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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty's Strong Surge: What's Next for the Market? This week, Nifty surged to 23,350, an impressive 950-point rally from last week’s close. The index hit a high of 23,402 and a low of 22,353. As I highlighted last week, I expected Nifty to trade within a narrow range of 22,850 – 21,950. However, Nifty broke out of this range, shattering the upper limit, and the resulting short covering led to a strong bullish close. Next Week: A Critical Turning Point Looking ahead, next week is going to be crucial. Despite the strong move, Nifty is still in a bearish phase on both the weekly and monthly time frames. However, if Nifty manages to retrace slightly to 23,000 and sustain above the 22,900 – 23,000 range, we could see the bulls taking control, pushing the market up toward 23,800/23,850. On the other hand, if Nifty falls below 22,800, it would signal a breakout failure, which would be bad news for the bulls. In that case, Nifty could potentially drop to 22,000. March-End Volatility: Be Ready for Both Sides At the end of March, traders typically start booking their losses to offset gains for the financial year, creating increased volatility. This makes it an exciting time for directional traders, as we could see sharp movements in both directions. For me, as long as the monthly and weekly charts remain bearish, I am cautious and not ready to turn bullish just yet. However, there are some sectors showing relative strength, and these could offer trading opportunities: Nifty Energy Nifty Financial Services Nifty Metal Nifty Public Sector Enterprises (PSE) Keep an eye on stocks from these sectors, as they are currently outperforming others. S&P 500: Mixed Signals On the global front, the S&P 500 closed this week at 5,667, barely 30 points above last week’s close. The index has failed to sustain above the DEMA200 level at 5,705, signaling that the bulls are struggling to maintain momentum. A consecutive daily close above this level would help restore confidence among the bulls, potentially targeting 5,850. However, if S&P 500 drops below 5,600, we could see a faster sell-off, with the recent low of 5,500 likely to come into play. It’s going to be a tense week as we await to see whether the bulls or the bears take control. In Summary: Prepare for Volatility Next week promises to be an exciting week for traders, as both domestic and global markets face critical levels. Directional traders should remain flexible, prepared for sharp moves in both directions. Focus on key sectors showing strength and stay vigilant for any breakout or breakdown in the Nifty and S&P 500.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
NIFTY:LookS Bullish for 24K TGTNIFTY :Had a wonderful run this week and in the process successfully crossed all its critical Moving averages viz 20DEMA,50DEMA ,100 DEMA. Nifty gave a close very nearer to its 200DEMA falling at 23397 and is its immediate weaker reistance. NIFTY also formed Triple bottom pattern in daily chart and it suggests that ,NIFTY holding above 23400 its likely to test 23800-24000.For me any reasonable dip is a buy for 23800+Target,those holding may trail their SL (For educational purpose only)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by CSB68
1
Solid Comeback by Nifty on Weekly Chart. 1 hurdle remaining. Nifty made a solid comeback gaining 4.26% this week. One major hurdle remaining which is 23403. If Nifty can close above this level the next resistances will be at 23809, 24030, 24215, 24443, 24667 and 24873 before Nifty can regain 25K levels. The supports for Nifty on the lower side if it is not able to cross the major hurdle at 23403 will be 23109, 22789, 22334 and 21974. As of now the Bulls have done well turning the shadow of the candle positive for the next week. However there is also a small possibility of 23403 becoming Achilles heel for the rampant Bulls. Weekly RSI is at 48.89 which means it has entered the bullish territory. MACD or the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence has not fully moved into the Bullish territory but it has certainly taken the turn towards the convergence. So overall it was a great week for bulls after a long time but one final hurdle of the Bear 'Chakravyuh' remains to be conquered. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
SMART MONEY FOOTPRINT ON NIFTY CHART, REVERSAL SIGN APPEAR ?Today on 21/03/2025 with upward rally, on hourly chart I found similarity or smart money footprint (sign of weakness) at the time of closing bell same as (sign of strength) on 28 February 2025. what was that? Let's try to Dig.... previous days when market was forming lower low, that was downtrend look at the time on 28 February 2025 that was 14.15 pm on hourly chart an ultrahigh volume rejection candle appear which volume was around164 M. thereafter short seller trapped to see big red candle and market move toward upward. : : Today on 21/03/2025 also market gave a rejection candle on hourly chart with around 164 M ultrahigh volume Exact at 14:15 Pm so conclusion is that market may give correction after trapping Buyers or it may go downtrend again if fundamental don't support. what is similarity? : Same Time 14:15 : Same Volume : same Candle body Size : appear after strong moment REVERSAL INDICATION: Nifty may Facing resistance of downtrend channel on Daily Chart. Away from 50 EMA on hourly chart. Smart money Ultra High volume on Rejection candle indicating selling zone there : SO, INVESTOR NO NEED TO TRAP TO JUST SEE NEXT BIG GREEN CANDLE
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by rahul25
NIFTY Technical Analysis – March 21, 2025Current Market Structure: NIFTY is currently positioned at the upper boundary of a parallel channel. A reversal from this point could indicate a downward movement within the channel. The next significant support is around 21,500 levels, marking the first potential stop (SOTP). If bearish momentum continues, the lower parallel channel support is at 20,500. Trend Analysis: The market appears to be forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a descending channel. Any break below 21,500 may lead to further downside pressure towards 20,500. A break above the upper channel could invalidate the bearish scenario and signal further upside. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 23,500 – 23,800 (Upper channel boundary) Support 1: 21,500 (Intermediate support) Support 2: 20,500 (Major channel support) Trading Strategy: Bearish Scenario: If NIFTY starts declining from the current level. Bullish Scenario: If NIFTY breaks and sustains above the upper trendline, Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by shiva560060
Nifty Review & Analysis - Daily Nifty opened Gap up again following Global Cues and saw surge throughout the day making a high of 23216 and closing at 23190 +1.25%. Price Action : - Bullish Nifty closed 1.25% in positive. Consequtive 4 days green candle and closing above 10,20,50 dEMA and forming big weekly green candle breaking out above Trend line connecting Life thigh and previous highs. Candle Pattern: Formed a Big Green candle with a small wick on upside. Daily EMA Positioning: 10dEMA 22713 20dEMA 22710 50dEMA 22997 200dEMA 23397 EMA Trend: Closed above 10dEma ,20dEma & 50DEMA, Daily MA suggests Buy Hourly suggests Strong Buy 15mins Suggests Strong Buy The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index is above 60 now at 63 Momentum gaining towards Upside Support/Resistance Levels: Major Support 23000 Immediate Support 22150 Immediate Resistance 22250 Major Resistance 23500 Trend: Short Term Trend is Bullish Daily Options Activity: Highest CE OI was at 23500 with highest addition at 23400 and 23500- Resistanc Highest PE OI was at 23000, highest Put addition seen at 23000 followed by 23200 - support PCR is 1.1 indicating Bullishness Daily Futures Activity FII + Pro F&O Data: FII Long/Short ratio at 30%/70% indicating slowly addition of Longs by FIIs - Bullish Change in Futures OI: FII Future positions saw little addition in longs +9K with -10K change in shorts -Bullish Nifty Futures price was higher by 0.9% 3.5 %OI decreasing indicating weakness is current upmove Observation: Nifty looks strong above 23000 forming daily positive green candles and weekly huge green candle closing above 10,20,50dEMA and FII long addition Overall Trend: Sentiment turning Positive Outlook for Next Session: Nifty looks strong around 23200, might consolidate abobe 23000 before another upmove Approach & Strategy: Long with 22850 as SL in April contract My Trades & Positions: Long in 23200CE April
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Sandeep_CA
NIFTY Trading Levels and Plan for 21-Mar-2025📅 NIFTY Trading Plan – 21-Mar-2025 📍 Reference Price: 23,190 (Close on 20-Mar-2025) 📊 Chart Structure: Price is nearing exhaustion at highs, so we need to observe for either continuation or reversal from resistance zones. 📌 Opening Scenario 1: GAP-UP Opening (100+ Points) 🟢 Expected Open Zone: 23,270 – 23,330 👉 If Nifty opens with a strong gap-up above 23,270: Watch for price action near 23,345 , marked as the last strong intraday resistance . If you see rejection (like wick rejections or bearish engulfing on 5m/15m), consider initiating short positions with a stop loss above 23,370. On clean breakout and sustained move above 23,345, target the Profit Booking Zone: 23,407–23,445+ . Be cautious chasing longs on a gap-up unless price consolidates and confirms breakout. 🎯 Key Tip: Don't short just because it's a gap-up. Let the candle give confirmation through rejection patterns. 📌 Opening Scenario 2: FLAT Opening 🟠 Expected Open Zone: 23,150 – 23,190 👉 In case of flat to mild gap open: Watch 23,185 as the immediate Opening Resistance / Support . If price sustains above 23,185 with strength, you can look for a long entry targeting 23,345 and beyond. However, if price struggles and fails to cross 23,185 with rejection patterns, short toward 23,068 and 22,994. Breakdown below 23,068 may accelerate profit booking till the lower zone of 22,994–22,882. 🎯 Key Tip: The first 15–30 mins are crucial. Avoid rushing into trades. Use the breakout-retest model for safer entries. 📌 Opening Scenario 3: GAP-DOWN Opening (100+ Points) 🔻 Expected Open Zone: 23,050 – 22,950 👉 If Nifty opens with a significant gap-down: Observe price action near Opening Support Zone: 23,068 – 22,994 . If bulls defend this zone with strong reversal patterns (hammer, bullish engulfing), it could be a dip-buying opportunity. Below 22,994, next major support lies at 22,882 . Breakdown of this zone could trigger sharp fall. Avoid shorting after a gap-down unless 22,882 breaks convincingly. 🎯 Key Tip: Never knife-catch a falling market. Let the base build before entering reversal trades. 🛡 Risk Management Tips for Options Traders 🧠 Use defined risk trades: Prefer vertical spreads (bull call/bear put) instead of naked options. Avoid buying OTM options post 11:00 AM unless momentum is strong. Always risk less than 2% of your capital per trade. Trail your stop loss once the trade moves in favor to protect capital. Don't overtrade – quality setups > quantity. ✅ Summary & Conclusion: 📍 Nifty is trading near crucial resistance levels. 📍 23,345 remains the make-or-break zone for bulls. 📍 Support zones: 23,068 → 22,994 → 22,882 📍 React to price action at key zones rather than predicting it. 📍 Let the first 15–30 minutes settle before jumping into trades for optimal RR setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This trading plan is shared for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades based on this plan. Risk wisely and trade with discipline. 🙏
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox