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Nifty50: Bearish Momentum Slowing – Signs of a Possible ReversalThe Nifty 50 index has been in a strong bearish trend, forming consecutive lower highs and lower lows on the 5-minute timeframe. However, recent price action suggests that selling pressure might be exhausting, with signs of a potential reversal emerging in the discount zone. While the broader trend remains bearish, there are early indications that buyers may attempt to regain control. A key observation is the presence of a weak low near the current price level. This could indicate that liquidity has been grabbed, setting the stage for a possible reversal. Additionally, multiple change-of-character (CHoCH) formations are appearing, which often signal a shift in market structure. While these signals alone do not confirm a bullish reversal, they suggest that the downtrend is losing strength. Price is currently positioned within the discount zone, an area where institutional buying interest typically increases. A key area of interest has formed near 22,100 – 22,070, where demand could emerge. If buyers manage to push the price above 22,200 and sustain it, this could indicate an initial attempt at reversal. Further confirmation would be required above 22,250 – 22,300, where a stronger shift in momentum could lead to a move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 22,385. If this level is reclaimed, a bullish push toward the 22,500 – 22,600 resistance zone could follow. On the other hand, the risk of bearish continuation remains if price fails to hold above 22,100 and breaks below 22,070. This scenario would likely lead to further downside, with potential targets at 22,000 or lower. If CHoCH formations do not come with strong volume confirmation, there is a possibility that the market is simply grabbing liquidity before another downward move. From a trading perspective, an aggressive long entry could be considered if the price confirms a CHoCH above 22,200, with potential targets around 22,300 – 22,385. A more conservative approach would be to wait for a breakout above 22,385, confirming a stronger shift before targeting the 22,500+ zone. However, if price breaks below 22,100, it would indicate a bearish continuation, and short positions could be considered toward 22,000 – 21,950. The market is showing early signs of a potential reversal, but confirmation is crucial before committing to a bullish outlook. If buyers step in above key levels, a move toward equilibrium and premium zones may follow. However, if price fails to sustain above the key demand zone, selling pressure could resume. Traders should carefully watch for confirmations before positioning themselves for either direction.
NSE:NIFTY
by ginfoguy
1
The Billionaire Trader & His Unlikely MentorWhen we think of legendary traders, Paul Tudor Jones stands out as one of the most successful billionaires in the financial world. But what many traders don’t realize is that behind his extraordinary success, there’s a powerful influence—Tony Robbins. Yes, the world-renowned life coach played a crucial role in shaping Jones’ mindset, ultimately helping him navigate markets and life with unparalleled confidence. The Turning Point: Paul Tudor Jones Meets Tony Robbins Paul Tudor Jones is best known for predicting the 1987 stock market crash and making a 200% return during the crisis. However, what truly set him apart from other traders wasn’t just his ability to read the markets—it was his mental game. Jones has openly credited Tony Robbins for helping him gain a psychological edge. In the late 1980s, when Jones was already a successful trader but searching for deeper fulfillment and consistency, he sought Robbins’ mentorship. Robbins, known for his work in peak performance and psychology, introduced Jones to strategies that reshaped his thinking and emotional resilience. The Mindset Shift That Changed Everything So, what did Robbins teach Jones that made such a massive impact? 1. The Power of State Control Robbins emphasizes that emotions drive decision-making. He taught Jones to manage his emotional state, ensuring that fear, greed, and hesitation didn’t cloud his judgment. This allowed Jones to make high-stakes trading decisions with confidence. 2. Priming and Visualization One of Robbins’ core techniques is priming—training the mind to focus on success. Jones incorporated this by visualizing successful trades and reinforcing positive beliefs about his abilities. This mental conditioning helped him stay composed even in turbulent markets. 3. Wealth Psychology Many traders fail because of limiting beliefs about money. Robbins helped Jones develop an abundance mindset, reinforcing that wealth creation is a game of psychology as much as it is about strategy. 4. The Importance of Giving Back Robbins’ influence extended beyond trading. Jones became one of the biggest philanthropists in the financial world, believing that giving back creates a deeper sense of fulfillment and success. His Robin Hood Foundation has donated billions to fight poverty, something Robbins strongly advocates for in his teachings. The Result: A Billionaire Trader with Unshakable Confidence While Paul Tudor Jones had the technical skills of a master trader, Robbins’ mentorship gave him the mental and emotional fortitude to sustain long-term success. His ability to stay focused, disciplined, and resilient in volatile markets is a testament to the power of psychology in trading. Key Takeaways for Traders - Mindset is everything: The best trading strategies won’t work if your emotions control you. - Daily mental conditioning matters: Visualization, priming, and self-belief can dramatically improve trading results. - Success is holistic: Wealth is not just about money—it’s about impact, discipline, and personal growth. Paul Tudor Jones’ story proves that trading isn’t just about charts and numbers—it’s about mastering your own psychology. And thanks to Tony Robbins, he became not just a billionaire, but an icon of both financial success and mental resilience.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
2
NIfty in reversal zone ??Here’s my analysis based on the provided chart: Market Trend & Structure** 1. **Nifty 50 Price Action:** - The index is in a **corrective phase**, as seen from the recent decline. - The price is currently near the lower trendline of the **channel**, indicating potential **support**. - A breakdown below this channel could lead to further downside moves. 2. **Fibonacci & Trend Channels:** - The Fibonacci extension levels show a **retracement phase** within a long-term bullish trend. - The price is approaching a **critical zone near the 2.382 level**, which could act as **support**. This is expected on 3rd - 6th March. Indicators & Signals** 1. **Sell & Buy Signals:** - Multiple **Sell signals** appeared at market peaks, followed by a decline. - Some **Buy signals** are appearing, indicating a potential reversal zone. 2. **Delta Candles & Combined CALL & PUT Candles:** - The **Delta Candles (Call - Put)** show declining values, indicating bearish sentiment. - The **Combined CALL & PUT Candles (Subtract Method)** also show a decreasing trend. 3. **Reversal Probability (23.1%)** - The probability of a trend reversal is relatively **low**, meaning the downtrend could still continue. 4. **Trend Meter & Volume Analysis:** - The volume is increasing during the downtrend, which suggests **strong selling pressure**. - The **Trend Meter** shows more **red** than green, indicating **bearish momentum**. Key Takeaways: - **Bullish Scenario (Reversal Expected)** between 3rd- 6th March. - If the price holds near the **trendline support**, & also the anchored VWAP we might see a **bounce**. - Confirmation would come from a **green trend meter** and increasing **buy signals**. - Look for a move **above 22,627** for further upside. - **Bearish Scenario (Further Decline)** - If the price **breaks below the trendline**, the **downtrend will continue**. - A break below **21,976 - 21,973** could trigger more selling.
NSE:NIFTY
by PSPILLAI
4
#nifty50 Bhalu bhaiya maan jaao :)Nifty ended the week at 22,124, down 670 points from the previous week's close, with a high of 22,668 and a low of 22,104. As I highlighted last week, the formation of a gravestone doji was a bearish signal, indicating the market was under the influence of selling pressure—and we’ve now witnessed the impact of that pattern. Currently, Nifty is testing the critical support at the WEMA100 level, which could trigger a bounce. However, any rally should be seen as an opportunity to enter fresh short positions. As mentioned last week, if Nifty closed below the 22,400 level on the monthly chart, we were likely to see further correction, and that’s exactly what transpired. While it may sound negative, I anticipate the index heading toward the 19,500 mark . For long-term investors, there’s no need for concern. This pullback could offer a prime opportunity to buy fundamentally strong stocks at attractive prices. Traders, on the other hand, should focus on a “sell on rise” strategy instead of attempting to pick a bottom and risking substantial losses. Turning to the S&P 500, as I pointed out last week, the bearish M-pattern was in play. From the recent high of 6043, we’ve seen a 3.5% correction. On the weekly chart, the index has formed a long-legged candle, signaling that demand is emerging from lower levels. For the past four months, the S&P 500 has struggled to break through the significant resistance at 6000, failing to close above it on a monthly basis. A decisive monthly close above 6000 could open the door for the index to reach higher levels, potentially targeting 6225, 6376, 6454, and 6568. In conclusion, the market remains under pressure, with Nifty at a key support level and the S&P 500 facing resistance. Investors should remain focused on long-term opportunities, while traders should be cautious and adopt a disciplined approach to navigating the current market volatility. Stay strategic, stay patient, and let the market unfold.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ssudhirsharma11
Did the Nifty 50 go bear? to 10k target?Bearish case - If Trumps tariffs hit India hardest, he wants America great again and the biggest competitor is India with young intelligent cheap labour force - 39% tariffs I heard maybe incorrect but its big - India has lead the way down - 2008/10 bear projected from this top fits to 61.8 fall to approx 10k big round number - fast scenario to reach target gives us summer 2025 to trend line off lows dotted - Some what slower target give Jan 2026 albeit only a fall to the long term main channel trend line The time is right for a 4th turning, which suggests the bear will be a 50-61.8 fall ilo smaller one. Using fib projections, the recent ATH gave an inflection point exactly at the top if it is the top This could be ideal time to go short see my Nikki225 write up on the same basis for more detail - There are no bears left - Retail knows its a bubble but they still stay in - There is record leverage and nobody is scared but we have Trillions of debt to be rolled this year - Boomers are retiring and getting out of the game
NSE:NIFTYShort
by William_Playfair
Nifty 50 Index chart using Elliott Wave Theory 15 min chart Observations: Downtrend in Progress: The chart shows a strong downtrend, with a steep decline followed by a small retracement. Wave Structure: The large drop could be Wave 3 (impulsive). The current minor pullback may be Wave 4 (corrective). If this is true, a Wave 5 downward move might follow. Expected Next Move: If the correction (Wave 4) is not complete: A bit more upward retracement could occur before the final Wave 5 drop. If Wave 4 is complete: The market could enter Wave 5, leading to another leg down. Confirmation: A break below recent lows confirms Wave 5 down. A strong bounce above 22,186–22,240 could mean the downtrend is weakening.
NSE:NIFTY
by AITraderIndia
NIFTY S/R for 3/3/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh