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LUPIN LTD

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LUPIN trade ideas

ShortThis stock has been significantly overvalued for an extended period and seems to be due for a correction. Let’s take a closer look at what might unfold in the coming days: If the stock breaks below the critical level of 1995, we could see a swift move down towards 1589. This level is an important support zone, but it doesn’t mean the downward move will stop there. Investors should be cautious, as there might be some relief around 1725, which could act as a temporary support point. However, this relief would likely be short-lived. Given the overall overvaluation and current market conditions, any bounce off 1725 would likely be weak and won't signal a sustainable recovery. The key trigger for further downside would be a breach and close below 1995. Once this level is convincingly broken, the stock could face a significant downtrend. In such a case, investors should look to exit their positions, but with a well-placed stop-loss above 2175 to manage risk. That stop should offer protection in case of any unexpected rally or short-term bounce. Looking further ahead, a deeper correction towards 1509 appears to be the more plausible scenario, considering the current overvaluation and market sentiment. This deeper pullback could be a key buying opportunity for those who are patient and have a longer-term perspective. Once the stock reaches these levels, it would present a more attractive risk-to-reward ratio for accumulation, as it could set the stage for a recovery that eventually takes the stock to new highs.
NSE:LUPINShort
by Shivkumar600
3
LongThe market has recently experienced a strong rally, successfully completing a W pattern, signaling a bullish reversal. However, given the recent momentum, it is likely that we could see some pullbacks in the near term as the market consolidates. Additionally, the Nifty has shown signs of weakness which could contribute to further corrections. Once a stable bottom is established after this pullback, it would present an ideal opportunity to build long positions. With the broader bullish trend intact and the W pattern indicating a potential continuation, targeting 3800 could be a realistic goal for the next phase of the rally. This target aligns with the measured move from the W pattern, and if the market resumes its upward trajectory, reaching 3800 would seem plausible.
NSE:LUPINLong
by Shivkumar600
LUPIN : Making or Breaking?1. Key Analysis and Levels Wave C Completion Zone (₹1946-1982): The price has reached a potential corrective Wave C termination area, which often acts as a demand zone where buyers re-enter. This zone is a high-probability reversal region based on Elliott Wave principles. Stop Loss Level (₹1924): Positioned below the Wave C correction zone to manage risk in case of further downside. Protects against potential failure of the demand zone. First Target Zone (₹2245-2277): Represents the extended retracement of Wave B and serves as a logical resistance zone for profit booking. Change of Character (CHoCH): A CHoCH signal (change from lower lows to higher highs) could confirm the start of a new bullish wave. 2. Trade Setup A. Long Trade Setup: Why Long? The price has reached a critical demand zone (₹1946-1982) with potential for reversal. The CHoCH zone suggests a possible trend change to bullish. Entry: Around ₹1980-2000, upon observing bullish price action (e.g., hammer candlestick, engulfing patterns). Stop Loss: ₹1924, ensuring minimal risk if the correction extends. Targets: ₹2245-2277: Key resistance zone at the extended retracement of Wave B. Trailing stops can be used for further upside beyond ₹2277. B. Short Trade Setup (If Demand Zone Fails): Why Short? A strong breakdown below ₹1924 could indicate the demand zone has failed, leading to continuation of the downtrend. Entry: Below ₹1924 after confirmation of breakdown with volume. Targets: ₹1850: Immediate support from prior structure. ₹1720-1750: Deeper demand zone. Stop Loss: ₹1970 to avoid being caught in a false breakdown. 3. Explanation of Analysis Wave C Completion: The corrective Wave C often concludes near key Fibonacci retracement levels, aligning with ₹1946-1982 here. This zone has historical relevance as a demand area. CHoCH Confirmation: A breakout and higher high beyond the consolidation range would validate bullish sentiment. Risk-Reward Dynamics: Well-defined stop loss and target zones ensure favorable risk-to-reward setups for both long and short trades. 4. Confirmation Signals For Long Entry: Price stability and bullish reversal signals (e.g., RSI divergence, bullish engulfing candles) in the ₹1946-1982 zone. A confirmed breakout above ₹2020 would further validate the trend reversal. For Short Entry: A decisive close below ₹1924 with high volume and bearish momentum. 5. Risk Management Limit risk to 1-2% of your trading capital per trade. Use scaling techniques to lock partial profits at the first target zone, trailing stop losses for additional gains. Why This Plan Works This trading strategy combines Elliott Wave analysis, demand-supply dynamics, and structured price levels to anticipate a potential bullish reversal. It also incorporates a contingency plan for a bearish breakdown, ensuring preparedness for all market scenarios.
NSE:LUPINLong
by LiveTradingBox
Lupin Ltp technical Analysis with IndicatorsLupin Ltp technical Analysis with Indicators Technical Indicators Overview 1. Moving Averages: Trend: Medium- and long-term moving averages support a Buy signal, indicating that the stock is in a sustained bullish phase. The price is likely trading above critical moving averages (e.g., 50-day and 200-day), adding further confirmation to the uptrend bias. 2. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Current Status: RSI is in a neutral to slightly overbought zone. Interpretation: This shows sustained bullish momentum without significant risk of immediate overbought conditions, aligning well with the potential for an upward breakout from the flag pattern. 3. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Current Status: The bullish crossover suggests positive momentum. Interpretation: MACD supports the case for a continuation of the uptrend, complementing the flag pattern and moving averages. Integrated Analysis The flag pattern's breakout potential and indicators align well to suggest an upward continuation if key resistance levels are breached. The moving averages and MACD provide medium- to long-term confirmation of bullish momentum. The RSI ensures there's room for further upside without entering extreme overbought territory, reducing the risk of an immediate reversal. Strategy Refinement 1. Bullish Trade Setup: Entry: Above INR 2,150 (flag/channel breakout). Indicators Confirmation: Ensure the price holds above moving averages. MACD should maintain a bullish crossover. RSI stays below 70 after breakout. Targets: INR 2,300 (short-term), INR 2,800–2,900 (flag breakout projection). Stop Loss: Below INR 2,050. 2. Bearish Contingency Plan: Entry: Below INR 2,000 if indicators turn bearish (e.g., RSI dips to 40–30 or MACD flips bearish). Targets: INR 1,950, then INR 1,850 (channel breakdown targets).
NSE:LUPINLong
by pas_infinity
Lupin Long-Term Investment IdeaAs we can see on the month chart stock breakout it rounding bottom after a many years with very good volume and retesting. Bullish crossover on November 2023 Technical Analysis & indicators 🔍 Monthly Chart Rounding Bottom Educational content 📖 This stock analysis is designed for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Please carry out your own research or consult with a financial advisor before investing. Visit the website and check fundamental
NSE:LUPINLong
by SHEHBAZ_KHAN
Strategic Sell Setup for Lupin: Precision Trading with Defined RIn this Lupin sell trade setup , we are employing a systematic approach that ensures we trade based on a clear structure: Identifying Key Levels: The first step is to recognize a candle that has closed above the all-time high. This candle is crucial as it marks a potential exhaustion point or a possible reversal zone. Confirmation with Consecutive Candles: After spotting the all-time high candle, we need to confirm the market's bearish movement. The next two consecutive candles should close below each other, signaling that resistance is strong and the stock price is likely to move down. Establishing Resistance: The third key point is the confirmation of resistance. The downward pattern in candle closings suggests that selling pressure is increasing and resistance is solidifying. This signals a good opportunity to plan the trade. Executing the Trade: Finally, execute the sell trade based on the rules set in the strategy. This includes placing a stop-loss (27.65) and targeting a reward-to-risk ratio of at least 5:1. In this case, the target is 138.50 with an impressive reward-to-risk ratio of 5.01, ensuring the trade offers substantial profit potential compared to the risk. This setup not only provides a clear structure for entry but also incorporates a solid risk management plan, making it a robust strategy for traders looking to capitalize on short opportunities in Lupin.
NSE:LUPINShort
by rg739847
LUPIN LTD S/R Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/share) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA: If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It's important to remember that while these indicators can be useful, they are not foolproof. Always consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:LUPIN
by zenthosh