HAL:NSE FLAG&PoleBullishPAT.1Yr. ReadyForBO DTF/WTF SWING/POSIT. HAL Stock Analysis
Trade Plan:
Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 4676 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 4078 DTF Close Price. Add Balance progressively
Stop Loss: 4075
Target 1: 5650
Target 2: 6150
Hold for a period of SIX months to ONE year or until the target 2 is reached.
Chart Pattern:
The stock has Formed a FLAG&POLE PATTERN in About a Year to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 5674.
Technical Indicators:
The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading between 50 and 200 EMA. The EMAs are in Transitional sequence of alignment. A potential bullish FLAG Channel trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Wait for BO & Retest to seek Entry as above.
Volume Analysis:
There has been a gradual decline in Volumes since the price correction Started Four months ago, the Sellers have reduced considerably, wait for the Flag Structure BO on DTF to seek Entry.
Prioritize Watch List:
Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities.
Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions.
Technical Analysis Concepts:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA):
Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends.
Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation.
Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis.
All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart.
Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history.
Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses.
Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months.
Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly.
CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend.
Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level.
Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern
Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity.
Moving Averages:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data.
Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks.
Fibonacci Retracement/Extension:
Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements.
Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
HAL trade ideas
HAL NSE Flag&Pole BO WTF SWING/POSITIONALHindustan Aeronautics STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for SWING /POSITIONAL)
ENTRY -4680 25% Qty, Add 50% 4950 qty Add Progressively on DTF Close
SL - 4420
TARGET -SWING-01- 5365 , TGT02--6150
Hold For a 1+ Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 9 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 5659, Retracing to 38.2% FIBO Level fin MTForming a Bullish Flag Pattern. Price has just BO of a 3M 2W Pullback on MTF.
INVESTORS can also enter above 5100 LVL for TGT 02.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment with reasonable Volumes indicating start of a bullish Trend on DTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price is below 50% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 4950-5000 Price lvl.
Volumes: NA
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
HAL : Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd completing its correction#HAL (Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd) Daily Chart Analysis
🔍 Technical Overview:
1️⃣ The stock is forming an ABC corrective wave structure, nearing the Extended Correction Zone of Wave C around ₹3,697 - ₹3,405.
2️⃣ The 200 SMA (₹3,405) aligns with a strong support level, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
3️⃣ Immediate resistance levels are at ₹4,209 and ₹4,509, with the target zone around ₹5,080 - ₹5,130 if bullish momentum continues.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Support Zone: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405.
A reversal here could trigger a rally toward ₹4,209, with an extended target of ₹5,130 - ₹5,165.
Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., hammer or bullish engulfing candle) supported by volume.
🎯 Long Plan:
Entry: ₹3,697 - ₹3,405 (upon bullish confirmation).
Targets:
TP1: ₹4,209.
TP2: ₹5,130 - ₹5,165.
Stop-Loss: Below ₹3,380.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
If ₹3,405 fails to hold, the next downside targets are ₹3,000 and ₹2,600.
Breakdown Confirmation: A decisive break below ₹3,405 with increased selling pressure.
🎯 Short Plan:
Entry: Below ₹3,405.
Targets:
TP1: ₹3,000.
TP2: ₹2,600.
Stop-Loss: Above ₹3,500.
📈 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ₹3,830, ₹3,697, ₹3,405.
Resistance: ₹4,209, ₹4,509, ₹5,130.
⚠️ Note: Monitor volume and price action carefully around the Extended Correction Zone. Any major defense sector updates or contracts could impact the stock’s movement.
#HindustanAeronautics #HAL #StockMarket #TradingView #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrading #NSE #StockCharts #PriceAction #DefenseStocks #IndiaMarkets #StockTrading #MarketAnalysis
Comment below if you have questions or insights! 🚀
HAL Poised for a Strong Rally Following Quarterly Results..?Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL), a prominent state-run defense company in India, is currently trading at ₹4040, which has been identified as a significant support level. Recently, the company announced its financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year 2025 (Q2 FY25), showcasing an impressive performance.
For Q2 FY25, HAL reported a consolidated net profit of ₹1,510.49 crore, marking a considerable increase of 22.4% compared to ₹1,236.67 crore recorded in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. This growth in net profit underscores the company's ability to enhance its profitability despite a challenging economic environment.
In terms of revenue, HAL's consolidated revenue from operations for the same period increased by 6%, reaching ₹5,976.29 crore, up from ₹5,635.70 crore in Q2 FY24. This growth indicates a solid demand for HAL's products and services, which is vital for sustaining its operations and expansion plans.
At the operational level, the company's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) showed a robust growth of 7.3%, climbing to ₹1,640 crore from ₹1,527.7 crore in the year-ago quarter. Additionally, HAL demonstrated an improvement in its EBITDA margin, which rose to 27.4% from 27.1% year-on-year (YoY). This marginal increase in the EBITDA margin reflects HAL's effective cost management strategies and operational efficiency, further contributing to its overall profitability.
Overall, HAL's recent financial performance highlights its strong position in the defense sector and its continuous efforts to enhance profitability and operational efficiency.
HAL Swing trading Setup - Descending TriangleChart Analysis:
1. Descending Triangle Pattern:
• The chart shows a descending triangle with lower highs (LHs) forming resistance and a horizontal support zone. This pattern typically indicates a bearish continuation, though an upside breakout can happen.
• The trendline resistance appears well-respected, with a downtrend line pushing prices lower.
2. Resistance Levels:
• There is a resistance zone marked above current price levels.
• Resistance 1 and the trendline serve as a major area where a potential pullback could be seen.
3. Support Levels:
• A clear horizontal support level is visible, which has been tested multiple times, increasing the significance of a potential breakdown.
4. RSI Indicator:
• The RSI shows a downward trend but does not appear to be in oversold territory yet. This implies room for further downward movement but also warrants watching for a potential reversal signal.
Swing Trade Setup:
1. Bearish Scenario (Preferred based on the chart):
• Entry: Consider entering a short position if the price closes below the marked support zone with strong volume.
• Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the descending trendline resistance to mitigate risk in case of a reversal or fake breakdown.
• Target 1: Use the measured move from the widest part of the triangle to estimate the potential target level for the downside move, aiming for key support levels below (e.g., 3,200-3,000).
• Target 2: If momentum is strong, trailing stops can help capture more of the move downwards.
2.Bullish Reversal Scenario:
• Entry: If the price breaks above the descending trendline with strong volume and closes in the resistance zone, it may invalidate the bearish pattern, indicating potential bullish momentum.
• Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the breakout candle’s low to avoid potential false breakouts.
• Target 1: Aim for key resistance levels above, including previous swing highs.
• Target 2: Monitor RSI and volume for signs of overbought conditions.
Risk Management:
• Position Sizing: Ensure your position size aligns with your risk tolerance, ideally risking no more than 1-2% of your account balance per trade.
• Monitoring Volume: Increased volume on breakdown or breakout moves strengthens conviction in the trade direction.
• Adapting to Market Conditions: Be prepared to switch to the bullish scenario if the market sentiment shifts unexpectedly.
Caution:
• False breakdowns are possible, especially if volume is low or market sentiment shifts rapidly.
• Keep an eye on broader market trends and sector performance for additional cues on stock direction.
Disclaimer : This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk, and you should be aware of your risk tolerance and investment objectives. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author of this analysis is not responsible for any financial losses you may incur based on the information provided.
Go long in HALOn hourly frame we see analyse that HAL had done a good breakout of a trendline and a level of 4335. From here we can expect targets of 4422, 4486, 4597,4687, 4785. We are expecting a good movement in defence stocks and HAL is one of the best.
If you are supposing to put a stoploss against this investment then it would be near 4260-65.
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HAL Analysis!Double Bottom Pattern with an RSI Divergence in HAL on a Daily Timeframe!
Double Bottom Pattern Formation in NSE:HAL !
Neckline Breakout in HAL!
Analysis:
HAL has made a Double bottom pattern on a daily timeframe after its downtrend so the trend is most likely to change. As we can see price made falling bottoms but RSI has made rising bottoms so there is a clear divergence as I have indicated in the chart. We also can see the optimum volume during the breakout and also the stock is retesting its new support.
Trade Setup:
Refer to the Analysis and make your own decisions as per your Risk to Reward Ratio
Disclaimer:
Consider my analysis for Educational Purposes only.
Before entering into any trade -
1) Educate Yourself
2) Do your research and analysis
3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio
4) Don't trade with full capital
HAL LONGHAL - Set ups
MTF Analysis
HAL Yearly Demand Beakout 2849
HAL 6 Month Demand Breakout 2849
HAL Qtrly Demand 3428
HAL Monthly Demand 4044
HAL Weekly Demand DMIP 3954
HAL Daily Demand BUFL 3831
ENTRY -1 3954
SL 3671
RISK 283
Taget as per Entry 6967
Points to Gain 1648
Latest Last Swing High 5319
Latest Last Swing Low 3671
A Long Term Investing Opportunity in Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd.Hello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your trading and your life as well. Today i have brought a stock which is ready to fly in blue sky after 35% of correction from all time high. Stock name is Hindustan Aeronautics and it is engaged in the business of Manufacture of Aircraft and Helicopters and Repair, Maintenance of Aircraft and Helicopters.
Stock is really giving long term investing opportunity at the current price, as stock has already corrected almost 35% from all time high, so it is another opportunity to get this GEM on discounted price. I will recommend all of you to do SIP in this on regularly basis. I have a feeling and expectation that it is going to be added in NIFTY one day surely. Think for long term only. For short term i have already given levels on chart. No doubt if we can see this stock giving more than 1000% returns in next 7-10 years.
Clientele:-
The company plays a strategic role in India’s defense program as it is the core equipment supplier to the Indian Defense Services, including the Indian Air Force, Indian Navy, Indian Army, and Indian Coast Guard. It is highly dependent on contracts from Ministry of Defense.
Order Book:-
As of FY24, the order book stood at Rs 94,000 Cr compared to Rs. 82,000 Cr in FY22, with additional major orders expected during FY25. In FY24, the Company received manufacturing contracts of over Rs. 19,000 Cr and ROH Contracts of over Rs. 15,000 Cr. In September 2024, it received a new major contract from MoD for supply of 240 aero-engines for Su-30 MKI aircraft of the Indian Air Force for Rs. 26,000 Cr.
Manifacturing & R&D:-
The company has 20 production and overhaul divisions and 9 R&D centers across India. It inaugurated a new Design and Test facility at Aero Engine Research & Development Centre in Bangalore in December 2023, to accelerate R&D of aero-engines. It spends 7% to 8% of the total revenue on R&D, it has also created an R&D Reserve, an annual contribution of 15% of the operating PAT, is transferred into this reserve.
Market Cap
₹ 3,02,715 Cr.
Current Price
₹ 4,525
High / Low
₹ 5,675 / 1,768
Stock P/E
36.8
Book Value
₹ 434
Dividend Yield
0.77 %
ROCE
38.9 %
ROE
28.9 %
Face Value
₹ 5.00
Industry PE
71.6
Debt
₹ 49.4 Cr.
EPS
₹ 123
Promoter holding
71.6 %
Intrinsic Value
₹ 1,509
Pledged percentage
0.00 %
EVEBITDA
22.9
Change in Prom Hold
0.00 %
Profit Var 5Yrs
26.5 %
Sales growth 5Years
8.71 %
Return over 5years
66.4 %
Debt to equity
0.00
Net profit
₹ 8,216 Cr.
ROE 5Yr
26.6 %
Profit growth
36.5 %
Earnings yield
3.88 %
PEG Ratio
1.39
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
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Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (NSE: HAL): A Bullish Breakout in the🚀 Market Insight 🚀
I'm excited to share my latest analysis of Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL), where the stock is displaying promising bullish signals.
Key Highlights:
Government Contract Boost: HAL recently secured a significant ₹260 billion contract from the Indian Air Force, providing a strong fundamental backdrop.
Technical Analysis: The stock has broken out of a consolidation range, with an RSI Divergence indicating potential upside momentum.
Bullish Checkmate Pattern: This candlestick pattern suggests a possible weakening of bearish momentum, hinting at an impending trend reversal.
Target Projections:
Primary Target: If HAL sustains above its all-time high, the first target could be ₹5,681.15, representing a 24.58% potential upside.
Extended Target: Further momentum could see the stock reaching ₹6,793.45, a 40.49% gain from current levels.
Why It Matters:
With HAL positioned at a crucial technical juncture and backed by strong fundamentals, this could be an excellent opportunity for investors to capitalize on a potential bullish trend.
Stay Connected: If you find this analysis valuable, let's connect! I regularly share market insights and technical analyses aimed at helping you build wealth.
#StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #HindustanAeronautics #HAL #Investing #Trading #MarketInsights
HAL S/RSupport and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA: If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory.
Combining RSI with Support and Resistance:
Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal.
Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HAL MASSIVE BREAKOUT DONE!The cabinet committee on Monday approved the proposal for procurement of 240 aero-engines (AL-31FP) for Su-30 MKI aircraft of the Indian Air Force (IAF) under Buy (Indian) category from Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) at a cost of over Rs 26,000 crore inclusive of all taxes and duties. The delivery of these aero-engines would start after one year and complete over a period of eight years.
HAL: Bullish Divergence & Trend Line InsightDiscover the latest technical setup for Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL) with a focus on bullish divergence and the ascending trend line. As we anticipate upcoming news events, explore how these factors could impact HAL’s stock performance and trading strategy.