SOFI 4-Hour — “Measured-Move” Breakout Toward $20.8 → $22Structure: Price broke out of a year-long falling-wedge and then punched through an ascending trend-line confluence at ≈ $17.00–$17.50.
Impulse Leg (Yellow): The vertical rally that followed is ≈ $3.75 tall. Projecting that height from the breakout pivot ($17.00) gives 100 % extension = $20.78.
Target Zone (Violet Box): $20.8 – $22.0 aligns with
100 % measured-move projection
Prior all-time swing high (~$20.5, Jan-2024)
A thin volume-profile “air pocket” between $19 and $22 (little resistance until the upper edge).
Next Level Up: 127.2 % fib extension sits at $24.15—that becomes the stretch target only if $22 is cleared decisively.
SOFI trade ideas
LONG 4HR Wave Count Possibilities
Using the Weekly time frame, Wave 1+3 of a larger degree shows a possible extension to the 1.68 extension which is a common wave 5 of a larger degree target . That Price Target being $26.35.
In April of this year the price reacted to a Reversal Pivot Point but failed to form a proper impulse for wave 1. Price then gapped above the price resistance line for the year of 2025 and the 100 WMA.
As of now, price is expect to target $19.43 in a move to finish out wave 3 of a macro degree. Wave 4 typically retracing to the 0.236 or 0.382 level has been displayed to align with the current uptrend trendline.
I have also displayed the possible points of interest for Fib levels for an approach to finish out wave 5 of a macro degree. I expect Price to stall and face resistance in the golden pocket extension of the Fib levels.
None of this is financial advise and strictly for educational purpouses.
Long for now but would suggest taking profits. Even though major move already happened, I can see it going to 20-21.5 before we hit supply and head lower into next buy zone, unfortunately I don't see strong support until 15 area. Macd's play a role as momentum from buying is going to turn into selling soon.
SOFI Classic BUMBUM Breakout !I think I am beginning to like this classic bumbum formation.
NASDAQ:SOFI broke from the classic bumbum formation and retraced back to its support levels at $8.
It has recently started making a bullish reversal move back to $15, in the turn forming an inverse head and shoulder formation.
If the current momentum is sustained and the $16 resistance is cleared; I expect a move towards $23.34.
💼 Position
Type: SOFI 15 Call
Expiry: July 11, 2025
Quantity: 10
Average Cost Basis: $0.58
Date Purchased: June 10, 2025
Last Price: $1.01
Total % Gain/Loss: +75%
Super performance candidate NASDAQ:SOFI has shown strong quarterly earning's growth, with its latest earnings quarter reporting 30% YoY, improving from losses to profits at an impressive rate
Being positioned as a Leader in the FinTech sector and significant institutional adoption, reflecting investor appetite and confidence
Aiding with a key Breakout day,
I have reasons to believe this security price could increase.
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Cup and Handle - 67% Upside if we get the CUTS As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:01:38 PM PDT, here's a breakdown of SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) stock:
Current Price & Performance:
Last Price: $17.18 (as of 4:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
Today's Change: Up $0.41 (2.44%)
After-hours price: $17.22 (up 0.23% as of 8:00 PM ET on June 27, 2025)
Previous Close: $16.77
Today's Range: $16.84 - $17.52
52-Week Range: $6.01 - $18.42
Key Financials (as of March 31, 2025, Fiscal Q1 2025 reported April 29, 2025):
Market Cap: Approximately $18.99 billion
Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.06 (reported), which beat the expected $0.031.
Revenue: $770.72 million (reported), which beat the expected $738.91 million.
Net Income: $71.12 million
Analyst Sentiment & Forecasts:
Consensus Rating: "Hold" based on 39 analysts.
13 Buy ratings
19 Hold ratings
7 Sell ratings
Median Price Target: $9.87 (This is lower than the current price, indicating some analysts believe it is currently overvalued based on their targets.)
High Estimate: $20.00
Low Estimate: $3.00
Recent News & Outlook:
SoFi recently reported strong Q1 2025 results, with revenue growing 20% year-over-year. While net income decreased 19% year-over-year, it was still significantly ahead of guidance.
The company is focused on expanding its financial product offerings and has seen strong growth in its user base.
Some analysts suggest that SoFi is establishing itself as a leader in the evolving digital banking landscape and could benefit from long-term trends as more young people transition into adulthood and begin their banking journey.
There are some potential concerns about economic issues and the elevated default risk associated with higher-risk loans compared to more established banks.
Recent news indicates SoFi's crypto plans now include stablecoins.
Important Note: Stock analysis involves inherent risks and predictions can be volatile. It's always recommended to conduct your own thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SOFI Long Setup – 2.83 Risk/RewardSOFI looks ready for a breakout. The price is consolidating just above the cloud after reclaiming the Kijun line. This setup offers solid upside if momentum follows through.
Entry: ~$13.46
Target: $16.37 (21.6% upside)
Stop: $12.43 (7.65% downside)
Risk/Reward: 2.83
Why I like this trade:
Clear support above the cloud and Kijun line
Strong recovery from April lows with higher lows forming
Tight risk with a decent breakout target
Ichimoku showing early signs of bullish trend resumption
I’m watching for volume to confirm and a daily close above $13.70 for conviction. Worth tracking if the macro backdrop holds up.
Let me know if you're in or staying on the sidelines.
#SOFI #Stocks #TradingSetup #Ichimoku #Breakout #RiskReward #SwingTrade #TradingView
SoFi Technologies (SOFI, 1D)On the daily chart, SoFi has broken out of its descending trendline, confirmed the breakout with a clean retest of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at $12.33, and is now building upward momentum from this demand zone. This “buy zone” is acting as a launchpad for a potential mid-term move toward higher resistance levels.
Key Fibonacci-based upside targets:
– $13.48 (0.5 retracement)
– $14.64 (0.382 retracement)
– $16.07 (0.236 retracement) — within the defined target zone
– Extended target: $18.37 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical structure highlights:
– Breakout of multi-month downtrend + successful retest
– Price now trading above key EMAs (50/100/200)
– Volume expansion on bullish candles confirms demand
– Daily momentum favors further continuation toward the $14–$16 zone
– Premium supply zone above $16 may slow initial momentum but offers long-term potential toward $18+
Fundamental context:
SoFi is evolving as a vertically integrated fintech platform with strong brand recognition and growing user engagement across banking, investing, and lending services. As the company narrows losses and strengthens recurring revenue, investor interest in SOFI is growing — particularly as market appetite returns for high-quality fintech with path-to-profitability models.
The technical breakout is confirmed. As long as price remains above the $12.33–$12.50 buy zone, the bullish scenario remains valid with targets toward $14.64 and $16.07. A breakout above $16 would activate the full expansion toward $18.37 in the mid-term.
Can SOFI reach $30.00 ? SoFi Technologies has successfully broken out of a falling channel, reclaiming the $13.00 level — now acting as a strong support and technical base. This breakout follows a clear downtrend rejection structure (marked by multiple red arrows), and is now transitioning into a bullish reversal pattern.
📊 Technical Highlights
Breakout Point: $13.00 – now confirmed as strong support.
Structure: Bullish flag/channel breakdown followed by a clean breakout and retest setup.
Pattern Projection Target: $30.32 (based on flagpole extension), indicating a potential 137% upside.
Short-Term Resistance: $16.58 (local top), then $18.41.
Support Zone: $13.00 key level to hold for bullish continuation.
Volume: Elevated volume on breakout candles, confirming strong demand absorption at breakout.
🧠 Trade Expectation
Price may enter a short period of consolidation or shallow pullbacks above $13 before stair-stepping higher through $16.50 and $18.40. If momentum sustains, a measured move to the $30 zone is achievable.
SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close🏦 SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Bias: Moderately Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: 0DTE intraday swing to close
🧠 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Bias Strike Entry Targets Stop Confidence
Grok Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.43 (+30%) $0.23 75%
Claude Bullish 14.00C 0.09 $0.18 / $0.27 $0.04 72%
Llama Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
Gemini Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
DeepSeek Bearish 13.50P 0.13 $0.20 $0.065 65%
✅ Consensus Direction: Moderately Bullish (4/5 models)
🎯 Key Level: $13.83 resistance; max pain = $13.50
📊 Catalyst: William Blair BUY recommendation adds support
📉 Contrarian View: DeepSeek sees fade toward max pain, but low volume = weak conviction
🔍 Technical Snapshot
Price: $13.69 (as of latest report)
Support: $13.50 (max pain & put wall)
Resistance: $13.83 (near R1 level)
Momentum: Short-term charts (5-min) bullish across MACD, EMAs
Volume: Below average, but rising near resistance
Volatility: VIX at ~17.7 → normal, quiet environment
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument SOFI
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $13.50
Expiry 2025-06-06 (Today)
Entry Price $0.33
Profit Target $0.50 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.23 (≈30% loss)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 71%
Entry Timing Market Open
🧠 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Take profit around $0.50–$0.55
🛑 Cut loss on break below $13.50 or if option falls to $0.23
📆 Time-based exit by today’s close (0DTE)
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
Strong resistance at $13.83 could cap upside
Theta decay on weekly option will accelerate after midday
Low volume = fewer buyers near top
Any adverse market news can drag the stock back toward $13.50