts. 4.23: Butterfly: And all of this is happening inside the zone I flagged up as the trend completion area for NVDA when it was trading under 500. === What's the difference between SMCI and NVDA? Maybe about 6 months.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by holeyprofit
SMCI - RETRACED from $67 to $50 - that is good enough 4 me.the retracement meets all criteria, time to go long. If SmCi delivers on its projections of $40 Billion in revenue by 2026, that means that in 1 year the shares trade for $197 each. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has recently experienced a significant pullback, retracing 20% from $67 to $50, which presents an attractive entry point for long positions. This correction offers a compelling opportunity to invest in a company with strong fundamentals and growth potential. The stock's valuation metrics are particularly appealing: Low P/E ratio: SMCI's price-to-earnings ratio is significantly lower than the peer average, indicating the stock is undervalued compared to its competitors. Attractive P/S ratio: With an enterprise value/revenue that is relatively low, SMCI appears undervalued relative to its sales performance. Growth potential: The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, showcasing its strong market position. Analyst optimism: Recent analyst actions reflect confidence in the company's prospects. Industry leadership: SMCI has emerged as a prominent player in the technology hardware industry. Given these factors, SMCI appears undervalued and poised for potential upside. The recent pullback provides an opportune moment to establish or increase long positions in this promising tech stock.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
SMCI - Eyeing this for a potential reloadBEWARE - Market-wide we're seeing a potential institutional "rugpull" sort of situation after plenty of ATH's made last week. Not predicting the market's "top" but I am seeing a common theme on many charts that correlate to the S&P recent ATH and subsequent dump (especially considering it wasn't provoked by any specific news). Also, SMCI specific, keep in mind their deadline approaching to submit the required documents to avoid de-listing. Goes without saying that this would have a huge effect on the stock if somehow they failed to submit. Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:SMCI
by ReigningTrades
SMCI - Play of the year!Correction - I made the last video on this SMCI opportunity two months ago in mid-December stating "Golden opportunity right in front of us?". And I was just thinking - is this too obvious? Clearly it was and I'm glad I took advantage. This was the most educated gamble of all time! Was worth every penny that could have been lost. From here, I expect similar movement after sufficient liquidity is built in a controlled manner. Not rushing into another position here until I see certain levels and algorithms in play - But the breakout of our HTF selling channel is a great start and now would love to see ourselves build controlled liquidity prior to another breakout! Happy Trading :)
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ReigningTrades
3
SMCI. Huge Levels approaching. SMCI is approaching some major levels. All my levels are fib pulls from the yearly and monthly swings. They have been wildly accurate. I have been long since $26 and have fully exited my long today. We have major confluence from multiple fib pulls at the $76 level. This is a major profit target for longs. This is also a huge short opportunity. I expect SMCI to either dump of $76 or gain and possibly reach $88. I dont see new all time highs in the near future. I believe we will dump down past the $52 level that we have already held on the daily when we gapped up the other day. Let me know if you have questions.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by JR_Stocks
5
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom 🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms. 🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary. 🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist. 🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided. 🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards. 🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature. 🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed. 🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home. 🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite. 🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch