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TSLA trade ideas

Tesla Stock Analysis: December Momentum and Technical OutlookTesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has been on an impressive rally lately, gaining significant traction and catching the attention of traders worldwide. Let’s break down the current technical setup, as shown in the chart. Price Action Overview Recent Move: Tesla has been trending strongly within a rising channel, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. Support Zone: The highlighted pink region between $400-$420 has proven to be a critical demand area, where buyers stepped in after a short-term pullback. Resistance Levels: Based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price levels, the $500-$520 range is shaping up as the next potential resistance zone. Technical Indicators EMA Alignment: The EMAs are stacked bullishly, with the EMA 21, EMA 100, and EMA 200 showing clear upward momentum. This confirms the stock’s current bullish trend. Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator remains in the buy zone, further supporting a bullish sentiment. Trendline Confluence: The stock recently bounced off the lower boundary of the ascending channel, respecting the trendline and signaling potential continuation toward the upper boundary. What to Watch For Breakout Potential: If Tesla clears $480 decisively, we could see a quick move toward the $500 psychological level and beyond. Pullback Risks: A failure to hold the $450-$458 area might indicate a deeper correction toward the $420 support zone. 📈 Are you bullish or bearish on Tesla’s next move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by niveshIQ
Options Indicator Explained - so you can SEE what you tradeEver since we created this indicator back around 2020 on the TradingView platform it is so far the best platform for our analysis, research, coding, and development of different trading tools. This was 4 years ago, but we have been with TradingView almost for a decade ! The whole concept of this indicator came when a long time ago we read the big big book of options, and could not understand how come the stock price moved up but our calls are losing money ! Yes, we have been there too. And then came this indicator to life. We don't make a trade without it ever since. If you saw the video, you clearly know why. Let's delve into some key concepts that can elevate your trading game: ### 1. Visualizing Profit and Loss One of the most powerful tools in an options trader's arsenal is the ability to plot profit and loss lines on a chart. This visualization helps you understand the time decay of the options you buy or sell. By seeing how your potential profits or losses change over time, you can make more informed decisions about when to enter or exit trades. ### 2. Moving Beyond the Greeks The Greeks—Delta, Gamma, Theta, and Vega—are often emphasized in options trading, but their standalone value can be limited. What truly matters is how these metrics impact your profit and loss curvature. Think of it like driving a car: while an acceleration meter provides some information, what you really need is the speedometer and a clear view of the road. Focusing on the profit and loss curves allows you to grasp the real impact of these factors on your trades. ### 3. Identifying Pivot Points By observing profit and loss lines, you gain insights into optimal entry and exit points. Placing trades at pivot points can enhance your reward-to-risk ratios. Certain options offer generous room for stop-loss placement and quick profits if you choose pivot points where price rejections are likely. Seeing these lines helps confirm that your trading idea has a high probability of success. ### 4. Conducting Volatility Simulations Professional volatility testing with your indicator is crucial. It allows you to anticipate how changes in volatility will affect your options' profit and loss. Each case is unique and dependent on the underlying stock, so it's vital to have contingency plans and avoid trading blindly. You must always take into account that the volatility can drop or rise against you, and you need to see that even if it happens, you will still be okay, and not be a dreamer. Reality is everything, trade realistically. ### 5. Timing Your Trades Boost your performance by understanding how much profit you can lose (when buying options) or gain (when selling options) over the duration of your trade. This knowledge helps you make better timing decisions and manage your trades more effectively while you are inside the trade. In some trades you can clearly see that you just don't have the time to survive a correction and then wait for the next pulse wave to come and save you, you can see clearly that it is better to take profit today, since you just do not have enough time for a correction and a bounce back to the current profitable price. In options, what it is profitable today is NOT profitable tomorrow. I show you this in the video. ### 6. Simplifying with Profit Lines You don't need to rely heavily on the Greeks anymore. Profit lines already account for these metrics, freeing your mind to focus on price action. This approach eliminates the confusion often associated with the non-linear behavior of options, rooted in complex models like Black-Scholes. ### 7. The Black-Scholes Model and Implied Volatility Understanding the Black-Scholes model and implied volatility is fundamental. These concepts help you grasp how options are priced and how market conditions can impact their value. Using the indicator, you don't need even to know who or what is the Black-Scholes Model, since it does all the work and heavy lifting for you, by plotting you exactly what you truly need... Where you make a profit, where you will make a loss, and how much (profit lines). ### 8. In the Money vs. Out of the Money Knowing the difference between "in the money" and "out of the money" options is crucial. In-the-money options have intrinsic value, while out-of-the-money options are more speculative and rely on price movements to become profitable. ### 9. Short-Term vs. Long-Term Options Short-term call options offer quick potential gains but come with higher risks due to time decay. Long-term call options, on the other hand, provide more time for your trade to work out, reducing the impact of time decay but often requiring a larger capital investment. I show a clear example in the video. ### 10. Maintaining Reward-to-Risk Ratios You should make sure you always maintain the reward-to-risk ratios in your favor BEFORE you enter the trade, this is what keeps you in the game and makes you thrive and not just survive. Do you think they let a pilot to land an airplane, just with his "gut feeling" or do they give them an indicator to SEE the runway? If you don't see your profit and loss lines, you don't see the runway when you land your plane. We've all seen those wallstreetbets BLIND crash landings in options and know how they end before they started. This can and should be avoided, always know your risk, and your potential reward. ### 11. Proof of Accuracy Finally, reliable indicators provide proof of accuracy, showing you the same profit or loss you'd experience given stock movements and implied volatility changes. This consistency gives you confidence in your trades, eliminating confusion and preventing unexpected losses. In the end of the video, there is proof of the accuracy, that the indicator in did shows you the same profit or loss you will have in the position, given the stock movement and implied volatility changes, so you can rest assured that your landing indicator will not surprise you no matter the weather, you will have full control on your options trade. No more the feeling of confusion and then your fast profit crushes to zero or even a loss and you don't know why. Master these concepts, and you'll have a robust framework for navigating the complexities of options trading with precision and confidence.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by ZoharCho
TradingView Idea for Tesla (TSLA)Technical Analysis Summary: Current Signal: Hold Oscillators: Bearish sentiment with Stochastic RSI and Commodity Channel Index suggesting sell signals. Moving Averages: Predominantly bullish, indicating upward momentum. Pattern: Channel up pattern suggests potential bearish movement towards support levels around $449.84. Bollinger Bands: Indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a possible price correction. Overall: Mixed signals with a slight bias towards caution due to bearish oscillators and emerging channel pattern. News Sentiment: Positive Sentiment: Predominantly positive news sentiment with 19 positive articles versus 5 negative ones, potentially driving investor confidence. Fundamental Analysis: Strong Metrics: High return on equity (ROE) of 19.35% and a solid current ratio of 1.84. Valuation Concerns: High P/E ratio of 65.59 suggests potential overvaluation. Analyst Recommendations: Positive Outlook: 28 out of 60 analysts recommend buy or strong buy, indicating potential for growth. Options Strategy Recommendations for Tesla (TSLA) 1. Bull Put Spread trade_id: g-645301 Signal: Bullish Underlying Price: $471.77 Strategy Premium: $0.24 Max Gain: $24.00 Max Loss: $476.00 Breakeven: $392.26 Probability of Profit: 94.97% Leg 1: Action: Sell Strike Price: $392.50 Expiration Date: 27-Dec-2024 Implied Volatility: 69.93% Leg 2: Action: Buy Strike Price: $387.50 Expiration Date: 27-Dec-2024 Implied Volatility: 71.70% 2. Long Call trade_id: g-657308 Signal: Bullish Underlying Price: $471.77 Strike Price: $395.00 Expiry Date: 20-Dec-2024 Premium: $68.92 Stop Loss: $62.03 Take Profit: $75.81 Probability of Profit: 59.39% Implied Volatility: 92.64% Max Loss: $6,892.50 Breakeven Price: $463.93 These strategies align with the current technical analysis and market sentiment, providing a balanced approach to trading Tesla options. If at New York open this is under a Bearish FVG then wait to retest the most recent one to Short
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CapitalGainz33
1
TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0| Lock in Fully 200% & 135% gainsA little over a month ago, I shared a post on TradingView recommending to take partial profits on Tesla shares. Back then, my target was around the $280–$300 zone, which was reached in the middle of November. Now, Tesla has climbed even higher, almost touching the $500 level! This year, I shared two key ideas on Tesla: The first was in April, highlighting an optimal entry point that could yield up to +200% returns. The second came in early August, offering a chance for a +135% gain. If you followed these ideas and held through, it might now be the ideal time to close out the rest of your position - full close. The current price level is extraordinary. Remember again ;) - money on your screen won’t feed your family. Gains are only real when they’re realized! What’s Next? The $500 zone is an impressive milestone, but such levels often come with increased volatility. If you’re considering holding for the long term, have a clear plan in place. For those taking profits, congratulations on seizing the opportunity, this is the result of disciplined strategy and execution. This rally is another example, power of technical analysis, helping identify strong entry points and key exit zones. Cheers to everyone who joined in and made the most of this move! Best regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VaidoVeek
Tesla And This 3 Step System The problem with trading is it takes confidence even though you have a system or a mentoring program. It gets worse if you don't understand risk management and profit taking strategies. But sometimes losing small is part of the solution.Also finding a great community of traders who are professional When you look at this chart NASDAQ:TSLA It's trending following this 3 step system: 🚀The price is above the 50 EMA 🚀The price is above the 200 EMA 🚀The price has to gap up Now full disclosure I will not participate in this trade because am a Bitcoin Trading Expert That's what a good at but I don't mind sharing what I see could be a good stock to buy according to my Continuing trading education. Remember before you buy to learn risk management and then after that decide when you want to take profit. If you got value from this Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not. Also don't use more than x5 margin. Feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by lubosi
$TSLA The High-Stakes Bet on Future Growth "Tesla isn’t just an automaker—it’s a revolution in motion, blending cutting-edge technology with daring ambition. But is its sky-high valuation the cost of innovation or the price of perfection?" Introduction Tesla has evolved from a disruptor in electric vehicles (EVs) to a global powerhouse in energy storage, solar technology, and autonomous driving. With 2023 revenue soaring to $96.77 billion, the company is growing at a breakneck pace. Yet, with a forward P/E of 139.93, Tesla's valuation raises questions for investors: does the potential outweigh the risks? This analysis unpacks Tesla’s financials, market position, growth opportunities, and the challenges it faces as an industry leader. Financial Analysis 1. Revenue Growth Tesla's $96.77 billion in revenue for 2023 reflects an impressive 18.8% YoY growth, driven by: EV Sales: Bolstered by demand for the Model Y and Model 3. Energy Storage: Expansion of Tesla’s Megapack installations for grid-scale projects. Services: Growth in software and maintenance revenues. 💡 "Tesla’s revenue streams are diversifying, but EVs remain its lifeblood." 2. Profitability Metrics Net Income: $15 billion, with margins improving despite supply chain challenges. Earnings Per Share (EPS): $3.65 TTM, highlighting strong profitability. Tesla's margin growth reflects its operational efficiency and cost control in an inflationary environment. 3. Cash Flow and Liquidity Operating Cash Flow: $14.48 billion—a clear indicator of Tesla’s ability to generate cash from core operations. Free Cash Flow: $3.61 billion after substantial capital expenditures of $10.87 billion. 💡 "Tesla’s aggressive spending on R&D and manufacturing is a double-edged sword: it fuels growth but pressures free cash flow." 4. Valuation Metrics Tesla’s valuation is a hot topic: Forward P/E: 139.93—a sign of immense market optimism but also a cautionary signal. EV/EBITDA: 104.16, reflecting high expectations for future profitability. PEG Ratio: 17.04, showing Tesla’s growth is priced at a premium. Market Position and Competitive Advantage Innovation at the Core Tesla leads in: Battery Technology: Pioneering advances in energy density and lifecycle. Autonomous Driving: A front-runner in full self-driving (FSD) software development. Infrastructure: The Supercharger network provides an unparalleled ecosystem for Tesla owners. Brand Strength Tesla has redefined itself as both a luxury and a technology brand, attracting loyal customers who value innovation and sustainability. Growth Opportunities 1. Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology represents a massive untapped revenue stream. If approved and scaled, the potential for: Licensing the tech to other automakers. Launching a robotaxi network. 💡 "FSD is the golden goose, but regulatory hurdles keep it caged—for now." 2. Energy Storage and Solar: Tesla’s Megapack and Powerwall systems are gaining traction in commercial and residential markets, while its solar division capitalizes on the global push for renewable energy. 3. Global Expansion: Tesla continues to scale its manufacturing capacity with Gigafactories worldwide, including new projects in Mexico and expanded operations in China. Risks and Challenges 1. Regulatory and Legal Risks: Autonomous driving faces scrutiny due to safety concerns, while data privacy regulations could impact Tesla’s software-driven business model. 2. Intensifying Competition: The EV market is growing crowded, with legacy automakers like Ford and GM ramping up EV production alongside newcomers like Rivian and Lucid Motors. 3. Execution Risks: Elon Musk’s ambitious roadmap often hinges on breakthroughs that may not materialize on schedule, adding volatility to Tesla’s stock performance. 💡 "Innovation is Tesla’s greatest asset, but execution risks loom large when aiming for the stars." Stock Performance and Institutional Sentiment 1. Price Trends: Tesla’s stock remains volatile, reflecting high sensitivity to news, product announcements, and quarterly earnings. 2. Institutional Ownership: With hedge funds and mutual funds maintaining significant stakes, Tesla continues to attract institutional interest despite its lofty valuation. Conclusion Tesla remains a leader in innovation, with growth prospects spanning EVs, energy storage, and autonomous driving. However, its high valuation demands flawless execution and belief in its long-term vision. For investors, Tesla represents both an opportunity and a challenge—a high-risk, high-reward play that requires conviction in its disruptive potential. Recommendations: Long-Term Investors: Hold or accumulate on dips if you believe in Tesla’s future vision. Short-Term Traders: Consider rebalancing given the current valuation unless a clear catalyst for further upside emerges. 🚀 Want deeper insights into Tesla and other top stocks? Visit DCAlpha.net.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DCAChampion
Tesla (TSLA) Descending Triangle Breakout - Key Levels!Tesla (TSLA) is showing a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 30-minute chart, indicating bullish momentum: Entry: $435.66 (yellow line - breakout level). Stop Loss (SL): $420.90 (white line - key support). Target 1 (T1): $462.25 (red line - first resistance). Target 2 (T2): $489.33 (green line - major resistance). This breakout aligns with increasing volume, signaling strong upward potential. Keep an eye on $435.66 for confirmation.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Xeeshan79
TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX for Dec. 20Market Context Tesla showed weakness today, closing lower after a significant intraday decline. The price action reflects selling pressure with volume increasing during the latter part of the session, indicating bearish sentiment. 1. Key Levels * Support: * $425.00: Put Wall support and critical level for a bounce. * $420.00: Next downside target in case of further weakness. * Resistance: * $437.85: Immediate resistance, aligned with price rejection today. * $445.00: Gamma level resistance that needs volume to break. * $460.00: Significant GEX resistance above, unlikely to be tested tomorrow unless strong buying resumes. 2. Price Action Insights * Tesla has broken out of a rising trendline, forming a bearish structure on the hourly chart. * The current descending price channel indicates further downside unless $437 is reclaimed quickly. * Intraday volume spiked during the sell-off, suggesting bearish conviction. 3. Indicators Analysis * 9 EMA and 21 EMA: * Both are trending downward, reflecting short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: * Bearish crossover on the hourly and 2-minute charts confirms the downtrend. * Options Oscillator: * Call activity still dominates at 105.2% GEX, but bearish price action overshadows sentiment. 4. GEX Analysis * Gamma Levels: * $430.00: High Volatility Level (HVL); this is the pivot for tomorrow’s trading. * $445.00: Major call wall resistance. * $425.00: Key put wall support. * $420.00: Critical gamma floor; breaching this signals further bearish pressure. Trading Outlook for Tomorrow Bullish Scenario: * A recovery above $430 with volume could target $437 and possibly $445. Bearish Scenario: * Failure to hold $425 leads to $420, with further downside potential if selling accelerates. Neutral/Range-Bound Scenario: * Likely consolidation between $425 and $430, given today’s sharp decline and investor caution. Actionable Suggestions * Entry: * Bullish: Above $430 for a move toward $437 and $445. * Bearish: Below $425 for a drop toward $420. * Stop-Loss: * Long: Below $425. * Short: Above $430. * Scalping Opportunity: * Quick trades between $425–$430 with tight risk management. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TSLA - Technicals, Fundamentals, and Who he knowsGood Morning Traders, 🚗Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA has been on a remarkable upward trajectory, and the outlook remains bullish with continued closures over $376 look for $420 to be tested and $475 next upside. Let's break down why Tesla can continue to be bullish for reasons outside of Price Action. 📈 Revenue Growth: Tesla continues to report impressive revenue growth 📈, driven by strong sales of electric vehicles and energy products 🚗⚡. Profitability: The company has turned profitable 💰, with a positive net income and strong cash flow 💵. Innovation: Tesla remains at the forefront of innovation 🔧🚀 in the EV and energy sectors, with continuous advancements in technology and production efficiency 💡. Additionally Carbon Credits and EV Policies Carbon Credits: Tesla has been capitalizing on selling carbon credits to other automakers who need them to meet regulatory requirements. This has been a significant revenue stream for Tesla. EV Credits: There are discussions about removing federal EV credits, which could impact the market. Tesla's strategic position and established market presence might make it harder for new entrants to compete without these incentives. Political Connections Elon's relationship with President Donald Trump has been beneficial. With Trump's support for electric vehicles and renewable energy, Tesla stands to gain from favorable policies and potential subsidies and knock on effects from yet to be known changes. 🌍Industry Trends The electric vehicle industry is booming, with increasing demand for sustainable transportation solutions. Polestar's strategic partnerships and continuous advancements in EV technology make it an exciting stock to watch1. Share thoughts in the comments! ❤️
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EliteIndicatorSys
Tesla Analysis: Key Levels - Dec 23, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we will analyze Tesla's chart. 📈 Weekly Chart Looking at Tesla's weekly chart, we can see that the resistance trendline from the November 2021 high has been broken in the red box area. This breakout occurred in October 2024, and since then, Tesla's stock price has surged by approximately 90% in just two months. 📉 Daily Chart On the daily chart, Tesla's strong upward trend is evident, as the 20-day moving average has a steep upward slope, indicating a powerful bullish momentum. Additionally, the 60-day moving average is rising alongside the 20-day moving average, suggesting that the upward trend is unlikely to break easily. 🔍 Zoomed-In Daily Chart Tesla's current support level is critical for maintaining the upward trend. The 415 level, which previously acted as resistance (shown in the green box), is now being tested as support. After breaking the previous high, Tesla has risen by 18.5%, and the key question is whether it will establish a new upward framework or fall back into the green box's range. If Tesla fails to hold the 415 level, there's a high likelihood of a correction down to the 300 level. Reasons: Historical data shows that 300 was the peak resistance level during rebounds like dead cat bounces in the past (red box area). The only significant resistance during the current rally was near 360, which lies between 415 and 300. The rally was so sharp that there are no "support levels" in between, meaning a sharp decline to 300 is possible if selling pressure intensifies. 📊 Tesla Buying Strategy Key Recommendations: Red Box Entry (Breakout Trades): While breakout trades at all-time highs are a typical strategy, this approach carries significant risk. Given the 18% remaining upside, entering at this level is not recommended. 1st Entry (Green Box): This area is a good entry point because the previous resistance at 415 has now turned into potential support. However, since this level doesn't have much historical data, it’s advised to use only a small portion of your funds for this entry. 2nd Entry (Blue Box): This is a high-probability rebound zone. This area was a key resistance level in July 2023, and after being broken, it has served as strong support. 3rd Entry (Purple Box): This entry is based on Tesla's long-term upward trendline starting in June 2019. If Tesla drops to this area, it could provide a strong rebound opportunity. However, if the trendline breaks, it may signal a trend reversal, so caution is advised. Be prepared to exit quickly if needed. 💡 Final Thoughts: As shown in the charts, opportunities always come in the market. Patience is key to earning profits. Instead of chasing every rally, wait for solid setups. If you found this analysis helpful, like and follow me for more updates. Have a specific stock you'd like analyzed? Drop a comment below! This translation maintains the professional tone and trading insights from the original post while adapting it for an English-speaking audience. Let me know if you'd like any adjustments!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Greedy_allday
TESLA TO THE MOON AFTER BREAK OF SUPPLY ROOF Tesla stocks is going moon on Political Influence and Regulatory Expectations: The recent election of Donald Trump has sparked optimism among investors regarding the future of autonomous vehicles and potential regulatory easing. Many believe that the Trump administration will facilitate a more favorable environment for Tesla's self-driving initiatives, which has contributed to a significant rally in Tesla's stock price . the diversification of tesla investment portfolio in aerospace , renewable energy ,AI and robotics will keep tesla seeing liquidity floor .
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Shavyfxhub
TESLA 300 By DECEMBER Happy 4 of july !!!!!If tesla Pulls Back Hard , good Buy Area will be 205 - 215 Be Patience , Buy and Hold until December . Until 300 . i Would Sell at this point but do your own Research and take action !! STAY PROFITABLE !! Next year will be a lot of competition for Tesla because the Aston Martin / Lucid Deal and NIO already taking the Chinesse market . Have a Great 4 of July God Bless america and enjoy the Holidays !!! Stay humble Be a better person. CAFE CITY STUDIO COMING SOON 2024 !!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons: 1. Strong Financial Performance Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong. 2. Market Leadership Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4. 3. Production and Delivery Growth Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4. 4. Expansion Plans Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth. 5. Innovative Product Line Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales. 6. Charging Infrastructure Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers. 7. Strategic Market Moves Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings. In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Tesla UpdateIf y'all remember, I was originally counting the raise off the $101 bottom as the primary wave ((5)) of cycle wave I. Due to the price action we carved out from the April 24' low, I changed that to the cycle wave I as already completed. All I have been seeing / able to count from that low are 3-wave moves. This hardly seems like an impulsive pattern to me. Also, MACD says that cycle wave I ended Nov 21'. With the recent price action, I am forced to reconsider / revisit my long-term analysis. This leaves only an ED as a viable option should it not be corrective. If this is corrective, it is way over extended and border line invalidated. Yes, an abc pattern can extend above the prior impulsive wave high, and no rules dictate by how much. However, at some point you have to call it what it is and look at other possibilities. That is what I am doing now. Should it not be corrective, which I am extremely doubting, the only other viable option following EWT is an ED. Should it be an ED, then that means price will be required to revisit the high $200's for wave (4). What could cause that kind of a fall in value followed by another larger move higher is anyone's guess. There technically is one other option. This option cannot be predicted by EWT and there is no way to account for it. That is if some huge news that is unexpected from insiders and retailers' alike drops changing the trajectory of a stock. In this case, for whatever reason I cannot understand, many people thought President Trump was going to lose the election. Before he won, Musk had tied himself very close to the president elect. Did this alter the pattern? We cannot yet know. However, we can boil this stock down to three possible options. Option #1 - This is a way over extended abc pattern that will be concluding soon. (Least favorite option personally) Option #2 - This is an ED and we're currently within wave (3). This suggests that price will come down sub $300 to overlap with wave (1) before moving to new ATH's. (My favorite option) Option #3 - The stock has changed its trajectory / structure due to the election outcome and is now in a very bullish pattern much higher. Option #1 suggests that price is topping and will head down any time now (again, least favorite option). I have drawn a turquoise box on the chart tracking the Option #2 possibility. Option #3 will follow the turquoise count but not fall as low on the retrace. We will know in the next couple weeks what price has in mind.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
5
TESLA bulls take complete control!Boost and follow for more ❤️‍🔥 Tesla has come a long way since I called the dip buy at the 170 area, congrats to longs! Recently we have seen Tesla reclaim a major trend support AND a resistance zone all in a single weekly candle, even if we dip a bit from here I still love Tesla as long as 300-314 holds ⚡ a rally higher to 400-500 in the next 2-3 months or so is very likely in my opinion! 🎯 side note: I may hit 12,000+ followers by the time I post another chart or update.. Thank you to anyone that's followed and supported my ideas over the years. You motivate me to keep improving and posting more content. ❤️‍🔥 see you soon
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Vibranium_Capital
13