Beautiful Setup for US Dollar / Norwegian KronePair has surged ~2% during the last week reaching a multi-week high and fell from it several days ago. Price seems to have bottomed below 9.00 level, from where it jumped up suddenly.
We now notice that a bullish flag is slowly being shaped and is able to break at any time, opening the gates for 9.15 and then for further bullish waves, assisted by the ambitious Dollar strength which is yet to come.
A dive in the red zone I have drawn means either that market needs more orders to shoot high or that sellers have won the medium-term game and will drive the price down, with no support anywhere close.
We stay patient while the flag hasn't completed yet so we have to see a break in order to place any trade, either to the long side or to the downside.
NOKUSD trade ideas
USDNOK Reverses off of 'Perfect' LevelUSDNOK reversed sharply last week from the line off of the 2016 and 2018 highs. This line was precise resistance AND support in 2019. The area around last week’s low has been a major horizontal level since 2016. I also like that the 200 week average is just under the low. General upside focus is 9.87-9.98. This is the former 4th wave high (5 waves down from the March high) and 38.2% retrace of the drop.
Two scenarios on USDNOK by ThinkingAntsOkMain items we can see on the chart:
a) The major structure we can see is a Daily Ascending channel
b) Currently, the price is on the lower trendline of the channel + major support resistance zone / That provides us with a strong level
c) Now we have to pay attention either for a reversal movement or a continuation one
d) We have established those 2 zones one for the bullish and one for the bearish direction. The idea is not to trade directly but to wait for the adequate corrective structures
NOKUSDdont short one of the richest, happiest countries in the world pr capita with its oil fund owning 1% of all world stocks,properties and other investment sectors 10 179 billion NOK, and excessive natural resources in a small country with only 5million people, this is going be a squeeze to fill the empty gap, as other countries printing more and more money to help their people.