HAL trade ideas
Go long in HAL above 4450 onlyGo long in HAL if it's closing above 4450 on daily frame. From there, we can expect targets of 4715, 4925 & 5625.
Keep in mind that condition is applied only 4450 closing on daily frame. Stoploss against this investment can be placed near 4120 or you can take any option CE.
"HAL: A Strong Investment Opportunity – Is Now the Right Time toHAL Investment Opportunity: Breakout from Consolidation – What’s Next?
Market Overview:
HAL has recently tapped a key weekly Point of Interest (POI) at ₹3,080 – ₹2,323 and rebounded strongly, confirming institutional buying at lower levels.
📌 All-Time High: ₹5,674
📌 Weekly POI Support Zone: ₹3,080 – ₹2,323
📌 Recent Price Action: After consolidating between ₹3,430 – ₹3,250 (Feb 18-24, 2025), HAL dropped, retested the POI, and formed a 7-day range between ₹3,500 – ₹3,350 before today's breakout.
📌 Technical Pattern: The price action resembles a Flag/Box Pattern, signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
Step-by-Step Investment Plan
1. Entry & Confirmation
✅ Ideal Entry:
If price retests the box range (₹3,500 – ₹3,350), it could offer a good buying opportunity.
Wait for confirmation (e.g., bullish price action or increased volume) before entering.
✅ Stop-Loss Strategy:
Place SL below the box range, i.e., ₹3,300 – ₹3,250, depending on risk appetite.
2. Profit Targets & Risk-Reward Ratio
📈 Profit Targets:
1️⃣ ₹3,750 – First swing target.
2️⃣ ₹4,055 – Second major target.
3️⃣ ₹4,055+ – If momentum continues, higher targets can be achieved.
📉 Risk-Reward Calculation:
Entry Zone (₹3,500 – ₹3,350)
Stop-Loss (Below ₹3,250)
Target 1 (₹3,750) → Risk-Reward Ratio ~ 2:1
Target 2 (₹4,055) → Risk-Reward Ratio ~ 3:1
3. Confirmation & Execution Strategy
🔹 Scenario 1 (Price Holds Above ₹3,500 – ₹3,350) – A successful retest of this level increases the probability of an upward move.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Price Dips Below ₹3,350 Before Rebounding) – This can act as a liquidity grab before a strong uptrend.
🔹 Scenario 3 (Price Fails to Hold Above ₹3,250) – This would invalidate the bullish setup, and investors should wait for a new structure formation.
Final Thoughts & Risk Management
✅ HAL is showing strong bullish continuation signs after a consolidation phase.
✅ Waiting for a pullback into the range could offer the best risk-reward entry.
⚠️ Always manage risk with a strict stop-loss to avoid downside surprises.
💡 Will HAL sustain its breakout and reach new highs, or is another pullback needed before the next move? Let’s analyze further! 🚀📊
Amazing breakout on Weekly Timeframe - HALCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN LOWER TIMEFRAME AND RETRACE IF NEEDED. SL IS NEARER SUPPORT ZONE IN Daily TIMEFRAME.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run.
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
HAL:NSE FLAG&PoleBullishPAT.1Yr. ReadyForBO DTF/WTF SWING/POSIT. HAL Stock Analysis
Trade Plan:
Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 4676 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 4078 DTF Close Price. Add Balance progressively
Stop Loss: 4075
Target 1: 5650
Target 2: 6150
Hold for a period of SIX months to ONE year or until the target 2 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock has Formed a FLAG&POLE PATTERN in About a Year to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 5674.
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading between 50 and 200 EMA. The EMAs are in Transitional sequence of alignment. A potential bullish FLAG Channel trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Wait for BO & Retest to seek Entry as above.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a gradual decline in Volumes since the price correction Started Four months ago, the Sellers have reduced considerably, wait for the Flag Structure BO on DTF to seek Entry.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
HAL NSE Flag&Pole BO WTF SWING/POSITIONALHindustan Aeronautics STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for SWING /POSITIONAL)
ENTRY -4680 25% Qty, Add 50% 4950 qty Add Progressively on DTF Close
SL - 4420
TARGET -SWING-01- 5365 , TGT02--6150
Hold For a 1+ Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 9 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 5659, Retracing to 38.2% FIBO Level fin MTForming a Bullish Flag Pattern. Price has just BO of a 3M 2W Pullback on MTF.
INVESTORS can also enter above 5100 LVL for TGT 02.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment with reasonable Volumes indicating start of a bullish Trend on DTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price is below 50% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 4950-5000 Price lvl.
Volumes: NA
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
HAL : Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd completing its correction#HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd) Daily Chart Analysis
🔍 Technical Overview:
1️⃣ The stock is forming an ABC corrective wave structure, nearing the Extended Correction Zone of Wave C around ₹3,697 - ₹3,405.
2️⃣ The 200 SMA (₹3,405) aligns with a strong support level, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
3️⃣ Immediate resistance levels are at ₹4,209 and ₹4,509, with the target zone around ₹5,080 - ₹5,130 if bullish momentum continues.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Support Zone: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405.
A reversal here could trigger a rally toward ₹4,209, with an extended target of ₹5,130 - ₹5,165.
Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing candle) supported by volume.
🎯 Long Plan:
Entry: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405 (upon bullish confirmation).
Targets:
TP1: ₹4,209.
TP2: ₹5,130 - ₹5,165.
Stop-Loss: Below ₹3,380.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If ₹3,405 fails to hold, the next downside targets are ₹3,000 and ₹2,600.
Breakdown Confirmation: A decisive break below ₹3,405 with increased selling pressure.
🎯 Short Plan:
Entry: Below ₹3,405.
Targets:
TP1: ₹3,000.
TP2: ₹2,600.
Stop-Loss: Above ₹3,500.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ₹3,830, ₹3,697, ₹3,405.
Resistance: ₹4,209, ₹4,509, ₹5,130.
⚠️ Note: Monitor volume and price action carefully around the Extended Correction Zone. Any major defense sector updates or contracts could impact the stock’s movement.
#HindustanAeronautics #HAL #StockMarket #TradingView #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #NSE #StockCharts #PriceAction #DefenseStocks #IndiaMarkets #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis
Comment below if you have questions or insights! 🚀
HAL Poised for a Strong Rally Following Quarterly Results..?Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL), a prominent state-run defense company in India, is currently trading at ₹4040, which has been identified as a significant support level. Recently, the company announced its financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year 2025 (Q2 FY25), showcasing an impressive performance.
For Q2 FY25, HAL reported a consolidated net profit of ₹1,510.49 crore, marking a considerable increase of 22.4% compared to ₹1,236.67 crore recorded in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. This growth in net profit underscores the company's ability to enhance its profitability despite a challenging economic environment.
In terms of revenue, HAL's consolidated revenue from operations for the same period increased by 6%, reaching ₹5,976.29 crore, up from ₹5,635.70 crore in Q2 FY24. This growth indicates a solid demand for HAL's products and services, which is vital for sustaining its operations and expansion plans.
At the operational level, the company's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) showed a robust growth of 7.3%, climbing to ₹1,640 crore from ₹1,527.7 crore in the year-ago quarter. Additionally, HAL demonstrated an improvement in its EBITDA margin, which rose to 27.4% from 27.1% year-on-year (YoY). This marginal increase in the EBITDA margin reflects HAL's effective cost management strategies and operational efficiency, further contributing to its overall profitability.
Overall, HAL's recent financial performance highlights its strong position in the defense sector and its continuous efforts to enhance profitability and operational efficiency.
HAL Swing trading Setup - Descending TriangleChart Analysis:
1. Descending Triangle Pattern:
• The chart shows a descending triangle with lower highs (LHs) forming resistance and a horizontal support zone. This pattern typically indicates a bearish continuation, though an upside breakout can happen.
• The trendline resistance appears well-respected, with a downtrend line pushing prices lower.
2. Resistance Levels:
• There is a resistance zone marked above current price levels.
• Resistance 1 and the trendline serve as a major area where a potential pullback could be seen.
3. Support Levels:
• A clear horizontal support level is visible, which has been tested multiple times, increasing the significance of a potential breakdown.
4. RSI Indicator:
• The RSI shows a downward trend but does not appear to be in oversold territory yet. This implies room for further downward movement but also warrants watching for a potential reversal signal.
Swing Trade Setup:
1. Bearish Scenario (Preferred based on the chart):
• Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price closes below the marked support zone with strong volume.
• Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the descending trendline resistance to mitigate risk in case of a reversal or fake breakdown.
• Target 1: Use the measured move from the widest part of the triangle to estimate the potential target level for the downside move, aiming for key support levels below (e.g., 3,200-3,000).
• Target 2: If momentum is strong, trailing stops can help capture more of the move downwards.
2.Bullish Reversal Scenario:
• Entry: If the price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume and closes in the resistance zone, it may invalidate the bearish pattern, indicating potential bullish momentum.
• Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the breakout candle’s low to avoid potential false breakouts.
• Target 1: Aim for key resistance levels above, including previous swing highs.
• Target 2: Monitor RSI and volume for signs of overbought conditions.
Risk Management:
• Position Sizing: Ensure your position size aligns with your risk tolerance, ideally risking no more than 1-2% of your account balance per trade.
• Monitoring Volume: Increased volume on breakdown or breakout moves strengthens conviction in the trade direction.
• Adapting to Market Conditions: Be prepared to switch to the bullish scenario if the market sentiment shifts unexpectedly.
Caution:
• False breakdowns are possible, especially if volume is low or market sentiment shifts rapidly.
• Keep an eye on broader market trends and sector performance for additional cues on stock direction.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk, and you should be aware of your risk tolerance and investment objectives. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author of this analysis is not responsible for any financial losses you may incur based on the information provided.