Review and plan for 27th February 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY trade ideas
Elliott Wave View: Bearish Sequence in Nifty Favors DownsideShort Term Elliott Wave View in Nifty shows an incomplete bearish sequence from 9.27.2024 high. Decline from there is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from 9.27.2024 high, wave ((A)) ended at 23263.15 on 11.21.2024 low and wave ((B)) rally ended at 24857.75 on 12.5.2024 high. The extreme target lower for wave ((C)) is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave ((A)). This area comes at 19964 – 21842. Wave ((C)) is currently in progress with subdivision as an impulse Elliott Wave.
Down from wave ((B)), wave (1) ended at 22786.9 and wave (2) rally ended at 23807.3 with internal subdivision as a zigzag. Up from wave (1), wave A ended at 23632.45 and wave B ended at 23222. Wave C higher ended at 23808.27 which completed wave (2) in higher degree. The Index has resumed lower in wave (3). Down from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 22798.35 and wave 2 ended at 23235.5. The Index resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 22725.45 and wave ((ii)) ended at 23049.95. Near term, while below 23808.27, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
NIFTY seems to turn BULLISHSince the post covid rally, the nifty has touched sky.
Despite of recent bearish movement,it seems that NIFTY is preparing for next boom.
As you can see since rally from 2020, Nifty has entered the 23 to 38% retracement only once ,and from there it took the grip.
Now, the same scenario can followed, because it will come close 23% retracement level second time.
Second, reason is the flag pattern being drawn by it in daily timeframe .
Third, it is showing the old wolf wave pattern,which is again the bullish sign.
Fourth, the RBI seems to ease the repo rate in near future.
Well this were the key points.Thank you.
Nifty50 Falling Wedge: Short-Term Bounce or Bull Trap?
Nifty50 is trading within a falling wedge pattern, typically a bullish reversal structure.
The daily candle has touched the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential bounce, and the RSI at 29 is deep in oversold territory.
While the index continues to respect the downward channel, a short-term bounce of at least 1% is likely to fill the recent gap and test 22,800.
However, a decisive breakout is uncertain, and this could turn into a bull trap rather than a sustained rally.
NIFTY EASY TO UNDERSTANDNIFTY Easy to understand analysis share with you when market go down to demand zone we will see buy from that level if market go to upside then we will see sell on that level those i shared in this chart.
Remember! The Market is a Device for Transferring Money From The Impatient To The patient.
NIfty forcastingnifty converting into 5 impulse wave formation which could result into nifty falling till 19000 levels. was long on nifty from 23300 levels, nifty turned bearish and instead of abc correction it formed into 5 impulse wave. now shorting it from 22600 levels. first target 21900 and second target 19000, after that a wave of correctional abc is expected where a base will be formed and monthly second wave will be completed.
NIFTY S/R for 25/2/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
20 EMA (Exponential Moving Average):
Above 20 EMA(50 EMA): If the stock price is above the 20 EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below 20 EMA: If the stock price is below the 20 EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 25/02/2025Slightly gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 22500 level then possible sharp downside of 150-200 points occurs in nifty. This downside rally can goes upto the 22300 level. Upside 22750 will act as a major resistance for today's session. Any upside rally can be reversal from this level.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 25.02.2025Monday’s session saw Nifty opening with a massive gap-down of over 185 points at 22,609.35, attempting a minor recovery to 22,668.05, but eventually slipping to a low of 22,518.80. It closed at 22,553.35, losing 242 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) are now negative, signaling weak market sentiment.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Support: 21,281.45 (Low of 4th June 2024)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 20,769.50 - 20,950
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (5m): 22,605.55 - 22,617.80
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 22,763.20 - 22,812.20
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,176.15 - 23,235.50
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,248.45 - 23,301.75
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 23,316.30 - 23,409.65
Outlook
With Nifty breaking and closing below the key 22,600 - 22,800 support zone, bulls are struggling to hold ground. This breakdown confirms a Lower High - Lower Low pattern, reinforcing a Sell-on-Rise strategy. Unless Nifty reclaims 22,800 decisively, expect further downside pressure.
Strong RECOVERY coming up anytime sooner !! As we can see NIFTY closed below the trendline. Despite the weak closing on daily basis, we can expect NIFTY to recover strongly on weekly candle which could be inside the trendline and structure. It could be a mere trap or liquidity grab or to attain the psychological level hence all signs direct towards potential REVERSAL in the market so plan your greater accordingly and one can start making new longs here.
MY Call sept 2024 SUPER CYCLE TOP Last sept I talked about The wave structure for India The world strongest Market and stated we would see a blowoff thru the monthly channel to END the bull market . We so far have had a Nice 5 down then a ABC up and now another 5 waves down And NO it is NOT an ABC decline .Reason The 4 wave low went thur the long term channel for a typical 4 wave which always forms a blow off thru the Top of that channel to END the long term Bull market. So so We should see a very choppy a ABC rally for a few weeks at most Before The REAL BOTTOM FALLING OUT . into OCT 10th week But That is NOT the Final low That comes OCT 11/oct 16th 2026 The CRASH LOW WORLDWIDE END of THE DEFLATION CYCLE .THERE IS NO WHERE TO HIDE OUTSIDE of the US $ Best of trades WAVETIMER
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 25-Feb-2025This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on February 25, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,784 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher.
If the price sustains above 22,784, it could target the resistance zone of 22,871–22,987. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,871–22,987, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,710–22,684 (opening resistance and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,987 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 23,000 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,784 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,871–22,987, aiming for 22,710–22,684. Place a stop-loss above 22,987 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points reflects bullish sentiment, but chasing the gap immediately can be risky due to volatility. Waiting for a retest of 22,784 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,871–22,987 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,684–22,710)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,684–22,710, it suggests a balanced market with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area where price action could consolidate or break out.
A breakout above 22,710 could drive prices toward 22,871–22,987, signaling bullish momentum.
A breakdown below 22,684 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support) or even 22,400 (key support level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,710 , targeting 22,871–22,987. Use a stop-loss below 22,684 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,684 , targeting 22,505–22,356 or 22,400. Set a stop-loss above 22,710 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening often results in consolidation, making it challenging to trade without confirmation. The 22,684–22,710 range is a no-trade zone unless a decisive breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to avoid fake moves and ensure higher probability trades.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 22,584 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,684), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness in the market.
Immediate support lies at 22,505–22,356 (opening support and last intraday support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,684–22,710 could occur.
If 22,505 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 22,240 (buyer’s support for a possible reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 22,505 , targeting a pullback to 22,684–22,710. Use a stop-loss below 22,356 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 22,505 , targeting 22,240. Place a stop-loss above 22,505 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points indicates panic or profit-taking, but prices can rebound if support levels hold. Waiting for confirmation near 22,505 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting opportunities. The 22,240 zone offers a potential reversal point if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,871 or 22,505) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,710 → Target: 22,871–22,987.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,684 → Target: 22,505–22,356 or 22,240.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,684–22,710 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on February 25, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIfty Projection For Upcoming Days 24.02.2025Nifty, or the **Nifty 50**, is the benchmark stock index of the **National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India**. It represents the **top 50 companies** across various sectors listed on the NSE, making it a key indicator of the Indian stock market's performance. Managed by **NSE Indices Ltd.**, Nifty is computed using the **free-float market capitalization-weighted method**, meaning companies with higher market value have a greater impact on the index. It includes companies from diverse sectors such as banking, IT, energy, and consumer goods, providing a comprehensive view of the Indian economy. Investors and traders closely track Nifty for market trends, investment decisions, and economic sentiment. Additionally, Nifty derivatives, including futures and options, are widely traded instruments for hedging and speculation in the stock market.
Nifty formed falling wedge on daily time frame - Towards 20,300On daily time frame, Nifty has falling wedge breakdown.
It has good support at 20,550 on weekly closing base.
Below 20,550 it will have following targets possible,
22,000 / 21,680 / 21,300 / 20,900 / 20,600 / 20,300
Technically 20,300 possible to fill gap on day time frame.
25 feb nifty50 important level & trading zone 99% working trad plan
For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
Gap up open 22618 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22670,22780
Gap up open 22618 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22462, 22418
Gap down open 22462 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22618, 22670
Gap down open 22462 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade 22416, 22328
More education following me
Nifty 50 Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Retracement LevelsNifty 50 Elliott Wave Analysis: Potential Retracement Levels
The wave count for Nifty 50 has been structured from the Covid-19 lows of 23rd March 2020. Since then, the index has undergone a well-defined Elliott Wave progression, forming distinct impulsive and corrective waves. Below is a breakdown of the wave structure and the potential retracement targets.
Wave Count Breakdown:
1. Intermediate Wave (1):
o Completed in October 2021 with a high of 18,604.45.
2. Corrective Wave (WXY) - Intermediate Wave (2):
o A corrective retracement followed, unfolding in a WXY pattern.
o The correction concluded on 13th June 2022, with a low of 15,183.40.
o The retracement was less than 38%, indicating a strong bullish phase.
3. Intermediate Wave (3):
o Nifty commenced its third wave, subdividing into a five-wave structure of a minor degree.
o This bullish wave extended significantly and peaked on 23rd September 2024, with a high of 26,277.35.
Retracement Expectations:
• Wave (3) exhibited an extended Wave 3, and according to the Elliott Wave principle, when Wave 3 is extended within a subordinate wave structure, a retracement typically occurs towards:
o The bottom of subordinate Wave 4 or
o 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
• Key levels to watch for potential retracement:
o 38.2% Fibonacci retracement: 22,039.45
o Wave 4 bottom (4th June lows): 21,281.45
If the retracement aligns with Elliott Wave rules, we may see a pullback toward these levels before the next bullish wave resumes.
Pls follow for such insightful ideas.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Market movements are subject to various factors, and past patterns do not guarantee future performance. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
________________________________________
With these insights, traders and investors can monitor Nifty 50's price action closely to determine whether the expected retracement unfolds as anticipated.
Nifty Review & Analysis - DailyPrice Action :
Nifty made another new low for the year down -1%
Technicals:
Nifty opened gap down and continued weakness below 22700 to close at 22550 forming a bearish candle below 5,10,20,50,100 & 200 DEMA
The momentum indicator, RSI - Relative Strength Index closed below 30 showing weakness
Support/Resistance
Major Support 22300
Immediate Support 22500
Immediate Resistance 22650
Major Resistance 22700, 22800, 23000
Trend:
Overall Trend is Bearish sideays
Options Data:
Highest CE OI was at 23000 with highest addition at 22600, 22700 & 22800 - Resistance
Highest PE OI was at 22500, highest Put writing seen at 22500, 22300 - No major support
PCR is 0.6 which indicates Bearishness
Futures Data:
FII Long/Short ratio at 15.5%/84.5%
FII Future positions saw little addition in longs and exiting shorts
Nifty Futures price was down by -1% with huge increase in Open Interest (OI) which typically indicates Bearishness
Outlook for Next Session:
Nifty is weak Sell on every rise
Approch:
Short at higher levels for target 22400-22300
Wait for today’s High or Low to break and sustaines for further direction
My Trades & Positions:
Holding Shorts in March monthly contract from 22850 levels