TER trade ideas
1/29/25 - $ter - I'll bite. Micro long into print.1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TER
I'll bite. Micro long into print.
- sidelines watching this for some time
- last two prints had pretty bad reactions - not ideal - chart also looks double-top-ish zoom out, not great
- but financials still solid, growth great, mgns great... i couldn't play for NASDAQ:LRCX but i'm happy to bit a bite on this one given a few factors, namely if NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:TSLA beat (which assuming all three is low probability in theory, but i think is probably >50% chance), then something like this rips b/c NASDAQ:NVDA will rip and bring the whole complex with it.
- in other words, financials check box, it got kicked in the nuts in the last few days, and any decent confirm from big co's will translate into semi rip and therefore equipment/ test co's rip (not to be confused with RIP'ing which we r trying to avoid)
what do u think anon? worth the micro punt to keep our skills sharp?
V
Upside is boost by JPM upgradeNASDAQ:TER The official breakout of the falling wedge is a sign of bullish continuation and whats more, Stock has been on a steady uptrend since 2008 and is unlikely to fall for now. Hence, we are likely to see the stock edging higher, maybe even beyond 158 in the super long-term
TER - JULY 24 MATrend Unsustainable Momentum- Aligns with larger bullish uptrend
- I wanted to enter at 1am, after the lunch dip, but my limit entry got activated at 12midnight. (I need to monitor this timing behaviour for Long unsustainable momentum patterns
Exit Requirements (15M Chart)
- Selected 20SMA Cross as it historical was more synced with price movement
- Move BE when price hits 0 Fib
MATrend Unsustainable Momentum (Systematic) ⏪
The strategy identifies stocks (Tech sector ) that follows the larger market regime's momentum of the day and because they are unable to maintain it price breaks down quickly
Tight stops aligned to the price behaviour we are trying to capture. Which is a rapid break of the momentum.
TER - - May 24 (MATREND v1.6)Larger bullish movement. There was a pull back and the signal seems to be aligned for a potential bullish continuation
v1.6
Exit rule tweaked to Daily 10SMA
Calibrated entry specs, to slightly loosen up the Stoploss
atr_x = 2.5
entry_atr_xfactor = 3.7
-----
This is a simple systematic Trend strategy where entry is based on two conditions
1. Price crossing over the EMA
2. The present ATR is less than an ATR multiple
The ATR condition allows us to enter trades that has not gapped too much as that usually results in a price pullback
Risk
Fixed & tight SL based on ATR multiples closes trades fast
Closing of the trades is a simple price cross over the daily SMA
This strategy only has a 34.38% win rate. So most trades will end up as losers until we hit a strong upswing.
TER - May 24 (MATREND v1.6)Price does not seem to be able to break upwards especially with the previous bullish signal. So a bearish signal should result in a downwards break. This is aligned to a previous successful bearish setup we saw with SRE
v1.6
Exit rule tweaked to Daily 10SMA
Calibrated entry specs, to slightly loosen up the Stoploss
atr_x = 2.5
entry_atr_xfactor = 3.7
-----
This is a simple systematic Trend strategy where entry is based on two conditions
1. Price crossing over the EMA
2. The present ATR is less than an ATR multiple
The ATR condition allows us to enter trades that has not gapped too much as that usually results in a price pullback
Risk
Fixed & tight SL based on ATR multiples closes trades fast
Closing of the trades is a simple price cross over the daily SMA
This strategy only has a 34.38% win rate. So most trades will end up as losers until we hit a strong upswing.
TERADYNE (TER) a AI / Chip Sector Stock SHORTTER shown here on a 30 minute chart has asended in a diverging channel to the resistance of
January pivot high shown in the line and zone drawn onto the chart. My idea is to short it
from here targeting first about 106 which is the line drawn from a pivot before the
paradoxical fall with a decent earnings report. The lower target is the support trendline of
the channel or about 103.5. This is about a 6% potential trade and more with margin or
put options. I expect the trade to last two days as falling down is usually quick than rising.
TERNASDAQ: TER
Last Close: $110.35
Teradyne is an American automatic test equipment designer and manufacturer based in North Reading, Massachusetts. Teradyne's high-profile customers include Samsung, Qualcomm, Intel, Analog Devices, Texas Instruments and IBM.
Technical Thesis: The stock is flat over 3 years however, is looking to clear it's downward trend line extending back to the peak of Dec-2021.
Trading Levels:
Buy: Current levels ($110.35) or better/lower
Target: $127 to $133
Stop-loss: $96.00
TER long (1-2 months) NASDAQ:TER Teradyne, Inc.
(tp: 120; sl: 88)
Reasons to buy:
- Bullish seasonality over the next 3 months
- Strong Earnings Growth
- Testing support trend line
Reasons to not to buy:
- -3.81% down last day, might keep going down until the next support lines
- Low trading volume
- High number of SELL recommendations from analysts
Reminder!
Will release financial results for the third quarter 2023 on Wednesday, October 25, 2023, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time (ET) or later.
Not recommendation!
About Teradyne
Teradyne (NASDAQ:TER) test technology helps bring high-quality innovations such as smart devices, life-saving medical equipment and data storage systems to market, faster. Its advanced test solutions for semiconductors, electronic systems, wireless devices and more ensure that products perform as they were designed. Its robotics offerings include collaborative and mobile robots that help manufacturers of all sizes increase productivity, improve safety, and lower costs. In 2022, Teradyne had revenue of $3.2 billion and today employs over 6,600 people worldwide.
Teradyne Inc. short-term LongMarket finished 1-5 Elliot wave pattern, but we are waiting for it to finish ABC correction, our forecast of where end of ABC will be is around 77 zone, since there is a strong demand zone and a 61.8 fib level where market should reverse and go bullish. Our target is the top of the gap that market made a few ago and the gap must be filled eventually.
Entry: 77
Invalidation: 69
Target: 136
TER will it continue to the up side?* Exceptional earnings
* Very strong up trend in the long term
* Very high 3-month relative strength of 6.35 in the Tech sector
* Pays out dividends
* I last discussed this early December 2021 when it broke out of an 11 month base.
* Since then it did move higher and due to recent market conditions it had a slight pull back.
* Used $163.03 as support before breaking below.
* Now it's breaking out of the pull back zone and showing signs of going higher.
Trade Idea:
* Given the market uncertainty you can wait to see how it behaves next week.
* You can enter at today's close
* Or if you're looking for a slightly better entry you can look for an opportunity near the $163.03 area.
* If you have access to Volume Profiles you can see that the $163 area did receive quite a bit of volume so I would expect it to serve as support moving forward.
TER ready to move higher after using the 2000 highs as support?* Exceptional earnings
* Strong up trend
* High 3-month relative strength in the Tech sector
* Breaking out of a ~1 year base with higher than average volume
* Recently used $104.88 as support which was the high from the 2000's
* Broke base resistance ($147.46) and has been using it as support for the past
12 days
* Maximum probable ROI would be ~41.84%
Trade Idea:
* Great time to enter as the price is bouncing off of the broken resistance and isn't too far away.
* If you're looking for a slight discount you can look for an entry near the $147.46 area since that should serve as support moving forward.