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Upstart Holdings, Inc.Upstart Holdings, Inc.Upstart Holdings, Inc.

Upstart Holdings, Inc.

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UPST trade ideas

UPST at a Crossroads: Breakdown or Bounce?Trend Overview UPST has been trading within a rising channel since mid-2023 but is now testing key support levels. The stock is currently at $53.69 (-3.23%), indicating a potential breakdown if support fails at $49. Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $49.75 - $44.18 → Critical zone (Break below could trigger a move to $31.87) $31.87 → Long-term support (Last major demand zone) Resistance Levels: $64.15 → First level to reclaim $78.35 → Strong resistance within the channel $96.43 → Key breakout zone Bearish Signs: The price is testing lower channel support. If $49 fails, next downside targets are $44 and $31. Bullish Hope? Closing and Holding above $54 could trigger a recovery.Reclaiming $64+ is crucial for any bullish trend reversal. Verdict: Below $49 → High risk of further downside. Above $64 → Bulls regain strength. Watching $44-$49 zone for potential reversal or breakdown confirmation.
NASDAQ:UPST
by truthseeker6
$UPST down 50% is in correction territoryEarlier in this space on 13 Feb 2025 we have discussed the resurgence of the Fintech sector and the base building of the famous fintech ETF form Ark investments $ARKF. Many Fintech stocks like NASDAQ:HOOD , NASDAQ:COIN , NASDAQ:PYPL , NYSE:XYZ etc had a great Nov 2024 to Jan 2025. The story was the same for the fintech stock Upstart which had an AI component in it. The AI-based lending platform was up almost 180% last year with 95 $ as an ATH. But since then, the correction in S&P and NASDAQ has been unforgiving for stocks like $UPST. Upstart is down 50% in this correction phase and below its 20, 50 and 100-Day SMA. But it is still above its 200-Day SMA. In technical analysis, we would say that as long as the previous tops which act as support holds then we can remain bullish on the stock. This sentiment washout for NASDAQ:UPST might be coming to its end. As long as the stock is above the 200-Day SMA of 48 $ and consolidating here the strategy is to go long $UPST. NASDAQ:UPST long above 48 $.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by RabishankarBiswal
UPSTART ($UPST): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISEUPSTART ( NASDAQ:UPST ): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISE 1/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST • Q4 2024 revenue: $219M (+56% YoY) 🔥 • Powered by a 68% jump in loan originations 💸 • EPS: $0.26, beating estimates by $0.30 (analysts expected -$0.04) 🚀 • Positive Adj. EBITDA—Upstart’s inching closer to sustained profitability 🏆 2/8 – BIG FINANCIAL EVENTS • Strong focus on AI model innovation + expanding funding supply 🤖 • Management bullish on earnings call—AI improvements = growth catalyst 🚀 • Renowned for bridging lenders & borrowers via advanced, automated credit assessments 🌐 3/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON • Some valuation measures say overvalued (e.g., GF Value ~$28 vs. market ~$65) 🧐 • Outpacing fintech peers like SoFi, PayPal, Ally in revenue growth 📈 • Profitability & multiples (P/E, P/S) lag behind due to recent net losses 😬 • Unique AI-lending angle may justify a premium—if it pays off 💡 4/8 – RISK ASSESSMENT • Partner Dependence: A few big lenders = high exposure ⚠️ • Economic Sensitivity: Loan defaults rise if consumer conditions worsen 🌪️ • Regulatory Hurdles: Shifting financial rules could dent operations 🏛️ • Credit Risk: Holding loans on the balance sheet—watch out in downturns 💥 5/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Advanced AI for credit analysis 🤖 • High automation in approvals ⚡️ • Scalable via partner expansions 🌍 Weaknesses: • Limited operating history ⏳ • Recent financial losses 📉 • Reliance on key partners 🤝 Opportunities: • New loan products (auto, HELOC, etc.) 🚗🏠 • Expanding digital lending market 🌐 • Gaining market share as AI evolves 🔬 Threats: • Fierce fintech competition 🏁 • Possible regulatory changes ⚖️ • Macro headwinds affecting credit demand 🌩️ 6/8 – UN/UNDERVALUATION DEBATE • Some see big future potential → undervalued by growth prospects 💹 • Others worry about multiples & an over-reliance on economic upswings 😬 • Recovery depends on broader economic rebound & strong risk management 🏦 7/8 Is Upstart a gem or a risk? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI lending will transform fintech 🏅 2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Need more stability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation & macro risks are too high 🚫 Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGY WATCH • Keep tabs on new loan products & partnerships 🛠️ • Monitor economic indicators (defaults, credit demand) impacting revenue 💼 • Regulatory shifts can either boost or bury AI-lending advantage ⚠️
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by DCAChampion
1
UPST Elliott Wave Setup: Eyeing a Wave (4) PullbackUpstart Holdings (UPST) is forming a potential Wave (4) correction on the daily chart. Here's the breakdown: 1. Support Zone: Watching $60.48-$61.75 (0.618-0.786 Fib retracement) for a possible reversal. 2. Upside Targets: If this zone holds, Wave (5) targets are $95.49 and $115.86. 3. Stop-loss: Set at $58.00 to minimize downside risk. This setup offers a clean risk-reward opportunity, waiting for confirmation of support in the highlighted zone
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by MrStockWhale
Upstart $UPST - Is a falling knife but could be a buying oppNASDAQ:UPST 🔪🩸 Currently down over 13% due to JPmorgan analysts underweight rating. As long as this Double Bottom breakout area holds I don't see how Upstart doesn't bounce and head towards the profit targets. No reason to run for the doors yet on this name. -Double Bottom Breakout with Successful retest. -H5 Indicator is Green -Williams Consolidation Box is Thriving -AVP Shelf to launch off Break below $62 would be very BEARISH! 🎯$108📏 $133⏳ Before 2027 NFA
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by RonnieV29
400% extension for Upstart Holdings IncOn the above 10 day chart price action has corrected 70% since mid 2023. A number of reasons now exist for a long position, including: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. The recent rally in price action has broken the downtrend confirming past resistance as support. 2) Regular bullish divergence. 3) The falling wedge pattern has now confirmed with a 400% forecast to 130. Is it possible price action continues with the correction? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <= 6% Timeframe to target: 2024 Stop loss: elsewhere
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by without_worries
9
Trade Review - UPST Added UPST to the watchlist on October 27 due to a bullish continuation pattern on the daily chart. A quick look at the higher timeframe showed that the price was near the upper extreme of its range, with an earnings report date approaching as a precaution. I closed the position within the measured move range (based on the assumption that the stock would maintain a similar range and volatility). However, expect that events or shifts in market behavior can move prices short of / outside this projection. Trade Overview • Structure: Bullish Continuation (D) / Range (W) • Position: Near Mean (D) / Inside Range (W) • Entry Trigger: Failed Breakdown (BIR) at EOD Entry Details • Entry Price: 50.26 • Stop Price: 45.41 (1.7 ATR) • Target Price: 72.24 • Expected Risk/Reward: 4.55 R Exit Strategy • Exit Price: Closed 80% at 1R and rest into 72.24. Precaution into ER.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by StockLeave
$UPST Bullish Flag can Test August '23 HighIn my search for technically sound swing trade ideas I stumbled on $UPST. What we are looking at is almost a perfect technical setup of a bullish continuation flag. We have a nice breakout or "flag pole" on high volume followed by a generally controlled flag pattern down with low volume. What I really like about this setup is it is measuring to test its August '23 high almost perfectly. According to technical analysis, "flags fly at half mast" meaning they form at the midway point of the move. In order to measure the following move precisely you can measure the distance of the preceding breakout point. In this case, the breakthrough of the lower level resistance. Measuring this, I found that the following move could be around $12, putting it at $60 a share and right at the upper level resistance. Invalidation would occur with a daily close below the lower trendline of the flag. I think we could see the start of a large upside move within the next week or two. Unfortunately, we also have the election next week which does all sorts of weird things to the market as a whole. If this setup invalidates but bounces off the lower (previous) line of resistance- I will take another look.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by sbridger33
Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) on a weekly timeframe.Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST)** on a weekly timeframe. Key Price Levels: 1. Support Zones: - Around $40 to $42: This green-shaded area represents a prior consolidation zone that now acts as a key support. A retest of this area would offer a lower-risk entry. - $28 to $30: Below the current price, this is a secondary strong support zone where the stock previously based, as indicated by the consolidation in early 2023. 2. **Resistance Zones:** - $55 to $58: The stock is approaching resistance here, where it faced prior selling pressure. - $70 to $72: This is the next resistance if it clears the $55-$58 zone. Projection and Pattern Analysis: - The chart shows a breakout from consolidation with a sharp upward movement, suggesting bullish momentum. - The white line drawn on the chart represents a price projection potentially reaching $65 to $72, implying a continuation of the trend if the stock breaks out of the current resistance zone. Optimal Entry Points (Risk Zones): - $40 to $42: Ideal lower-risk entry on a pullback, as it aligns with a support zone and prior consolidation. - $46 to $48: This zone could also act as an entry, but risk increases here since it's closer to current resistance. Exit/Profit Targets: - First exit target**: Around $58, which is near current resistance. - Second exit target: Around $70 to $72, where strong historical resistance exists. Stop Loss Consideration: - A stop loss should be placed below the $40 support zone (around $38), as a breakdown below this level would indicate a potential reversal in the trend. Summary: - Entry zones: Ideal entries are in the $40 to $42 range or on a pullback near $46 to $48. - First exit target: Near $58. - Second exit target: $70 to $72. - Stop loss: Below $38 to protect capital if the trend fails. This setup looks bullish in the short term, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels break.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by BrothersInBitcoin
UPSTART HOLDINGS Short Trade in Motion! Awaiting Profit TargetsTechnical Analysis: Upstart Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade) A clear short trade entry was identified at 51.67 for Upstart Holdings. The price is currently moving in the anticipated direction, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit. Key Levels Entry: 51.67 – The short position was initiated after identifying strong bearish momentum. Stop-Loss (SL): 54.54 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 48.13 – The first target we are eyeing as the bearish trend unfolds. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42.41 – A further downside target as selling pressure increases. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 36.68 – If the bearish momentum remains strong, this is a possible next target. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 33.14 – The ultimate target, signaling a significant downward move. Trend Analysis The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a solid downtrend. With the entry in place, we are now waiting for the price to reach TP1 at 48.13 and beyond, depending on further momentum. The short trade on Upstart Holdings has a promising setup with a clear entry at 51.67. We are now monitoring the trade as it approaches the first target, expecting further downside momentum.
NASDAQ:UPSTShort
by ProfitsNinja
2