NIFTY POST MARKET ANALYSISNifty and five major sectorial constituents of Nifty analysis based on pure price action.
Try to show one calendar trade but it was not visible in the screen. Sharing you numbers here.
Current Calendar Spread Structure:
Long: 24000 PE – 31 July 2025
Short: 24000 PE – 27 June 2025
Net Debit: ₹88 per lot
Rationale:
The surge in India VIX indicates heightened market volatility, making this an opportune moment to implement a calendar spread strategy. The position benefits from time decay (positive Theta) and an increase in implied volatility (positive Vega), especially if the NIFTY remains around the 24,000 level.
Risk Management: Monitor NIFTY's movement closely. If it declines rapidly below 23500, the short put may become in-the-money, increasing risk. Two adjustment options we do have...
Adjustment Flexibility: Be prepared to roll the short put further out in time or to a different strike if market conditions change.
NIFTY trade ideas
So finally Nifty recedes a bit due to Indo-Pak tensions.Finally Nifty today receded a bit due to Indo-Pak tensions and war like situation/war between Indo-Pak. The support levels for Nifty now remains at 23924, 23809 important (Father line support of hourly chart), 23676 important mid channel support if this support is broken bears can drag Nifty further down to 23462, 23279, 22771 and finally 22579 which is the channel bottom support. If this level is broken there can be further free fall. Resistances on the upper side remain at 24111, 24247 (Mother Line resistance on the hourly chart), 24443, 24634 and 24892 (Channel top resistance). Situation remains fluid due to the Geo-Political situation no support can be very strong support as a lot can happen during the week end and no resistance can be a solid resistance if few things move in the anticipated direction.
Disclaimer:The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/05/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23950 level then possible further downside upto 23750. Any upside movement can possible if nifty sustain above 24000 level. Upside 24200-24250 zone act as a strong resistance for today's session. Any upside rally can reversal from this level.
"Nifty 50 Chart Turns Cautious: Downside Risk Builds"1. **Rising Wedge Breakdown:**
* The index had been trading in a **rising wedge** pattern (purple converging lines).
* A **bearish breakdown** has occurred, suggesting potential for further downside.
* The price broke below the lower trendline with strong red candles and rising volume, validating the bearish move.
2. **Bear Flag Breakdown:**
* A smaller **bear flag** or **descending channel** pattern within the wedge broke down as well, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
3. **Support Zone Tested:**
* Price is currently hovering around a critical **horizontal support zone** between **24,081 – 24,240**, marked with black lines.
* The index is sitting just above this zone, and a clean break below could accelerate selling.
4. **Long-Term Uptrend Line:**
* A longer-term ascending trendline lies just below the current price (\~24,050 area).
* This could act as **last-resort dynamic support** before a larger correction.
---
* **Immediate Resistance**:
* 24,240 – Minor horizontal resistance
* 24,400 – Former support now turned resistance
* **Immediate Support**:
* 24,081 – Horizontal support
* 23,900–24,000 zone – Next key demand area
* 23,700 – Long-term trendline & psychological support
---
**Volume Analysis:**
* Recent volume spike on red candles indicates **stronger participation from sellers**.
* Bearish momentum is likely to continue unless volume dries up and bullish candles appear at support.
Will NIFTY50 fall?Regarding NIFTY 50 Index
my expectation was that after a small growth, the g-wave from the diametric will be completed, then the price correction will start and the reason for it can be anything, definitely if the correction starts, the reason will be the war between India and Pakistan.
Normal:
The correction can continue up to the range of 23209-23456 and after spending the required time, start moving up. If this range is broken, the correction can end in the range of 22300-22700.
Pessimistic:
If the end of the wave-(D) is broken strongly, the upward movement that was formed from 21740 to 24593 will be considered as an X-wave and the wave-(D) will turn into a double pattern. Although the upward movement that formed from 21740 to 24593 does not have all the conditions of the X-wave, but when the market is not normal, we need to be a little flexible in our analysis.
What will be the second pattern of the double combination?
Usually, after the diametrics, the second pattern tends to be a neutral triangle or a contracting triangle or a reverse contracting triangle. But I will not comment on it now and wait for a few waves of the second pattern to form, then we can predict the pattern with more probability.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
"Nifty 50 Eyes Breakout from Key Support Zone"**Support Zone (Red Rectangle)**:
* Strong support between ₹24,290 – ₹24,340.
* Multiple price bounces have occurred here, indicating demand presence.
**Resistance Levels**:
* **Immediate resistance**: ₹24,409.65 (horizontal red line)
* **Next resistance**: ₹24,494.45
**Support Levels**:
* **Immediate support**: ₹24,290
* **Next support**: ₹24,240.65
**RSI (Relative Strength Index) – 14 Period**
* RSI is at **36.25**, near the oversold region.
* Indicates the index may be poised for a short-term bounce.
* Positive RSI divergence is not yet confirmed but should be monitored.
---
**Bullish Scenario**:
* A breakout above the black descending trendline (\~₹24,360) with volume can lead to:
* First target: ₹24,409.65
* Second target: ₹24,494.45
* Supported by wedge breakout and RSI recovery.
**Bearish Scenario**:
* Breakdown below ₹24,290 zone can trigger a fall to:
* First target: ₹24,240.65
* Second target: Lower bound of ascending channel (\~₹24,060)
NIFTY Wait for a breakout: When the price crosses above the trendline, it could be a bullish signal.
Monitor for a breakdown: If the price breaks below the trendline, it could be a bearish signal.
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DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. All the views are for educational purpose only
Nifty Analysis EOD - May 6, 2025 - Tuesday🟢Nifty Analysis EOD - May 6, 2025 - Tuesday 🔴
📌 Opening Mood:
A deceptive start near resistance—buyers had a moment, but bears owned the day.
📊 Nifty Summary:
Nifty opened at 24,509, precisely at the psychological and structural resistance zone. The first candle itself (O=H) reflected immediate selling pressure, and the index slid quickly, dropping 140+ points in the first hour. It tested the support zone around 24,330 ~ 24,365, which had earlier acted as resistance—a polarity zone now holding as support.
Despite multiple attempts, Nifty couldn’t break back above the upper consolidation band (around 24,400–24,410). For most of the day, it traded in a tight 40–50 point range and eventually settled near the lower end of that range at 24,379.60, while intraday close came in at 24,331.80.
⏱ Intraday Walk (5-min Time Frame Highlights):
🔻 First hour: Quick 140-point drop straight into support
🔄 10:30 AM–2:50 PM: Multiple bounce-back attempts failed at 24,400 and 24350
🧊 3:00 PM–3:30 PM: High volatility zone, test both sides of the range and the day ends with a new low.
🔒 Close: Near day’s low—weak handoff for next session
🧭 Daily Candle Breakdown
📌 Today’s Candle Type: Strong Bearish Candle
📖 Know How of Candle Type:
This candle type signals strong seller dominance. The real body is wide with almost no upper wick, implying bears controlled the day from start to end. Appears frequently after a failed attempt to break resistance.
📌 Today’s OHLC:
Open: 24,500.75
High: 24,509.65
Low: 24,331.80
Close: 24,379.60
Change: –81.55 (–0.33%)
📐 Candle Structure:
🔹 Real Body: 121.15 points → Strong Red Body (Bearish Control)
🔹 Upper Wick: 8.90 points → No meaningful buying (Daily TF, Intraday No Wick)
🔹 Lower Wick: 47.80 points → Slight pullback, but bears still dominate(Daily TF)
📌 Interpretation:
Bears were in control from the opening tick
The candle sits near the bottom of the day’s range
Comes after a bullish candle at resistance → Potential short-term reversal signal
Watch for confirmation below 24,330 to trigger an extended downside
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
📌 Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 290.90
IB Range: 129.85
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
📌 Trade Highlights:
🔹 Trade Count: 1
✅ Long Trigger @ 11:25 AM → Minor profit as Trade Time Exit Trigger
🔮 What’s Next?
🟥 Short bias: Only below 24,330 with conviction
🟩 Long bias: Only if the price crosses and sustains above 24,460 ~ 24,490
⚠️ Between these levels: Avoid directional bets. Look for scalping setups only.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels
📌 Resistance Zones:
24,400 ~ 24,420 (Immediate hurdle)
24,480 ~ 24,530 (Key zone with 24,500 psychological level)
24,590
24760~24,800
📌 Support Zones:
24,365 ~ 24,330 (Immediate support)
24,290
24,245 ~ 24,240
24,188
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
🧠 Final Thoughts
"In tight ranges, patience is not just a virtue—it’s a strategy. Let the levels do the talking."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NIFTY Future Marked on chart...And its good News.I did the count of Neo waves on the Nifty...I have marked the larger cycle and the tgt by 2029 is around 37000...If all 5 waves are completed..right now we are in the 5th wave of the 3rd wave ..Please refer to chart....Also the Indian demographics support this..So please enter your favorate frontline blue chip stocks and sit tight...Please feel free to challenge this chart..I would be happy
Nifty EOD Analysis – May 3, 2025 Monday🟢 Nifty EOD Analysis – May 3, 2025 Monday🔴
A positive open... but no follow-through. Still stuck in consolidation.
📊 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap up of 72 points at 24,420, marking the first open above 24,365 in the last 7 sessions — a positive sign. However, the enthusiasm lacked momentum. Price struggled to cross the resistance at 24,526, and the index drifted back toward the mean, trading the entire day between the initial balance (IB) range and hovering around VWAP.
🔹 Intraday Movement: Just 125 points, the smallest in the last 12 sessions — a clear sign of contraction.
🔹 Closing: 24461 closing is the first closing above 24365 in the last 7 sessions.
🔹 Structure: Daily candle formed an Inside Bar, signaling potential energy buildup.
📌 Strategy Forward: Stay alert for an expansion move from this coil — contraction often precedes sharp action.
📌 5 Min Time FrameChart
📌 Daily Time FrameChart
🕯️ Daily Time Frame Chart & Candle Breakdown
🔍 Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top with a long upper wick
Candle Definition:
A Spinning Top reflects market indecision — both bulls and bears attempted moves, but neither gained dominance. A long upper wick with a narrow body often signals failed bullish momentum or fading enthusiasm.
📌 Today’s OHLC:
Open: 24,419.50
High: 24,526.40
Low: 24,400.65
Close: 24,461.15
Change: +114.45 (+0.47%)
🧱 Candle Structure:
🔹 Real Body:
🟢 Green candle with a modest body →
24,461.15 – 24,419.50 = 41.65 pts
🔹 Upper Wick:
24,526.40 – 24,461.15 = 65.25 pts
🔹 Lower Wick:
24,419.50 – 24,400.65 = 18.85 pts
📖 Candle’s Interpretation:
Despite a strong open and attempt to push higher, the resistance at 24,526 capped the move. The long upper wick shows that buyers lacked follow-through strength, and the close back near the middle of the range indicates a market still stuck in balance.
📉 The Inside Bar + Narrow Range combo is a potential signal for volatility ahead — traders should watch closely for a breakout from this range.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
📊 Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 303.46
IB Range: 110.65 pts
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
📌 Trade Highlights:
Trade Count: 0
❌ No Trigger generated by the system — a no-trade day.
🧠 Note: In contraction phases, it’s common to get fewer setups. Patience is key.
🔮 What’s Next?
Markets are coiling tightly, and an expansion move is likely around the corner. As long as price holds above the 24,330–24,360 band, bulls have hope — but conviction is needed above 24,540.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
24,480 ~ 24,540 (Includes psychological level: 24,500)
24,590 (PDH – Immediate hurdle)
24,800
🔻 Support Zones:
24,400 (CDL)
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,190 ~ 24,225 (Immediate Support)
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
"Nifty 50 at a Crossroads: Rising Wedge Signals Breakout or Brea* A **rising wedge** pattern is clearly forming, marked by two upward sloping blue trendlines.
* Inside this wedge:
* Multiple **price swings** (higher highs and higher lows) are visible.
* Recent breakout attempts are marked with zig-zag arrows showing potential breakout direction
📈 **Bullish Signals:**
1. **Strong Uptrend:**
* A sustained rally from \~23,000 up to the current levels (\~24,500) indicates strong bullish momentum.
2. **Breakout Potential:**
* Price is attempting to break out above the rising wedge pattern.
* Immediate **bullish target zone** is around **24,596 to 24,754**, marked with a green "Target" label.
3. **Volume Surge:**
* Recent bullish candles are supported by increased volume, suggesting real interest in the breakout.
📉 **Bearish Risks:**
1. **Rising Wedge Risk:**
* Rising wedge patterns often lead to **bearish breakdowns**.
* If the support of the wedge is broken, the **first downside target** is marked at **24,369**, and **next support** at **24,291**.
2. **Volume Divergence:**
* Although there's some volume on bullish moves, the consistency is lacking compared to the strong rally before April 23.
**Key Price Levels:**
| 24,754.90 | Resistance | Upper range of rising wedge (target) |
| 24,596.40 | Resistance | First bullish target zone |
| 24,520.00 | Minor Resistance | Recent swing high |
| 24,369.45 | Support | First bearish target if wedge breaks |
| 24,291.25 | Key Support | Critical support, below wedge trendline |
| 23,786.80 | Strong Support | Previous consolidation breakout zone |
**Conclusion:**
* The Nifty is in a **tight rising wedge**, typically a **bearish** reversal pattern. However, if bulls can push past **24,520–24,596**, it may invalidate the pattern and open further upside.
* Until a confirmed breakout or breakdown occurs, traders should remain cautious and wait for **volume-backed confirmation**.
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Weekly Market Wrap Nifty, Mid & Small Caps, and S&P 500 OutlookNifty ended the week on a strong bullish note, closing at 24,346, up by 307 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight range, hitting a high of 24,589 and a low of 24,054, aligning perfectly with my projected range of 24,650–23,400.
📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch:
Nifty closed just below a crucial Fibonacci resistance at 24,414.
A daily close above 24,414 next week could open the door for a sharp move towards the next major resistance at 24,770.
While my system suggests a broader range of 24,900–23,800, I personally hope for a healthy consolidation to cool off some momentum—paving the way for a stronger, faster rally in the coming weeks.
Caution Zone:
A break below 23,800 might signal the return of bears, potentially dragging the index down to test critical support at 23,200/23,100.
Midcap & Smallcap Watch:
I’ve received a lot of queries about Midcap and Smallcap indices, and here’s the honest truth—they remain in a 'no-trade' zone. Despite Nifty's strength, the rally hasn’t lifted most Mid & Small Cap stocks.
👉 Investors holding quality, fundamentally strong stocks in these segments should stay calm, but avoid high PE or overvalued stocks until we get a clear monthly buy signal on the charts.
🌍 Global Markets – S&P 500 Analysis:
The S&P 500 closed the week at 5,686, just above the strong Fibonacci level of 5,637. Sustaining above this level could lead to a rally toward 5,770/5,821. However, a failure to hold this support might trigger a 2–3% pullback, which could ripple across global markets, including India.
📣 Bottom Line:
Nifty bulls need a close above 24,414 to push higher.
Mid & Small Cap space remains tricky—stay selective.
Watch global cues, especially from the US, for broader market direction.
Stay nimble, stay informed. ✅
Nifty May 1st Week AnalysisNifty is looking positive for the upcoming week, and we can expect highs of 23850-900+ if Nifty manages to close above 24550 on a daily basis. Downside risk will become more prominent if Nifty closes before 24250 on a daily candle. All levels are marked in the chart posted.
How I traded Nifty and Bank Nifty on 2-05-2025This is meaningful and descriptive analysis of how I trade indices Based on the concepts of Swings , LH and HL The backbone of this trading strategy is trend following Hope you guys learnt something out of this Ping me if you need more help with strategy