EURNOK to rally=> Here we are arguing from the angle that the bearish sentiment on EURO as mentioned in our previous ideas will fade and begin to position into a solid macro narrative.
=> Qatar has announced an FX swap agreement with Turkey for $15bn this morning, frankly they might as well wave goodbye to this money with Erdogan at the helm. Short-term however this will provide support for EMU based banks.
=> ECB's Weidmann has begun talking up policy normalisation as expected and on the other side of the coin we have Italy praying for an extension in QE.
pascalToday at 10:00
=> Concerns over continued pressure on commodity prices is not painting a pretty picture for NOK. Markets have fully priced in the hike coming in September from Norges Bank and we are starting to see smart money taking profits.
=> We are targeting 9.80 - 9.90 with stops below the recent 9.50 low
=> Good luck
