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NIFTY trade ideas

Nifty in search of bottom. As it was expected Nifty plummeted further in search of bottom. Nifty closed at 23085 which is near a fragile support of 23057. It does not look likely that The reasons for the fall are various as explained in the previous posts. Some of reasons being constant selling of FIIs under the guise risk free return available in US debt market in addition to other value buying options emerging in other developing markets. Nifty valuations have seen reasonable correction now buying can emerge slowly in next 1 to 4 weeks as per my understanding. Dollar is at valuations that are hardly justified and once the correction in Dollar starts we will see FIIs returning to Indian markets. The bottom support levels are at 23057, 22800, 22421, 21783, 21294 and finally 20813 region. It will be interesting to see which of these levels emerge as a firm bottom from where Nifty can bounce back. Resistances for Nifty now seem to be at 23359, 23690 (Father Line Resistance), 23938, 24060 (Mother Line Resistance), 24525, 24948, 25379, 25782 and finally 26277. Once previous ATH is crossed we will see new highs in Nifty hopefully within this year in the range of 27 or 28K. As of now little bit of pain still remains in the market. Nifty is already in the EXTREME FEAR ZONE AT 23.30. Long term investors can start value buying. (As per Ticker tape). Extreme fear zone (<30) suggests a good time to open fresh positions as markets are likely to be oversold and might turn upwards. Extreme greed zone (>70) suggests to be cautious in opening fresh positions as markets are overbought and likely to turn downwards. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
ShortFor the past three months, I’ve been closely monitoring the market, anticipating a downturn ever since the formation of the Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern. As predicted, the market has indeed experienced a decline. A decisive close below the 20,080 level would likely trigger an accelerated sell-off, pushing the market towards the next key support zone around 21,900. Looking ahead, there’s a strong possibility of a deeper correction, with a potential drop towards the 19,200 range in the coming weeks or months. This correction could present an opportunity for those who are prepared to enter at more favorable levels. It’s crucial to recognize that the current market environment is a classic trap for speculators. The temptation to jump in and chase market moves, especially during volatile periods, can lead to poor entry points and significant losses. Patience is key; it’s far more advantageous to wait for optimal buying levels rather than succumbing to the urge to act impulsively. The most prudent approach now is to stay disciplined, avoid chasing rallies, and instead look for solid entry points when the market shows signs of stabilizing. Risk management should be a top priority, and investors should always be prepared for potential volatility and unexpected market movements. In these types of conditions, making informed decisions based on solid technical analysis and market structure is critical, rather than getting swayed by short-term noise or emotions. The market will offer opportunities in time, but it’s essential to remember that timing and patience often make the difference between success and failure in volatile markets.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Shivkumar600
Nifty is close to Bottom!!!In my view Nifty is close to Bottom around 23K or we are headed for a structural bear market with targets of 18K or so.....and I don't believe the second is possible given that we are in good shape as an economy. My hypothesis - dooms day isn't around: - at around 23200 there is a double bottom pattern and markets could rebound from here - In my view there is a head shoulder pattern visible on Nifty and the neck line is around 23K and if this is broken then the downside is all the way down to sub 20K - which is a doom's day scenario and that won't happen - Like I mentioned before very bullish on RIL and IT sector to ensure we don't go into dooms day!! Fingers crossed and I think its time to start deploying if you are in cash!!
NSE:NIFTYLong
by nyk255678
The Wave is Shifting: Anticipate NIFTY’s Next Move!Dear Traders, I hope this message finds you well in your trading endeavors and personal pursuits. I am excited to share a compelling opportunity with you through a new NIFTY analysis that sheds light on the continuation of the market shift. Preliminary Analysis Overview: The correction initiated on September 27, 2024, is a correction for the move from June 17, 2022, to September 27, 2024 (15,183.40 to 26,277.35). This move has spanned over 120 weeks (834 days) in time and 11,093.95 points in price. This necessitates a long-term and deeper correction, which is currently underway. This can be visually represented by the trend lines: The downward trend from the all-time high continues, which is currently experiencing a corrective phase within a larger correction. There are two potential phases for the ongoing trend: Phase I: The initial phase of correction primarily tested the .236 R of the aforementioned motive wave (refer to the figure below): Following the correction, there is a correction within the correction in a larger degree (although the primary downtrend remains intact). This internal correction is anticipated to rise further to test 0.146 R and 0.073 R of the long-term bull market (serving as potential resistances). RI – 24,254.10 RII – 24,600 ~24,657 RIII – 25,100 ~25,120 *These values are not actual but merely levels. Time resistances are anticipated on January 9th and February 17th (of considerable strength). Reference: Phase II: Following the completion of the internal correction, the market is anticipated to resume its current downward trend in a more significant manner to test the 38.2 R (21,500 levels) + static support junction, which will be further discussed as the market evolves. --- **Important Dates to Remember: ** Please note the following significant economic indicators and their release dates: **January 8, 9, and 10: ** Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and employment data release (NFP). **January 13 and 14: ** Inflation data release. **January 13-16: ** Sales and inflation data release. --- **Final Verdict: ** The current uptrend is considered interim. The primary trend remains downward and is anticipated to persist further and deeper. This trend is expected to test the 38.2% resistance level coinciding with the 21,360-support level. --- **Strategy: ** Given the prevailing market conditions, adopting a bullish stance appears prudent. Key levels to monitor include 24,657 and 25,120, which are expected to be tested. It is imperative to remain vigilant and informed about potential opportunities that may arise. ------ Fellow Traders, The creation of this valuable analytical resource has required countless hours of dedication and effort. If you find it useful, I humbly request your support by boosting the idea and following me (updates will be provided via this post, new posts, and through minds). Your comments and thoughts on this idea are highly valued, and I am committed to engaging with each one personally. Thank you for investing your time in reading this article. Wishing you profitable and fulfilling trading endeavors! Disclaimer: Before concluding, I must emphasize that the insights shared are based on my analysis. It is crucial for you to conduct your own research and, if necessary, consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The dynamic nature of financial markets necessitates that your strategies align with your financial objectives and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by WDG_Dinesh_Gengarajan
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Important levels for 13-Jan-2025Key Levels to Watch: Profit Booking Zone: 23,775 – 23,830 Last Intraday Resistance: 23,663 Opening Resistance: 23,588 – 23,613 No Trading Zone: 23,437 – 23,470 Opening Support: 23,339 Initial Support: 23,250 Buyer's Support Zone: 23,057 – 23,094 Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above) If Nifty opens above 23,613: Monitor price action near the 23,663 resistance zone. A breakout with strong volume above this level can lead to a rally towards the Profit Booking Zone at 23,775–23,830. Consider initiating long positions if confirmation occurs. If the price struggles near 23,663, wait for a rejection pattern and evaluate for potential pullback trades back to the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613). 💡 Risk Management Tip: When trading gap-ups, avoid entering impulsively. Let the price settle for the first 15 minutes. Use tight stop losses for trades near resistance zones. Flat Opening (±50 Points Around 23,437) If Nifty opens within the No Trading Zone (23,437–23,470): Stay cautious and avoid taking trades until the price breaks out of this consolidation range. A breakout above 23,470 with strength can lead to a move toward the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613). Enter long positions only after a successful retest of this breakout. A breakdown below 23,437 could push the price toward Opening Support (23,339). Short positions can be initiated after confirmation. 💡 Risk Management Tip: Avoid overtrading in no-trade zones. Patience is key to spotting high-probability setups. Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below) If Nifty opens below 23,339: Watch for buying opportunities in the Initial Support zone (23,250). If the price forms a bullish reversal pattern, consider entering long trades targeting the Opening Resistance zone (23,588–23,613). If selling pressure persists and Nifty moves toward the Buyer's Support Zone (23,057–23,094), this zone becomes crucial for long trades with tight stop losses. A breach of 23,057 with strong volume can lead to further downside. Avoid long trades until support is regained. 💡 Risk Management Tip: In gap-down scenarios, avoid catching falling knives. Use smaller lot sizes and wait for strong reversal signals before entering trades. Summary & Conclusion For a gap up, focus on levels above 23,613 and monitor the resistance zones carefully for breakouts or rejections. For a flat opening, wait for a breakout or breakdown from the No Trading Zone (23,437–23,470) to avoid false moves. For a gap down, be patient around Initial Support (23,250) or Buyer's Support Zone (23,057–23,094) for reversal trades. 💡 Options Trading Tip: Use OTM strikes near key levels for intraday trades. Always hedge your positions, especially in volatile conditions. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before taking any trades. Trade responsibly!
NSE:NIFTY
by LiveTradingBox
NIFTY50.....Don't loose your panic!Hello Traders, as before; the NIFTY50 shows weakness again and I think, there is more pressure to come. If N50 will decline below the level of 23349 to 23263 (daily timeframe ), the door is open to much lower levels in the coming weeks ahead! Reallly often, some indices are showing a "three-down" while getting weak. More often than not, waves c=a in price. So the door can be open really soon, that price dropp lower in the coming days. While it takes a bounce above the level of 24857 the make a brand new buy signal, the level of 23353 is close at hand, and it has been touched on Friday's session! So, expect a "test" of this area! Since June 17th+20th we have risen more than 11K points! I think you will agree, that sooner or later a massive test off the retracements is the minimum to expect! I feel sad, that I have no better news and count ideas for you, my fellow friends. But keep in mind, there is always a chance to come back! And my friends! We will! Have a good week..... Ruebennase Please ask or comment as appropriate. Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
NSE:NIFTY
by ruebennase
7
A big Nifty Crash looks imminent !!!The weekly chart structure of Nifty is dangerous. This is a sign of clear weakness. Last week's candle is a pure bearish candle that has rejected the Yearly Pivot for 2025. This means one thing - We are in all likelihood headed for a big crash! The next logical support is around 21,100 level which I feel could also be taken out eventually and then we could see 18,550 zones. This entire crash could play out within the next 2 - 3 months and hence, taking March or April PEs which are in the strike price of around 21,000 would be a good choice for option buyers.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Sky_Tracer
NIFTY technical analysis, big pictureTechnical analysis for NIFTY 50 Index. This count has price in price in wave c of Primary wave 4. The a and b wave of the zigzag may need to be adjusted, depending on how price moves down to target, which is the 15000-17000 area. Price never tagged the median line of the bullish pitchfork, did its best to stay above its bullish Hagopian line. As price continues to stay below 24857.75 (which is now key resistance), gravity should pull price down rather quickly towards target.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by discobiscuit