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Super Micro Computer, Inc.

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SMCI trade ideas

Super Micro Computer (SMCI): Is This the Greatest Comeback?Could this truly be the greatest comeback of 2024 & 2025? The decision for NASDAQ:SMCI is imminent, and it’s crucial to remain open to all potential scenarios. Over the past month, NASDAQ:SMCI has risen by an impressive 83% and is now trading just below a significant resistance level. Flipping this resistance would mark the first shift from a bearish to a bullish structure since the beginning of the decline. Such a reclaim would also indicate a remarkable V-shaped correction, which holds substantial significance on the weekly chart. It’s likely that NASDAQ:SMCI may experience a slight pullback this week to accumulate more buying momentum before pushing above the $50 mark. However, the stock must not fall below $25, as this remains the Point of Control (POC) since 2022—a critical level that must be respected to maintain the bullish potential.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Progression for SMCI $58 next Minimum The price progression for SMCI should move up exceeding168.66. This is based on the new profit margin of 13.7%. As you all know SMCI was the victim of a short raid by the Hindenburg report, and associates, and some are including Ernst and Young in the conspiracy, based on the Chairman Janet strong affinity with the Obamas and the incidental information that these two actors also were behing the Adani Group also a victim. However, at the moment SMCI has been completely cleared of fraud has a new accountant. Significant investments in AI infrastructure are currently underway in Europe, while the United States continues to enhance its capabilities. A notable trend is the emergence of sovereign AI, where nations seek to develop independent AI systems for automation and management. SMCI's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 21, significantly lower than the segment's average of 57, suggesting substantial growth potential. With over 21% of shares shorted, upward momentum is expected to persist as market dynamics shift favorably. As of December 5, 2024, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has a trailing P/E ratio of 21.43 and a forward P/E ratio of 15.56. The current earnings per share (EPS) stands at $1.92 based on a stock price of $41.14. This valuation indicates that SMCI is trading at a relatively lower multiple compared to its sector, suggesting potential for future growth as market conditions evolve
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by imcnf5c4ff
2
Maximize Your Profit Potential: SMCI Trading Strategy for Next WRecent Performance: SMCI has shown impressive recovery patterns since early November, indicating an upward momentum that signals renewed investor interest. The stock trades at a current price of 43.93, reflecting a constructive market environment and potential for continued growth. - Key Insights: Investors should focus on identified liquidity zones between $23 and $33, which are crucial for buying and selling decisions. The establishment of support levels offers safe entry points, while resistance levels provide profit-taking opportunities. - Expert Analysis: Analyst opinions are overwhelmingly bullish on SMCI, with many suggesting that the stock has potential for upward movement based on technical indicators and prevailing market conditions. However, it is advisable for investors to remain vigilant in tracking price fluctuations that may impact their positions. - Price Targets: Based on current analysis, the proposed targets are: - Next week targets: T1 = 47.5, T2 = 50.0 - Stop levels: S1 = 41.8, S2 = 39.78 - News Impact: While no significant corporate news or announcements have emerged to directly impact SMCI, the overall market sentiment remains positive. This indicates that current price trends may continue, bolstered by investor confidence in the stock's performance. In conclusion, SMCI's favorable market activity paired with robust analyst sentiment creates a positive outlook for the upcoming week. Investors are encouraged to watch price dynamics closely and adapt their strategies as necessary amidst this encouraging landscape.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
SMCI UpdateSMCI: Long Setup Analysis (4H Timeframe Update) Previous Idea Recap: The prior long setup on SMCI performed excellently, with the stock rebounding sharply from a prolonged downtrend caused by adverse news. The price is now in a strong recovery phase, breaking key resistance levels and surging higher. Supply and Demand Zones (Updated): - Supply Zones (Resistance): - $48.40–$50.35: The current price is testing this zone, which aligns with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels. Expect possible resistance or consolidation here. - $55.24–$59.68: The next major supply zone, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the likely completion of Wave 5. - $68.90–$72.50: Higher timeframe resistance zone. If the bullish breakout sustains, this is the long-term target zone. - $88.40–$96.35: is the ultimate highest SZ up with a potential RRR of 10:1 Plan of Action: - If Holding Positions: Trail your stop below recent swing lows to secure profits while allowing the trade to run. - For New Positions: Wait for either a confirmed breakout above $50.35 or a retracement into the $38.90–$41.00 demand zone for the best entry. "Trade what you see, not what you hope." Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always perform your own analysis and risk management.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by MESHANL
Possible Butterfly Bull Trap in SMCI The classic bull trap pattern comes when we have an initial sell off. Some sort of retracement of that and then a failure to make a new high forming a capitulation pattern. Everyone knows this pattern, it's the classic "Return to Normal" in the bubble template. However, we also have modified versions of bull traps that make new highs. While this seems paradoxical, what better place is there to trap bulls than ATH? When this patterns forms it's most often expressed as a butterfly top. There's the initial drop. A false continuation of the classic bull trap and then a spike high. This forms a "W" pattern with the spike high usually ending in the 1.61 - 2.20 zone. This is something we commonly find at the end of big uptrends. Read more about uptrend and reversal formation here:
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by holeyprofit
1
SMCI completes all stages of Minsky model. What's next for AI?Over the last couple years SMCI has done a speed run through all the phases of the Minsky model. Ending with a near perfect expression of all stage. Let's go through the steps one by one; First - the macro trend was starting to run out of steam when we tagged the 4.23 (As so often happens). Next we had the classic fake crash and then final spike out, characteristic of bubbles. Then we had the tell tale W butterfly top. And then it was just a matter of time. === Classic. By the boom stuff. So, where does that leave us now? As someone who likes trading reversals best, this gives me one main thought. One of three things should be true. SMCI is a long. NVDA is a short. SCMI and NVDA due to fundamentals will diverge massively from each other. I'm a TA trader, so I just discount the third option as an occupational hazard. I do not know nor care enough about the fundies of either of these. If the fundies overrule my TA thesis, I'll just hit a stop. Wait a while. Then make a new decision. My goal in trading isn't to always be right or make my money off one wonder trade. The whole goal for me is over my trading lifetime to lose about 50% of my trades. Win about 50% of them. Average about $3 per $1 lost. I pre-accepted a long time ago I'd lose half my trades, what order they come in or why does not matter. They're all part of the plan. So ... that brings us down to the decision, is it fade the NVDA bull or buy the SMCI knife? There's some nuances to this. For one, SMCI has complete the low hanging fruit rally. We have a quite simple method for this. If and when the low of the parabolic phase is spiked out, this is when we usually see reversion to the trendline. Here's the setup in CVNA. Using the same rational as used for the CVNA low call, it was easy enough to see the potential for a low being made in SMCI. Here's a real time mention of the SMCI knife catch at the low. The dilemma here is this is the easy target for the long. Can run more, 100% bounce to the trendline was the low hanging fruit. But CVNA is now over 100% higher than the same level. SMCI could have a lot more to run in theory but I find it hard to be bullish here because we're, literally, at my bull target level. I did the SMCI knife catch thing. It went well. Now we're at resistance. It might run more, but it feels more like chasing to me. So to the next question. Does NVDA happen to look anything like SMCI did at the high? Yup ... If the Minsky model is again in play here, we're be somewhere close to the optimal shorting levels. === Did SMCI lead NVDA? One would think at this point we can't be more than 18 months away from knowing. If the AI bubble is going to fully pop, it'd seem it has to be at or close to full maturity now.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by holeyprofit
3
Bullish for Dec 7th!!Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has recently cleared fraud allegations through an independent probe, leading to a significant stock surge. However, with 15.67% of its shares shorted and a short interest ratio of 1.0 days, the stock remains volatile. Key catalysts that could force shorts to cover include the approval of SMCI’s compliance plan by Nasdaq, following its recent appointment of BDO USA as auditor to resolve financial reporting issues, and its participation in investor events like the Barclays Global Tech Conference on December 7, 2024. These developments, combined with heightened investor interest and potential short squeeze dynamics, suggest a highly volatile near-term outlook.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by justin_p_mcfarland
2
Intermezzo - the show will continue - however tomorrow is Fridayand Fridays is when the market makers pay, generally they don't pay too far from the mean and this puppy went up 100% in no time.... I think we get back to $31.oo and change before the next move, and this $31 likely by the end of Friday. Again you do your own calculations. never ever rely of others to tell you where things are. Remember opinions are like dog tails we all have one, everyone chases them and they all schtinkkkzzzz
NASDAQ:SMCI
by imcnf5c4ff
1
Analyzing SMCI's Potential RecoveryCapitulation and Recovery: Capitulation: A period of intense selling pressure that often marks the bottom of a downtrend. Post-Capitulation Recovery: After a capitulation event, the stock may experience a relief rally as short-sellers cover their positions and long-term investors start accumulating. Factors Affecting SMCI's Recovery: Fundamental Factors: Earnings Reports: Strong earnings reports can boost investor confidence and drive the stock price higher. Revenue Growth: Continued revenue growth, especially in the AI and data center segments, is crucial. Technological Innovations: SMCI's ability to innovate and introduce new products can influence investor sentiment. Market Sentiment: Overall market conditions, especially the tech sector, can impact SMCI's performance. Cautions and Considerations: Market Volatility: The stock market is inherently volatile, and SMCI is no exception. Price fluctuations can be significant, especially in the short term. Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by ParabolicP
SMCI, the worst is likely behind usSMCI has crashed from this years highs, a good 80%. To me it sounds like the worst has happened. And while we may see some positivity this EOY that can help us reach new ATHs, we must remain aware of the risk the broad economy poses. Target is 130+ short term, with one more 50%+ drop coming right after. I would make sure I have the funds ready to scoop up shares if such a scenario happens. As the second dip doesn't look as bad as the first one. After that SMCI will resume its lifetime bullish climb, and keep on going for as long as the bull market lasts.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by Ilyassou
SMCI to $60? When?!?In this video, I use the Magic Linear Regression Channel , Multi VWAP , and Magic Order Blocks indicators to build a case for a $60 SMCI target. In short, it might be a few months away. Using a linear regression channel starting on May 8th, 2024, and ending October 29th, 2024, we can see that the channel is respected at multiple levels. In today's trading, we see a rejection from the Inner Fibonacci Level - Upper in the Magic Linear Regression Channel tool. I was expecting this a few days ago based on the projected channel. With the Multi VWAP indicator we see that the price is currently above the 5-Day anchored VWAP (AVWAP). It can potentially continue to hold that and go through some consolidation before heading back to the top of the channel. At which point, it could reject or consolidate more. I suspect that with the accounting issues behind them, SMCI price will continue to recover. However, above the upper channel lies the year-to-date anchored VWAP, which should be at around $60 by the time SMCI can get there. This will be a level of interest. On the daily chart, we see that the 5D AVWAP gets respected with a bottom wick on the 15min chart that tags it almost perfectly at around $39. We also see an order block acting at support at that same level using the Magic Order Blocks indicator. That gives us further evidence that we could potentially have the 5D AVWAP holding price up as support during a period of consolidation. Should SMCI continue its bullish momentum, there are two potential areas of consolidation - if not outright rejections - at the Inner Fibonacci Upper level and at the upper linear regression band. If it makes it through, the next target will be the YTD AVWAP.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by mwrightinc
6