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SMCI trade ideas

8/6/24 - $smci - Punting long print @ $6008/6/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SMCI Punting long print @ $600 - liquidity conditions generally look favorable for a day (maybe more?) but enough to punt on this beaten up sector on a name growing high 30's CAGR+ and trading 25x PE next year - think the "surprise" that there's a lot more demand for full stack data center will drive more upside toward the $800 level (fair value, but that's what was hard for me to own back in april). - will be volatile. took a 50 bps punt (typically wb 25 bps on EPS like this) mainly bc of the sell off y day leaving more room for upside in my estimation than downside risk. - as always. size accordingly. - curious if anyone has nuanced POV. V
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by VROCKSTAR
4
SMCI: The Next Major Inflection Point! (D&W charts)On the daily chart, the stock experienced a notable downward breakout, moving sharply below a confluence of trendlines that had previously served as support. This breakout is significant as it suggests a strong bearish momentum, possibly indicating a shift in investor sentiment. The price is below the 21-day EMA, and there is no bottom signal on it yet. In our previous public SMCI analysis, I warned you about this trend line, as a downwards breakout would frustrate any possibility of a bullish thesis, mid-term speaking. The link to our previous study, here on TradingView, is below this post. Transitioning to the weekly chart provides a broader perspective, showing the stock's performance over a longer timeframe. Here, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level stands out as the next significant support level following the recent declines. This specific Fibonacci level is often watched by traders for potential reversal zones and could act as a strong area of interest for buying activities if prices were to reach this point. The weekly chart also underscores a general downtrend after failing to maintain higher levels, which aligns with the bearish sentiment observed on the daily chart. The consistency of lower highs further emphasizes the pressure on the stock. Overall, the convergence of these technical factors across different timeframes suggests that SMCI may face continued downward pressure in the near term, with crucial support at the 61.8% Fibonacci level possibly serving as a pivotal area for the stock's next directional moves. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SMCI Death by a 1000 cutsSuper Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has had a parabolic run, but to me, it’s looking a bit like a bloated pig on stilts. Amidst the geopolitical tension with China and the Taiwan situation, it's a precarious spot for U.S. tech. If the republic of China political mandates starts get inforced by the PRC of China policing into Taiwan and this start to hold up the chip facilities things are shaky.. SMCI’s got a gorgeous bear flag pattern going on, with the 325/200 EMA crossover giving the green light for a swing trade. The ATR is low, so expect more of a slow bleed rather than a dramatic drop—think death by a thousand cuts. This is the Second Flag ive caught, I believe its a magnet to the yearly level (Orange)
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by BullishBear1996
Long way to go from here Current situation: SKILLING:US100 : NASDAQ:SMCI is currently at support level. Potential scenario: If tomorrow's earnings do not meet expectations, the stock could drop to around $450 in a heartbeat. Why? 1. The movement that started on 4.03.2024 appears to be an ABC correction, and the stock is currently in wave C of that correction. 2. In an ABC correction, the most common Fibonacci level for wave C is when Wave C = Wave A = 1 = $446 3. Other indicators, such as MACD, are also indicating a downward trend as expected. The WavesInvesting indicator is also pointing to the same level as the Fibonacci ratio for its lower channel line. However, if the earnings turn out to be very good, we may see support at the current level. Simple question for you: support or down the water slide we go?
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by WavesInvesting
SMCI daily and weekly charts show relative strength.NASDAQ:SMCI held up wonderfully on the NASDAQ:QQQ sell-off on Thursday, demonstrating relative strength on the daily chart. Long from $888, which was the intraday VWAP on Thursday, the middle of the four-hour 100 linear regression channel, as well as the weekly 20 SMA. Next week, there is room to recently weekly highs of $1000, followed by the weekly upper Bollinger Band at $1090 on continuation. NASDAQ:NDX and NASDAQ:NDXE inclusion on 7/22/2024 should provide a bullish catalyst this week, and Super Micro Computer may also be a candidate for a stock split like NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AVGO and NASDAQ:MSTR
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DMT_Doctor
The 10 Best Performing Stocks of The Year (So Far - July Update)I recently asked myself a simple question: What are the top-performing stocks of 2024 so far? After running a customized scan, I have compiled the data to share with everyone here on TradingView both as a chart above and in this text list below. Each stock on this list met the following criteria: - They are officially listed on the NYSE or Nasdaq. - Have maintained a market cap of $2 billion or more. - Have appreciated by 100% or more since the beginning of the year. Before I present the list, I want to note an interesting observation: many of these companies were unfamiliar to me before I started. It has been a while since I've encountered so many new names and not NVIDIA, etc. Let's explore the best performers since the start of the year: RNA +411% JANX +328% SMMT +291% SMR +256% DYN +240% NVAX +235% ADMA +209% SMCI +182% VKTX +179% HIMS +159% There are a few reasons why list like these matter. Historically, stocks that have gained over 100% in a year often come from sectors experiencing significant innovation or industry shifts. So, it makes it worth looking into. I'll be sharing more updates going forward! So stay tuned for more. Quick final note: this is only for education and entertainment. I am not saying this is a Long or Short list. Always do your own research.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by scheplick
SMCI - The beginning of something SuperLook at the run up into and base it build from Aug 23 to Jan 24. The same story is repeating itself today. For the range trader I believe there are superb opportunities to play between $740 and $930, but for the longer term trader, the stock is building a base before its next move, which might very well be the $1500 as was mentioned in a puff-piece for the stock a while ago. I plan on being involved this time, having missed the large move back in January.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by MrLowStep
SMCI You won't be able to catch this rally after it starts.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has so far followed to near perfection our last long-term analysis (May 13, see chart below) where we called for a prolonged accumulation (red Rectangle) of at least another 2-months before the real cyclical rally started: We called then that 'patience will be rewarded' and the stock is finally close to rewarding your patience on the long-term. As you can see, every time in the past 18 months that the stock formed an Accumulation Phase this long, it then posted an incredible rally of +417%. Throughout this process, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) always remained intact and supported. The rally started when the 1D MA200 got to its closest with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the exact situation we're at right now. As a result, we expect the parabolic rally to start any day now and as the title says, once it starts it will be difficult to catch. Typically entries within the Accumulation Phase should be done while it lasts. Our long-term Target is intact at $3500 (exactly +417% from the recent Low). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
2
Bullish on SMCI - Symmetrical Triangle FormationSMCI looks has clearly formed a symmetrical triangle. I expect a triangle breakout at earnings or possible before earnings if really good news is expected. Because this is a symmetrical triangle, you have to play the direction of the breakout. Have a tight stop loss at 800 and prepare for take off to retest $1220 💰. If this breaks out bullish, this will be a 45%+ move 🚀. On a side note, I'm expecting a stock split announcement and a killer earnings to catapult this thing. Hold on 💺
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by rellroad21
4