Natural Gas (XNG/USD) – Big Move ComingNat Gas is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle, meaning a breakout is coming soon. The big question is: which direction?
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $4.20 - $4.22 → If we break and hold above, bulls could take over.
Support: $4.10 - $4.12 → If this breaks, we could see a bigger sell-off.
Right now, the setup leans slightly bearish, but I’m not convinced until we get a clear break. A move below $4.10 could send us toward $4.00 - $3.80, while a breakout above $4.22 could push us to $4.30 - $4.40.
What’s Driving the Market?
Bullish Case (Higher Demand)
A strong cold wave in the U.S. is increasing heating demand.
Production freeze-offs due to extreme weather could tighten supply.
Bearish Case (More Supply Coming In)
U.S. production is rising, and pipeline expansions will add even more supply.
Possible Russia-Ukraine ceasefire could bring more gas back into Europe, reducing global demand pressure.
Both sides have strong arguments, which is why this triangle is so important—once we break out, it’ll tell us which force is stronger.
How I’d Trade It
If we break below $4.10, I’d look for a short:
Target 1: $4.00
Target 2: $3.80
Stop loss: Above $4.15
If we break above $4.22, I’d consider a long:
Target 1: $4.30
Target 2: $4.40
Stop loss: Below $4.15
Final Thoughts
With market open coming up, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a gap at the open, which could hint at which way this triangle is about to break. I’m neutral for now but leaning slightly bearish, unless we get a strong push above $4.20.
Let’s see how this plays out—what’s your bias? Breakout up or down?
NATURALGAS trade ideas
Natural gas tests the key levelNatrural gas was moving in a strong uptrend, and the good question whether this move will conitunue.
Inventory of natural gas is moving down along with the 5-year seasonal, as withdrawal period continues. That keeps natural gas in a seasonal uptrend, until expiration of a current futures contract, while the next will discount the upcoming injection period and will be pricing in a potential decline.
The price of natural gas has reached the overbought condition, having emerged out of the upper boundary of Bollinger Bands (50), which, statistically, increases the odds of the price reverting back the mean - the area of between $3.5 and $3.7. While it’s relatively difficult to time reversal trades, it can be a potentially sharp and furious move down.
If made correctly (with the help of some reversal formation, such as candlestick engulfing patter, for example), this situation might represent a decent opportunity with a low risk and potentially extended gain.
Remember, always remember to manage your risk and do your own research!
Gas Prices Catch Fire: 25-Month High Reached Amid Winter's FuryNatural gas futures have reached a 25-month high, marking a significant price increase.
This surge is attributed to two primary factors:
1. Cold Weather: Unusually cold temperatures in key regions have increased demand for natural gas, as it is a primary source of heating.
2. Supply Disruptions: Issues in natural gas production or distribution have tightened supply, further driving up prices.
◉ Technical Observations
● After breaking out of the Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, the price soared to $4.350.
● Subsequently, the price faced a significant pullback to around the $3.30 mark.
● However, the price rebounded from this point and is now at a 25-month high, with expectations for continued growth.
Natural gas Wave Analysis – 19 February 2025
- Natural gas broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 4.400
Natural gas recently broke through the resistance zone at the intersection of the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from November and the resistance levels 3.800 and 4.000 (which have been reversing the price from December).
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse waves iii, 3, which belong to the medium-term impulse wave (3) from November.
Given the clear multi-month uptrend, Natural gas can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 4.400 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023Natural Gas Price Hits Highest Level Since January 2023
The XNG/USD chart today shows that natural gas prices have surpassed the December 2024 peak, breaking through the key psychological level of $4.000/MMBtu. Since early February, prices have surged by over 20%.
Why Is Natural Gas Price Rising?
According to The Wall Street Journal, the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ Weather models confirming forecasts of a significant cold spell.
→ LNG exports remaining at record highs.
Additionally, US gas exports may increase further after President Trump lifted the pause imposed by the Biden administration on new LNG export projects. Bloomberg reports that Trump’s administration is close to approving its first LNG export project.
Technical Analysis of XNG/USD
The price movements are forming an upward channel (marked in blue) on the chart:
→ Prices are currently near the upper boundary of this channel.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone.
→ The price briefly exceeded the $4.000/MMBtu psychological level.
→ Buyers may look to secure profits after the recent sharp gains.
Given these factors, traders may anticipate a potential pullback, which—if it occurs—could bring natural gas prices back towards the channel’s median level.
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A Short-Term Pullback Seems LikelyLooking at the chart, it feels like natural gas is in an overhyped zone, pushing up against strong resistance around 3.71-3.75. We’re already seeing signs of rejection at this level, which could mean a correction is coming soon.
Short Opportunity?
If the price fails to break above 3.75, a short trade with a target around 3.60-3.50 could be a solid play.
A stop-loss just above 3.78-3.80 would help avoid getting caught in a fake breakout.
Long Opportunity?
If we get a dip to 3.50-3.55 and it holds, that could be a great spot to go long, especially with summer demand picking up later in the year.
Risk Factor?
If the price breaks above 3.80, we could see a much bigger rally toward 4.00+, so shorting above that level becomes risky.
How I’d Trade This:
Aggressive approach: Short from 3.71-3.75, aiming for a drop to 3.60-3.50.
Safer approach: Wait for a dip to 3.50-3.55, then look for a long entry if price stabilizes.
Right now, a correction looks very likely, but patience is key. Let’s see if the market confirms it in the next few sessions.
Natural Gas Short: Testing the $4 Barrier – Opportunity Knocks!Natural Gas (XNG/USD) has spiked to revisit the $4 price zone, activating my short trade. This marks the second time in two years that the price has reached this significant resistance area. The $4 level is pivotal, serving as a key psychological barrier and a historic zone of strong price action. With the position now live, I am leveraging the resistance for a retracement opportunity.
Fundamentals:
• Weather and Seasonal Demand: Short-term spikes in demand are driven by cold weather in the U.S., but with futures traders starting to focus on spring, we may see waning bullish momentum in the coming weeks.
• Russian Gas Supply Constraints: Limited Russian gas flows to the EU continue to add uncertainty to the market, but the current rally seems to be pricing in short-term factors rather than long-term structural changes.
• Historical Levels: The $4 spot price has attracted significant attention as a resistance zone, with $3.40 acting as a key support in recent months. The bounce from this level earlier this year highlights its importance.
• Market Behavior: Futures traders’ sentiment and seasonality are critical drivers. As winter progresses, reduced speculative demand may favor a bearish pullback.
Technicals:
• Entry: $4.00 (Resistance Zone)
• Target: $2.60 - 2.70
• Partials: From $3,19
• Stop Loss: $4.40 (Above Recent Highs)
• Timeframe: 12H
This short trade aligns with technical, fundamental, and seasonal narratives. As the price has shown rejection at this zone, I will actively monitor for a breakdown toward the $3.40 level while managing risk prudently. Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and remember to pay yourself as the market unfolds.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Natural gas Wave Analysis – 11 February 2025
- Natural gas reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 3.67
Natural gas continues to rise strongly inside the short-term upward impulse wave iii, which started earlier from the support area located between the round support level 3.0000 (which has been steadily reversing the price from November) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area created the daily upward gap – which signals the strength of this support area.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Natural gas can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3.67 (which has been reversing the price from December).
Get Ready to Short Natural Gas from Tomorrow..!!Natural Gas has shown a Big Fall with extreme gap down condition a week ago ...Broken Strong Uptrending Trendline ....Now Has retestested the trendline ...Since a week Volume towards Bullish Candles and Price is average just like its want to give opportunity to short to sellers..
Price has touched the trendline and it may go bit little inside of it...but if we see a sharp Bearish candle with good volume tomorrow its a definite sign to go for short..lets hope for the Best...
How Can You Trade Energy Commodities?How Can You Trade Energy Commodities?
Energy trading connects global markets to the vital resources that power economies—oil and natural gas. These commodities aren’t just essential for industries and homes; they’re also dynamic assets for traders, influenced by geopolitics, supply, and demand.
Whether you’re exploring benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI or understanding natural gas markets, this article unpacks the essentials of energy commodities and how to trade them.
What Is Energy Trading?
Energy trading involves buying and selling energy resources that power industries and households worldwide. These commodities are essential for modern life and are traded in global markets both as physical products and financial instruments.
Energy commodities include resources like oil, natural gas, gasoline, coal, ethanol, uranium, and more. In this article, we’ll focus on the two that traders interact with the most: oil and natural gas.
Oil is often divided into benchmarks like Brent Crude and WTI, which set global and regional pricing standards. These benchmarks represent crude oil that varies in quality and origin, impacting its trade and refining applications.
Natural gas, on the other hand, plays a critical role in electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes. It’s traded in various forms, including pipeline gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG), offering flexibility in transportation and supply.
What makes energy commodities unique is their global demand and sensitivity to external factors. Weather patterns, geopolitical developments, and economic activity all heavily influence their prices. For traders, this creates a dynamic market with potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements.
Additionally, energy commodities can act as economic indicators. A surge in oil prices, for example, might reflect growing demand from expanding industries, while a drop could indicate reduced consumption. Understanding these resources isn’t just about their practical use—it’s about grasping their role in shaping global markets and financial systems.
Oil: Brent Crude vs WTI
Brent Crude and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) are the world’s two leading oil benchmarks, shaping prices for a resource critical to industries and economies. Despite both being types of crude oil, they differ significantly in origin, quality, and market influence.
Brent Crude
Brent Crude is a globally recognised benchmark for oil pricing, primarily sourced from fields in the North Sea. Its importance lies in its role as a pricing reference for about two-thirds of the world’s oil supply. What makes Brent unique is its lighter and sweeter quality, meaning it has lower sulphur content and is easier to refine into fuels like petrol and diesel.
This benchmark is particularly significant in European, African, and Asian markets, where it serves as a key indicator of global oil prices. Its value is heavily influenced by international demand, geopolitical events, and production levels in major exporting countries. For traders, Brent offers a window into global supply and demand trends, making it a critical component of energy markets.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI)
WTI, or West Texas Intermediate, is the benchmark for oil produced in the United States. Extracted primarily from Texas and surrounding regions, WTI is even lighter and sweeter than Brent, making it suitable for refining into high-value products like petrol.
WTI’s pricing is heavily tied to North American markets, with its hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key point for storage and distribution. Localised factors, like US production rates and storage capacity, often create price differentials between WTI and Brent, with Brent typically trading at a premium. For example, logistical bottlenecks in the US can drive WTI prices lower.
The main distinction between the two lies in their geographical focus: while Brent captures the international market’s pulse, WTI provides insights into North American energy dynamics. Together, they form the foundation of global oil pricing.
Natural Gas: A Growing Energy Commodity
Natural gas is a cornerstone of the global energy market, valued for its versatility and role in powering economies. It’s used extensively for electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes, with demand continuing to rise as countries seek cleaner alternatives to coal and oil.
This energy commodity comes in two primary forms for trade: pipeline natural gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG). Pipeline gas is delivered directly via extensive networks, making it dominant in regions like North America and Europe.
LNG, on the other hand, is supercooled to a liquid state for transportation across oceans, opening up markets that lack pipeline infrastructure. LNG trade has grown rapidly in recent years, with key suppliers like Qatar, Australia, and the US meeting surging demand in Asia.
Pricing for natural gas varies regionally, with hubs like Henry Hub in the US and the National Balancing Point (NBP) in the UK serving as benchmarks. These hubs reflect regional dynamics, such as weather conditions, storage levels, and local supply disruptions.
Natural gas prices are also closely tied to broader geopolitical and economic factors. For example, harsh winters often drive up heating demand, while conflicts or sanctions affecting major producers can create supply constraints. This volatility makes natural gas an active and highly watched market for traders, offering potential opportunities tied to shifting global conditions.
Price Factors of Energy Commodities
Energy commodity prices are influenced by a mix of global events, market fundamentals, and local factors. Here’s a breakdown of key elements driving oil and gas trading prices:
- Supply and Production Levels: Output from major producers like OPEC nations, the US, and Russia has a direct impact on prices. Supply cuts or surges can quickly move markets.
- Geopolitical Events: Conflicts, sanctions, or political instability in oil and gas-rich regions often disrupt supply chains, creating volatility.
- Weather and Seasonal Demand: Cold winters boost natural gas demand for heating, while summer driving seasons often increase oil consumption. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, can also damage infrastructure and reduce supply.
- Economic Growth: Expanding economies typically consume more energy, driving demand and prices higher. Conversely, a slowdown or recession can weaken demand.
- Storage Levels: Inventories act as a cushion against supply disruptions. Low storage levels often signal tighter markets, pushing prices up.
- Transportation Costs: The cost of shipping oil or LNG across regions impacts pricing, particularly for seaborne commodities like Brent Crude and LNG.
- Exchange Rates: Energy commodities are usually priced in dollars, meaning currency fluctuations can affect affordability in non-dollar markets.
- Market Sentiment: Traders’ expectations, shaped by reports like US inventory data or OPEC forecasts, can influence short-term price movements.
How to Trade Energy Commodities
Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas involves navigating dynamic markets with the right tools, strategies, and risk awareness. Here’s a breakdown of how traders typically approach energy commodity trading:
Instruments for Energy Trading
Energy commodities can be traded through various instruments, typically through an oil and gas trading platform. For instance, FXOpen provides access to oil and gas CFDs alongside 700+ other markets, including currency pairs, stocks, ETFs, and more.
- CFDs (Contracts for Difference): Popular among retail traders because they allow access to global energy markets without owning the physical assets. They offer leverage and provide flexibility to take advantage of both rising and falling prices. Additionally, CFDs have lower entry costs, no expiration dates, and eliminate concerns like storage or delivery logistics. Please remember that leverage trading increases risks.
- Futures: These are contracts to buy or sell commodities at a future date. While they provide leverage and flexibility, trading energy derivatives like futures is often unnecessarily complex for the average retail trader.
- ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Energy ETFs diversify exposure to energy commodities or related sectors.
- Energy Stocks: Shares in oil and gas companies provide indirect exposure to commodity price changes.
Analysis: Fundamental and Technical
Energy traders rely on two primary types of analysis:
- Fundamental Analysis: Examines supply and demand factors like OPEC decisions, weather patterns, geopolitical tensions, and economic indicators such as GDP growth or industrial output.
- Technical Analysis: Focuses on price charts, identifying patterns, trends, and important levels to anticipate potential market movements.
Combining these approaches can offer a broader perspective, helping traders refine their strategies.
Taking a Position and Managing Risk
Once traders identify potential opportunities, they decide on position size and duration based on their analysis. Risk management is critical to help traders potentially mitigate losses in these volatile markets. Strategies often include:
- Diversifying positions to reduce exposure to a single commodity.
- Setting limits on position sizes to align with overall portfolio risk.
- Monitoring leverage carefully, as it can amplify both potential returns and losses.
Risk Factors in Energy Commodities Trading
Trading energy commodities like oil and natural gas offer potential opportunities, but it also comes with significant risks due to the market's volatility and global nature.
- Price Volatility: Energy markets are highly sensitive to geopolitical events, economic shifts, and supply disruptions. This can lead to rapid price swings, particularly if the event is unexpected.
- Leverage Risks: Many instruments, like CFDs and futures, allow traders to use leverage, amplifying both potential returns and losses. Mismanaging leverage can lead to significant setbacks.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Events like conflicts in oil-producing regions or trade sanctions can disrupt supply chains and sharply impact prices.
- Market Sentiment: Energy prices can react strongly to reports like inventory data, OPEC announcements, or unexpected news, creating rapid shifts in sentiment and price direction.
- Overexposure: Focusing too heavily on a single energy commodity can magnify losses if the market moves against the position.
- Economic Factors: Slowing industrial activity or recession fears can reduce demand for energy, putting downward pressure on prices.
The Bottom Line
Energy commodities trading offers potential opportunities, driven by global demand and supply. Whether focusing on oil, natural gas, or other energy assets, understanding the fundamentals and risks is key to navigating this complex market. Ready to explore oil and gas commodity trading via CFDs? Open an FXOpen account to access advanced tools, competitive spreads, low commissions, and four trading platforms designed to support your journey.
FAQ
What Are Energy Commodities?
Energy commodities are natural resources used to power industries, homes, and transportation. Key examples include crude oil, natural gas, and coal. These commodities are traded globally as physical assets or through financial instruments like futures and CFDs.
Can I Make Money Trading Commodities?
Trading commodities offers potential opportunities to take advantage of price movements, but it also involves significant risks. The effectiveness of your trades depends on understanding of market dynamics, analyses of supply and demand, and risk management. While some traders achieve returns, losses are also common, especially in volatile markets like energy.
How Do I Start Investing in Energy?
Investing in energy typically begins with choosing an instrument like ETFs or stocks, depending on your goals and risk tolerance. Researching market fundamentals, monitoring geopolitical and economic factors, and practising sound risk management are essential steps for new investors.
What Is an Energy Trading Platform?
An energy trading platform, or power trading platform, is software that enables traders to buy and sell energy commodities. These energy trading solutions provide access to pricing data, charting tools, and news feeds, helping traders analyse markets and execute trades efficiently.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Natural Gas key levels 09 Feb 2025Natural Gas key buy and sell levels for the coming week.
Looking to enter a buy at 3.333 follow the key levels up note 3.500 would be a key resistance.
On the sell side looking to enter at 3.280 following down keeping an eye on the levels marked for further continuation watching key resistance at 3.12 to 3.08
As always secure when in profit , markets are very volatile last 2 weeks so take the money secure and run
WHAT’S FLOWING: GAS & FXIn today’s episode of “What’s Flowing”, we’re analyzing key market moves across FX pairs, commodities, and indices, using Heikin Ashi charts to identify trends and potential trade setups.
Key Market Observations
1. Currency Pairs – Strong Momentum Plays
• AUD/USD & NZD/USD (Top Left) – Bullish Continuation
• Strong uptrend, price breaking through resistance.
• RSI is holding above 75, signaling continued strength.
• Key level to watch: 0.95 resistance zone for potential breakout or pullback.
• EUR/USD (Bottom Center) – Bearish Rejection
• Price rejected near 1.05, dropping into demand zone.
• A break below 1.037 could accelerate selling pressure.
• Bears in control unless buyers step in at support.
• USD/CNH (Bottom Right) – Range Consolidation
• Holding near 7.29, but lacking clear directional bias.
• Watching for a breakout above 7.30 or breakdown below 7.25.
2. Commodities – Mixed Trends
• XNG/USD (Natural Gas, Top Right) – Range Play
• Attempting to push higher after testing lower support levels.
• Resistance at 3.39, break above could confirm bullish momentum.
• Gold & Silver (Not in this chart, but worth monitoring)
• Commodities have been holding strong amid global uncertainty.
• Gold & Silver miners remain laggards compared to the spot price—potential catch-up trade?
3. Indices – Critical Levels in Play
• US30 (Dow, Top Center) – Potential Pullback
• Testing major resistance at 23,400.
• If sellers step in, expect a pullback toward 22,800 before next move.
• GBP/JPY (Top Right) – Volatile Structure
• Strong push higher, but price facing resistance near 37,400.
• Bulls need a clean break above to maintain momentum.
What’s Flowing Today?
1. AUD & NZD showing strength – bullish moves continuing.
2. USD/CNH in a tight range – waiting for confirmation.
3. US indices reaching key resistance – potential pullbacks ahead.
4. Commodities holding steady – Natural Gas attempting a move up.
Stay tuned for more insights and let’s see how these setups evolve throughout the session!
#WhatsFlowing #Forex #Commodities #Indices
LongYour statement outlines a clear trading strategy based on support and resistance levels. Here's a refined version for clarity:
1. Uptrend Expectation:
As long as the price remains above the 3.000 support, a resumption of the uptrend is expected.
2. Confirmation of Uptrend:
The uptrend will be confirmed when the resistance at 3.955 is broken.
3. Invalidation of the Uptrend:
If the 3.000 support is broken, the short-term forecast for the uptrend becomes invalid.
4. Risk Management:
All open trades will be closed if the midterm level at 3.000 is breached.
This approach provides clear entry, confirmation, and exit criteria, which are essential for disciplined trading. Let me know if you want help optimizing the strategy further.
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2.950 (or) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
Based on current market conditions, the XNG/USD Natural Gas market is expected to move in a Bearish direction.
🔆Fundamental Factors:
-Supply and Demand Balance: The natural gas market is expected to move into a supply surplus, driven by increasing production and decreasing demand.
-US Natural Gas Production: US natural gas production is expected to increase, putting downward pressure on prices.
-LNG Export Capacity: Increasing LNG export capacity from the US is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices.
🔆Macroeconomic Factors:
-Mild Winter Weather: Warmer-than-expected winter weather in the US is expected to decrease demand for natural gas, putting downward pressure on prices.
-Global Economic Slowdown: Slowing global economic growth, particularly in China, is expected to decrease demand for natural gas.
-US Dollar Strength: A stronger US dollar is expected to put downward pressure on natural gas prices, making them more expensive in international markets.
🔆Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis:
-Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short natural gas, indicating a bearish sentiment.
-Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting natural gas prices to decline due to the supply and demand balance.
-Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that natural gas is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $3.00 level.
🔆Sentimental Outlook:
Bearish Sentiment: 65%
Bullish Sentiment: 20%
Neutral Sentiment: 15%
🔆Overall, the bearish outlook is driven by a combination of macroeconomic and fundamental factors, with a 60% chance of a bearish move, 20% chance of a bullish move, and 20% chance of a neutral move.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 3.500
Sell Entry below 3.000
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 4.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2.600 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔆 Fundamental Factors
- Supply and Demand Imbalance: The global demand for natural gas is outpacing supply, leading to a surge in prices.
- Weather Patterns: Colder-than-expected winter weather in the Northern Hemisphere is driving up demand for heating fuels, including natural gas.
🔆 Macroeconomic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, but the energy sector remains resilient due to strong demand for natural gas.
- Inflation Rates: Rising inflation rates are driving up the cost of living, but the impact on the XNG/USD pair is currently neutral.
🔆 COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XNG/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
🔆 Market Sentiment and Positioning
- Client Sentiment: 60% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XNG/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
🔆 Conclusion:
The sentimental outlook for XNG/USD is mixed, with varying degrees of bullishness and bearishness among institutional investors, large banks, investment companies, and retail traders. While some market participants are optimistic about natural gas prices due to rising demand and supply constraints, others are cautious due to mild winter weather and increased production.
🔆 Prediction and Overall Outlook
- Based on the analysis, the XNG/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 65% probability of reaching $4.50 in the short term. However, there is a 35% chance of a price correction to $3.80 due to overbought conditions.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Natural Gas: Key Technical Insights for TradersFX:NGAS
In this Idea, we'll take a closer look at the key insights for NGAS, with a focus on the long-term bullish outlook towards the $4.70 target, which has been in focus since January 2023.
Focus on the $4.70 Target: Why It Matters
While it’s important to track short-term market movements, we should not lose sight of the overarching bullish trend that has been developing for NGAS. The target of $4.70, based on Fibonacci retracement levels, continues to be the key level for a potential price rally.
Since the beginning of 2023, we have been monitoring the formation of a bullish shark pattern around $2.41, which suggested a possible upward move toward the Fibonacci levels above $4.70. (links at the bottom)
Recent Price Action and Key Developments
Bullish Shark Pattern Formation: In January 2023, the bullish shark pattern formed at $2.41, signaling an upward move toward higher Fibonacci targets. This pattern remained intact for much of 2023.
October 2023 to January 2024 Retracement: During the period between October 2023 and early 2024, NGAS briefly tested the downside, showing signs of potential invalidation of the pattern. However, it successfully bounced back in mid-December 2024, breaking above the previous October highs and establishing new highs at $4.28.
Current Price Level: As of the latest data, NGAS is trading at $3.91. While this is a step back from the $4.28 high, the overall bullish sentiment remains intact, and attention should still be focused on the $4.70 target.
Bearish Divergence and Pattern Completion
Despite the positive movement, caution is needed as some bearish signals have started to emerge in recent days:
Bearish Divergence on the RSI: There are noticeable signs of bearish divergence on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggesting weakening momentum in the upward trend.
Bearish Butterfly Pattern: A bearish butterfly pattern has completed at $4.21, which could signal a potential retracement. If this pattern holds, it could result in further downside pressure in the short term.
Fibonacci Levels to Watch
Fibonacci retracement levels are essential in guiding traders’ decisions, and NGAS is currently hovering below a critical level:
11.3% Below the .382% Fibonacci Level: NGAS is still 11.3% below the .382% Fibonacci retracement level, which is projected at $4.76. This level represents a major target for the bullish shark pattern that formed in January 2023. We should keep an eye on this level, as it remains a strong area of interest for a potential upward move.
Potential for a Bearish Crab Pattern: If NGAS extends its price action toward the 161.8% Fibonacci level, there is a possibility that the bearish butterfly pattern could evolve into a bearish crab pattern. This scenario would likely coincide with the major .382% Fibonacci retracement level, increasing potential interest in this price zone.
Maintaining a Focus on the Long-Term Trend
While short-term fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term outlook for NGAS remains bullish, with the target of $4.70 still in focus. We should continue to watch the evolving patterns closely, particularly the Fibonacci retracement levels and the recent completion of the bearish butterfly pattern. However, the core focus should be on the potential for further upside movement toward the $4.70 target, as the overall market structure continues to support this view.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Natural Gas ( XNGUSD ) Buy Opportunity Current Price: $3.267
Setup: Natural Gas is bouncing off a strong demand zone and respecting the ascending trendline support, indicating potential for a bullish move. The RSI is turning upwards, suggesting momentum in favor of buyers.
Entry: $3.267
Stop Loss: $3.15 (below demand zone and trendline support for safety)
Take Profits:
TP1: $3.36
TP2: $3.55
TP3: $3.98
Why Buy?
Price is rebounding from a solid demand zone.
Clear respect for the trendline, confirming bullish sentiment.
Rising RSI signals growing momentum for a move higher.
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$1,100 Risk per lot !
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