Can it be a 100% idea from current levels?Down by ~70% from it's ATH. Revenue and Net Profit improving with possibility of improving margins (with new acquisitions and premiumization).
Strong brand value.
Adani group out from promoters list which constantly generated bad PR in recent past.
There inventory cycle is of less than 2 months. And they are holding highest amount of inventory. Meaning all of it will sell in the quarter. We can create a correlation with expected sales.
CWIP also 25% of current assets - production capacity increasing.
The whole FMCG sector is ready for boost as it's been trading within a range from past few years.
Current prices are also lower than it's intrinsic value.
Technically seems like a cup with handle pattern in formation.
AWL trade ideas
AWLNSE:AWL
Note :
1. One should go long with a Stop Loss, below the Trendline or the Previous Swing Low.
2. Risk :Reward ratio should be minimum 1:2.
3. Plan your trade as per the Money Mangement and Risk Appetite.
Disclamier : You are responsible for your profits and loss.
The idea shared here is purely for Educational purpose.
Follow back, for more ideas and their notifications on your email.
Support and Like incase the idea works for you.
Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL)Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL)
Based on the H1 chart, here's a technical analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL):
Trend Analysis
Short-term: The stock seems to be in a consolidation phase after a slight uptrend.
Long-term: The 200-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is above the current price, indicating a long-term downtrend.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support : The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at 370.65 and the 0 level at 351.15 are potential support levels.
Resistance: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 382.70 is the immediate resistance.
Technical Indicators
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently below 50, suggesting that the stock is oversold. This could be a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy - Based on the analysis, a potential trading strategy could be:
Buy Zone: If the price breaks above the 0.382 Fibonacci level (370.65) and the 0 level (351.15), it could be a bullish signal. Consider buying at or near the current price (CMP@371.70).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the 0 level (351.15) to limit potential losses.
Target: The target could be the 0.618 Fibonacci level (382.70).
Risk Management: Always practice proper risk management by allocating a portion of your capital to each trade and diversifying your portfolio.
Note: This analysis is based on the information provided in the chart. It's essential to conduct further research and consider other factors before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is based on the provided chart and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Do your own research before buying this stock because I am not SEBI registered person and this is just for educational purposes. We are not responsible for your loss.
Thanks for your support as always
Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL)Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL)
The technical analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd (AWL) on the TradingView platform. The chart appears to be for the 1-hour timeframe (1h).
Key Observations:
Support and Resistance Levels:
The chart highlights several support and resistance levels.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 382.75 is identified as a potential resistance level.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 376.70 is also marked as a potential resistance level.
The area between 351 and 367 is suggested as a "Buy Zone."
If the price breaks below the 351 to 367 support zone, it might retest the 342 to 332 range.
Buy Recommendations:
The analyst suggests starting to buy AWL at the current market price (CMP) of 371.70.
They also recommend buying more if the price rises above 351.
Overall Analysis: - Based on the technical analysis presented in the chart, it seems to be bullish on AWL. They believe that the stock is likely to rise, and they recommend buying at the current price levels or even higher if the price breaks above 351. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly. Investors should conduct their own research and consider other factors before making investment decisions.
Additional Considerations:
Fundamental Analysis: While technical analysis provides insights based on price charts, it's also essential to consider fundamental factors such as company performance, industry trends, and economic conditions.
Risk Management: Investing in stocks involves risks, and it's crucial to implement risk management strategies such as diversification and setting stop-loss orders.
Personal Risk Tolerance: Investors should assess their own risk tolerance and invest accordingly.
Disclaimer: - This analysis is based on the technical analysis of the stock and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Do your own research before investing in stocks. I am not SEBI registered person and you are responsible for your loss.
Thanks for your support as always
Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd(AWL)Technical Analysis of Adani Wilmar Ltd(AWL) - The technical analysis of Adani Wilmar (AWL) stock. It is created using the TradingView platform by the user "ForexTrader4all".
Here's a breakdown of the information presented in the chart:
Stock Information:
Symbol: AWL
Timeframe: 1 hour
Exchange: NSE (National Stock Exchange of India)
Current Price: 375.80 INR (Indian Rupee)
Change: -1.20 INR (-0.32%)
Technical Indicators:
EMA (200, high): 963.32
RSI (14, high): 46.18
Price Levels Suggestions:
Start Buying Above: 380 INR
Buy More Above: 351 INR and 330 INR
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: 330.40 INR
Resistance: 449.65 INR
Chart Elements:
Candlesticks: Represent the price action of the stock over the specified timeframe.
Moving Average (EMA): A trend-following indicator that smooths out price fluctuations.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements.
Horizontal Lines: Indicate potential support and resistance levels.
Diagonal Lines: Represent trend lines or channels.
Overall Analysis: - Based on the technical indications in the chart, here are some potential scenarios:
Price Action: The stock is currently trading below its 200-day EMA, suggesting a bearish trend. However, the RSI is near the 50 level, indicating that the selling momentum may be weakening.
Support and Resistance: The horizontal lines at 330.40 INR and 449.65 INR represent potential support and resistance levels. If the price breaks below the support level, it could signal further downside.
Buy Signals: The chart suggests potential buying opportunities above 380 INR, 351 INR, and 330 INR. However, it's important to consider other factors before making any investment decisions.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based solely on the information provided in the chart and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before making any investment decisions and do your own research because I am not SEBI registered person to suggest any stock. This is my personal opinion based on my technical understanding/analysis and only for education purposes.
Thanks for your support
ADANI WILMAR Showing Breakage in Volume & Structure,NSE:AWL
.......................................................................
Not a Adani Lover.... But Some Bussinesses are Considered as White Collar.... Specially when you are aware of the original Product of the company.
.............................................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................................
Strong recovery in Profitability, after subdued profits in H1 of last year.
➢ Trailing 9-Month EBITDA at INR 1,471 Crore.
➢ Profitability was volatile in FY24 due to hedge dis-alignment. However, profitability is improving over the longer-term.
.............................................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................................
▪ Q1 volume growth of 12% YoY
▪ Steady growth in staple packaged foods. Edible oils grew by 12% YoY and Foods & FMCG grew by 42% YoY
▪ In Industry essential segment, both Oleo and Castor business grew in double digits, though overall volume impacted due to oil meal business
▪ Q1 revenue at INR 14,169 crores
▪ Revenue grew by 10% YoY in-line with volume growth as lapping of disinflationary impact of edible oil prices on revenue is complete
▪ Highest-ever EBITDA in Q1‘25 at INR 619 crores
▪ Edible oil business profitability has improved on back of stable edible oil prices
▪ Demand Environment (branded oil and foods)
▪ Demand environment stays steady in packaged staple foods on back of ongoing shift towards branded products
▪ Company stays focused on gaining market share, particularly in under-indexed markets & categories
▪ Incorporating local nuances to enhance regional engagement through customized campaigns, specialized packaging, localized pricing strategies, targeted schemes
▪ ESG Update
▪ Adani Wilmar has been included in FTSE4Good Index Series
▪ Company is committed to improve its processes for ESG performance, enhance disclosures and participate in key ESG ratings
.............................................................................................................................................
.............................................................................................................................................
Key Takeaways: Q1’25
▪ Overall volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil volumes surpasses 1 Million MT in Q1’25
▪ Food & FMCG crossed quarterly revenue of ~INR 1,500 Crores in Q1’25
▪ Edible Oil:
▪ Edible Oil volumes grew by 12% YoY in Q1’25
▪ Both Sunflower oil and Mustard oil grew double digit during the quarter.
▪ Food & FMCG:
❑ Food & FMCG volumes grew by 42% YoY (Ex-G2G business, Food volumes grew by 19% YoY)
❑ The revenue from branded products in the domestic market has been growing consistently YoY at over 30% for the past eleven quarters.
▪ Distribution:
❑ Company’s direct reach grew by 18% YoY to reach 7.4 Lac Outlets at the end of Q1’25
❑ Rural towns coverage grew by 40% YoY to 30,000+ towns at the of June 2024
▪ Channel Growth:
❑ Alternate channel grew by 19% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ Branded exports grew by 36% YoY in Q1’25 (in volume terms)
❑ HoReCa business grew by 91% YoY (in volume terms), with quarterly revenues crossing ~INR 150 Crore in Q1’25
▪ ESG:
❑ Inclusion of AWL in FTSE4Good Index Series
Falling Wedge pattern breakout in AWLADANI WILMAR LTD
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1 Day Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Falling Wedge Pattern.
✅Strong Bullish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 444+.
✅Can Go Long in this Stock by placing a stop loss below 344-.
AWL for buy, 1:4 risk reward Based on the chart analysis, the asset has completed its five-wave structure, indicating a potential for upward movement. After the five waves, we can anticipate an ABC correction pattern forming. To capitalize on this, aim for the first target (TR) at 440 and the second target (TR) at 517, setting a stop loss (SL) at 285.
However, if AWL initiates another five-wave upward movement, the target could be significantly higher. Keep an eye on the market for further developments and adjust your strategy accordingly.
AWL - Adani Wilmar Ltd - An Opportunity to Buy & HoldAdani Wilmar (AWL) technical analysis shows mixed signals:
Bullish Signs:
Upward trend: AWL has been trending upwards for the past few months and is currently near a six-month high.
Recent bullish reversal: Technical indicators like the Awesome Oscillator are trending upwards, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.
Strong upward move: The stock has seen a strong price increase recently.
Bearish Signs:
Overbought indicators: Some indicators like Williams %R and Stochastic are falling from overbought levels, which could signal a potential pullback.
Volume: While the price is rising, keep an eye on volume. Lower volume during a price rise can indicate a weaker uptrend.
Overall, the technical analysis for AWL is inconclusive.
Remember, technical analysis should only be one part of your investment strategy. Consider other factors like fundamentals, market conditions, and your own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
My Opinion:- Overall technical analysis suggests that the trend is bullish.
Thanks for your support as always
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and shouldn't be considered financial advice. It's important to do your own research before making any investment decisions.
AWL is ready to flyAWL can double from here with in a year. Sl below the trend line.
Chart is self explanatory. Please follow the price action & take the trade as per your appetite.
The information provided here is only for educational purpose. The information provided here is not intended to be any kind of financial advice, investment advice, and trading advice. Investment in stock market is very risky and trading stocks, options and other securities involve risk. The risk of loss in stock market can be substantial. Moreover, I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so before taking any decision or before investing in any Share consult your financial advisor and also do your analysis and research.
Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement.