Nifty 50 Long-Term Outlook: Bullish or Bearish ?NIFTY 50 VIEW :
KEY PONITS AND CONFIRMATIONS :
Monthly - Uptrend ( Higher Low )
Weekly - Take Support at 22500 - 22750
Pattern - Falling Wedge Formed
Indicator - RSI - 30 Level Maintain . Chance to buy
SETUP :
Wait for Pattern Breakout and 23800 Resistance Level.
More details and Level noted the chart .
Thank you , Happy Trading ...
NIFTY trade ideas
Correction Done?? Some Green candles coming. Here is a quick update.
Watch out this graph. here are few points which is clearly highlighting some upcoming moves in Nifty.
1. Weekly MA 100 is on point to support.
2. as per volume traded, 22000 is strong support.
3. Yellow trend line showing weekly movement. giving hope for some recovery in upcoming days.
4. Please watch out for this high volume area. if it breaks. we fall down to 21600-21000.
Please always use stop loss and trade with your knowledge.
Nifty DiarrheaNothing positive to take the market higher....In a bear phase, good news doesn't have any impact. I have marked the possible areas where nifty could potentially reverse....But its in the red channel now. The green channel has broken, and market may go up to retest the bottom of the green channel...But currently its a sell on rise market till its not....For those who are/have become forced to be long term holders, you can start accumulating in bits and pieces as markets are designed to go up unless something cataclysmic takes place....Indian markets are still overvalued.....DIIs and retailers don't have the strength to propel the market higher, and are just being liquidity for FIIs.....FIIs may return at some point, but one or 2 things have to happen....Valuation should be cheaper for fresh buying and/or Nirmala Thaai should do something about STT and LTCG (which I highly doubt)....For those who are long only strategies, it will take a while for markets to form a bottom and reverse, markets could also remain flat for a long time to form a strong base.....
levels to watch I had anticipated a top and currently hold a short position on the index and most of the 50 stocks at 25,200. The market is now approaching the first target of 21,800. Expect a minor bounce in the short term, likely to trap retail investors. However, if the index closes below 21,800, the downward move is likely to accelerate, targeting 19,200.
Additionally, a deeper correction toward 16,900 remains a possibility and should not be ruled out at this stage.
NIFTY NIFTY Prediction
1. Current fall may stop at Green Zone
Green Zone - 1 is approx 22000
Green Zone -2 is approx 20500
2. Retracement expected from Green Zone to Red Zone
- If current fall takes support at Green Support 1, then retracement till above red zone
- If current fall takes support at Green support 2, then retracement till below red zone
3. Red zone will act as strong resistance and then market may fall further till Yellow zones
Final fall 1 is the first support of current NIFTY crash
4. Yellow zones are the end of the current crash; therefore, Nifty will make a new high once it touches yellow zones.
*Note - Market may make all time high from green zones as well but chances seems low at current situation.
NIFTY - 5TH WAVE IS GOING TO PERFORMYour Elliott Wave analysis suggests that NIFTY is currently completing a complex 4th wave correction, which often involves sideways or volatile moves before the impulsive 5th wave begins. Since Wave 4 tends to be unpredictable, it's crucial to monitor key support and resistance levels to confirm the upcoming 5th wave rally.
Key Observations & Expectations:
Wave 4 Complexity & Volatility:
Wave 4 corrections are often zigzags, flats, or triangles—leading to choppy price action.
Expect sharp up and down swings before NIFTY resumes its uptrend.
Wave 5 Impulse Move:
Once consolidation ends, Wave 5 should break above Wave 3’s high.
Expect higher highs, supported by strong momentum and volume.
Confirmation Levels:
Support: Recent lows from the correction (possible retests).
Resistance: Previous high (Wave 3 top).
A breakout with high volume would confirm Wave 5 initiation.
Trading Strategy:
Avoid aggressive positions in Wave 4 due to its choppy nature.
Look for a breakout above key resistance before entering long positions.
Use tight stop losses if trading within the range.
Key Takeaways:
✅ Current Phase: Wave 4 correction (complex and volatile).
✅ Next Move: Once consolidation ends, Wave 5 will be an impulsive move upward.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Support: Recent lows from the correction phase.
Resistance: Previous high (Wave 3 top).
Conclusion:
NIFTY is currently in a volatile phase but preparing for a strong upside move in Wave 5, which is typically the most impulsive leg. A breakout above key resistance will confirm the uptrend, and traders should position accordingly.
👉 Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for technical knowledge purposes only. Before making any trading decisions, consult your financial advisor.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/03/2025Gap up opening expected nifty near 22300 level. After opening expected reversal from this level. Downside 22000-22100 zone will act as a strong support for nifty. Any strong further bearish rally only expected below 22000 level. In case nifty gives breakdown of this level can leads major downside upto 21700.
NIFTY : Intraday Trading levels and plan for 03-Mar-2025
This analysis provides a comprehensive trading plan for the NIFTY 50 index on March 3, 2025, covering all possible opening scenarios. We will evaluate Gap-Up, Flat, and Gap-Down openings (with gaps of 100+ points) and outline clear action points, key levels, and risk management strategies. This plan is designed to help traders navigate the market with precision and discipline. 📈🔍
🔹 Scenario 1: Gap-Up Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens above 22,163 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals strong bullish momentum. This opening suggests aggressive buying interest, potentially driving prices higher after a consolidation phase.
If the price sustains above 22,163, it could target the resistance zone of 22,355–22,460. This zone is a profit-booking area where selling pressure may intensify due to historical resistance and recent highs.
If the price faces rejection at 22,355–22,460, a reversal trade could be considered, targeting a pullback to 22,127–22,063 (opening support/consolidation zone and previous close).
Should the price break above 22,460 with strong momentum (e.g., high volume and bullish candlestick patterns), we might see a rally toward 22,600 or higher.
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy on a breakout and retest of 22,163 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to manage risk.
✔️ Short if the price rejects 22,355–22,460, aiming for 22,127–22,063. Place a stop-loss above 22,460 to limit potential losses.
Explanation: A Gap-Up opening of 100+ points indicates a potential breakout from the current consolidation range of 21,613–21,600. Waiting for a retest of 22,163 confirms bullish intent, while the resistance at 22,355–22,460 acts as a natural profit-taking zone. A rejection at this level could signal a shorting opportunity if bearish momentum builds.
🔹 Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 22,063–22,127)
If NIFTY 50 opens within the range of 22,063–22,127, it suggests a balanced market continuing its consolidation phase with no clear directional bias. This zone acts as a critical opening support/resistance area.
A breakout above 22,127 could drive prices toward 22,355–22,460, signaling bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal.
A breakdown below 22,063 might lead to selling pressure, targeting 21,889 (first buyer’s support) or even 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy above 22,127 , targeting 22,355–22,460. Use a stop-loss below 22,063 to protect against a false breakout.
✔️ Sell below 22,063 , targeting 21,889 or 21,613–21,600. Set a stop-loss above 22,127 to manage downside risk.
Explanation: A Flat opening within the 22,063–22,127 range indicates the market is still consolidating, a no-trade zone unless a breakout occurs. Traders should wait for clear price action (e.g., strong candlestick patterns or increased volume) to confirm a breakout above 22,127 for a bullish move or a breakdown below 22,063 for a bearish move, avoiding premature entries.
🔹 Scenario 3: Gap-Down Opening (100+ points)
If NIFTY 50 opens below 21,963 (a gap of 100+ points from the previous close of 22,063), it signals bearish sentiment and potential weakness, testing the lower support levels.
Immediate support lies at 21,889 (first buyer’s support). If this holds, a pullback toward 22,063–22,127 could occur.
If 21,889 breaks with strong selling pressure, expect further downside toward 21,613–21,600 (possible bottom-out level for a reversal).
✅ Trade Plan:
✔️ Buy near 21,889 , targeting a pullback to 22,063–22,127. Use a stop-loss below 21,600 to limit risk.
✔️ Short below 21,889 , targeting 21,613–21,600. Place a stop-loss above 21,889 to protect against a quick recovery.
Explanation: A Gap-Down opening of 100+ points suggests continued downward pressure, but support at 21,889 could trigger a rebound if it holds. Waiting for confirmation near 21,889 ensures the price isn’t just oversold, while a break below this level confirms bearish momentum for shorting. The 21,613–21,600 zone is a critical level for a potential reversal if buying interest emerges.
📌 Risk Management Tips for Options Trading 💡
🛑 Always Use a Strict Stop-Loss: Protect your capital by setting stop-loss orders at key support/resistance levels to limit potential losses.
🎯 Take Partial Profits: Lock in gains at intermediate targets (e.g., 22,355 or 21,889) to secure profits while allowing room for further moves.
🕰️ Avoid Overtrading: Stick to the plan and wait for clear price action confirmation—don’t force trades in uncertain conditions.
💰 Use Proper Position Sizing: Risk only a small percentage of your capital (e.g., 1–2%) per trade to ensure longevity in the market.
📌 Summary & Conclusion 🎯
✔️ Bullish Above: 22,127 → Target: 22,355–22,460.
✔️ Bearish Below: 22,063 → Target: 21,889 or 21,613–21,600.
✔️ No Trade Zone: 22,063–22,127 (Wait for a breakout).
Trade with discipline, follow your plan, and prioritize risk management to navigate the NIFTY 50 market effectively on March 3, 2025. 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📉📈
NIFTY heading towards 21800..?NIFTY did close its weekly candle in red against our expectation. Now watching the structure, next eminent support can be seen around 21800. Hence till we are above 21800, we can again start adding our new longs keeping SL below 21500 on CBSL so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Nifty50: Bearish Momentum Slowing – Signs of a Possible ReversalThe Nifty 50 index has been in a strong bearish trend, forming consecutive lower highs and lower lows on the 5-minute timeframe. However, recent price action suggests that selling pressure might be exhausting, with signs of a potential reversal emerging in the discount zone. While the broader trend remains bearish, there are early indications that buyers may attempt to regain control.
A key observation is the presence of a weak low near the current price level. This could indicate that liquidity has been grabbed, setting the stage for a possible reversal. Additionally, multiple change-of-character (CHoCH) formations are appearing, which often signal a shift in market structure. While these signals alone do not confirm a bullish reversal, they suggest that the downtrend is losing strength.
Price is currently positioned within the discount zone, an area where institutional buying interest typically increases. A key area of interest has formed near 22,100 – 22,070, where demand could emerge. If buyers manage to push the price above 22,200 and sustain it, this could indicate an initial attempt at reversal. Further confirmation would be required above 22,250 – 22,300, where a stronger shift in momentum could lead to a move toward the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 22,385. If this level is reclaimed, a bullish push toward the 22,500 – 22,600 resistance zone could follow.
On the other hand, the risk of bearish continuation remains if price fails to hold above 22,100 and breaks below 22,070. This scenario would likely lead to further downside, with potential targets at 22,000 or lower. If CHoCH formations do not come with strong volume confirmation, there is a possibility that the market is simply grabbing liquidity before another downward move.
From a trading perspective, an aggressive long entry could be considered if the price confirms a CHoCH above 22,200, with potential targets around 22,300 – 22,385. A more conservative approach would be to wait for a breakout above 22,385, confirming a stronger shift before targeting the 22,500+ zone. However, if price breaks below 22,100, it would indicate a bearish continuation, and short positions could be considered toward 22,000 – 21,950.
The market is showing early signs of a potential reversal, but confirmation is crucial before committing to a bullish outlook. If buyers step in above key levels, a move toward equilibrium and premium zones may follow. However, if price fails to sustain above the key demand zone, selling pressure could resume. Traders should carefully watch for confirmations before positioning themselves for either direction.
#Nifty50 march trad plan 99% working trading plan
Gap up open 22160 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22280,22360
Gap up open 22160 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22033,21892, 21820
Gap down open 22033 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22160, 22280
Gap down open 22033 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade 21892,21820
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
The Billionaire Trader & His Unlikely MentorWhen we think of legendary traders, Paul Tudor Jones stands out as one of the most successful billionaires in the financial world. But what many traders don’t realize is that behind his extraordinary success, there’s a powerful influence—Tony Robbins. Yes, the world-renowned life coach played a crucial role in shaping Jones’ mindset, ultimately helping him navigate markets and life with unparalleled confidence.
The Turning Point: Paul Tudor Jones Meets Tony Robbins
Paul Tudor Jones is best known for predicting the 1987 stock market crash and making a 200% return during the crisis. However, what truly set him apart from other traders wasn’t just his ability to read the markets—it was his mental game.
Jones has openly credited Tony Robbins for helping him gain a psychological edge. In the late 1980s, when Jones was already a successful trader but searching for deeper fulfillment and consistency, he sought Robbins’ mentorship. Robbins, known for his work in peak performance and psychology, introduced Jones to strategies that reshaped his thinking and emotional resilience.
The Mindset Shift That Changed Everything
So, what did Robbins teach Jones that made such a massive impact?
1. The Power of State Control
Robbins emphasizes that emotions drive decision-making. He taught Jones to manage his emotional state, ensuring that fear, greed, and hesitation didn’t cloud his judgment. This allowed Jones to make high-stakes trading decisions with confidence.
2. Priming and Visualization
One of Robbins’ core techniques is priming—training the mind to focus on success. Jones incorporated this by visualizing successful trades and reinforcing positive beliefs about his abilities. This mental conditioning helped him stay composed even in turbulent markets.
3. Wealth Psychology
Many traders fail because of limiting beliefs about money. Robbins helped Jones develop an abundance mindset, reinforcing that wealth creation is a game of psychology as much as it is about strategy.
4. The Importance of Giving Back
Robbins’ influence extended beyond trading. Jones became one of the biggest philanthropists in the financial world, believing that giving back creates a deeper sense of fulfillment and success. His Robin Hood Foundation has donated billions to fight poverty, something Robbins strongly advocates for in his teachings.
The Result: A Billionaire Trader with Unshakable Confidence
While Paul Tudor Jones had the technical skills of a master trader, Robbins’ mentorship gave him the mental and emotional fortitude to sustain long-term success. His ability to stay focused, disciplined, and resilient in volatile markets is a testament to the power of psychology in trading.
Key Takeaways for Traders
- Mindset is everything: The best trading strategies won’t work if your emotions control you.
- Daily mental conditioning matters: Visualization, priming, and self-belief can dramatically improve trading results.
- Success is holistic: Wealth is not just about money—it’s about impact, discipline, and personal growth.
Paul Tudor Jones’ story proves that trading isn’t just about charts and numbers—it’s about mastering your own psychology. And thanks to Tony Robbins, he became not just a billionaire, but an icon of both financial success and mental resilience.
Nifty March1st Week AnalysisNifty is looking stable as of now, and the chart is not indicating a major fall in the upcoming week. Expect a range-bound to positive movement in the upcoming week. On the upside, if Nifty grips momentum and crosses 22312, then we can expect levels upto 22530-22636. While on the downside, very important immediate support would be 21965. If broken, we can expect it to test downside levels of 21836-21708.
NIfty in reversal zone ??Here’s my analysis based on the provided chart:
Market Trend & Structure**
1. **Nifty 50 Price Action:**
- The index is in a **corrective phase**, as seen from the recent decline.
- The price is currently near the lower trendline of the **channel**, indicating potential **support**.
- A breakdown below this channel could lead to further downside moves.
2. **Fibonacci & Trend Channels:**
- The Fibonacci extension levels show a **retracement phase** within a long-term bullish trend.
- The price is approaching a **critical zone near the 2.382 level**, which could act as **support**. This is expected on 3rd - 6th March.
Indicators & Signals**
1. **Sell & Buy Signals:**
- Multiple **Sell signals** appeared at market peaks, followed by a decline.
- Some **Buy signals** are appearing, indicating a potential reversal zone.
2. **Delta Candles & Combined CALL & PUT Candles:**
- The **Delta Candles (Call - Put)** show declining values, indicating bearish sentiment.
- The **Combined CALL & PUT Candles (Subtract Method)** also show a decreasing trend.
3. **Reversal Probability (23.1%)**
- The probability of a trend reversal is relatively **low**, meaning the downtrend could still continue.
4. **Trend Meter & Volume Analysis:**
- The volume is increasing during the downtrend, which suggests **strong selling pressure**.
- The **Trend Meter** shows more **red** than green, indicating **bearish momentum**.
Key Takeaways:
- **Bullish Scenario (Reversal Expected)** between 3rd- 6th March.
- If the price holds near the **trendline support**, & also the anchored VWAP we might see a **bounce**.
- Confirmation would come from a **green trend meter** and increasing **buy signals**.
- Look for a move **above 22,627** for further upside.
- **Bearish Scenario (Further Decline)**
- If the price **breaks below the trendline**, the **downtrend will continue**.
- A break below **21,976 - 21,973** could trigger more selling.