TLTLikewise, bonds themselves are looking incredibly strong. I've been comparing this bond run to the run they had in Jan/Feb. Look back at the 2 times it dipped below the 5 sma (green circles). Probably the best buying opportunities of the whole run. Bullish as long as the 20 sma holds imo. Not bearish if it does break, but I think we would get some consolidation at minimum if it happen.Longby Essendy5
$TLT Signal 1 & 2, Stacked Dollar Cost Avg.With A -194 bp stoploss, my second added TLT long position form 73/30 is approaching in on +1%. while my primary position from the 23rd of june remains 975 bp or 6.04% in profit from the publicly given signal. Positions are both open are floating. Longby TayFxUpdated 1122
which of these two is telling the truth?As you all know, bonds and stocks typically move opposite of one another...however if you look at the chart below, for the few couple of months this is not the case...both TLT and SPX are moving inthe same direction...one of these charts is telling us the wrong message. I am betting that SPX is the chart that is lying...I am expecting a reversal soon.by ConservativeOne1114
SPX and TLT, Which Will Correct?1. First Warning Sign: a)Volatility in the markets increasing. b)Bonds starting to increase as funds leave the markets, selling into retail -Previous resistance on TLT was broke c)The SPX and TLT typically move opposite to each other -More on that later 2. Result: a)Funds pull their money out of the markets leaving retail holding the bag at the top b)Bonds increase further to new highs and current resistance levels 3. Outcome: a)Remember is the first part where bonds and the markets usually move opposite to each other? In this section, bonds have remained high. This divergence means one of these charts is wrong and expect a correction accordingly. b)Gold is past all time highs, Silver is lagging behind gold but closed July strong and bullish. Crypto also closed July bullish c)Stocks have since had historic rallies. Some are near or past all time highs. d)Feds have increased their balance sheet substantially and will continue to do so. 4. What's Next?: a)I see two probably options b)The first being; Feds will continue to support the economy causing a melt up in which investors will have no choice but to partake in. This could lead to an even bigger crash down the road. c)The second; The Feds will no longer support the market in which TLT will likely break this resistance and continue to make higher highers and the market will make lower lows.Longby Three-Bull-Insight1110
TLT is about to Break Out!Weekly cross over on TLT never fails. We are very close at crossing. Its just one more confirmation that we are due for a pull back in Indices and Gold.Longby avka81555
Convergencia en ETF BONOS TLT y SPX / Convergence TLT VS SPXSi, se supone que cuando no se invierte en acciones por alta volatilidad y riesgo, los inversores se refugian en bonos y materias primas, pero se observa que la emisión de bonos que promedia el ETF TLT va en aumento y está cerca de romper resistencia en su cotización, comparada abajo en naranja, también converge el indice SPX buscando romper resistencia en puntos. Muy rara vez convergen ambas y esto nos dice que hay más liquidez institucional empujando la bolsa con estimulos, mientras que la mano temerosa esta huyendo a intrumentos de renta fija como los bonos. ----------------- Yes, it is assumed that when not investing in stocks due to high volatility and risk, investors take refuge in bonds and raw materials, but it is observed that the issuance of bonds averaged by the ETF TLT is increasing and is close to breaking resistance at Its price, compared below in orange, also converges the SPX index seeking to break resistance at points. Very rarely do both converge and this tells us that there is more institutional liquidity pushing the stock market with stimulous, while the fearful hand is fleeing to fixed income instruments such as bonds. by danchallout3
TLT / Treasuries are breaking out post FOMCThe chart on the right represents 30 year treasury bonds. The chart on the left is TLT, an ETF that expresses a trade in treasury bonds. The way to profit most is probably via call options on TLT. I am looking at the 172 strike in August. The other way is to be long futures. I am long ZB1! futures contract. The negative is the minimum size is $181,000. So for most retail traders, call options on TLT is the best way to play the long here. Owning TLT outright eats a lot of capital for low return. Here is the long term chart of 30 year treasuries: Other ways to play this: 5 year treasuries ZF1! (125k contract but much less volatile) 10 year treasuries ZN1! (140k contract with more vol than the 5 year but about 1/4th the vol of the 30 year.Editors' picksLongby Lanmar2219
TLT performance against QE operations of 20-30y T BondsVertical blue lines indicate 10 minutes before federal reserve purchases of 20-30 year treasury bonds for the past two monthsLongby krolgarrick223
TLT: Looks like the downtrend failed and we get a rally...It looks like bonds will rally until the elections possibly here. I'm long bonds and gold for the time being. Let's play it safe until we regain clarity. Not sure about equities but the new ATH in #SPX might indeed happen at some point, just that news make it extremely risky to trade equities until the elections risks are out of the way. This is a safe trend to hold on to meanwhile and squeeze a 25% return out of. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.Longby IvanLabrieUpdated 14