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TSLA Technical Analysis (TA) and GEX Analysis Dec. 181. Overview of Market Structure: * TSLA is in a strong uptrend on the 1-hour and 30-minute timeframes, consistently making higher highs and higher lows. 30-minute timeframes, * The stock currently shows minor consolidation near 471 levels after a sharp upward move. * A corrective pullback is evident on the shorter timeframes as the price tests support levels. 2. Key Support and Resistance Levels: * Resistance: * 483.99: Recent high acting as strong short-term resistance. * 490 - 500: GEX levels highlight potential call wall resistance where significant gamma is positioned. * Support: * 464: Immediate support on the 1-hour chart (trendline support). * 440: Secondary support level, reinforced by GEX 2nd Call Wall and technical significance. 3. Price Action Insights: * TSLA has been trading within an upward channel visible on the 1-hour chart. * Bearish divergence in MACD on the shorter timeframes (30 min and 1 hr) suggests potential short-term weakness. * A breakdown below the trendline support at 464 could trigger a pullback toward the next major support at 440. 4. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights: * Key GEX Levels: * 500: 2nd major CALL Wall indicating strong gamma resistance. * 470-480: High gamma concentration zone, which may cause price stickiness in this range. * 450-440: Gamma support zone (31.61% CALL Wall). * 410-425: Significant PUT walls that could act as downside targets if the price reverses sharply. * Options Oscillator: * Calls dominate the sentiment with 126.2% CALL GEX indicating strong bullish activity. * IVR is at 105.6, reflecting elevated implied volatility and significant short-term options activity. 5. MACD and Volume Analysis: * MACD: * On the 1-hour chart, the MACD shows bearish momentum building with a crossover. This indicates potential downside pressure. * On the 30-minute chart, MACD reflects consolidation as price corrects after a sharp upward rally. * Volume: * Volume spikes during the upward movement but fades during pullbacks, suggesting the retracement is likely a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. 6. Trade Setups: Scalp Trade: * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above 473 with volume confirmation. * Target: 480 and 483. * Stop-loss: Below 470. * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below 470 if the trendline breaks. * Target: 464 and 450. * Stop-loss: Above 472. Swing/Day Trade: * Bullish Scenario: * Buy near support at 464-470 range with a target of 480 and 490. * Stop-loss: Below 464. * Bearish Scenario: * Sell if the price breaks below 464. * Target: 450 and 440. * Stop-loss: Above 470. 7. Likely Direction: * Bullish Bias remains intact as long as TSLA holds the upward trendline support near 464. * Short-term consolidation between 470-480 may persist due to gamma stickiness in this range. * Watch for price action around 470 for breakout or breakdown signals. 8. Actionable Suggestions: * Scalp Buyers: Look for entries above 473 with tight stops. * Swing Traders: Monitor the 464-470 support zone for potential buying opportunities. * Put Sellers: Consider selling puts at 450 or 440 for premium income as gamma support builds near these levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
TESLA 300 AFTER EARNINGS ? 3 STRONG REASONS !! Strong EV Market Position: Tesla’s electric vehicles (EVs) remain popular, with the Model Y and Model 3 ranking among the top-selling vehicles in the U.S. in 2023. Even as legacy automakers enter the market, Tesla’s success suggests continued consumer preference for its vehicles. Cybertruck: Tesla’s long-awaited Cybertruck could be a game-changer. Pickup trucks have high gross profit margins, and if Tesla prices the Cybertruck right, it could boost their overall profitability1. Regulatory Credits and Rebates: As Europe tightens regulations on internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, Tesla may receive more regulatory credits (from competitors like Fiat) going forward. Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology: Analysts estimate that Tesla’s FSD technology could potentially raise earnings per share by $1-$2 annually through the end of the decade.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
4
Tesla (TSLA): Long-Term Breakout Backed by Strong MomentumChart Analysis: Tesla shares have surged past key resistance at $415, marking a significant breakout with strong bullish momentum. 1️⃣ Key Breakout: The price broke above the horizontal resistance level at $415, which previously capped gains in 2021. This breakout signals renewed strength and opens the door for potential continuation. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-week SMA (blue): The price is well above the 50-week SMA at $227, highlighting robust upward momentum and a bullish long-term structure. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 80.96, signaling overbought conditions. While this reflects strong buying interest, traders may watch for signs of exhaustion or a pullback. MACD: Bullish momentum is accelerating, with the MACD line rising sharply and far above the signal line. What to Watch: A potential retest of the $415 breakout level as support would be a key technical development to confirm the breakout's strength. Traders should monitor RSI for signs of divergence or overbought reversals while keeping an eye on continuation patterns. Tesla has broken free from a multi-year range, driven by strong bullish momentum. The price action and breakout above $415 suggest bulls are firmly in control. -MW
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FOREXcom
TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0| Lock in Fully 200% & 135% gainsA little over a month ago, I shared a post on TradingView recommending to take partial profits on Tesla shares. Back then, my target was around the $280–$300 zone, which was reached in the middle of November. Now, Tesla has climbed even higher, almost touching the $500 level! This year, I shared two key ideas on Tesla: The first was in April, highlighting an optimal entry point that could yield up to +200% returns. The second came in early August, offering a chance for a +135% gain. If you followed these ideas and held through, it might now be the ideal time to close out the rest of your position - full close. The current price level is extraordinary. Remember again ;) - money on your screen won’t feed your family. Gains are only real when they’re realized! What’s Next? The $500 zone is an impressive milestone, but such levels often come with increased volatility. If you’re considering holding for the long term, have a clear plan in place. For those taking profits, congratulations on seizing the opportunity, this is the result of disciplined strategy and execution. This rally is another example, power of technical analysis, helping identify strong entry points and key exit zones. Cheers to everyone who joined in and made the most of this move! Best regards, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLA
by VaidoVeek
Tesla And This 3 Step System The problem with trading is it takes confidence even though you have a system or a mentoring program. It gets worse if you don't understand risk management and profit taking strategies. But sometimes losing small is part of the solution.Also finding a great community of traders who are professional When you look at this chart NASDAQ:TSLA It's trending following this 3 step system: 🚀The price is above the 50 EMA 🚀The price is above the 200 EMA 🚀The price has to gap up Now full disclosure I will not participate in this trade because am a Bitcoin Trading Expert That's what a good at but I don't mind sharing what I see could be a good stock to buy according to my Continuing trading education. Remember before you buy to learn risk management and then after that decide when you want to take profit. If you got value from this Rocket boost this content to learn more. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn risk management and profit taking strategies because you will lose money wether you like it or not. Also don't use more than x5 margin. Feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by lubosi
TradingView Idea for Tesla (TSLA)Technical Analysis Summary: Current Signal: Hold Oscillators: Bearish sentiment with Stochastic RSI and Commodity Channel Index suggesting sell signals. Moving Averages: Predominantly bullish, indicating upward momentum. Pattern: Channel up pattern suggests potential bearish movement towards support levels around $449.84. Bollinger Bands: Indicate overbought conditions, suggesting a possible price correction. Overall: Mixed signals with a slight bias towards caution due to bearish oscillators and emerging channel pattern. News Sentiment: Positive Sentiment: Predominantly positive news sentiment with 19 positive articles versus 5 negative ones, potentially driving investor confidence. Fundamental Analysis: Strong Metrics: High return on equity (ROE) of 19.35% and a solid current ratio of 1.84. Valuation Concerns: High P/E ratio of 65.59 suggests potential overvaluation. Analyst Recommendations: Positive Outlook: 28 out of 60 analysts recommend buy or strong buy, indicating potential for growth. Options Strategy Recommendations for Tesla (TSLA) 1. Bull Put Spread trade_id: g-645301 Signal: Bullish Underlying Price: $471.77 Strategy Premium: $0.24 Max Gain: $24.00 Max Loss: $476.00 Breakeven: $392.26 Probability of Profit: 94.97% Leg 1: Action: Sell Strike Price: $392.50 Expiration Date: 27-Dec-2024 Implied Volatility: 69.93% Leg 2: Action: Buy Strike Price: $387.50 Expiration Date: 27-Dec-2024 Implied Volatility: 71.70% 2. Long Call trade_id: g-657308 Signal: Bullish Underlying Price: $471.77 Strike Price: $395.00 Expiry Date: 20-Dec-2024 Premium: $68.92 Stop Loss: $62.03 Take Profit: $75.81 Probability of Profit: 59.39% Implied Volatility: 92.64% Max Loss: $6,892.50 Breakeven Price: $463.93 These strategies align with the current technical analysis and market sentiment, providing a balanced approach to trading Tesla options. If at New York open this is under a Bearish FVG then wait to retest the most recent one to Short
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CapitalGainz33
1
TSLA Surges Higher! Key Levels and GEX Insights for TomorrowTechnical Analysis (TA) 1. Daily Chart (1D): * TSLA remains in a parabolic uptrend, holding well above the 9 EMA and 21 EMA. * Elevated volume supports the bullish trend, but price nearing key psychological resistance around $480–$500 suggests caution. * A healthy retracement could bring the stock back to test strong support near $450 or $440. 2. 1-Hour Chart (1H): * TSLA is trading within a well-defined rising channel. * Channel resistance aligns near $480, while MACD divergence indicates slowing momentum – signaling a potential short-term pullback. * Support levels to watch for a bounce: $450 and $440–$430. GEX (Gamma Exposure) Analysis * Key Gamma Levels: * Call Walls (Resistance): * $490 – Moderate gamma resistance. * $500 – Major resistance where options sellers may defend this strike aggressively. * Put Walls (Support): * $440 – Highest positive NETGEX, providing strong support. * $417.5 – 3rd PUT Wall level, additional downside defense. * Options Oscillator: * Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 9.1 (low), indicating options premiums are relatively cheap. * Call dominance: 124%, suggesting strong upward positioning in the options market. Trade Suggestions: Bullish Setup (If price holds support): * Call Options: * Strike: $480 or $500 (expiring 1–2 weeks out). * Look for entry near pullback support zones $450–$440. * Strategy: Buy calls or debit spreads targeting $490–$500. Bearish Setup (Short-term pullback): * Put Options: * Strike: $450 (short-term pullback). * Entry: If TSLA fails to hold $470–$460 with momentum confirming a breakdown. * Strategy: Buy puts or put debit spreads targeting $440 support. Key Levels to Watch: * Resistance: $480, $490, $500 * Support: $450, $440, $417.5 Outlook: * TSLA remains bullish, but the risk of a pullback increases as price nears major resistance. * Traders should consider buying Calls on pullbacks or hedging with Puts near resistance if momentum weakens. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
Tesla UpdateIf y'all remember, I was originally counting the raise off the $101 bottom as the primary wave ((5)) of cycle wave I. Due to the price action we carved out from the April 24' low, I changed that to the cycle wave I as already completed. All I have been seeing / able to count from that low are 3-wave moves. This hardly seems like an impulsive pattern to me. Also, MACD says that cycle wave I ended Nov 21'. With the recent price action, I am forced to reconsider / revisit my long-term analysis. This leaves only an ED as a viable option should it not be corrective. If this is corrective, it is way over extended and border line invalidated. Yes, an abc pattern can extend above the prior impulsive wave high, and no rules dictate by how much. However, at some point you have to call it what it is and look at other possibilities. That is what I am doing now. Should it not be corrective, which I am extremely doubting, the only other viable option following EWT is an ED. Should it be an ED, then that means price will be required to revisit the high $200's for wave (4). What could cause that kind of a fall in value followed by another larger move higher is anyone's guess. There technically is one other option. This option cannot be predicted by EWT and there is no way to account for it. That is if some huge news that is unexpected from insiders and retailers' alike drops changing the trajectory of a stock. In this case, for whatever reason I cannot understand, many people thought President Trump was going to lose the election. Before he won, Musk had tied himself very close to the president elect. Did this alter the pattern? We cannot yet know. However, we can boil this stock down to three possible options. Option #1 - This is a way over extended abc pattern that will be concluding soon. (Least favorite option personally) Option #2 - This is an ED and we're currently within wave (3). This suggests that price will come down sub $300 to overlap with wave (1) before moving to new ATH's. (My favorite option) Option #3 - The stock has changed its trajectory / structure due to the election outcome and is now in a very bullish pattern much higher. Option #1 suggests that price is topping and will head down any time now (again, least favorite option). I have drawn a turquoise box on the chart tracking the Option #2 possibility. Option #3 will follow the turquoise count but not fall as low on the retrace. We will know in the next couple weeks what price has in mind.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TSuth
5
Tesla's Bullish Outlook: A Closer LookBeyond its electric vehicles, Tesla is at the forefront of AI research and development. Its self-driving technology, Autopilot, and Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities are prime examples of this. These advancements have the potential to revolutionize transportation and significantly impact other industries. The Impact of SoftBank's Investment SoftBank's significant investment in US AI infrastructure further solidifies the growing importance of AI and its potential to drive economic growth. This investment could indirectly benefit Tesla, as it might lead to increased demand for AI-powered solutions and accelerate the development of AI technologies.   Kathy Wood's Bold Prediction Cathy Wood's optimistic forecast for Tesla's future is based on the company's strong fundamentals, innovative products, and disruptive potential. While her prediction is ambitious, it's not entirely unrealistic, given Tesla's track record of exceeding expectations. Technical Analysis and the $700 Target The monthly chart you're referring to provides a long-term perspective on Tesla's price trajectory. While technical analysis can be a valuable tool, it's important to remember that it's not a crystal ball. Market conditions, economic factors, and unforeseen events can all influence stock prices. Cautious Optimism While Tesla's future looks promising, it's crucial to approach investing with a balanced perspective. While the company's long-term potential is significant, short-term market volatility and unforeseen challenges can impact its stock price. Before making any investment decisions, it's advisable to conduct thorough research or consult with a financial advisor. Consider factors such as the company's financial performance, competitive landscape, and overall market conditions. Remember, past performance is not indicative of future results. While Tesla has a strong track record, it's essential to approach investing with realistic expectations and a long-term perspective.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ParabolicP
1
TSLA-SELL strategy weekly chart It is not for the fainthearted trading this share currently, however, it is good to place things in perspective. Pre- US-election the share was trading around $ 250 and today we are after market $ 472 per share, which represents a move of 88% of the value before the election. For sure, the leader of the pack, is bright and a visionary and has achieved incredible things, and more so, it has shaped the EV space. Now coming down to earth, technically we are way overbought from short- to long-term, and technically trading way above KC and extremely wide BB as well. So, the choice is yours. Strategy SELL @ $ 460-480 and take profit at $ 390 for now.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by peterbokma
Beta is not right indicator to pick high volatile stocksI have done extensive analysis on lot of stocks to see, which group of stocks gives more returns compared to market, index or any other household branded companies. Before i get into alternative to beta, here i will try to get into the details of beta calculation to understand ourselves why beta may not represent true nature or momentum of a stock. How is beta calculated? Beta is multiplication of two numbers, Correlation and volatility. If any one number out of these two are less, the result will be a low beta number. Correlation: If a stock moves in same +ve or -ve direction as that of market, it will have good correlation. On a given window of 48 prior days from now, how many days(or whatever timeframe) the stock matches up/down movement with respect to market, will give us correlation number. This value will be in the range +1 to -1. If price moves as per market direction, it will be 0 to +1. If price moves in opposite direction of market( that is stock goes up when market goes down or stock goes down when market goes up), the correlation will be 0 to -1. Usually in practice, all stocks are mostly positively correlate with market, so they end up having values between 0 and +1. This means, stocks with close to +1 correlation will have high beta and low correlation( say 0.5) will result in low beta. So correlation will play big role in beta value of a stock. However there will be few stocks, which doesn't move exactly as that of market but still are high volatile. I will explain volatility in short. If one is filtering stocks based on beta, they will loose out gains on these high volatile stocks. Instead of measuring an expected amount of return on a stock with respect to beta, we could simply use volatility to monitor a list of high volatile stocks to reap good returns over time. Volatility: If market moves +0.5%, say stock x moves 1%, conversely if market moves -0.5%, stock x moves -1%, it is safe to say stock x is high volatile. In statistics/math terms, how much the stock is deviating from its mean compared to market, gives a relative value of volatility with respect to market. Standard deviation of stock versus market gives the volatility of the stock. Higher the volatility, higher the gains or losses on the stock. Expecting returns on a stock based on the standard deviation is difficult. Instead, I will simply use a different calculation(explained below), that helps you easily see the expected returns in layman terms. Say, if you buy a stock at the lowest price on a specific month, and sell at highest price in that same month, the profit can be measured in percentage wise. That same number averaged over 12 months gives a rough idea of how much profit one can expect if timed properly every month. Selecting and timing on these high percentage profit returning stocks will amplify the returns over long time, compared to investing or trading in the low volatile stocks. The indicator(free) of mine sangana beta table will list the stocks sector wise, how much percentage a stock moves low to high in a month. It works for S&P500 and Nifty 500 stocks. Happy trading !!!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by JKReddyLin
Tesla is overhyped and over-extendedHistory repeats itself. Tesla is getting overhyped without clear tangible reason. Robotaxis? Sure, maybe they will be launched next year, but how will the car charge itself? A bunch of logistics and legislation are not yet in place. The Cyber-Truck was a bit of a failure. At least two Chinese EV's are not only catching up, but overpassing it (Nio, BYD). The new Tesla refreshed models are in a way a step-back. Disclosure: I do own a 2022 Tesla Model 3 Performance, but am a bit disappointed with the latest model refresh. Instead of giving people what they want, HUD/screen for the driver, they took out the stalks, and the parking sensors... great decision, now the car instead of showing me exactly the distance to an object, it continuously beeps for non-existent ones. Anyway, returning to the Tesla stock, with a P/E ratio of over 100, no way this will stay at such a value for long. One of the reasons it got so high, I suspect is due to it being somewhat over-shorted already. Still, what goes up, must come down (eventually). I'm predicting a more realistic 250-280 within the next 6 months (June 2025), a similar repeat of March/Aug 2022 when Tesla performed by far at their best (yellow/blue paths superimposed over the current stock price).
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by TrinityAlex
88