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NIFTY trade ideas

NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Intro: On the previous day, Nifty displayed a upward movement from the provided levels in yesterdays trading plan and minor fluctuations within key levels. The chart illustrates potential sideways movement in yellow , an expected bullish trend in green , and a bearish trend in red . For today's trading, we will observe various opening scenarios and outline strategies accordingly. Trading Plan for 29-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above) If Nifty opens with a 100+ points gap up, it is likely to face resistance near the 24,453 - 24,563 range, which is marked as the Opening Resistance / No Trade Zone . Observe price action here. If Nifty sustains above 24,563 , it may target the Profit Booking Zone around 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to break above the resistance, expect a potential retracement towards the Opening Support at 24,282 . – In case of strong selling pressure, Nifty could pull back further, aiming toward 24,162 as a potential support. Flat Opening (within 50 points of the previous close) With a flat opening, focus on the initial 30 minutes to gauge market sentiment. If prices sustain above the 24,453 level, we may see a push toward 24,563 . A breakout above 24,563 will likely lead to a bullish trend targeting Profit Booking Zone at 24,715 - 24,759 . However, if it fails to sustain above the No Trade Zone , expect sideways movement or a dip toward 24,282 . – Any move below 24,282 could potentially extend towards 24,162 , testing the Last Intraday Support level. Gap Down Opening (100+ points below) In a gap-down opening, monitor the 24,282 level as the immediate support. If it holds, Nifty may attempt to retest the Opening Resistance Zone around 24,453 . A breakout above this level could bring sideways or bullish momentum up to 24,563 . Failure to reclaim 24,282 may lead to further downside pressure, potentially pulling prices to the Last Intraday Support at 24,162 . – Watch for price stability around 24,162 if it is reached, as this may serve as a potential reversal point. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading Consider setting a defined stop-loss for each options position based on volatility levels; hourly candle closes can be useful for managing intraday risk. Avoid over-leveraging. In options trading, position sizing should reflect the inherent risk and potential for quick price changes. Utilize trailing stops to lock in profits if Nifty moves favorably. This is particularly effective in highly volatile sessions. Summary and Conclusion Today, focus on the key zones: 24,453 - 24,563 as resistance and 24,282 as support. A break above or below these levels could set the day's trend. Use a balanced approach, aligning with the prevailing sentiment indicated by the chart structure. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is based on personal views and technical parameters. Please conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 28-Oct-2024Nifty Trading Plan for 28-Oct-2024 **Previous Day Recap**: Nifty experienced volatility yesterday, with a downward bias. Major support levels held around the **24080-24100** mark, indicating potential buying interest. However, resistance levels remain active, with **24,276** serving as a pivot zone. For today, trends are illustrated as follows: - **Yellow** trend signifies a sideways market. - **Green** trend indicates a bullish outlook. - **Red** trend reflects a bearish sentiment. Opening Scenarios for 28-Oct-2024 Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more) If Nifty opens with a gap up of 100+ points: - Immediate resistance can be seen at **24,276**. A break above this may push the index towards the **24,392** level, which acts as the Last Resistance for Intraday . - Consider booking profits if Nifty approaches the **24,531 - 24,589** zone (highlighted as Profit Booking Zone ) as sellers might attempt to re-enter. - If resistance at **24,276** holds and shows weakness, expect a potential pullback towards **24,143** for support. Flat Opening In case of a flat opening near **24,210**: - Initial support is at **24,191**, followed by a stronger base around **24,143**. - If Nifty moves up from these levels, the next resistance can be expected at **24,276**. Watch closely for consolidation in this area, as a breakout could trigger a rally toward **24,392**. - A failure to hold support at **24,143** could signal a downtrend, targeting **23,998** and below. Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more) For a gap down opening of -100 points or more: - Initial support will likely emerge around **23,998**. If this holds, a bounce is expected toward **24,143**. - If **23,998** breaks, the next significant support level sits at **23,740**, marked as the Possible Bottom Zone for Current Trend . This is a critical level; a breach could lead to a deeper correction towards **23,590**. - A recovery from this lower level may indicate reversal buying, ideal for intraday long positions up to **24,086**. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: - Always define your stop-loss levels based on the nearest support/resistance zones to manage risk effectively. - Avoid aggressive positions in high-volatility scenarios like gap openings. Start small and scale up if the trend confirms. - Be cautious of time decay when trading options, especially if the price is near critical support or resistance zones. - Consider hedging positions if holding overnight, given the volatility in global markets. Summary and Conclusion For 28th October 2024, key zones to watch are **24,276** on the upside and **23,998** on the downside. A breakout or breakdown from these levels could determine the day’s trend. Remember that the market may consolidate before choosing a direction, and it’s wise to wait for confirmation at these levels before entering trades. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Nifty is stuck in a RangeAlthough BN showing Bullishness yesterday, Nifty is still stuck in a range. While people might think that some kind of triple bottom is formed, I will look to play it on a weekly basis. For this week's expiry, my view is that Nifty is stuck in the range between 24,000 on the downside and 24,800 on the upside. I took straddle position yesterday afternoon and will look to carry it forward till expiry looking to pocket some premiums. Sold 07th Nov 23800 PE & 07th Nov 24850 CE Other than this, if I see the scope of any intraday action, then I might take that as well. PS - Not a recommendation. It is advisable to do due diligence before taking trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by Sky_Tracer
U shape recovery on cards for Nifty. There is a chance of U shape recovery on Nifty if it is able to beat Mother and father line resistance. Today we saw a swift recovery by Nifty after making a low of 24140. Nifty closed at 24466. That was a recovery of 326 points which is quite remarkable. The only negative point was the close which is 2 points below the Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA at 24468. With this close if we can get an opening above Mother line tomorrow and if Nifty sustains above it we can see further swift recovery till Father line of 200 Hours EMA which is at 24887 with a trend line resistance at 24613. Nifty Resistances remain at: 24468 (Strong Mother Line Resistance) , 24613(Strong Trend Line Resistance), 24887 (strong Father Line resistance), 24917 and 25204. Above 25204 Bulls can come back aggressively. Nifty Supports Remain at: 24349, 24173 and 24073. Below 24073 Bears can get very aggressive in dragging the market downwards. To know more about Mother, Father and Small child theory and it's correlation to stock price and 50 and 200 days EMA read my book. The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty 50 Index - Head and Shoulders Pattern with Fibonacci ** Introduction :** The Nifty 50 Index on the NSE has shown a clear head and shoulders pattern on the 1-day time frame, followed by Fibonacci retracement levels drawn on the 4-hour time frame. This combination of technical analysis tools provides valuable insights for traders looking to predict potential price movements. ** Head and Shoulders Pattern: ** The head and shoulders pattern is a reliable indicator of a potential trend reversal. In this case, the pattern suggests a bearish reversal: - **Left Shoulder:** The initial peak before the highest peak (head). - **Head:** The highest peak in the pattern. - **Right Shoulder:** The lower peak after the highest peak (head). The neckline, drawn at the lowest point between the shoulders, acts as a critical support level. A confirmed breakdown below this neckline indicates a strong sell signal. ** Fibonacci Retracement Levels: ** Fibonacci retracement levels help identify potential support and resistance levels where the price might react: - **0.00% at approximately 26,200.00 INR** - **23.60% at approximately 25,600.00 INR** - **38.20% at approximately 25,400.00 INR** - **50.00% at approximately 25,000.00 INR** - **61.80% at approximately 24,600.00 INR** - **78.60% at approximately 24,200.00 INR** - **100.00% at approximately 23,800.00 INR** ** Price Prediction:* * Given the head and shoulders pattern, the Nifty 50 Index is likely to experience a downward trend if the price breaks below the neckline. The Fibonacci retracement levels provide additional support levels where the price might stall or reverse. Traders should watch for key levels such as 25,000.00 INR and 24,600.00 INR. ** Conclusion :** Combining the head and shoulders pattern with Fibonacci retracement levels offers a comprehensive approach to predicting price movements in the Nifty 50 Index. Traders can use these tools to make informed decisions and manage their trades effectively. Proper risk management and position sizing are essential to maximize profits and minimize losses.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by stocktechbot
Technical bounce in Nifty today, recovery can be a long processToday what we saw can be called as technical recovery by Nifty in the process of bottom formation. Actual recovery can still be a long process. Bulls can be back inn business only if we get a closing above mother line of 50 days EMA that is at 24898. 24898 is a critical level because mid channel resistance for the current parallel channel as well as Mother line. Whether Nifty can weather the storm and move ahead is only a question which time will answer in the short term. Long term investors can see current situation as partial entry zone for large and mid-caps which have given a good result this quarter or are giving a good result. Supports for Nifty remain at: 23865, 23684, 23464 (Father line Strong support 200 days EMA) and 23626 (Strong Parallel Channel Bottom Support). Resistances for Nifty Remain at: 24492 (Today's high and strong Trend line resistance), 24679, 24898 (Strong Mid-channel and Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA), 25221 and 25623. Strong momentum and positive action has potential to take Nifty back to 26K+ levels. As on date even after strong resilience shown by Nifty FIIs are still on the selling side as they were net sellers of Equity worth Rs.3228 Crores. DIIs and Retail investors have been on the buying side at every dip. This is what is not allowing the Nifty to fall currently beyond 200 days EMA. Let us see who given in first. Very interesting tussle going on between FIIs and DIIs + Retail investors combination. Shadow of the candle for tomorrow is neutral to slightly positive but it is hanging by a thin thread. (Approach for long term should be cautious but positive. Approach for short term is still very cautious as we are not out of deep waters).
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Nifty 50 views as the ended 28/10/2024By the last Friday nifty has achieved a target reaching the monthly support zone. Positionally nifty weekly significant zone is far to near to be breached, in coming week. Naturally Nifty 50 attempted it with due deligence but in the end failed to achieve it clean. Bank Nifty the major component of Nifty 50, has all together a different structure monthly and weekly also. Also, it has a pending target of reaching an important monthly support. Conclusion: There were no surprises in both the indices as such, every thing was normal and within understanding levels.
NSE:NIFTY
by AMGO_Markets
NIFTY50.....Note the open targets!Hello traders, The hammer candle on Friday the 24th turned out to be a "failed" buy signal. The price touched the declining trend line on Monday's open and reversed (1 on our chart). In the following hours, the price fell below the support line and dropped to 24073.90 on Friday the 24th! A possible wave a of 2 has been established here. There is still another open target area. As I wrote on the 16th, 23893 is a price area to reach! This area is marked with the rectangle. It needs a break of the high at 25234 to give a fresh buy signal! The weekly total is also valid. The NIFTY50 has risen since the 18837 area without a major correction. Sooner or later one will come. The longer it takes, the steeper the correction will be! For short term trading, we focus on the possible levels on the downside as well as the upside. For now, it looks more corrective and in case of the upcoming election @US the market will move with more patience and caution. One note! A "fresh (new)" update does not invalidate the older updates. Note the timeframes within the update. Goals and possibilities are still valid and need to be eliminated, so I welcome and wish your comments and remarks. I may not be able to answer them "just in time", sometimes I forget! I apologize for that! But I am an "after work" trader and analyst. My family also needs some time. Thanks for your understanding! Have a great week ..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment if necessary. Trading based on this analysis is at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
Nifty 50 outlookEuphoria phase is completed in the Market Sentiment Cycle On 25th Oct. '24 Nifty RSI has closed below 30, we may see a bounce during this week or next. But this will only be a bull trap. Once 23,800 is taken out decisively on the down-side, then before the end of Dec. '24 we will see Nifty test 22,700-23,500. I'm still holding 30% cash from the stocks which I exited on 11th Oct. Only once Nifty tests 22,700-23,500 I will assess the situation to buy or keep holding cash. For me this is currently a "No Trade Zone".
NSE:NIFTY
by Imran_I_Ahmed
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 28-Oct-24 to 01-Nov-24 Nifty closed at 24192 (Last week 24854) and touched high & low of 25971-24197 RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down to the bottom. market Broke the key short term support at 24560 and went down. Last week Market was down as expected by more than 700 points but slightly recovered on last day of trading of the week similar to previous week. FII pulled out money and investing in China, Japan in Oct 2024. Indian Stock Valuation after Q2 results, Middle East tension are the reason for the fall. Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 4 months as nifty PE ( Currently 22.8) is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high and advised those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800. Fundamentally good stocks to be invested at these time. My Stock Pick will be provided in this week. Nifty 24854 Short term ( Short Term : Neutral) Nifty short term resistance 24450 & 25365 Support at 24000, 23885 Medium Term next target is 25750 ( if move up decisively above next target is 25370), 26268 ( all time high), 26968 Medium term Support 22800. Long Term : Nifty have a target of 27740, 28000 & 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 21900
NSE:NIFTY
by karthikss
NIFTY S/R for 11/11/24Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. 20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. RSI: RSI readings greater than the 70 level are overbought territory, and RSI readings lower than the 30 level are considered oversold territory. Combining RSI with Support and Resistance: Support Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find buying interest, preventing it from falling further. If RSI is showing an oversold condition (below 30) and the price is near or at a strong support level, it could be a good buy signal. Resistance Level: This is a price level where a stock tends to find selling interest, preventing it from rising further. If RSI is showing an overbought condition (above 70) and the price is near or at a strong resistance level, it could be a signal to sell or short the asset. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by zenthosh
Riding the Correction: Unlocking NIFTY’s Next Chapter!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. The recent upward movement & the following correction in the market have unfolded as anticipated. Over the past two months, my analysis has consistently pointed to an expected correction due to market overvaluation and distinct completion patterns. Technical Analysis Overview: There are three potential scenarios for the ongoing trend, ranked based on their likelihood of occurring. Scenario I: The move initiated from 20 MAR’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (16,828.35 – 26277.35) has spanned over 80 weeks (18M) and indicates a significant completion of wave patterns, suggesting an imminent correction. See the visual representation of the trend lines and corresponding fib retracement levels here: The correlation between static supports can be observed around 23,893.70 and 21,181.45. This correction is expected to be visible within a 3-month timeframe. Potential support levels include S – I: 24,893 ~ 24,753 ~ 24,430 levels, S – II: 24,050 ~24,000 levels and S – III: 23,683 levels. *These values are not actual but just levels The correction might extend to deeper levels (22,664 & 21,550) as the market progresses. Time resistances are anticipated on 09th OCT, 17th OCT, and 30th OCT for all probable scenarios. --------------- Scenario II: The move from 26 OCT’23 – 27 SEPT’24 (18,837.85 – 26,277.35) has completed mid-way and is expected to continue after this correction, potentially reaching unprecedented levels. Find the visual representation of this move with trend lines & fib retracements here: The range of this move is limited to the monthly timeframe, indicating the completion of 1 year from the start of this sub-trend. Potential support levels include, S – I: 24,525 ~ 24,378 levels, S – II: 23,900 ~ 23,893.70 levels and S – III: 23,450 levels. --------------- Scenario III: The move from 04 JUN’24 – 27 SEPT’24 (21,121.45 – 26,277.35) has almost completed its half journey and is facing a correction before extending its uptrend by a few more waves. While this scenario has the lowest probability compared to the others, it is essential to consider its potential impact on the current trend. The pictorial representation can be seen here: Further details are not added as the market actions till now does not validate this probability. --------------- Other Influential Factors: Geo-political tensions and concerns regarding escalation have historically preceded corrections prior to the US presidential elections, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment. Tensions in the Middle East have also contributed to the market plunge, albeit not solely responsible for it. Additionally, the FED's likely rate cuts have been influenced by the upcoming US elections, and SEBI's regulatory actions aim to curb over-optimism and maintain market neutrality. Important Dates to Remember: Mark your calendars for OCT 9th (RBI interest rate decision @ 10AM) and OCT 10th (US inflation reports). --------------- Final Verdict: While the scenarios are meticulously laid out, the selection of the valid scenario remains a work in progress. We are eagerly awaiting further cues from the market and will provide updates as they unfold. However, one thing remains certain – the current trend has reversed (at least for the mentioned time frames). Therefore, adopting a bearish stance could prove to be profitable. --------------- Strategy: Considering the current market conditions, adopting a bearish stance seems prudent, especially levels around 24,450 ~ 24,000 are to be tested. Keep a close watch on the market and stay informed for potential opportunities. Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must underscore that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is imperative for you to conduct your research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Fellow Traders, Countless hours of dedication and effort have gone into creating this valuable analytical resource. If you find it useful, I humbly ask for your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be made via this post, new post & through minds) . Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article, Your readership is greatly appreciated. Wishing you profitable and joyful trading!!!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
A Head & Shoulder Pattern on Nifty - Refer to my previous postIn Continuation to my last post on Nifty yesterday, i.e. 7th Nov 2024, we can clearly see the weakness in Nifty that is prevalent. A Head & Shoulders pattern is developing on the 4H chart. Clearly, the buyers aren't able to sustain momentum and this typically is a sign of overvaluation. While there may be sharp rallies to the upside, these will most likely get sold into. I have marked the levels on the chart. My Targets are mentioned in the earlier post. Short Target-1 on Swing basis - 23,550. Further this might also break and try for a retest and we could finally come down to 23,375 - 23,400 levels. Stay tuned and trade responsibly!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sky_Tracer